Evan Abrams said he bypassed the stale +230 “Top-10” price on Tetairoa McMillan and instead grabbed two exact-team tickets: New Orleans to take McMillan at No. 9 at 18-to-1 and whichever club ultimately controls pick No. 10 at 25-to-1. Abrams noted that mocks are split—some analysts push the Arizona wideout outside Round 1 while others label him the draft’s best size-speed athlete—creating a volatile market the Saints could exploit if the skill-position run starts early. New Orleans still lacks a true X receiver and has shown interest in vertical threats during the pre-draft process. Abrams believes McMillan’s 6-4 frame and 4.45 forty fit Derek Carr’s down-field tendencies, and the 18-to-1 / 25-to-1 numbers understate what he pegs as roughly a 7-8 % probability the Saints (or the team at 10 after a potential trade) pulls the trigger.

Chris Raybon floated three ways to attack Omarion Hampton’s draft range: (1) Minnesota to draft Hampton at pick 24 at 11-to-1, (2) under 19.5 draft slot at 3-to-1, and (3) a moon-shot 26-to-1 on Hampton sneaking into the top 10. Raybon argued that if Denver trades up for Ashton Gentry—as market whispers suggest—the RB-needy Vikings become the next logical landing spot. He views Hampton as the clear RB2, "with less tread and better hands than Gentry," making him attractive to Kevin O’Connell’s pass-heavy scheme. Raybon assigns Minnesota roughly a 9 % chance of grabbing Hampton at 24 and sees the under-19.5 prop as a hedge against a surprise trade-up by another RB-starved team.

Chris Raybon recommended betting Michigan defensive tackle Kenneth Grant to be a first-round pick at –110, calling the price essentially a money-back special. Raybon highlighted Grant’s "dancing bear" movement skills—337 lbs with a 1.68 ten-yard split and 32 reps on the bench—and noted that multiple trench-hungry playoff teams (Chiefs, Eagles, Lions) pick in the 20s. With SIS grading Grant as the No. 3 interior defender and positional scarcity after Mason Graham and Derek Harmon, Raybon believes clubs will not risk waiting until Friday. He projects a >60 % chance Grant sneaks into the final dozen picks, making –110 a profitable lay.

Evan Abrams called Ohio State edge rusher JT Tuimoloau an 8-to-1 value to crash Round 1. Abrams admitted he butchered the name but not the thesis: teams drafting 28-32 (Chiefs, Ravens, 49ers) all brought Tuimoloau in for top-30 visits and desperately need rotational pass-rush juice. He pointed to Tuimoloau’s 12.8% pressure rate and elite 3-cone (6.89) that mirror last year’s late-first surprise, Felix Anudike-Uzomah. With books pricing him as a sub-12% outcome, Abrams thinks front-seven depth concerns, plus a potential mini-run on edges if James Pierce and Donovan Azraku go earlier than expected, give the wager multiple outs.

James Weaver prefers team-specific dart throws over generic over/unders and took Seattle at +850 to draft Tetairoa McMillan. He sees Dallas as the obvious WR1 landing spot but argues that if the Cowboys pivot, McMillan could tumble into the late-teens where Seattle picks. The Seahawks need a vertical X while Christian Watson rehabs an ACL, and McMillan’s 6-4 frame with 4.45 wheels gives Jordan Love a down-field lid-lifter. Weaver sprinkled additional long shots on Arizona (17-1) and Green Bay (25-1) but made Seattle his primary ticket, estimating the true odds at roughly 10%.

Chris Raybon followed his Giants-Sanders call by taking the Saints ‘To Draft Jaxson Dart’ at +250. League chatter has New Orleans brass “in love” with the Ole Miss quarterback’s aggressive intermediate accuracy, a trait Pete Carmichael’s play-action heavy system demands. With Derek Carr’s contract becoming escapable after 2025, the Saints can afford to red-shirt Dart for a year while leveraging his cost-controlled window later. Raybon believes the Saints view him as a better schematic fit than Sanders, explaining why they have not been linked to Colorado’s passer despite thorough quarterback homework. He sets the probability north of 35%, making +250 attractive.

