Murphy warned that selecting Brock Bowers in the late-second round is a bet that has to hit an unrealistic ceiling. In half-PPR best-ball scoring, Bowers would need 18-plus points per week—effectively a touchdown or 100 yards every game—to separate from a deep mid-tier tight-end pool Murphy already loves (George Kittle, Sam LaPorta, Luke Musgrave, etc.). He noted that rookie tight ends have historically struggled to deliver top-five seasonal finishes, and the run-heavy tendencies of new Raiders OC Luke Getsy further cap weekly pass volume. Murphy will sprinkle Bowers shares in Eliminator drafts for uniqueness but said drafters should avoid making him a portfolio cornerstone until his ADP slides into Round 4 or later.