Josh said drafting Bijan Robinson at the 1-2 turn in a superflex dynasty start-up is an easy smash because Robinson is, in his words, a "total freak" comparable to outlier backs such as Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry and Alvin Kamara. Those historical comps maintained elite production well past the typical running-back shelf life, so Josh believes Bijan can anchor a roster for multiple championship windows and offset the usual longevity concerns at the position. The plan entering the draft was to open WR-heavy, but Josh pivoted once Robinson and fellow athletic marvel Ashton Genti slid to the turn, arguing that this rare talent level makes them safer foundation pieces than most backs even in a format that generally discounts RBs.

Chris Allen argued Bijan Robinson deserves equal consideration at 1.02 because Michael Penix’s arrival unlocked the receiving workload that can push Robinson into overall RB1 territory. Before the QB switch, Robinson already owned 60% of Atlanta’s carries and a 13.6% target share, ranking as an elite workload by Fantasy Life’s Utilization Report (UR Score). Over Robinson’s final three games with Penix his touches jumped from 20.8 to 24.7 per game, route rate spiked from 62.4% with Kirk Cousins to 76.6% with Penix, and his receiving aDOT leaped from –1.2 to 4.0 yards, signaling designed down-field concepts like the screen clip Allen highlighted. Despite Atlanta’s lower team expectations, Robinson nearly matched Barkley with only two fewer explosive plays and actually posted a higher success rate (55.6%). Reduced Tyler Allgeier usage plus a Penix-friendly scheme gives Robinson unmatched dual-threat upside, making him the centerpiece of a “Balanced” roster start from the 1.02.

Nick Whalen said he is comfortable taking Bijan Robinson 1.01 overall and ranked him as his RB1. Whalen expects better quarterback play in Atlanta, noting that the offense looked markedly more functional in the three late-season starts with Michael Penix after Kirk Cousins struggled to push the ball downfield. Robinson’s touch count spiked in that stretch, and Whalen projects even heavier involvement in the passing game plus more explosive runs – Bijan’s longest rush was only 37 yards last year, a metric Whalen views as due for positive regression. Bottom line: Robinson has yet to hit his peak season and checks every box for an elite, league-winning workload.

Best Ball Guy doubled down on his earlier Falcons love by tossing out a bold projection: Bijan Robinson could score 24 touchdowns in half-PPR formats. He tied that upside to the same pillars he mentioned earlier in the show—an elite run-blocking line, Arthur Smith finally out of the building, and a playoff schedule (Bucs, Cardinals, Rams) that sets up for run-first, red-zone-heavy scripts. In his view, the talent plus trenches combo positions Bijan to lead the league in inside-the-five carries, turning first-round exposure into a potential Christian McCaffrey-level cheat code if the touchdown variance breaks Atlanta’s way.

Best Ball Guy pushed Bijan Robinson all the way up to the 1.02, arguing that the second–year back is entering the prime of his career while running behind what he called "one of the best run-blocking O-lines in the league." He believes that combination of talent and trenches gives Bijan a realistic shot at a Christian McCaffrey–level workload and ceiling, making him worth passing on Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase in Best Ball Mania drafts.

Jim Coventry said fantasy drafters picking second overall should lean toward Bijan Robinson instead of Ja'Marr Chase. Coventry’s core argument is market-driven: running backs thin out quickly in typical 12-team snake drafts, while usable wide-receiver depth remains plentiful in the middle rounds. Locking up Robinson’s every-down workload early lets managers scoop wide-receiver value later without scrambling for an RB1 replacement.

Shawn Siegele reminded listeners that Bijan Robinson finished second in the entire league in expected points per game as a rookie—trailing only Alvin Kamara—even while Tyler Allgeier, a 1,000-yard rusher, remained involved. With Atlanta expected to lean heavily on the ground game and boasting little proven target competition beyond Drake London, Siegele foresees Robinson’s workload growing further. The massive ADP gap between Robinson and Allgeier signals the market’s confidence in an every-down role, and Siegele fully endorses selecting Robinson as the RB1 overall in both best-ball and redraft setups.

Nick Whalen said Bijan Robinson is the best value on the Offensive Player of the Year board at 16-1. He reminded listeners that this award has basically become the “non-QB MVP,” and history shows running backs or wideouts typically take it. Whalen pointed out that voters rarely reward backs for back-to-back peak seasons—very few 2,000-yard backs have repeated—so he wants someone whose breakout is still ahead. Robinson fits the bill: his touch count jumped by roughly five per game in the second half of last season once Atlanta realized the offense had to run through him. Whalen is bullish on a “super-charged” Falcons attack with rookie Michael Penix replacing an injured Kirk Cousins, noting the team already won eight games, beat Philadelphia on the road, and swept Tampa despite playing ultra-conservative football. With more volume, team success, and elite talent, Whalen thinks Robinson has a legitimate path to the award at +1600 odds.