Raybon bet the Giants ‘To Draft Shedeur Sanders’ at +350, arguing Big Blue has done the most background work on the Colorado passer and fits his underneath-centric style. He dismissed Pittsburgh—the betting favorite—as a square narrative, noting Mike Tomlin already has outside jump-ball weapons (Pickens, Metcalf analogue) that do not mesh with Sanders’ accuracy profile. In Raybon’s mock, the post-Cam Ward QB run actually begins early day two, allowing Joe Schoen to grab Sanders with pick 39 without mortgaging assets. Given New York’s barren long-term QB room and Brian Daboll’s success tailoring offenses to short-area distributors, Raybon puts the true odds closer to +200.

James Weaver warned that Washington could be the surprise third running-back landing spot and sprinkled the Commanders ‘To Draft a RB in Round 1’ at 11-to-1 with TreVeyon Henderson circled as the target. Weaver noted the club’s public waffling on Austin Ekeler, inconsistent faith in Brian Robinson, and new offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury’s history of leaning on explosive three-down backs. Henderson checks those boxes with 4.38 speed, 36-inch vert and proven pass-pro chops. Weaver admitted he ultimately stayed on Raybon’s Under 2.5 RBs position, but views the long-odds Commanders stab as a cheap hedge that cashes if Washington shocks the market late Thursday night.

Evan Abrams suggested sprinkling on the first offensive lineman market where Cooper Campbell is the heavy favorite. Abrams sees legitimate chaos potential at pick 4, with New England openly shopping the slot and tackle-needy teams lurking. He grabbed Armand Membu at 9-to-1 and Kelvin Banks Jr. at 30-to-1 as alternate first-OL tickets, arguing that both prospects have interviewed well and fit inside-zone systems employed by several trade-up candidates. Abrams pointed out that most mocks underestimated last year’s Paris Johnson jump and believes a similar surprise could unfold if a team covets Membu’s athletic profile or Banks’ elite pass-pro tape. Because the market implies less than a 10% chance Campbell is passed over, Abrams feels the payout justifies a small speculative wager.

James Weaver said he already bet Colston Loveland at +250 to be the first tight end taken in the 2025 NFL Draft. Weaver compared Loveland’s profile to rival Tyra Warren, emphasizing Loveland’s ability to separate downfield, line up in the slot, and his superior route-running relative to Warren’s yards-after-catch skill set. He argued that teams prioritizing vertical tight-end usage—specifically naming the Colts, Jets, and Saints—will view Loveland as the cleaner scheme fit. Weaver added that Loveland grades out as a better run blocker than generally advertised, eliminating the one perceived knock. Because he sees the two prospects as nearly identical while reports still favor Warren, Weaver believes the market is mis-priced and that +250 offers tangible value.

Evan Abrams flagged Colston Loveland at +650 to be the exact 10th pick, arguing Chicago could shift to tight end if Tyra Warren is gone. Abrams referenced Peter Schrager’s mock hinting at a possible trade-down but noted the Bears still need a long-term receiving threat at TE despite signing veteran depth. With many boards ranking Loveland as TE1 and limited premium-pick competition at the position, Abrams believes Chicago could target him at 10 or slightly later via a small trade-back, making the +650 price worth a speculative bet.

Alongside his Warren call, Chris Raybon suggested a small play on Jahdae Barron to the Jets at pick No. 7 at 10-to-1. Barron shares the same buzz source—Adam Schefter—and offers slot/versatile coverage traits that could appeal if New York pivots away from an outside corner. Raybon emphasized that the 10-to-1 number prices Barron as a sub-10 % outcome, yet Schefter’s mention elevates it to a live scenario and gives bettors an attractive risk-reward hedge against Warren.

