Ben Gretch plans to avoid the entire Jets backfield at current ADPs. With Justin Fields now quarterbacking New York, Gretch expects a large number of snaps to end in scrambles or sacks rather than hand-offs or check-downs, sharply cutting into running-back volume. The Jets also project for a low win total under a defensive-minded coaching staff that wants to shorten games and lean on the run, further depressing overall play count. On top of that, Hall must share early-down and short-yardage work with 240-pound rookie Braylon Allen and pass-game snaps with Isaiah Davis, making it at least a three-way committee. Gretch believes those factors cap Hall’s ceiling and make him overpriced in both best ball and DFS formats.

Best Ball Guy floated the idea that Breece Hall could be the rare young work-horse who actually gets dealt before his second contract because, in Hall’s own words, he "was not drafted by this management and does not expect an extension." BBG listed the Texans, Cowboys, and Browns as the three most logical landing spots given their ambiguous depth charts and win-now aspirations. He noted that Hall is already a smash pick on the Jets thanks to his 5.8 career YPC and elite receiving chops, but a trade to a back-needy contender would goose his touch ceiling into the Christian McCaffrey/Bijan Robinson tier—"he instantly becomes the 1.05," BBG said. The takeaway: keep jamming Hall in best-ball drafts because you’re free-rolling a blockbuster value spike on top of an already solid projection.

Coventry called Breece Hall a “screaming value” if he slips to the late second or early third. Hall revealed he played through an MCL sprain all season, explaining the drop-off from his explosive rookie form. Coventry dismissed the Jets’ ‘timeshare talk,’ insisting a healthy Hall will reclaim a workhorse role and can finish among the NFL’s top backs.

Jim Coventry said drafters should pivot to Breece Hall if Jacobs is gone because Hall’s 2023 let-down is easily explained: he revealed he played through an MCL injury all year. Coventry reminded listeners that Hall’s rookie-year efficiency before the ACL tear was elite and that he looked explosive again in 2024 before the undisclosed knee issue cropped up. With the injury now behind him and no major backfield competition in New York, Coventry views Hall as a buy-back RB possessing league-winning upside at a depressed ADP.

Coventry encouraged managers to "buy back" on Breece Hall if Jacobs is gone. Hall revealed he played through a sprained MCL last season, explaining the dip from his rookie-year explosiveness. Because Hall was going as the RB1-2 in 2024 drafts before that injury, Coventry thinks a fully healthy version offers league-winning upside and should be taken ahead of backs like Chase Brown or Kyren Williams at the 2-3 turn.

Ryan Heath pushed Brees Hall into must-target territory at his late-third/early-fourth ADP. Hall has averaged 4.8 targets per game for his career; only Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Austin Ekeler have matched that passing-game volume, and Hall’s 1.79 yards per route run ranks second among all backs over that span. Heath believes preseason coach-speak about a three-man committee is noise, noting that a healthy Hall could easily reclaim a bell-cow role in an offense bolstered by first-round tackles Amarius Mims and Olu Fashanu plus a fully healthy interior line. Justin Fields’ mandate to avoid turnovers should funnel check-downs Hall’s way, and a thin receiver room further boosts his receiving ceiling. If Hall regains the burst film graders said he lost while playing hurt in 2024, Heath sees league-winning upside available a full round after the elite backs go off the board.

Nick Whalen said Breece Hall is still an RB1 even after last year’s ugly rushing tape. Hall posted one of the league’s worst success rates and failed to reach 1,000 yards on the ground, yet only Alvin Kamara and Devon Achane drew more running-back targets. Whalen expects an even heavier receiving load because new quarterback Justin Fields is “a check-down monster” who will force linebackers to spy him and leave Hall free underneath. With the Jets’ skill talent concentrated around Hall and Garrett Wilson, Whalen projects another top-3 target share at the position and sees a path to 80+ catches in full-PPR formats.

Ben Gretch doubled-down on his concerns about Breece Hall in full-PPR formats, saying the receptions simply are not there under Justin Fields. Hall caught 76 passes two seasons ago and 57 last year, but Gretch projects only "about 40" catches in 2024 and warns that a 20-reception floor is firmly in play because Fields turns roughly 20 % of dropbacks into sacks or scrambles and rarely hits the check-down on time. The Jets are openly hyping rookies Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis, further threatening Hall’s passing-down work, and the coaching staff keeps comparing Hall to a “Jahmyr Gibbs” type back even though Detroit’s runners see little passing volume. Gretch said Hall’s explosive rushing talent makes him more defensible in half- or non-PPR leagues where receptions matter less, but in PPR he still profiles as an early-second fade given the realistic downside scenarios.

