Jim Coventry said Dak Prescott is mis-priced at a QB9 ADP and has clear top-five upside. In Prescott’s last three fully healthy seasons (2019, 2021, 2023) he finished QB2, QB3 and QB7. Coventry expects Dallas to abandon past run-heavy tendencies because the current backfield of Javonte Williams, Jaydon Blue, Miles Sanders and Phil Mafa is unlikely to sustain drives. He also flagged a banged-up defense that should force shoot-outs. The front office added George Pickens to join CeeDee Lamb and breakout tight end Jake Ferguson, giving Prescott down-field and underneath options that make the passing game difficult to scheme against. With no reliable rushing attack and more weapons than ever, Coventry projects a massive jump in pass attempts and urged gamers to “draft, draft, draft” Prescott at his current cost.

R.J. White took Dak Prescott at +900 in the 40-plus touchdown market. White doubts many quarterbacks even sniff 40, so he wants a generous payoff and Prescott fits. Dallas’ running back room is unsettled, which pushes red-zone work toward the passing game. With CeeDee Lamb and newly acquired George Pickens stretching the field, White expects a mix of goal-line play-action scores and long bombs to give Prescott a legitimate chance to hit 40 TDs relative to the price.

Larry Hartstein said Dak Prescott is mis-priced at +900 to lead the league in passing yards. Hartstein pointed to Dallas trading for George Pickens to team with CeeDee Lamb, tight end Jake Ferguson, and deep threat Jalen Tolbert, giving Prescott a deeper arsenal than ever. Prescott already owns three seasons of 4,400-plus yards, so the ceiling is proven. With Joe Burrow the short favorite, Hartstein prefers the longer number on Prescott in a bet-on arm-talent, pass-heavy offense.

Larry Hartstein picked Dak Prescott in the ‘most passing yards’ futures market. Prescott already owns a 4,900-yard season and three others above 4,400. Hartstein expects Dallas’ defense to regress sharply—especially if Micah Parsons holds out—forcing shootouts. The front office added vertical threat George Pickens to a skill group that already boasts CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson, and Prescott rekindled chemistry with Jalen Tolbert this summer. Hartstein likes the value relative to favorite Joe Burrow and sees a realistic path for Prescott to pace the league in yardage.

Matthew Wiley chose Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray during the draft, arguing that “all Dallas can do is sling it to win.” He expects the Cowboys to lean heavily on the pass, giving Prescott weekly 300-yard-bonus upside on DraftKings. Wiley already owned CeeDee Lamb, so grabbing Dak locked in a high-correlation stack that can separate in Week 17 shoot-out scenarios. The combination of projected volume, premium scoring for passing yards and touchdowns, and an elite WR1 makes Prescott a priority pick whenever he slides into the middle rounds.

Ben Gretch reiterated that reports of the Cowboys defense “looking terrible” are actually bullish for Dak Prescott’s fantasy outlook. A leaky Dallas unit would force the offense into pass-heavy scripts, padding Prescott’s drop-back volume and keeping his weekly ceiling intact even if efficiency regresses. Gretch drafted Prescott specifically with this game-script angle in mind and believes the defensive concerns are a feature, not a bug, for anyone counting on Dak in managed leagues.

Ben Gretch said Dak Prescott is a screaming value at his current ADP, calling the Cowboys signal-caller a "huge discount" after he slid to pick 13.03 in their FFPC Main Event draft. Gretch expects Dallas to "throw a ton" this season and emphasized that Prescott has historically oscillated between ordinary and league-winning fantasy stretches. If managers land one of Prescott’s hot seasons they can remain competitive without paying up for an elite quarterback. The discount is particularly appealing because Dallas keeps a consolidated target tree and shows no inclination to lean run-heavy even when protecting leads. Gretch recommended scooping Prescott in the mid rounds of one-QB formats when the elite tier is gone, betting on volume and his proven ceiling.

Ben Gretch endorsed Dak Prescott as an upside QB1 target, explaining that Dallas is “going to throw a ton” after investing in perimeter speed and letting Tony Pollard walk. Gretch reminded listeners that in seasons where Prescott has averaged 35-plus attempts, he has finished no worse than QB7 on a per-game basis, thanks to career marks of 0.58 fantasy points per drop-back. With CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens and rookie Luther Burden stretching the field, Gretch expects Dallas to finish top-5 in pass rate over expectation, giving Prescott 4,600-yard, 30-TD potential at a mid-round price in season-long and best-ball drafts.

Connor Allen recommended taking a stab at Dak Prescott 40-to-1 to win NFL MVP. He reasoned that if Dallas reaches 12-13 victories – something Allen believes is in play given a softer NFC and possible Eagles regression or injury – voters will credit Prescott rather than a non-quarterback like Christian McCaffrey. Allen noted the Cowboys’ pass-heavy identity and projected Prescott to flirt with 5,000 passing yards, pointing out that no other player on the roster profiles as a plausible MVP candidate. With sportsbooks still hanging 30-to-40:1, Allen views the price as a mis-aligned ceiling outcome bet on team success translating directly to quarterback accolades.

Connor Allen disclosed two wagers already in his portfolio: Dak Prescott to lead the league in passing yards at 12-to-1 and Dak over 4,500 yards at +350. Allen noted Prescott was on a 4,500-yard pace before his Week-9 injury last season and actually hit 4,900 yards the year before. The 2025 roster gives him his best receiving corps yet—CeeDee Lamb commanding a 30% target share plus George Pickens stretching the boundary. Dallas ranked 28th in defensive EPA last season and lost additional pieces in free agency, making shootouts likely. Their run game is crippled (Miles Sanders hurt, Javonte Williams 48th of 52 RBs in success rate, rookie Jaden Blue already limited), pushing pass rate well above league average. Allen believes those ingredients combine for a realistic 5,000-yard ceiling, giving the alt line and yardage crown strong value.

