Just A Bet Outside said Chris Olave’s 47.5-yard receiving prop is badly mispriced. In the only game Olave played fully healthy with Spencer Rattler last year he drew 14 targets and cleared 100 yards, and Rattler has been "very vocal" in camp about force-feeding him again. Olave moved all over the formation in preseason, reinforcing a true WR1 role. When healthy in 2024 he topped this number in 4-of-6 games, posting 81, 86, 87 and 107 yards; the overs were by wide margins, creating ladder potential. He now faces an Arizona secondary that allowed the 10th-most WR receptions and a 68 % catch rate last season and still leans on only Budda Baker for star power. With New Orleans likely trailing (Rattler’s attempts line sits at 33.5) a pass-heavy game script is expected. All signs point to 50-plus yards as a floor, making the over a half-unit play.

Kevin Szafraniec argued that Chris Olave is still dripping with upside and may ‘corral all the targets’ in New Orleans because the passing tree is essentially Olave and Alvin Kamara. He acknowledged concerns about new quarterbacks Spencer Rattler and Michael Pratt but pointed out that Olave’s versatility makes him less dependent on deep-ball accuracy than Rashid Shaheed. With the Saints lacking proven secondary options, Kevin expects a consolidation of volume that could push Olave into an elite target share at a cheaper ADP than last season, encouraging drafters to correct any under-exposure.

Matthew Freedman suggested holding Chris Olave at his 119.7 CBS ADP. While a concussion cost him half of last season and the Saints still lack a proven passer, back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns confirm Olave’s talent. Freedman wants to see if quarterback play stabilizes before making a move.

Ben Gretch advised fading Chris Olave until the Saints resolve what he called a ‘bleak’ quarterback situation. Preseason reports have Spencer Rattler tentatively ahead of rookie Tyler Shuck, yet Rattler again displayed the same scatter-shot accuracy that torpedoed drives last season. Shuck looked marginally better but is still an unknown. With neither passer demonstrating consistent ball placement or command of the offense, Gretch projects sub-par efficiency across the entire passing game, limiting Olave’s weekly ceiling and making him an unnecessary risk at his current eighth-round price in FFPC best-ball drafts.

Mike Fanelli placed Chris Olave on his do-not-draft list at an ADP of 79.8 (WR34), citing uncertain quarterback play and alarming 2024 production. Olave missed nine games with multiple concussions and ranked WR56 in PPR points per game (9.6), trailing players such as Allen Lazard and Alec Pierce. Rashid Shaheed matched Olave’s season total with only 0.9 fewer fantasy points despite two fewer games and beat him in key efficiency metrics: 0.46 vs 0.44 fantasy points per route, 29.8% vs 22.3% first-read share, 48.2% vs 24.4% air-yard share (Fantasy Points Data). With Spencer Rattler merely the favorite to start and the franchise likely eyeing a top-three pick in the 2026 draft, Fanelli thinks the offense will sputter. He recommends drafting Olave only as a volatile low-end WR4, if at all.

Sean Koerner explained why he’s eight spots below ADP on Chris Olave. He currently ranks Olave WR 39 after docking him one game for concussion volatility and now an additional ankle issue. Koerner noted that Olave’s ceiling is unquestioned—he can post WR-2 numbers when healthy—but the floor is shaky: multiple documented concussions, a quarterback room of Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough that looked "rough" in Koerner’s preseason re-watch, and Rashid Shaheed siphoning deep targets. Koerner will consider Olave only if he slides to the WR 35 range where he’d be a bench pick you can stomach losing for several weeks; at the current WR 30 sticker the injury risk is “not baked in at all.”

Chris Allen acknowledged Chris Olave’s WR1-level 2024 workload but urged caution because the Saints currently project to start Tyler Shough or Spencer Rattler at quarterback. Allen expects efficiency to crater compared to Olave’s previous seasons, capping touchdown upside and week-to-week stability. Unless New Orleans solves the quarterback spot before Week 1, Allen sees Olave as a shaky bet to pay off his top-25 overall ADP.