Ben Gretch said Breece Hall’s early-second-round price tag is almost three rounds too rich once you account for the Jets’ environment. Justin Fields turns roughly one out of every five dropbacks into sacks or scrambles, Robert Saleh openly wants 17-13 "rock fights," and New York keeps hyping Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis as legitimate rotation backs. Gretch projects a capped workload and sees Hall finishing well below the 350-touch threshold needed to pay off his cost. Although Hall’s breakaway ability resembles Saquon Barkley’s, Gretch argued that spike-week talent cannot consistently overcome a muted play volume and committee risk, making Hall a fade at current ADP in both redraft and best-ball formats.

Tom Strachan advised taking the OVER on Breece Hall’s 5.5 rushing-TD prop. Hall has never topped five rushing scores, but Strachan pinned the blame squarely on Aaron Rodgers: the veteran QB ranked 7th in red-zone pass attempts last year while Hall ranked just 35th in red-zone carries and 34th in inside-the-five attempts (only eight all season). With Justin Fields projected to start — a quarterback Strachan calls more team-oriented than Rodgers — New York should lean on Hall near the goal line. The Jets have publicly reaffirmed Hall as their lead back and invested in an upgraded offensive line that grades at least "above average" in Strachan’s eyes. Those factors make six rushing TDs a very attainable baseline, so Strachan is confidently betting the over.

Matthew Freedman placed Breece Hall on his do-not-draft list even though the Jets back is going RB12. He warned Hall could surrender early-down snaps to rookie power back Braelon Allen and, more importantly, lose reception volume because new quarterback Justin Fields historically tucks and runs instead of checking the ball down. Freedman’s projection assigns Hall just 203.4 PPR points, a full round behind cheaper backs such as Alvin Kamara, making Hall a Round 3 land mine in his eyes.

Greg Brainos advised buying the dip on Breece Hall, stressing that coach-speak about a three-man committee with Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis is overblown. Brainos reminded listeners Hall played through a mysterious camp injury and a mid-season knee issue on last year’s "terribly run offense," depressing his 2024 production and souring drafters. In 2025 the context is markedly better: the Jets invested in the offensive line with seventh-overall pick Armand Membou, the staff has repeatedly said they want to run the ball, and the addition of Justin Fields should widen running lanes. Brainos believes Hall’s talent is "full bodies" above the other backs and that the staff will inevitably ride the hot hand, giving Hall the bulk of touches—even if Allen vultures an occasional goal-line snap. At a fourth-round ADP he called Hall an easy bet to rebound for both volume and efficiency.

If Josh Jacobs is gone, Jim Coventry wants drafters to pivot to Breece Hall at the 2/3 turn. Hall told reporters he gutted through 2024 with a sprained MCL, which Coventry says explains the dip from his rookie-year explosiveness. With the injury behind him, Coventry expects Hall to look like the “superstar” we saw before and right after the ACL tear, making him an ideal fallback RB2.

Josh Norris pushed back on the unbridled Hall enthusiasm, pointing to rookie Braylon Allen’s short-yardage dominance as a real threat to Hall’s high-value touches. In Allen’s tiny 2023 college sample the 240-pound back converted 78 % of carries needing three yards or fewer into first downs or touchdowns, compared to Hall’s 46 % success rate in the same down-and-distance last season. Norris noted OC Tanner Engstrand comes from the Lions tree that initially funneled goal-line work to David Montgomery over Jameer Gibbs, suggesting the Jets could follow a similar early-season script. If Allen inherits even half of the inside-the-five work, Hall’s path to 10-plus TDs—crucial for an RB1 outcome—gets murkier. Norris still likes Hall’s talent but warned that drafters paying a late-third-round price are assuming the touchdown equity stays intact; any meaningful Allen role could lock Hall into a lower-end RB1 or high-RB2 ceiling rather than the top-six finish Stewart projected.