Citing Adam Schefter’s Wednesday report that the Jets are eyeing two specific defenders, Chris Raybon recommended betting Tyler Warren to be the exact No. 7 pick at 3-to-1. Schefter’s late-cycle nuggets have nailed surprise top-10 selections in recent years (he flagged Michael Penix at No. 8 last draft), and Raybon trusts that pattern. New York’s depth chart remains thin opposite Sauce Gardner, and Warren’s press-man skill set fits Robert Saleh’s defense. With the betting market still offering +300, Raybon believes the inside information plus schematic fit makes Warren to the Jets a +EV wager.

Chris Raybon advised taking Mason Graham at +650 to be the exact 6th pick. He explained that Graham had been the consensus No. 5 to Jacksonville for weeks, but Gentry’s late rise now pushes the Wolverines DT down the board. If a Gentry-at-5 scenario unfolds, Raybon expects the Raiders—who badly need interior pass-rush help and have shown heavy interest in Graham—to pivot and snag the highest-graded defensive lineman left on the board. SIS ranks Graham as the No. 2 overall prospect, so Raybon believes Las Vegas will view him as too much value to pass up at six.

James Weaver said Ashton Jeanty's steam to Jacksonville at No. 5 has opened a betting window on him going one spot earlier at No. 4. Weaver noted that the Patriots own the fourth pick, have openly shopped it for additional assets, and that RB-needy teams such as the Bears could leapfrog the Jaguars to secure the draft’s only first-round calibre running back. With FanDuel hanging +525 on Jeanty to be the exact 4th selection, Weaver views the combination of Jacksonville’s obvious interest, New England’s willingness to trade back, and multiple suitors behind the Jags as the second-most likely outcome and worth a bet at better than 5-to-1.

Jonathan Jones reiterated that most teams grade Shedeur Sanders as a second‑round talent despite recent Steelers hype. He explained that Sanders did not work out at the Combine, relied solely on interviews, and reportedly 'sandbagged' by trying to steer his landing spot—behavior that rubbed decision‑makers wrong. Jones’s conversations suggest only Cam Ward is a lock for Round 1, with Sanders sliding unless a club like the Giants, Browns, or Saints trades back into the late first. Draft bettors should fade Sanders’s first‑round odds unless significant market steam emerges.

Jonathan Jones predicted LSU left tackle Will Campbell will be the first offensive lineman taken, slotted to the Patriots at pick 4. He highlighted New England’s desperate need to protect a new quarterback and noted that several league evaluators have Campbell graded a full tier above other tackles. Bettors eyeing first‑OL markets or exact‑match props can ride Jones’s intel that the Pats lock Campbell in early.

Jonathan Jones pushed back on the late buzz tying Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty to Jacksonville at No. 5. He reminded listeners that first‑year GM James Gladstone, age 34, has no public track record and may prefer to accumulate picks rather than burn a premium slot on a non‑McCaffrey, non‑Barkley‑caliber back. Jones added that league contacts view Jeanty as the clear RB1, yet remain 'dubious' the Jaguars will use a top‑five asset on the position. All scenarios—from trading down to taking a lineman or WR—are on the table, but Jones would not be surprised if Jeanty is passed over. Draft‑prop bettors should be cautious about wagering on Jeanty at 5.

Emory Hunt doubled down on the Colorado connection, declaring "Shedeur Sanders will be a Cleveland Brown by the end of Thursday night" regardless of whether the Browns move up from Round 2 or trade future assets to sneak into Round 1. Hunt said Cleveland’s front office is infatuated with pairing Sanders and Travis Hunter, believing the star quarterback’s timing‑based game perfectly fits Kevin Stefanski’s offense while simultaneously supercharging the franchise’s national profile. He urged bettors to grab any Browns‑to‑draft‑Sanders market available, emphasizing that price and draft slot are secondary because "it doesn’t matter—Shedeur ends up in orange and brown."