Josh said he is downgrading Chris Olave because the Saints' presumed starter Tyler Shough looked painfully conservative, locking onto his first read and living on check-downs. Shough threw a pick-six the first time he tried a second-level throw, wasted 11 seconds forcing a five-yard completion in hurry-up, and panicked under pressure behind a banged-up interior line. With Shough unwilling to push the ball and the offense likely stalling, Josh expects Olave’s down-field volume and touchdown opportunities to crater, advising fantasy managers to slide him several spots in both redraft and best-ball ranks.

Ben Gretch said Chris Olave is performing like a round-three player but routinely lasts until the 6-7 turn because of a spring concussion and panic over the Saints’ quarterback depth chart. Gretch noted Olave has topped 2.0 yards per route run every season, wins via polished route-running, and will "run a ton of routes" in an offense devoid of other target earners. He expects new coach Kellen Moore to keep a fast tempo that inflates play volume even if Spencer Rattler or Tyler Shough struggles. The quarterback uncertainty caps ceiling a bit, but Gretch views the combination of guaranteed route share, career-long targets-per-route excellence, and historical efficiency as a clear buying opportunity in Season-Long and Best-Ball formats.

Ben Gretch endorsed taking Chris Olave at the Round-6/7 turn despite lingering concerns about the Saints’ quarterback play. Gretch’s case hinges on raw opportunity: Olave will "run a ton of routes" and command a high targets-per-route rate because the rest of the receiving corps lacks proven volume earners. He added that new head coach Kellen Moore historically pushes tempo; even on a bad team that should translate into more total plays and pass attempts. Gretch acknowledged the offense may struggle, but he views Olave’s projected route share and target dominance as enough to beat ADP and provide the high-ceiling swing this roster needs after starting RB-heavy.

Kendall Valenzuela said Chris Olave is a screaming value on CBS, where he goes 121st overall while she has him 62nd. Even after two 2024 concussions limited him to eight games, Olave still owns back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons. Valenzuela is willing to chase his projected 115 targets because new head coach Kellen Moore historically leans pass-heavy and funnels throws to wide receivers. The Saints’ quarterback room (Tyler Shough or Spencer Rattler) figures to be one of the league’s worst, but Valenzuela argued that downside is already priced in. At a mid-round cost Olave offers WR2 upside with baked-in injury risk, making him a priority value pick in season-long and best-ball drafts.

Jason Moore said fantasy GMs should pass on Chris Olave in the sixth round because the downside far outweighs any realistic upside. Moore highlighted Olave’s extensive concussion history, noting one more head injury could sideline him four-plus games and the Saints, projected by several books to finish with the NFL’s worst record, would have no incentive to rush him back. The quarterback room of Derek Carr, Jake Haener, and Spencer Rattler does little to elevate a bottom-third scoring offense. Moore pointed to alarming efficiency trends: Olave owns only five receptions inside the 10-yard line across 39 career games, has never produced a single 20-point fantasy week, and averaged just seven fantasy points per game when active last season despite better QB play. Meanwhile, Rashid Shaheed already has multiple 20-point outings and showed superior explosiveness. Moore concluded that you are drafting a mid-tier floor player with almost no ceiling, and he would rather bypass Olave entirely for sturdier or higher-ceiling options available in the same range.

During the show’s ‘Ice’ segment, Andy Holloway declared he has ‘no faith in any regard’ in Chris Olave for 2025. Holloway pointed to the Saints’ quarterback mess—Spencer Rattler reportedly outplaying Tyler Shough—and called New Orleans ‘one of those offenses that is obviously not going to work.’ Now entering year four, Olave no longer gets the benefit of future upside, and Holloway said he is ready to ‘step with a heavy boot on the remaining hope’ the fantasy community still has. His advice: trade Olave now before another disappointing season tanks the value completely.

Joe Pisapia urged drafters to pass on Chris Olave at current cost. Olave suffered multiple concussions last season and now faces uncertain quarterback play from Tyler Shough or Spencer Rattler behind what Pisapia’s Blackbook grades as a bottom-of-the-barrel offensive line. That shaky ecosystem limits touchdown and volume upside, making it unlikely Olave returns value. Pisapia prefers similarly priced receivers such as Jamison Williams or Tet McMillan, who carry fewer red flags.