Ron Stewart said Breece Hall is mis-priced at RB12 because every off-season variable that tanked his 2023 efficiency has flipped in his favor. Stewart expects Hall to function as the Jets’ No. 2 pass-catcher behind Garrett Wilson thanks to Justin Fields’ league-leading check-down rate, projecting a reception floor that offsets any workload cap in a two-back room. He raved about a rebuilt offensive line—rookie bookend Olu Fashanu, 6-6 RG Membu, second-year center Joe Tippmann, former first-rounder Alijah Vera-Tucker and FA guard John Simpson—that landed inside PFF’s pre-season top ten. Add a run-leaning identity Tim Boyle hinted at and Stewart sees Hall reclaiming the explosive form he flashed as a rookie while benefiting from the space Fields’ option looks create (citing Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley’s efficiency bump alongside dual-threat QBs). He forecast a ‘fringe top-six’ points-per-game finish—roughly 18-20 PPR per week—arguing that moving from RB12 to RB6 is a league-winning swing in both best-ball tournaments and home-league playoffs.

Best Ball Guy erupted when Breece Hall fell to him in an Underdog Eliminator draft, calling it "the easiest pick" and "crazy value." He pointed out that Eliminator rooms get running-back starved early, so locking in a proven workhorse after opening with three wide receivers gives the roster a massive structural edge. Because Hall can soak up touches and spike weeks without the opportunity cost of an earlier selection, BBG urged drafters to hit the button whenever the room lets the Jets back tumble past ADP.

Siegele warned that Breece Hall carries more red flags than the market admits. Hall relies on Barkley-style splash runs rather than consistent tackle-breaking at the line, which means efficiency craters if the highlight plays dry up. The arrival of Justin Fields could slash target volume—without receptions Hall’s profile "becomes a very difficult pick." Rookie bruiser Braelon Allen and tackle-breaker Isaiah Davis lurk as early-down threats, creating new competition for carries inside the five. At his current early-third-round cost, drafters are paying for a reception-driven ceiling that may not exist in 2024.

Rich Rebar backed Brees Hall as a strong fourth-round target, dismissing the narrative that Justin Fields’ scrambling will kill running-back targets. Rebar noted Fields ranked fifth among all quarterbacks in rate of throws to RBs last season and that Hall remains the clear No. 2 option behind Garrett Wilson on the Jets. Even if rookie power back Braylon Allen vultures some goal-line carries, Hall’s pass-game role is safe; Rebar expects new OC Tanner Engstrand to emphasize quick throws that get the ball out of Fields’ hands. With New York projecting as a run-heavy team and Hall having already averaged 5.8 targets and 20.1 fantasy points per game over his final eight contests in 2023, Rebar sees a discounted RB1 profile at pick 39.

Best Ball Guy said Breece Hall is one of the best buy-low picks in current drafts. He argued the Jets’ decision to lock up Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner early signals a front office finally ‘getting it together,’ which should translate to a more stable, competitive offense. That organizational stability plus Hall’s proven explosive efficiency (4.9 yards after contact per rush last year before the knee flared up) makes the back a strong bet to remain the focal point rather than be rotated out. The tout believes the ‘no-drama’ camp lowers the odds of Hall being eased in and gives him realistic 20-touch upside late in the season—prime best-ball leverage at his late-Round-2/early-Round-3 price.

Michael Leone said Breece Hall is the exact archetype he loves to attack: a blue-chip prospect who already proved he can dominate and is now heavily discounted after an injury-marred, circumstance-driven slump. Hall’s current RB13–RB14 ADP represents what Leone views as a pure floor outcome. As a rookie Hall averaged 5.8 yards per touch and showed top-five receiving volume before tearing his ACL. With the Jets’ offensive line upgraded and Aaron Rodgers returning, Leone expects 18+ touches and league-winning dual-threat upside. He’s clicking Hall over similarly priced backs because, in his words, “the upside is just massive while the cost bakes in most of the risk.”

Hayden Winks cautioned drafters that Justin Fields could quietly lower Breece Hall’s fantasy ceiling. While Hall is an elite pass-catching back, Winks noted that historically mobile quarterbacks target RBs far less than pocket passers, and Fields has never been a check-down machine. Even though Arthur Smith coaxed more dump-offs out of him in Pittsburgh, Winks doubts that pattern sticks once live bullets fly. Combine that with the Jets sitting in Vegas’ bottom-five implied scoring and Hall’s 35th-overall price tag looks fragile. Winks prefers backs on higher-scoring teams who soak up designed targets instead of hoping Fields bucks a long-standing league trend.