Jason La Canfora recommended betting Nick Emmanwori at 17‑to‑1 to be the second defensive back drafted behind Travis Hunter. La Canfora relayed that evaluators he trusts are lukewarm on this year’s corner class but believe Emmanwori possesses Kyle Hamilton‑level versatility. He expects San Francisco to consider the South Carolina safety at pick 11 and is confident Seattle will scoop him at 18 if the 49ers pass, making it unlikely Emmanwori falls further. Because other DB prospects lack consensus first‑round grades, La Canfora thinks the true odds should be closer to 6‑to‑1 and calls 17‑to‑1 a "gift."

R.J. White’s favorite long‑shot draft bet is to split a wager on Mason Graham going exactly sixth (+900) and seventh (+800) overall. White said the market is hyper‑focused on Ashton Gentie at No. 5 and overlooking the domino effect that leaves New England and Arizona—both defensive‑line needy—staring at an All‑American interior monster. He believes Graham’s disruptive tape and elite combine agility scores will make him too tempting for either franchise to pass, giving bettors nearly 9‑to‑1 odds on what he calls the "most likely landing window" for the Michigan star.

Emory Hunt projected the Eagles to draft an offensive tackle at pick 32 despite market expectations leaning defense. Hunt praised Philadelphia’s forward‑thinking roster strategy and pointed out that 34‑year‑old Lane Johnson is nearing the end of his elite run. He floated Ohio State’s Josh Simmons as the quintessential Roseman selection—an athletic left tackle prospect the team could essentially red‑shirt for a season before inserting him opposite Jordan Mailata. Hunt said that if Simmons or a similarly toolsy tackle is still on the board, "everyone will be asking how he lasted to 32," and bettors taking OT at +375 will look sharp.

R.J. White said the only worthwhile dart on Philadelphia’s first‑pick market is safety at +700. While he agrees DL/Edge remains the chalk outcome, White does not see value at the current +100 price. Instead, he envisions Howie Roseman either trading up a few spots to grab one of the draft’s two blue‑chip safeties or sliding back into the mid‑30s and still landing the same player. With Vic Fangio now coordinating a defense that leans on versatile back‑end pieces, White believes the true probability of Philly taking a safety is much higher than the implied sub‑13 percent. He advised a small wager on the longshot rather than eating even money on edge.

R.J. White urged bettors to grab defensive line/edge at roughly +180 for the Chiefs’ first‑selection market, arguing the odds are mis‑priced. White noted that Kansas City believes it already has its starting five up front after signing Jalen Moore, which explains why offensive line help is likelier to come from the deep Day‑2 tackle pool. Conversely, impact edge defenders thin out quickly beyond Round 1, so Brett Veach is incentivized to address that position early. White called the plus‑money sticker a "great value pick" compared to the –125 juice on O‑line and expects an explosive pass‑rusher or versatile three‑tech to be the obvious BPA when pick 32 arrives.

Jason La Canfora said bettors should side with defensive line/edge at +170 for the Chiefs’ first‑player‑drafted prop even though offensive line sits as the odds‑on favorite. He reasoned that this class is loaded with what he called a “potentially generational group of D‑tackles,” meaning an interior disruptor such as Michigan’s Mason Graham could easily slide to pick 32. La Canfora added that Andy Reid already feels comfortable enough with the reworked O‑line after signing Jalen Moore, while Steve Spagnuolo still needs a long‑term running mate—and eventual replacement—for Chris Jones. Because Kansas City traditionally lets Patrick Mahomes mask minor offensive flaws and because tackle depth is solid on Day 2, La Canfora believes Reid will pounce on whichever explosive interior or edge talent the board gifts him, making the plus‑money edge/DL market the sharper side.

Emery Hunt prefers betting Kansas City to take a defensive lineman at roughly +170 instead of the –125 chalk on offensive line. Hunt argued that the Chiefs still lack a true bookend opposite George Karlaftis and perennial All‑Pro Chris Jones. Last year’s late‑first flyer Felix Anudike‑Uzomah has yet to crack the rotation, leaving a glaring need for an explosive edge. With Patrick Mahomes covering for offensive shortcomings and a deep Day‑2 tackle class available, Hunt expects Brett Veach to grab a pass rusher at 32 and patch the line later. That positional logic plus plus‑money odds makes DL‑Edge his preferred play on Kansas City’s first‑pick market.