Shawn Siegele said Chris Olave is a buy at his current flat ADP because half of his pro games (49%) have already produced WR1/WR2 results and he owns multiple 20-point outings despite dreadful quarterback play. Siegele noted that New Orleans plays indoors, faces three other NFC South defenses that regularly create track-meet scripts, and will likely lean pass-heavy while a new staff evaluates Tyler Shough. Those factors, plus the lack of weather risk, give Olave spike-week potential at a Jerry Jeudy-like price point. Siegele acknowledged limited yards-after-catch ability but argued that volume and environment outweigh that red flag, making Olave an attractive best-ball target whenever the draft room is otherwise flat.

Shawn Siegele urged caution on Chris Olave even at a seventh-round discount. He cited three red flags: a growing concussion history, almost no yards after catch, and what he called quarterback play that could "set the NFL back 100 years." The Saints will likely trail all season and attempt 600-plus passes, but Siegele warned that hollow volume does not help if Olave misses time or fails to create after the catch. He likened Olave’s 2025 risk profile to last year’s Jerry Judy—plenty of looks inside a broken offense with little fantasy payoff. Fantasy implication: pass on Olave unless he slips another full round in best-ball or season-long drafts.

Adam Rank called Chris Olave a "tremendous value" because concussion issues—not performance—derailed his 2024 campaign. Rank noted that Olave’s talent previously supported a WR1-caliber target share and argued that drafters are getting a discount on a player who can return to top-15 form if he stays healthy.

Best Ball Guy highlighted Chris Olave’s path to roughly 140 targets if he stays healthy, something rarely available in the sixth round. While others chase sexier upside plays, he prefers locking in a top-10 target share and believes Olave’s dependable volume makes him a core season-long and best ball selection.

Kelley reminds readers that another head hit could be career altering for Olave. With Spencer Rattler or a rookie who could not beat Rattler out at South Carolina under center, Olave’s WR32 (68.6 ADP) outlook craters on both health and quarterback play.

Best Ball Guy argued that the production gap between Garrett Wilson in the third round and Chris Olave three rounds later is minimal. Because the ADP discount frees up the third-round slot for an elite quarterback like Lamar Jackson, he prefers skipping Wilson and drafting Olave in the fifth. He framed it as a simple value exploit for Best Ball Mania and Husky drafters.

Best Ball Guy said Chris Olave is a slam-dunk buy at his current ADP. Olave has posted Garrett Wilson-level counting stats despite missing time, yet still falls two rounds later because the touchdowns have not shown up. Touchdowns are notoriously volatile, so BBG expects positive regression. He projected Olave for roughly 150 targets if healthy, noting the Saints’ six division games against the Panthers, Falcons, and Buccaneers—three secondaries he labeled 'terrible.' That soft schedule plus a guaranteed WR1 role on a dome team make Olave the kind of high-ceiling pick needed to win large-field best-ball tournaments.

Best Ball Guy said drafting Chris Olave in the sixth round gives you the same usage profile people pay a third-round price for with Garrett Wilson. He projected roughly 150 targets for Olave—citing Wilson’s 140-target, 1,100-yard, 5-TD pace last season before the concussion—as evidence the Saints wideout can be a volume monster even in a mediocre offense and quarterback situation. Because the only meaningful difference between the two players is ADP, he thinks the market discount on Olave is too good to pass up in Best Ball Mania drafts.

Best Ball Guy called Chris Olave the easiest click of the sixth round, noting the market is giving a three-round discount compared to Garrett Wilson despite nearly identical usage. Olave was on a 140-target, 1,100-yard pace with five touchdowns before last year’s concussion. The tout expects 150 targets again, pointing out that a mediocre offense didn’t stop Wilson from being priced in the late-second. With alpha volume, down-field role, and touchdown regression all pointing up, Olave profiles as a league-winning value in best-ball drafts.