Winks put the Jets on his "do-more-research" list after they added veteran tackles and drafted mauler Armand Membou, moves that should erase last season’s league-worst run-blocking grade. Hall still finished RB18 in points per game despite dead-last red-zone trips; Winks believes even a modest bump in scoring opportunities vaults him back toward the overall RB1 conversation. In early best ball drafts Hall is going late Round 2—Winks called that a discount once drafters realize the blocking will finally match Hall’s explosive metrics (4.7 yards after contact, 22% breakaway rate).

Hartstein took the opposite stance, playing the Over on Hall’s 900.5 rushing-yard number. He blamed last season’s modest totals on two factors no longer in play: New York’s pass-heavy approach and Aaron Rodgers letting the play clock bleed, which left the Jets dead last in pace. With Scott Turner hired as passing-game coordinator and already preaching ‘physical, run-first football,’ Hartstein expects a faster tempo and a heavier rushing script. More total snaps plus an emphasis on establishing the run should push Hall past the 1,000-yard milestone, even if defenses stack the box.

Bellofatto recommended the Under on Breece Hall’s 900.5 rushing-yards prop (–110 each way). She cited Aaron Glenn’s public commitment to a three-back rotation featuring rookies Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis. Hall graded out as the lowest of that trio last season, posting career-worst yards per carry and six fumbles while running a league-high 24 routes per game. New pass-game coordinator Tanner Engstrand targeted RBs at the fourth-highest rate in Detroit, suggesting Hall may again siphon volume into receptions rather than rushes. The math of split carries plus Fields’ scramble tendency leads her to the Under.

Best Ball Guy said Breece Hall is an easy smash in the early-third round of Underdog’s Best Ball Mania drafts. He pointed to Justin Fields—who he believes will siphon starts for the Jets at some point—as a check-down friendly quarterback, noting Fields targeted David Montgomery 58-plus times in Chicago, more than Jared Goff ever gave Montgomery. That, combined with a further-upgraded Jets offensive line and the rushing-lane stress a mobile QB puts on defenses, sets Hall up for both a reception spike and wider rushing lanes. In his words, the situation that once made Hall a 1.05 last summer “hasn’t really changed,” yet drafters now get him a full round later. He urged taking advantage of the market’s boredom while he stockpiles Hall exposure around pick 25–30.

Jake Ciely cautioned that Breece Hall’s current Round-3 ADP bakes in more certainty than his new environment deserves. Ciely compared the Jets’ backfield to Detroit’s 2023 Gibbs/Montgomery setup, only "the lesser version" because Justin Fields—not Jared Goff—will be at quarterback. Fields’ dual-threat profile historically lowers RB target volume and vultures goal-line carries. Ciely thinks rookie Braylon Allen could assume David-Montgomery-style short-yardage work while seventh-rounder Isaiah Davis lurks for rotational snaps. If that happens Hall might be stuck around 200 touches instead of the 250+ required for RB1 status, translating to something like an 800-rush/300-rec yard season and a mid-RB2 finish. Contract-year narrative doesn’t move the needle for Ciely—his own study showed player performance splits almost perfectly into thirds in walk years—so he’s holding Hall at RB15 behind steadier workloads such as Kenneth Walker and Kyren Williams.

Mike Wright said he wants no part of Breece Hall at his early-third-round cost and has the Jets back ranked RB17, exactly where he finished last season. Wright’s concern is that Hall’s fantasy value has been almost entirely propped up by receptions – 73 % of his PPR points have come through the air – and that safety-valve volume could disappear with Justin Fields replacing check-down king Aaron Rodgers. Fields averaged 7.5 scrambles per game in Chicago and again in Pittsburgh, a tendency that traditionally robs running backs of dumpoffs. New head coach Aaron Glenn is also talking up a “three-starter” committee featuring rookie Braylon Allen, further clouding Hall’s touch floor. Wright noted the Jets want to win with defense, meaning overall pass attempts could tumble. With so many red flags, he is fading Hall at his RB3 ADP and treating him as a back-end RB2 who repeats 2024’s 13.3 points per game.

Winks bumped Breece Hall up his ranks after hearing consistent praise from the coaching staff and noting that Hall looks "motivated." He added that New York’s offensive line is "quietly really damn good" and the Jets lack established No. 2 and No. 3 pass-catchers, creating room for Hall’s target share to spike. The combination of talent, line play, and receiving volume makes Hall a priority pick where he’s currently going.

