Hayden Winks said he is not chasing Jekori Kroski-Merritt hype in redraft. Washington produced the third-most expected RB touchdowns last year, and if healthy, Brian Robinson should absorb the majority again despite Austin Ekeler’s presence. Kroski-Merritt is a dynasty stash or 18th-round Best Ball dart who needs multiple injuries to matter. Hayden remains comfortable drafting Robinson at his current mid-round ADP.

Sean Koerner preferred Brian Robinson Jr. over Austin Ekeler when choosing a Commanders back to target, even though Robinson’s ADP sits around RB28. Koerner argued Ekeler is entering decline—he thought the veteran might retire—and that the staff’s interest in multipurpose weapons like Deebo Samuel signals a reduced role for Ekeler. Robinson, on the other hand, flashed improved power and vision before injuries last year and now runs behind a line that could get a boost from the addition of Laremy ‘Tunsel.’ Koerner also likes that rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels keeps the offense on schedule with aggressive fourth-down decisions, creating more sustained drives and red-zone chances. In a contract year, Robinson is projected to handle inside-the-tackle work and touchdown equity while still offering a serviceable receiving floor. Koerner acknowledged rookie Krosky Merritt and sophomore Chris Rodriguez will mix in, but he views Robinson’s floor/ceiling combo as the clear value bet in Washington’s backfield.

JSU flipped on Brian Robinson in this draft, saying he is now comfortable clicking the Washington back because the touchdown equity is still there at today’s cost. Robinson handled 54 % of the Commanders’ carries inside the five despite missing three games, and JSU expects that rate to hold in 2025 even with rookie quarterback Jaden Daniels pilfering an occasional sneak. Robinson will never be a reception monster, but JSU stressed that inside-five work is the highest-value touch in best ball scoring. If the bruiser merely stays healthy, the combination of a 200-carry path and a majority share of green-zone plunges gives him week-winning spike potential well past pick 100.

Hayden Winks labeled Brian Robinson a "stone-cold smash" in Round 8, predicting a Jamal Williams or David Montgomery-type year. Washington was third in expected RB touchdowns last season and upgraded both tackle spots, yet Robinson limped through knee, hamstring and ankle injuries that torpedoed his efficiency. Healthy now and running next to dynamic rookie QB Jayden Daniels, Robinson projects to absorb most of the team’s goal-line work—Jeremy McNichols vultured three inside-10 scores last year, and Winks expects those to flip to Robinson. He sees a realistic 14-TD ceiling and believes Robinson could outright take the backfield from an aging, banged-up Austin Ekeler. In half-PPR formats where touchdowns rule, Winks is loading up on Robinson in both Best Ball and Season-Long drafts.

Jim Coventry is out on Brian Robinson Jr. at RB30, calling him a grinder without upside. Robinson flashed a 68th-percentile yards-after-contact mark but only 41-percentile broken-tackle rate. Through Week 13 he averaged 13.4 PPR points and 4.6 YPC; from Week 14 on those numbers cratered to 8.6 points and 3.4 YPC as wear and tear set in. Robinson mustered just 20 receptions for 159 yards all season, making him game-script dependent and likely to be pulled on passing downs. Coventry expects Washington to explore an early-down committee, leaving Robinson with a shaky floor and little ceiling at his draft cost.

Jagger May told drafters not to overthink Brian Robinson’s goal-line role just because rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels may siphon a few plunges. Washington’s new staff kept the running-back room untouched in the draft, a quiet vote of confidence in Robinson as their every-down hammer. May compared the setup to Philadelphia’s 2023 backfield where Jalen Hurts’ sneaks did not stop D’Andre Swift from finishing top-12 in touchdowns per game. If the Commanders’ offense hits the explosive ceiling many project, Robinson’s short-yardage work and unchallenged workload could spike tournament-winning weeks at his current mid-round cost.

Pat Kerrane called Brian Robinson one of the biggest fades at his new Underdog ADP of 89. Robinson cost pick-110 last summer, yet nothing in his profile has improved to justify a 20-spot bump. He handled only 47 % of snaps in 2024, failed to reach 18 touches after Week 6, and lost nearly all two-minute work to Chris Rodriguez. Kerrane doubts a Jacoby Brissett offense raises Robinson’s touchdown ceiling, and the running back’s meager passing role (0.60 yards per route run) makes true RB1 weeks virtually impossible. With higher-ceiling options such as Isaiah Pacheco or rookies Quinshon Judkins and Caleb Johnson available in the same range, Kerrane said he is striking Robinson from his player pool unless the price falls two full rounds.

Andy Holloway dubbed Brian Robinson this season’s “big-salad” vegetable — the unsexy but reliably nutritious staple you plug into line-ups every week. Holloway said Robinson simply “gets the job done,” highlighting his steady workload and the fact Washington ignored running back in the draft, signaling continued faith in him. While Robinson lacks splash-play juice, Holloway expects the second-year Sam Howell offense to lean on his between-the-tackles consistency for red-zone trips, giving managers a bankable RB2 who rarely tanks your score.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound warned that Brian Robinson Jr.’s touchdown upside looks shaky at his current Best Ball Mania ADP around pick 100. Pat pointed to new quarterback Jaden Daniels, who logged more red-zone and goal-line carries (15) than Robinson’s own 12–13 attempts in 2023, as a likely TD vulture again this season. With Washington repeatedly leaning on Daniels for fourth-and-short and inside-the-five situations last year, Pat doubts the coaching staff will suddenly flip that tendency. He’s fine clicking Robinson only as an RB4 on zero-RB builds, but if you still need quarterback or tight-end help in that range he prefers passing entirely, arguing Robinson must exceed last year’s volume just to break even on ADP.

Jason Moore called Brian Robinson Jr. the "low-key biggest winner" among veteran backs after Washington bypassed the entire running-back class. Robinson opened 2024 averaging 17.3 touches and six red-zone carries per game before a mid-season scheme shift, and now faces only a 30-year-old Austin Ekeler for competition. Moore stressed that new OC Kliff Kingsbury historically feeds a lead back inside the five (Cardinals ranked top-8 in goal-line rush rate three straight seasons) and that Robinson’s 18 receptions in Weeks 1-7 proved he is not game-script dependent. Despite that profile, current Sleeper ADP has him behind Jalen Warren, Aaron Jones and rookie Tyrone Tracy. Moore is loading up on Robinson as an every-week RB2 with spike-week TD upside and suggested prioritizing him as a Round 8 pivot when the WR run dries up.