Hayden Winks believes Chris Olave is modestly mis-priced, sitting half a round behind Travis Hunter despite similar concerns. Lingering concussion worries and an unsettled quarterback battle between Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shuck will probably keep Olave’s ADP flat, but Winks sees buying opportunity. Kellen Moore replaces Clint Kubiak and traditionally runs far more plays, and Moore’s system has a track record of manufacturing touches for its No. 1 wideout. Behind an underrated offensive line, Olave could finally see schemed targets rather than exclusively deep routes. Winks called him “probably slightly underpriced” and recommended grabbing the discount before casual drafters latch onto positive camp clips.

Tom Strachan urged drafters to fade Chris Olave at his mid-WR3 price tag. From Weeks 1-6 last year, when both receivers were healthy, Rashid Shaheed posted a 30 % targets-per-route rate and finished WR10, while Olave mustered just a 21 % rate and WR46 production. Strachan doubts Olave can "earn volume no matter what," and he believes that concern is amplified with a rookie quarterback expected to start. Add in Olave’s documented concussion history, and Strachan prefers taking swings elsewhere rather than paying for a name that may never command alpha usage in a bottom-tier offense.

Nick Holz labeled Chris Olave a stay-away despite his youth and talent. Olave’s 2025 outlook is poisoned by what Holz calls "arguably the worst quarterback situation in the league," with Spencer Rattler, 26-year-old rookie Tyler Shough or late-rounder Jake Haener expected to battle for the starting job. Holz doubts new coordinator Clint Kubiak can elevate an offense that already cratered last year. He also flagged major concussion concerns: Olave suffered his fourth documented NFL concussion (fifth since college), forcing him to miss the final nine games of 2024. With an ADP around 76 (6th/7th round) and a DraftKings line of 825.5 yards, Holz prefers cheaper, healthier options and would bet the under on Olave’s yardage.

Matt Harmon said he keeps drafting Chris Olave because the market has fully baked in the quarterback uncertainty. Harmon noted Derek Carr and Olave "never had good chemistry," yet Olave still ranked near the league lead in most efficiency metrics (yards per route run, first–read target rate). The Saints brought in rookie Tyler Shough, and Harmon admitted nobody knows what Shough will be as a pro, but that unknown is already depressing Olave’s ADP into the late third/early fourth round. Harmon views that price as pure upside: if Shough is even league-average or if Carr rebounds, Olave’s 30-plus-percent target share and elite separation skills give him an easy path to WR1 overall weeks in both season-long and best-ball formats.

Whalen is out on Chris Olave at current prices. Multiple concussions plus shaky quarterback play leave him skeptical that the Saints’ offense can feed Olave the down-field looks he needs. Whalen expects Derek Carr’s check-down tendencies to funnel targets toward Alvin Kamara, limiting Olave to volatile WR2 weeks while amplifying risk of another missed-time head injury.

Pat Kerrane loves Olave’s profile—his worst season-long yards per route run is a sterling 2.07 and he has cleared 2.0 in all three NFL campaigns after being the 11th overall pick. The problem is everything around him. New Orleans handed the offense to rookie Tyler Shuck, with Spencer Rattler as the fallback, a duo Kerrane called "bad and worse." Kellen Moore’s first-year head-coaching incentives point to a conservative, possibly Arthur-Smith-style run-heavy script to keep the kid quarterbacks from imploding. Add repeated concussion issues and no veteran pivot (Jameis Winston is gone) and Kerrane can’t justify his typical "bet talent over situation" mantra here. He sits at just 4% Olave exposure in Best Ball Mania despite ranking the player slightly ahead of ADP, routinely choosing TreVeyon Henderson or other upside swings in the same pocket. Actionable takeaway: stay underweight Olave until the Saints provide real quarterback competency or his price slips into the mid-fifth round.

After Jon Warner noted that Chris Olave has never topped 20 half-PPR points on Underdog, Peter Overzet pushed back, calling pick 88 an absurd bargain for a team’s unquestioned WR1. Overzet argued you do not need season-long dominance in the six-team Badge Bros Brawl—just a couple of spike weeks—and the upside is still intact even if the career high has not shown up yet. He added that Olave almost never slips this far in normal rooms, so the discount itself is edge enough to justify the click. Bottom line: Pete is happy to bet on Olave’s wide range of outcomes at a round-15 price tag and let the room overreact to last year’s scoring drought.