Jagger May prefers Breece Hall to backs like Derrick Henry or rookie Bucky Irving in the late-second/early-third. New Jets OC Drew Petzing was Ben Johnson’s passing-game lieutenant in Detroit, and May expects him to replicate Johnson’s running-back receiving concepts. Hall already owns elite burst metrics and now projects for an expanded target share, giving him a path to RB1 overall despite playing on an offense that may still throw often. That receiving upside is what May calls a "hero-RB" profile.

Rubio said he would "rather have Breece Hall than James Cook every time" when the two backs go side-by-side in the fourth round of DraftKings Best Ball drafts. His case: Hall owns the unquestioned feature role in New York, flashed top-five explosive run rate after the knee finally came around, and will benefit from a softer defensive schedule. Meanwhile, Cook must share high-value touches with goal-line poacher Josh Allen and rookie Ray Davis, capping his weekly ceiling. With both players priced similarly, Rubio argues taking Hall gives drafters a realistic 20-touch workhorse who can post multiple 30-point weeks—exactly the profile needed to win advancement rounds in a top-heavy tournament.

Pat Kerrane said Breece Hall is the rare late-4th/early-5th-round pick with true league-winning upside. Hall was a first-round talent before the ACL tear, posted a 21% target share and top-five explosive-run rate when healthy, and now projects to open camp at 100%. Kerrane noted the market’s excitement for Garrett Wilson—who still goes in the 1/2 turn—hinges entirely on Aaron Rodgers returning, so drafters are already betting the Jets offense rebounds. If Rodgers really is healthy, Hall inherits far more high-value touches than a Calvin Ridley or Joe Mixon going in the same pocket. Kerrane framed it as a 60/40 risk: the 40% miss is ‘solid RB2,’ while the 60% hit is a top-three overall running back at a massive ADP discount, making Hall an easy priority in best-ball rooms.

Wyatt Bertolone recommended taking Breece Hall at his RB13, 37.8 overall price, arguing the risk is well worth the reward. Hall is the Jets’ most explosive weapon and now runs behind a line fortified by seventh-overall pick Armand Membou. Although Justin Fields’ arrival could trim dump-offs, Bertolone believes the quarterback’s rushing threat will widen lanes and spike Hall’s efficiency, and notes the Jets lack reliable pass catchers beyond Garrett Wilson, making Hall likely to stay involved in the air. After Hall flashed league-winning upside in 2023 despite dreadful surroundings, Bertolone wants to be overweight on him in 2025 Best Ball drafts.

Greg Brainos pumped the brakes on Breece Hall at his mid-third-round cost, warning that new OC Aaron Glenn keeps hyping rookie backs Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis and has publicly said the Jets "want to use all three" runners. Brainos noted Glenn’s recent quote lumping Allen in with Hall as "so fast," suggesting real rotational plans that could siphon early-down and goal-line work. While Hall’s explosiveness is intact, Brainos fears a three-man committee caps him at 60-65% of the touches, making it harder for Hall to pay off a price tag built on 2023’s 20-touch, six-catch pace. Until depth-chart clarity emerges in camp, Brainos prefers receivers or anchor tight ends in that draft pocket.

Erik Beimfohr laid out a hard-and-fast rule for Best Ball Mania: if Breece Hall is still there at the end of Round 3, smash the draft button. Hall was a top-seven pick last summer, yet knee-jerk fear over the Jets' 2023 collapse has pushed him 30 spots cheaper. Beimfohr reminded listeners that Hall averaged 20 touches and 6.4 receptions over his final five games, and the Jets quietly finished top-10 in pass-block win rate after their Week 8 bye. First-round tackle Olu Fashanu and Aaron Rodgers' return should juice red-zone volume for an offense that ranked dead last in touchdowns. When you can start WR-WR and still land an every-week 25-point RB1 swing, Beimfohr calls the discount “free money.”

Jakob Sanderson reiterated that Breece Hall remains a smash second-round pick in Best Ball Mania even after new HC Aaron Glenn keeps praising rookie Braylon Allen. Sanderson said the only anti-Hall arguments he hears are rooted in coach-speak, which he is happy to fade. He pointed to Hall’s unquestioned talent edge — Allen ranked second-to-last in rush yards over expected per attempt in 2023, while Hall was top-10 despite a torn ACL the year before. Sanderson added that OC Tanner Engstrand comes directly from Detroit, where Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery combined for roughly 30 expected fantasy points per game. With Garrett Wilson the only Jets pass-catcher drafted inside the first 16 rounds and Justin Fields showing an increased check-down rate last season, Sanderson projects Hall to soak up targets and goal-line carries. He expects a workload similar to 2023 Detroit but condensed around one alpha, calling Hall “the clear bet to finish top-5 in RB spike weeks at his price.”