Jason La Canfora said the inside league chatter for a week has been Gentie at No. 5 overall. After talking with multiple teams in the top half of the round, he narrowed Jacksonville’s board to Gentie versus Michigan DT Mason Graham but believes the running back wins out. La Canfora’s favorite play is a 1‑through‑5 exacta—Cam Ward, Travis Hunter, Caleb Carter, Theo Campbell, Ashton Gentie—which still pays around +160 despite becoming a quasi‑chalk outcome. He acknowledged the payout is slimmer than ideal but thinks the intel is strong enough to justify a smaller stake, calling the 5‑to‑10 range Gentie’s absolute floor.

R.J. White doubled down on his earlier 40‑to‑1 stab at Gentie to be the No. 5 pick, noting that the number has crashed to favorite status but a broader "top‑five" ticket can still be found at +150 to +160 in some books. White thinks the lack of elite blue‑chippers at other spots allows a high‑ceiling back like Gentie to get pushed up the board. He cited Saquon Barkley’s impact on the Eagles last season as evidence teams can win around a do‑everything running back, and he believes Jacksonville will either select Gentie at five or trade out to a club that covets him. With odds in constant flux during draft week, White says locking in anything better than +140 on a top‑five Gentie finish remains value.

Jason La Canfora relayed that multiple general managers and one head coach told him Kellen Moore is "smitten" with Jaxson Dart in the same way Sean Payton coveted Bo Nix last year. With Moore now running the offense for the club that owns pick No. 9, La Canfora would not be surprised if that team simply takes Dart there rather than risk missing out later. He added that his phone work over the weekend convinced him four quarterbacks could still crack the first 32 selections, with Sanders ticketed for Mike Tomlin at 21 and Jalen Milroe sliding to the very end of Round 1. The intel makes Dart’s under 24.5 prop and his +200 odds to be QB2 live darts—pun intended—despite recent market drift toward the over.

Emery Hunt identified Jacksonville at No. 5 as the draft’s "business slot," forecasting that the Jaguars are open for calls and could trade down if another team wants to leapfrog the board after seeing what happens at pick No. 3. Hunt noted Jacksonville’s roster flexibility and desire to add draft capital, suggesting the Jags will entertain offers from any club chasing a premium player—potentially a quarterback or blue‑chip defender—and that bettors should consider props on a trade involving pick 5 or on the Jaguars drafting outside the top five.

R.J. White said the market has completely over‑corrected on Jaxson Dart. The Ole Miss quarterback opened with a 24.5 draft‑position prop juiced heavily to the under, but money has poured in on the over, pushing it out to +165 in the last 48 hours. White argued that the only plausible landing spot inside the top‑25 is a team trading up and he doubts Pittsburgh, Miami or any other rumored suitor will pay that price for a QB he grades as a late‑first talent at best. He dismissed Dart at +200 to be the second quarterback off the board, noting Cam Ward is locked in at No. 1 and that Shedeur Sanders still carries more league‑wide support. White advised bettors to grab the over on 24.5 while plus money is still available and ignore the QB2 market entirely.

Jason La Canfora predicted Cleveland will package picks to swap with Philadelphia at No. 32, sliding into the final slot of Round 1 to select Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe. La Canfora said his usual pre‑draft intel is "eerily quiet" this year but the Browns’ desire for a fifth‑year option on a cost‑controlled quarterback makes the move logical. In his unpublished mock he already has the Eagles moving back and the Browns jumping the queue to prevent another QB‑needy franchise from poaching Milroe on Friday, giving bettors a plus‑money flyer on Cleveland’s first‑round activity and Milroe’s first‑round odds.