Jorge Martin labeled Chris Olave a draft-day steal, pointing to his deflated ESPN price tag (WR38, pick 97.2) despite being the clear No. 1 option in New Orleans. The Saints permitted 238.6 passing yards and 103.9 rushing yards per game—sixth-worst in both categories—and their five-player defensive draft class did not include anyone before Round 3, suggesting another year of high-scoring, catch-up scripts. Martin acknowledged Olave’s concussion history and the current uncertainty at quarterback but argued those risks are already baked into the cost. With a rebuilding defense likely to keep the offense throwing, Olave has an easy path to outperform his ADP and return WR2 value.

Jorge Martin called Chris Olave a glaring value with an ESPN ADP of WR38 (pick 97.2). Olave is the unquestioned No. 1 option in New Orleans—sorry, Rashid Shaheed—and the Saints defense hardly looks capable of keeping games low scoring after allowing 238.6 passing yards and 103.9 rushing yards per game, both sixth-worst in the league. The club spent five draft picks on defense but none before Round 3, signalling a rebuild that should keep Olave in weekly shootouts. Martin acknowledged Olave’s concussion history and the murky quarterback situation yet still sees the third-year wideout outperforming his draft slot thanks to sheer target volume in an offense that will need to throw to keep up.

Mike Wright expressed skepticism that Chris Olave’s new WR26 ADP adequately discounts the growing list of concerns surrounding him. Wright pointed out that Olave’s underlying metrics—yards per route run, target per route rate, and end-zone-target share—all trended downward in 2024, and the receiver is now dealing with lingering injury issues that have already cost him practice reps. With Tyler Shuck stepping into an offense Wright called "bottom third" in line play and overall talent, the path to a true bounce-back feels narrow. He even suggested it is "not impossible" for Rashid Shaheed to outscore Olave if health breaks poorly. Until the market drops Olave another round or two, Wright is inclined to let another manager assume the injury and quarterback risk.

Ron Stewart called Chris Olave the easiest buy-low on the board after the market shoved him from a 2023 WR10 cost to WR37 in the early sixth round. Stewart argued nothing has changed in Olave’s profile except concussion narratives and anti-Saints sentiment. New coordinator Kellen Moore has ranked top-6 in pace and neutral-situation pass rate at every stop, and Mike Clay projects New Orleans 12th in both dropbacks and attempts—light-years ahead of last year’s ground-heavy scheme. The front office dumped resources into the offensive line, giving Moore time to run his vertical spacing concepts even if rookie Tyler Shough starts. Olave’s underlying metrics remain elite: first among the 2022 WR class in yards per route run, tied with Drake London for first in targets per route, and 80-plus percentile reception-perception grades versus man, press and zone. Stewart said Moore’s history of funneling volume to CeeDee Lamb and Keenan Allen points to a 150-target ceiling. If the Saints finish merely league-average in efficiency, Olave can post a top-12 fantasy season at a steep discount, making him a priority in both season-long and best-ball builds.

Pat Kerrane is lukewarm on Chris Olave at his usual early-6th ADP. He noted Olave will be tied to rookie QB Tyler Shough, whom few expect to elevate the offense. Kerrane doubts New Orleans will throw enough in a run-centric scheme to unlock a top-5 ceiling and pointed out Olave has never topped 20 half-PPR points in a single game. Add in multiple past concussions and the downside compounds. Kerrane will gladly click Olave when he falls to the 6/7 turn as his WR3, but otherwise he is passing in favor of receivers attached to better offenses or higher-upside quarterback situations.