Davis Mattek grabbed Breece Hall at pick 41—slightly ahead of the 36.3 ADP—because his backward-draft board showed a huge talent cliff after Hall. Mattek argued the gulf between Hall and the next running-back tier (Kamara, Conner, Swift) is far wider than the gap among wide receivers in that same range. By locking in Hall, he secures an every-down back with league-winning receiving chops and avoids chasing low-ceiling RB committees later. The move also calms roster construction; after Hall he can hammer receivers knowing late-round targets like Audric Estime or Caleb Johnson will backfill RB depth. Mattek framed Hall as the perfect "calm base" for a hero-RB best-ball build.

Jason Moore called Breece Hall at 5.04 "double bait" because it is a full two rounds cheaper than the Jets star’s current ADP. Moore said Hall represents the clear end of the elite-talent running-back tier; once he’s gone, drafters are staring at committee backs and uncertain workloads. Hall ranked top-five last season in both missed tackles forced (71) and receiving yards among RBs (505) despite Zach Wilson–led dysfunction. With Aaron Rodgers projected back and New York adding two starting linemen in free agency, Moore believes Hall has a realistic path back to top-five overall production. He urged fantasy managers to pounce whenever Hall slides into Round 5 in season-long leagues or best-ball rooms.

Erik Beimfohr said Breece Hall is being criminally under-drafted in Round 4 on Underdog and called him an "absolute smash." Beimfohr ran a 2-v-2 comparison: an early-round wide receiver such as Puka Nakua or CeeDee Lamb plus Hall versus opening with a first-round running back like Audric Jente and later settling for Calvin Ridley or Jamison Williams at wideout. He argued Hall already owns true bell-cow upside whenever he is healthy, while the market’s hand-wringing about Isaiah Davis or a supposed three-back rotation under Aaron Glenn is overblown. Because Hall routinely handles every-down work, landing him in the fourth lets drafters start WR-WR and still secure an RB1 ceiling, creating what Beimfohr believes is the cleanest path to Week-17 firepower in 2025 best-ball tournaments.

Greg Brainos called Breece Hall’s current late-Round-2 ADP ‘crazy low,’ arguing that drafters are overreacting to last year’s Jets dysfunction. Hall still posted a 15 % target share, finished second in yards per route run among backs and now gets a full offseason removed from ACL recovery. Brainos thinks Aaron Rodgers’ return plus Olu Fashanu’s first-round arrival will vault New York’s offensive efficiency, meaning Hall’s valuable passing-down work will come in far more scoring situations. Whenever Hall slips past ADP, Brainos views it as a slam-dunk click with legitimate overall RB1 upside during the best-ball playoff weeks.

Davis Mattek called Breece Hall "an absolute bargain," underscoring that Hall’s 2024 closing ADP was 4.5 overall but he can now be taken multiple rounds later. In his mock, Mattek scooped Hall outside Round 3, stressing that managers are overreacting to last season’s turbulence even though Hall retains the same workhorse profile. Mattek believes landing Hall at this price gives drafters first-round upside at a mid-round cost.

Pete Overzet backed Breece Hall as a rock-solid Round-1 pick even after the Jets traded for Justin Fields. He dismissed worries that Fields’ scrambling will kill check-downs, arguing quarterback runs actually help the ground game by forcing defenses to spy and opening rushing lanes. Overzet noted that Hall already beat an eight-man box rate of 31% last year and still averaged 5.4 yards per touch, so lighter fronts could juice his efficiency. He also pointed out this portion of the draft is filled with wideouts who project for 12–13 PPR points, whereas Hall brings genuine 25-point weekly upside. Bottom line: Fields’ mobility is a feature, not a bug, and Hall should still outscore the receivers taken around him in Best Ball Mania drafts.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Breece Hall an "absolute smash" whenever he lasts to the 3/4 turn of Best Ball Mania VI. Pat is unconcerned about any remaining knee-recovery narrative and actually views the current Jets setup as an upgrade for Hall’s weekly floor. He expects new quarterback Justin Fields to lean heavily on check-downs—Fields’ college profile and 20.2% career NFL running-back target rate were both cited—which should funnel easy PPR points to Hall. Pat also likes the broader context: a top-10 defense that can keep games close, an offensive line he grades as league-average after the Morgan Moses signing, and Garrett Wilson’s field-stretching presence forcing lighter boxes. He projects Hall for 290–310 touches and sees top-five overall RB upside that isn’t priced in at an ADP in the mid-30s.