Mike Renner echoed the sentiment that Tet McMillan should be the first wideout off the board but advised attacking longer‑odds derivatives instead of laying –175. Renner mentioned he grabbed McMillan at +400 to go top‑10 on Friday and suggested a Cowboys‑specific landing prop as another angle, arguing that Dallas is the only team outside the top 10 poised to jump the market. Despite acknowledging a "chance he's not" the first receiver, Renner sees McMillan’s contested‑catch dominance and late‑season breakout as giving him the inside track in this receiver class.

Dave Richard expects Tetairoa "Tet" McMillan to be the first wide receiver drafted, but he refuses to lay the –175 juice on that prop. Richard noted that while Emeka Egbuka’s floor and Matthew Golden’s speed are enticing, both remain "emerging" talents compared with McMillan’s full package of size, body control, and late‑career production. He advised bettors to wait for the price to dip toward –130 before firing or to attack related markets—such as McMillan going inside the top 10—where the payout is more palatable.

Mike Renner is fading Jaxson Dart’s draft stock, backing the over 24.5 at +120. Renner argued that the Pittsburgh Steelers at 21 are the lone franchise positioned to consider Dart inside the top‑25, and even they "might not have that high a grade" if Shedeur Sanders or another passer falls. With essentially one possible landing spot ahead of the prop number and widespread league skepticism about Dart’s ceiling, Renner labeled the plus money on the over as an easy play and expects Dart to last into the late first or early second round.

Dave Richard prefers the over 10.5 on Tyler Warren at +130, pointing out that Colston Loveland might leapfrog Warren on several boards. Richard said clubs that want a pass‑heavy tight end could grade Loveland higher, making Warren less than a consensus TE1. Because roster fits and scheme preference will drive the pick, Richard sees a credible path for Warren to slide into the teens, offering sneaky value on the plus‑money over even though he believes Warren ultimately lands no later than the mid‑first.

Mike Renner took the under 10.5 on Tyler Warren’s draft position, even at –165, and said he expects Warren to be gone by pick 15 at the latest. Renner highlighted Warren’s Swiss‑army‑knife resume—inline snaps, slot work, short‑yardage carries, and even gadget throws—and compared his year‑over‑year usage spike to how the league fell in love with Brock Bowers a year earlier. He flagged the Jets (7), Saints (9), and Bears (10) as franchises "vying" for Warren and said it would "surprise me if he slips anywhere past the Bears," framing the top‑10 as Warren’s most probable outcome despite a strong TE class.

Mike Renner is on the under 28.5 at –160 for Emeka Egbuka, projecting him inside the top‑25. Renner called Egbuka the "highest floor, best‑character" wideout in a class light on true ceiling swings, making him attractive to stable franchises. He rattled off Seattle at 18, Denver at 20, Pittsburgh at 21, and Detroit at 28 as logical fits and said 18–21 is the most likely window. Because teams want a plug‑and‑play slot who wins on timing routes and blocks, Renner expects a well‑run organization to "take the easy double" and grab Egbuka before pick 28.5 despite the juice.

Dave Richard said he is betting the over 28.5 draft‑position prop on Emeka Egbuka at +130. Richard believes Egbuka is the safest receiver in the class but not a "sexy" prospect and therefore less of a priority for front offices that are scrambling for offensive‑line help and premium pass‑rushers. Richard envisions Egbuka as a long‑term slot who adapts quickly but offers limited explosive upside, which could push him into the late first or even the early‑second round. He pegged the mid‑30s as a realistic landing range and called the plus money an attractive way to fade a Round‑1 guarantee.

Mike Renner echoed Dave Richard, saying he likes Shedeur Sanders to Cleveland because pairing Sanders with Travis Hunter would instantly elevate the Browns’ national profile. Renner noted that smaller‑market Cleveland could leverage the duo’s college chemistry for both on‑field efficiency and off‑field buzz, making the Browns more willing to part with assets to secure Sanders late in Round 1.

