Jim Coventry warned drafters to fade Bo Nix at his QB8 ADP. Coventry reminded listeners that Nix finished 2024 hot only because Denver had no running game and had to lean on him—he logged 430 rushing yards, four rushing TDs and three 25-plus point fantasy outings in his final seven games. This offseason, however, Sean Payton overhauled the roster to play defense and run the ball: the Broncos imported Talanoa Hufanga and Dre Greenlaw in free agency, spent a first-rounder on CB Jaday Baron, drafted RB RJ Harvey in Round 2 and signed J.K. Dobbins. Behind an already elite offensive line, Coventry expects Denver to be “super run heavy,” meaning far fewer pass attempts and designed runs for Nix. With game scripts likely favoring a lead-protecting approach, Coventry sees limited weekly upside and advised passing on Nix in season-long drafts.

Wyatt Bertolone endorsed Bo Nix as a Best Ball buy at QB10, 99.8 overall. The rookie averaged 19.4 fantasy points and unexpectedly logged 430 rushing yards (eighth among quarterbacks), giving him a bankable weekly floor. Denver reinforced his supporting cast by signing Evan Engram and drafting Pat Bryant, while a top-tier offensive line and Sean Payton’s quarterback-friendly system remain intact. Bertolone expects Nix to at least repeat, if not improve upon, his debut production and wants to be overweight relative to the market even though the price is already aggressive.

Steve Palazzolo cautioned that Bo Nix’s final rookie stat line is inflated by a four-touchdown performance against a Kansas City Chiefs defense resting starters in Week 18. Removing that contest pulls Nix’s TD-to-INT ratio back to league-average levels and trims nearly 10 percent off his season-long fantasy points per game. Palazzolo stressed that drafters and bookmakers should adjust projections accordingly, treating the breakout as context-driven rather than a firm signal of Year 2 dominance. He compared the situation to J.J. McCarthy’s preseason explosion and Joe Milton’s garbage-time binge—both over-weighted by casual evaluators. Fantasy managers should view Nix as a matchup-based QB2 rather than an automatic weekly starter, and bettors should scrutinize Denver team totals early in the season before assuming a sophomore leap.

Steve Palazzolo warned managers not to ignore Bo Nix’s continuing struggle on 10-to-19-yard throws—often the bread-and-butter range for efficient NFL quarterbacks. Palazzolo cited Nix’s 54.0 PFF grade on those intermediate passes, which included zero big-time throws and 10 turnover-worthy plays, calling it “awful” for a starting QB. He argued that until Nix sharpens timing and ball placement on seam routes, outs, and digs, Denver’s passing ceiling will remain capped, limiting spike-week potential in fantasy and making the Broncos a shaky side when facing defenses that squeeze underneath windows. Palazzolo urged drafters to price that volatility into best-ball exposure and bettors to be cautious with Denver overs in matchups against disciplined zone defenses.

Sam Monson said Bo Nix's elite scrambling ability should translate into reliable fantasy production again in Year 2. Monson highlighted that Nix posted a league-best 13 percent pressure-to-sack rate and averaged 9.4 yards per scramble—two full yards better than Jaden Daniels, the quarterback most analysts label the premier rushing threat in the class. Those numbers indicate Nix consistently turns broken plays into chunk gains, artificially raising his weekly floor even when passing volume is modest. Monson also noted Denver’s Week 10 tape at Kansas City—where Nix repeatedly converted third-and-longs against Steve Spagnuolo’s exotic pressure looks—as evidence Sean Payton trusts him to use his legs in high-leverage situations. That combination of scheme freedom and rushing efficiency makes Nix a viable late-round QB target in season-long drafts and an under-priced dual-threat option in DFS slates where rushing yardage scoring is emphasized.

Billy Jones pushed Bo Nix into his upper-mid quarterback tier, saying drafters are underrating how cleanly the rookie meshes with Sean Payton’s offense. Jones highlighted Nix’s 71.9% completion rate and 234 collegiate rush attempts, calling him a "Baker-with-wheels" who can both nickel-and-dime and hit the deep shot. Denver has armed him with red-zone bruisers Audric Estime and J.K. Dobbins plus satellite back Dylan Laube, signaling a heavy dose of play-action boot that should unlock 4-to-6 designed rushes per game. Payton, who funneled 28.4% of 2023 Saints plays through Taysom Hill packages, has already mentioned using Nix’s mobility near the goal line—juice that Jones believes lifts Nix’s season ceiling into the low-end QB1 mix. With Nix still going behind rookies McCarthy and Ward, Jones is scooping the Bronco whenever he has Courtland Sutton or a Week-17 Broncos-Chargers stack, betting on an ADP climb once training-camp clips show Payton calling pistol read-option.

JSU highlighted Denver as his favorite late-round Best Ball stack because every key piece is inexpensive. He reminded listeners that Bo Nix shockingly finished QB7 as a rookie, thanks in part to rushing scores that provide "touchdown collateral with his legs." With Sean Payton’s quarterback-friendly system, an upgraded supporting cast (rookie wideout Pat Bryant, rookie back RJ Harvey) and a still-stingy defense that will keep games competitive, JSU believes Nix can repeat top-10 fantasy production while allowing drafters to load up elsewhere early.

Jason Moore waited until Round 10 before selecting Bo Nix, reminding listeners that Nix ranked as the fantasy QB7 through the first month of his rookie campaign. Moore trusts Sean Payton to lean into the quick-game concepts that fit Nix’s strengths, giving the sophomore passer both a stable floor and top-12 ceiling in 2025 drafts. Grabbing Nix this late lets managers stockpile skill talent earlier and, if they wish, pair him with another upside quarterback as insurance.

Pete Overzet pushed back against worries that Bo Nix’s rookie success was schedule-driven and said the market is still underestimating his 2024 ceiling at an ADP just inside pick 100. Overzet likes how Sean Payton loosened the reins late last year, noting Denver averaged 26.1 points over Nix’s final five starts after sitting below 20 before the shift. He highlighted several offseason upgrades—Evan Engram and Pat Bryant as middle-of-field targets plus a "legit run game" to keep defenses honest—that should allow Payton to lean into an RPO-heavy, vertical approach. Nix already showed a top-12 fantasy profile (big arm + 55th-percentile speed score), so even a modest volume bump makes weekly spike weeks realistic. The only downside Overzet mentioned is a potentially dominant defense shortening games, but he still projects a "pretty big jump" for both Nix and the Broncos offense and likes pairing him with cheap pieces such as Courtland Sutton in Best Ball Mania drafts.

Billy Jones said Bo Nix has finally drifted into the sweet spot for two–quarterback best-ball builds. Nix opened Big Board season hovering around pick 95—often going NEXT to Patrick Mahomes—but after Denver passed on adding skill talent besides Pat Bryant and tight end Evan Engram his ADP is sliding toward the 11th round. Jones argued that at this new price drafters can pair Nix’s dual-threat profile (14 rushing TDs at Oregon last year) with one elite passer and comfortably stop at two quarterbacks. Sean Payton projects a top-10 neutral-situation pass rate and the Broncos return four starting linemen, so Jones sees a clear path to 20-point spike weeks once the rookie settles in. He is scooping Nix any time he falls past QB20, calling it “cheap late-season upside that rescues a roster spot.”