Davis Mattek named Breece Hall the best value in Round 4 and thinks the market is punishing Hall too harshly for missing last year’s first-round expectations. Even in what many remember as a ‘down’ season Hall racked up 1,400 scrimmage yards, eight touchdowns and 76 targets. Mattek projects around 60 targets in 2025—enough to matter, especially because the Jets’ current WR2 depth chart reads Josh Reynolds and (maybe) Allen Lazard. He cited research that offenses with rushing quarterbacks gain roughly half a yard per carry for their running backs, a boost Hall will now enjoy. Mattek also floated a non-zero chance New York trades him to a creative offense like Chicago, which would be an immediate smash. Bottom line: a player who once warranted a first-round ADP is now priced in the mid-fourth despite elite receiving chops, home-run rushing talent, and almost no competition for touches. Mattek is scooping as much exposure as he can.

Mike Wright said fantasy managers should stop burying Breece Hall and treat him as a prime bounce-back candidate. Hall quietly logged the 5th-highest offensive snap share among running backs last season and still sits 4th in yards after contact per carry since entering the league. Wright emphasized Hall’s elite dual-threat profile – he is one of only five backs in the past decade to average at least 13 carries and 5 targets per game over his first three seasons, a club that includes Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, David Johnson and LeVeon Bell. Wright is not worried about rookie Braylon Allen, noting Allen posted the second-worst explosive rush rate in the league (only Gus Edwards was worse) and ranked 43rd in missed-tackle rate and 50th in YPC. With Justin Fields replacing last year’s ineffective Aaron Rodgers/Nathaniel Hackett combo – Fields bested Rodgers in completion percentage, yards per attempt and aDOT – Wright expects the Jets offense to sustain more drives and create additional red-zone opportunities. He projects Hall to finish in the RB8–RB12 range and called him an ideal Round-3 smash in season-long drafts where drafters are scared off by last year’s RB17 box-score finish.

Tyler Sullivan argued Dallas should trade for Breece Hall, calling him the cleanest fix for a ground game that ranked dead last in rushing TDs (6) and bottom-two in rushing yards per game a year ago. He pointed out the Cowboys lost Rico Dowdle, then replaced him with a 5th-round rookie (Jaden Blue) plus value-free-agent flyers Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders. Hall is entering the final year of his rookie deal, and a new Jets regime may be willing to move him. Sullivan believes a Hall-CD Lamb-George Pickens skill trio would restore balance, vaulting Hall back into top-10 fantasy RB territory on volume alone given Mike McCarthy’s historical 27-carry per game preference when he has a true bell-cow.

Davis Mattek pushed back on the growing anxiety around Breece Hall’s weekly stability if the Jets add Justin Fields. He compared the situation to the 2022 Chicago backfield where David Montgomery still logged 66% of snaps, 62% of two-minute drill work and nearly three-quarters of long-down-and-distance snaps alongside Fields—evidence that a mobile quarterback does not automatically nuke a pass-catching back’s volume. Mattek believes Hall’s elite breakaway ability and receiving chops will keep him on the field for the touches that matter, giving him the same 25-to-30-point ceiling drafters chased last year. He is gladly scooping Hall at the late-Round-1/early-Round-2 turn while the market dithers over a quarterback change that, in his view, will barely dent Hall’s role.

Jason Moore spotlighted Breece Hall as a back who could easily crash the top‑15 despite missing the initial list. Hall has the second‑most running‑back receptions (116) in the NFL since 2023 and currently carries an RB10 ADP—value Moore says still underrates his PPR ceiling. With Aaron Rodgers expected back, Moore projects the Jets’ pass volume to stabilize and create 80‑plus target upside for Hall. The only real competition is Israel Abanikanda, whom Moore called "a rotational speed change" rather than a threat to Hall’s 70% snap share in obvious passing situations. As long as Hall maintains elite receiving volume and avoids another late‑season injury, Moore believes he can finish inside the position’s top 8 and is a savvy Round‑2 pick in season‑long leagues.