Rich Rebar reiterated that Chris Olave is a must-have in DraftKings’ full-PPR Best Ball rooms because the volume floor is elite even if touchdowns remain scarce. Rebar expects new OC Kellen Moore to unlock more slot snaps—Olave played a career-low 21% inside last year under two-WR devotee Clint Kubiak—citing Moore’s history of moving his WR1 around the formation. When Olave has been in the slot he has shredded: 2.2 yards per route and a 28% target rate. Rebar forecasted a ‘big first-read’ role that produces multiple 14-target games similar to last season’s 8-catch, 107-yard outburst with Spencer Rattler under center. He conceded Olave’s 55-60% catch rate and modest TD projection curb upside in half-PPR or TD-heavy formats, but in full-PPR contests the steady double-digit target counts turn him into a “glue player” who stitches together weekly scoring while leaving room for spike weeks. Being drafted after the tier of WRs who rely on touchdowns, Rebar views Olave’s current ADP as a glaring market miss in volume-driven formats.

Rich Rebar doubled down on Chris Olave as his favorite mid-round "best baller" and said the fifth-round price is stealing. Olave has cleared 2.0 yards per route in both NFL seasons despite bottom-five quarterback efficiency and only a 21-percent slot rate under Clint Kubiak. Rebar expects new OC Kellen Moore to unlock him by moving him all over the formation—the same way Moore juiced CeeDee Lamb’s first-read share in Dallas—projecting a jump to at least 30-percent slot snaps. When Olave has worked inside he’s been lethal: 2.2 YPRR and a 28-percent target rate. Rebar dismissed quarterback concerns, calling Tyler Shough “an acceptable Derek Carr proxy at worst,” and noted that Olave now goes 30 picks after Garrett Wilson even though the usage and efficiency gaps favor Olave. He is hammering the discount anywhere after pick 50.

Raymond Summerlin called Chris Olave a sneaky value in full-PPR best-ball rooms, emphasizing that he routinely falls to the 6-7 turn despite owning true alpha-receiver usage. Olave commanded a 27% target share, ran a route on 96% of dropbacks, and finished top-five in air-yard market share (41%) last season, yet is priced behind less secure volume bets like Zay Flowers and Calvin Ridley. Summerlin likes taking him at 6.02 because wide receiver dries up quickly after that point—especially in heavy-WR rooms—and Olave gives you a weekly floor paired with spike-week upside in dome games against the Falcons, Bucs, and Panthers during best-ball playoffs.

Mattek called Round-6 Chris Olave a smash because every reputable projection (JJ Zacharyson, Mike Clay, Fantasy Life, ETR) has him top-10 to top-15 in raw targets. He dismissed worries about Tyler Shough or Spencer Rattler under center, noting that even league-average QB play would let Olave turn that elite volume into weekly WR1 ceilings.

Rubio insisted Chris Olave is the single best upside swing once drafts move past pick 60. He reminded JSU that Olave cleared 1,100 yards in back-to-back seasons despite Derek Carr ranking outside the top-20 in EPA per drop-back and missing three games himself with lingering shoulder and rib issues. Olave’s 26 % target share and 36 % deep-target share both finished top-ten among wideouts, and he still posted six games of 20+ DraftKings points even while fighting through two late-season concussion scares. Rubio thinks the betting market is sleeping on him—DraftKings hung just an 825-yard receiving prop, barely above Jauan Jennings’ 850 number—because everyone is spooked by last year’s health headlines. With no premium target competition added and Klint Kubiak installing a faster, play-action heavy scheme, Rubio expects Olave to push 140+ targets and deliver multiple 30-point spike weeks that advance best-ball teams through playoff pods.

When Olave slipped a handful of spots past ADP into the early 70s, Joey B snapped him up, saying the Saints’ alpha offers more weekly ceiling than Jacoby Myers or Rashi Rice at similar prices. With CeeDee Lamb already rostered, he wanted another high-end wideout to offset later RB and TE picks, noting that San Francisco’s Brandon Aiyuk injury bumping Rice’s cost feels overblown for a best-ball regular season that runs Weeks 1–14.