Dave Richard likes the Browns at +360 to land Shedeur Sanders, outlining a scenario where Cleveland uses its early Round‑2 pick plus extra capital to jump back into Round 1. He argued the Browns could draft Travis Hunter at No. 2, then reunite him with his college quarterback by trading with an NFC South team looking to accumulate picks. The five‑year rookie contract control that comes with a first‑rounder and the Hunter‑Sanders marketing appeal are additional incentives for Cleveland to make the move.

Eric Polzin pumped the brakes on DJ Giddens’ sleeper hype, stressing that the Kansas State back’s sloppy ball skills may crush his immediate fantasy value. Polzin reminded listeners Giddens coughed it up three times last season and posted a 12% drop rate—both bottom‑quartile marks for 2025 RB prospects—calling that combination “drive‑killing.” He added that Giddens shows limited quick‑twitch agility behind the line and “doesn’t have much wiggle,” which could keep him in a straight‑line, zone‑only role and make coaching staffs hesitant to trust him in high‑leverage spots. While Polzin still believes the 6'1"/215 runner’s burst makes him an intriguing scheme fit for outside‑zone offenses, he now expects teams to view him as a rotational early‑down option rather than a future bell cow. Dynasty managers are advised to fade any Round‑4 rookie‑draft buzz and treat Giddens strictly as a bench stash whose upside hinges on landing with an elite O‑line and cleaning up those ball‑security issues in camp.

Eric Polzin labeled Kansas State’s DJ Giddens a "future Kyle Shanahan special," pointing to his 9.8 Raw Athletic Score, 6'1"/215 frame and clinic‑level reads on outside‑zone concepts. On film Giddens consistently sticks his foot in the ground and explodes through cutback lanes, posting 4.43 speed and a 24% college dominator rating. Strengths include contact balance, patience and adequate receiving chops. Weak spots: only average power for his size, shaky ball security (three fumbles, 12% drop rate) and sub‑par pass protection. Polzin expects a Round 5‑7 selection, with San Francisco or the Rams as prime landing spots. He advised best‑ball drafters to stash Giddens as an injury‑contingent RB3 who could deliver league‑winning weeks if he lands in Shanahan’s backfield carousel and opportunities open up à la Raheem Mostert in 2022.

Eric Polzin pitched Virginia Tech burner Jaylin Lane as a late‑round dynasty dart who can pay off quickly on special teams while developing into a slot/YAC weapon. Lane posted a 4.33 forty, top‑5 three‑cone and shuttle numbers in the class, and Polzin compared his usage to how Baltimore schemes Zay Flowers—screens, motion, and quick in‑breakers to get the ball in space. Expected draft capital is Round 6‑7, but Polzin highlighted four franchises (Ravens, Eagles, Saints, Giants) that need punt return help and could manufacture touches. Weak points: Lane plays exactly to his 5'9"/180 frame, had five drops last season, and ran a simplified route tree, meaning immediate fantasy impact hinges on creative play‑calling. Still, in deep best‑ball or return‑yardage leagues, Polzin advised spending a final rookie pick because scheme‑generated touches plus return yards can create spike weeks.

Eric Polzin doubled down on Kyle Williams as a mid‑round dynasty steal but shifted the focus to landing‑spot leverage. He argued Tennessee is the "most ideal" destination because new Titans OC Nick Holes coached Williams for two seasons at UNLV and already knows how to dial up the jet‑motion, backfield alignments and quick‑hitting slants that unlock his yards‑after‑catch juice. Polzin noted Williams’ release is “already NFL‑ready,” his 4.40 speed forces soft zones, and his multi‑level route tree looked crisper in Washington State’s Air Raid concepts. The big red flag remains a double‑digit drop rate and two minor ankle sprains, yet Polzin thinks the Titans’ thin WR room (no clear slot behind DeAndre Hopkins) would give Williams 50‑plus targets as a rookie. Dynasty gamers drafting before Round 4 should bump Williams up their boards if Tennessee spends anything above a late Day‑3 pick on him.