Josh Norris warned that Bijan Robinson’s overall RB3 ADP bakes in a ceiling that may be unattainable with Atlanta sitting 22nd in implied scoring. Running backs on bottom-third offenses rarely reach league-winning status unless they post elite receiving numbers, and Norris is unconvinced that the new coaching staff and unchanged offensive line can generate enough touchdowns. Without a proven quarterback upgrade, Robinson likely needs 80-plus catches to justify his price—a bet Norris is avoiding in early drafts.

Jake Ciely placed Bijan Robinson atop his 2025 season-long RB rankings because Atlanta’s coaching staff keeps hinting at an even heavier run philosophy under new offensive coordinator Zach Robinson. Jake noted that team quotes coming out of Flowery Branch have emphasized "leaning into the run even more" and—importantly—doing so through Bijan instead of the old Tyler Allgeier 50/50 split. Ciely’s projections separate Bijan from Saquon by only four points, but that incremental edge matters when Robinson already owns a top-five RB target share and now projects for a larger early-down and goal-line role. In short: a three-down workload on a run-first offense vaults Bijan to his overall RB1 spot.

Jason Moore selected Bijan Robinson as the first running back off the board and labeled him his personal RB1 for 2024. Moore sees no red flags— Robinson is young, suffered no significant injuries, and was already a top-12 back despite inconsistent usage under Arthur Smith. With Zac Robinson installing a Rams-style offense that feeds backs in the passing game, Moore thinks we still haven’t seen Bijan’s best season. He anticipates a huge workload bump, a receiving role that pushes him above the 60-catch mark, and elite goal-line equity on a much-improved Atlanta offense, giving Bijan overall RB1 upside without Christian McCaffrey’s durability concerns.

Andy Holloway argued that Bijan Robinson should be the very first running back off the board in 2025 drafts. He said Bijan’s PPR usage gives him the same ceiling as Saquon Barkley but with far fewer yellow-flag risks. Barkley is older, has a heavier career workload, and even carries the dreaded Madden-cover narrative, whereas Bijan enters Year 2 without mileage concerns. Holloway noted that in a three-wide, half-PPR league the pool of true difference-making backs is extremely shallow, so locking in Bijan at 1.04 provides both weekly reception floor and elite upside without the age-related downside that drags Barkley’s profile.

Caplan’s Offensive Player of the Year pick is Bijan Robinson at +1200. He noted Robinson’s production climbed from his rookie campaign and called the third-year Falcon a ‘special back’ who piles up yardage as both a runner and receiver while finishing drives with touchdowns. With only Saquon Barkley (+500) and Jahmyr Gibbs (+1000) showing shorter numbers, Caplan thinks Robinson’s mix of volume, highlight plays and team-centered game plan makes the 12-to-1 ticket undervalued.

Davis Mattek said Bijan Robinson is positioned to out-produce Saquon Barkley’s 2023 fantasy season. Mattek argued that Robinson doesn’t rely on break-away 50-yard runs the way Barkley does, yet still owns the Falcons’ goal-line role and is already "one of the most efficient and effective pass-catching backs in the league." In half-PPR formats on Underdog, that combination of goal-line equity plus pass-game volume gives Robinson both floor and ceiling advantages over Barkley’s 2023 profile. Mattek framed Robinson as a justifiable top-three overall pick who can deliver truly elite, league-winning output.

Billy Jones predicted Bijan Robinson will continue to drift down draft boards as drafters prioritize wide-receiver heavy starts. Robinson has already slipped from 3.7 to 4.0 overall, and Jones believes the combination of Justin Jefferson’s rise and CeeDee Lamb’s post-draft momentum will push Bijan to an average pick around 5.7, with Jahmyr Gibbs possibly leaping him as well. While Jones still likes Robinson’s talent, he warned managers currently selecting in the early first not to over-expose themselves when they will soon be able to grab him at the five or six spot and start WR-WR instead. The takeaway: wait on Bijan shares until the market finishes correcting.

Andy Holloway pushed Bijan Robinson to his preseason RB1 slot, citing volume and age‑based upside. Robinson finished second in total touches last year—trailing only Barkley—and was stuffed on just 14 % of carries, the league’s second‑best mark. Holloway noted Robinson’s prime age (23.8) and game‑script proof profile after producing RB8, RB5 and RB2 finishes in the final three weeks with rookie QB Michael Penix. That short stretch projected to a wild 380‑carry, 2,006‑yard, 34‑TD pace. While Robinson logged only 11 runs of 10‑plus yards on 121 carries (5th‑worst explosive‑run rate), Holloway said the Falcons’ commitment to him as the offensive backbone under Arthur Smith makes sheer workload a better bet than chasing breakaway runs. In season‑long formats, Holloway recommends taking Robinson over more “fun” names because the floor is RB5 and the ceiling is the overall RB1.