Jason Moore said Chris Olave still profiles as a bankable PPR stud even if the Saints quarterback situation never improves. Moore painted a scenario where Olave commands a "high-20s, around 28 percent" target share simply because he is the only true alpha in the room. Even assuming the offense stalls and Olave finds the end-zone only four times, Moore expects 80-plus, and possibly 90-plus, receptions—enough to cover his draft cost. Moore framed Olave as the classic volume-over-touchdowns play: managers are buying a weekly catch floor that insulates them from bad quarterback play and gives upside if the touchdown luck swings his way.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommended that contending teams built around veterans—he cited a roster with Derrick Henry, Mike Evans and Saquon Barkley—should gamble on Chris Olave. Fitzmaurice acknowledged the "scary" concussion history but argued the payoff is manageable because those lineups really just need Olave to survive the final six to eight games. If he stays upright, his elite separation skills and 2.42 yards per route run could single-handedly swing playoff matchups. Conversely, Fitzmaurice said true juggernauts (e.g., teams with Ja'Marr Chase and Bijan Robinson) should pass because they gain little from the added variance. The upshot: aging contenders can buy Olave at a discount and let his ceiling carry them through one more championship push.

Rich Cooling encouraged managers who are a step below the league favorites to trade for Chris Olave despite his concussion red flags. Cooling emphasized that Olave’s value has been "depleted" even though his range of outcomes still includes a top-five wide receiver season—he already owns a 28% target share and showed week-winning spike weeks in 2023. Because elite teams don’t need to gamble, Cooling said lesser contenders must lean into variance, and landing Olave at a WR2 price is the type of risk that can flip playoff odds without surrendering multiple first-round picks.

Sean Koerner urged caution on Chris Olave after noting two major red flags. First, credible beat‐writers have repeated that Kellen Moore is open to moving Olave for draft capital, creating either a mid-summer holdout or an unfamiliar playbook if he’s dealt. Second, Olave has already suffered three documented concussions; Koerner worries a fourth could trigger an IR stint under the league’s stricter 2024 protocols. The upside is obvious—Moore historically force-feeds his No. 1 wideout from the slot (Keenan Allen and DeVonta Smith both logged 30-plus percent slot rates and 27-plus percent target shares under Moore). But with a rookie quarterback (Tyler Shuck) likely starting and Olave’s availability shaky, Koerner dropped him to the bottom of his WR2 tier and advised diversifying with steadier options in Rounds 3-4 of best-ball or redraft leagues.

Pete Overzet called Chris Olave a smash at pick 66, stressing that drafters happily paid a second-round tax on the same player the last two summers. Olave still managed a 27 percent target share and 2.23 yards per route while surviving Derek Carr’s uneven debut season, proving he can create fantasy production "in spite of" the quarterback. Overzet said the only real risk is the Saints offense completely collapsing, but even a league-average unit would unlock weekly WR1 spike-weeks. He is comfortable selecting Olave ahead of names like Matthew Golden, Chris Godwin and Debo Samuel, framing the current sixth-round price as "catch-up fuel" for best-ball rooms where you start RB-heavy.

Pat Kerrane pushed back on the Olave fear, calling him a screaming buy in both best ball and dynasty. Kerrane pointed to Olave’s career-long underlying juice—top-15 in targets per route run and yards per route run since entering the league—plus the luxury of playing half his games in a dome. He believes a pocket passer like Shuck (or even Rattler if things go south) will still funnel volume to the star wide-out, and emphasized that elite peripherals plus a controlled environment usually translate to spike weeks regardless of who is under center. With market sentiment cooling, Kerrane is actively offering late-first-round rookie picks or WR3 types to secure Olave shares before the price rebounds.

Davis Mattek dropped Chris Olave all the way to 75th overall in his dynasty ranks and said managers should treat the wide-out as a sell or at least a stay-away at current prices. Mattek sees three red flags: (1) quarterback chaos—he expects 40th-overall rookie Tyler Shuck to start in 2025 with Spencer Rattler waiting in the wings, leaving Olave’s 2026 passer totally up in the air; (2) five documented concussions since 2020, a "black-marble" tail-risk that could send his dynasty stock to zero with one more head injury; and (3) Mattek never thought Olave was an alpha to begin with, so he is more willing to nuke the profile now that the situation has deteriorated. Given those factors, Mattek would trade Olave for any top-15 rookie pick or pivot to safer wide receivers in the same tier.