Eric Polzin touted Washington State speedster Kyle Williams as a mid‑round steal who could replicate Jayden Reed’s rookie splash. Williams racked up 1,198 yards and 14 TDs in 2024 while clocking a 4.40 forty. On film Polzin saw Williams separate from DBs, house long catch‑and‑runs and flash dual‑threat gadget ability comparable to Curtis Samuel or even Deebo Samuel. The knocks: a double‑digit drop rate and occasional concentration lapses. Still, Polzin believes teams that need a movable chess piece—specifically the 49ers or the Titans (OC Nick Holz coached Williams at UNLV)—will excuse the drops and funnel manufactured touches. Projected year‑one line: 45‑50 catches, 650‑800 scrimmage yards with spike‑week YAC TDs, making him an attractive late best‑ball dart or deep redraft flyer if he lands in a creative offense.

Eric Polzin said Isaiah Bond is his favorite draft sleeper and projected the Texas burner to deliver 500‑700 receiving yards as an NFL WR3 right away. Polzin highlighted Bond’s verified 4.39 forty (5th‑fastest among 2025 WRs), top‑5 finishes in every athletic metric he tracks and praised his ability to “snap off routes” and create yards after the catch. He compared Bond’s NFL role to Tyler Lockett or Hollywood Brown—smaller receivers who win vertically—while noting film suggests Bond actually plays faster than his timed speed. Ideal schematic fits mentioned were the Chargers, Dolphins or Cardinals, all of whom feature quick‑hitting, down‑field concepts. Weaknesses are size (180 lbs), nine‑inch hands, a limited catch radius and no true college breakout season, but Polzin believes those concerns are muted because Bond consistently separates and will be “thrown open.” Dynasty managers looking for cheap spike‑week upside or best‑ball investors taking late shots should circle Bond if he falls to Round 3‑4 of the real draft.

Ben Stevens told listeners to bet the over on any first‑round running‑back prop (commonly set at 1.5) because the market is already giving away its hand. Ashton Jeanty is a prohibitive –350 favorite to go inside the top six, while Omarion Hampton is –1500 simply to be selected on Thursday night and –400 to be the first back taken after pick 10. Those numbers, Stevens argued, imply at least two backs are virtual locks, with TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins still lurking as late‑round one surprise candidates. He also referenced the positional resurgence—Bijan Robinson (8th) and Jahmyr Gibbs (12th) in 2023—as evidence that front offices are once again willing to invest day‑one capital in bell‑cows. His advice: “If your book is still hanging over 1.5 at plus money, smash it before they catch up.”

Ben Stevens urged bettors to double‑dip on Ashton Jeanty: hammer the under 6.5 draft position at –350 and sprinkle the Raiders at +110 to be the team that pulls the trigger at No. 6. Stevens highlighted new GM John Spitech’s Big Ten pedigree and his public comments lauding both running‑back value and elite special‑teamers—evidence the regime is happy to buck modern positional biases when chasing an offensive identity. He added that Tom Brady’s minority‑owner influence and Antonio Pierce’s run‑first coaching mantra point toward a back who can be the face of the rebrand. Jacksonville, drafting one slot earlier, remains a wild card but is openly shopping No. 5, making it more likely Vegas stays put and selects the Boise State star. According to Stevens, “six is the odds‑on landing spot,” and locking in both markets creates a correlated, low‑risk betting portfolio.

Donnie Wrightside jumped on the Pittsburgh Steelers at +310 to draft Shedeur Sanders, noting that the price shortened from near‑even money on the Saints earlier in the week. He argued the Steelers are the rare win‑now roster that also lacks a long‑term quarterback plan; Russell Wilson and Justin Fields offer stop‑gap options but no future certainty. With Mike Tomlin’s defense intact and elite skill talent already in place, Wrightside believes Pittsburgh can afford to groom Sanders while still competing in the AFC North, making the franchise far more motivated than New Orleans, the Giants or the Browns to sacrifice Day‑2 capital for a rookie passer. At better than 3‑to‑1, he called the Steelers “the clearest value on the board” in team‑to‑draft markets.