Joey P took OVER 3,875.5 passing yards (–114) for Dak Prescott, projecting a 4,500-yard season. His case: Prescott enters the ‘good year’ of his alternating-production pattern, the Cowboys added outside speed (he name-dropped George Pickens alongside CeeDee Lamb), and Dallas lacks a proven bell-cow runner, pushing them toward a pass-heavy script. At roughly 228 yards per game to hit the over, Joey views the number as 600 yards too low.

Alongside Justin Fields, Erik Toft is perfectly content landing Dak Prescott in the 10th or 11th round. Prescott finished as QB7 last year in Mike McCarthy’s pass-heavy attack and maintains strong rapport with CeeDee Lamb, yet his ADP still falls outside the top tier. Toft prefers Prescott’s proven 20-point floor at a discount over spending a top-three pick on an elite quarterback, freeing him to stockpile skill talent through the first nine rounds of season-long drafts.

Erik Toft revealed he placed a small wager on Dak Prescott to win NFL MVP at 50-to-1. He cited Prescott’s proven 4,400-yard, 35-plus-TD seasons, the arrival of George Pickens, and an expected pass-first game plan under Brian Schottenheimer. A depleted running game and potential defensive regression could push Dallas into shootouts, creating the statistical path Prescott needs to enter the MVP conversation.

Erik Toft said Dak Prescott is the best quarterback value after pick 100 and should be drafted ahead of names like Brock Purdy, Justin Fields, and Jared Goff. Toft pointed out that Prescott has already produced three 4,400-yard seasons and 36 TD passes in 2023 (37 in 2021), finishing QB3 the last time he played a full year. With Brian Schottenheimer expected to lean pass-heavy, a shaky backfield of Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders, and the addition of George Pickens opposite CeeDee Lamb, Toft projects massive drop-back volume. He noted Prescott is rostered in only 71 % of leagues and carries an ESPN ADP of 114 (12th round), making him a late-round anchor for single-QB season-long formats.

Best Ball Guy chose Dak Prescott over Brock Purdy because Dallas draws Minnesota, the Chargers, and Washington in Weeks 15-17. All three defenses ranked bottom-10 in pass EPA allowed last season and play fast, giving those games high shootout potential. He likes stacking Dak with George Pickens for the Cowboys-Chargers Week 16 correlation and believes that playoff schedule raises Prescott’s ceiling enough to justify taking him ahead of ADP in tournament builds.

Nick Holz said fantasy managers should scoop up Dak Prescott in the double-digit rounds as a high-upside sleeper. Prescott averaged 20 fantasy points per game in his last fully healthy campaign and threw for more than 4,500 yards under Brian Schottenheimer just two seasons ago. Holz likes the upgraded supporting cast that now features George Pickens opposite CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson at tight end, and newcomer Javonte Williams in the backfield. He added that Dallas’ aggressive, boom-or-bust secondary routinely allows explosive plays, forcing the offense into weekly shootouts that pad passing volume. With an ADP around Round 13, Holz believes Prescott can deliver top-10 quarterback numbers at a rock-bottom price.

Jim Coventry said Dak Prescott is set up for a major fantasy rebound. Prescott missed half of 2024 and logged three games under 14 fantasy points while piling up turnovers, but Coventry expects 2025 volume to soar. Dallas’ defense is opening the year shorthanded, forcing shoot-outs, and the backfield led by Javonte Williams "won’t sustain drives." With CeeDee Lamb and the newly-added George Pickens stretching the outside and Jake Ferguson patrolling the seam, Prescott “will have to carry the team”—a role that produced QB2, QB3 and QB7 finishes the last three odd-numbered seasons. Coventry views him as a top-tier season-long quarterback whose value is still depressed by last year’s injury narrative.

Allen applied the same PROE rebound logic to Dak Prescott, calling him undervalued after Dallas slipped into negative pass rate territory in 2024 despite having superior talent at quarterback and wide receiver. If the Cowboys merely return to neutral game scripts, Prescott’s attempt total should jump back into the weekly top-10 range, offering a cheap stack with Dallas pass-catchers for drafters who prioritized other positions early. Allen views him as the perfect late-round safety net in builds that grab only one elite "onesie" (QB or TE) during the first six rounds.

Marcas Grant reminded drafters that every time Dak Prescott plays at least 16 games he finishes as a fantasy QB1, yet he is lingering until Round 10. Dallas has logged the league’s fifth-most dropbacks since 2020 and now hands the reins to new head coach/play-caller Brian Schottenheimer with George Pickens replacing Brandin Cooks and first-round guard Tyler Booker boosting protection. Grant’s bottom line: if Prescott stays on the field, history screams he will crush his current ADP.

Best Ball Guy argued that Dak Prescott remains undervalued even after climbing to QB12. Prescott threw for 4,537 and 4,536 yards in his last two healthy seasons and now gains George Pickens while losing any semblance of a power run game. BBG expects Dallas to lean even harder on Prescott’s arm, projecting another QB6-7 season at minimum and noting the discount compared with quarterbacks going several rounds earlier.

Conor Allen urged bettors to skip Dak Prescott’s standard 3,800-yard prop and instead grab the 4,500-plus alt line at roughly +250 to +300. Allen has "no doubt" Prescott clears 3,800 if he stays healthy, noting that pace, projection models and an upgraded receiver room anchored by George Pickens point toward a mid-4,000-yard season. Because the base number is already injury-discounted, Allen believes shooting for 4,500 yards provides a much better risk-reward profile.

Derek Brown labeled Dak Prescott an "amazing" late-round value, arguing his 3.8% 2024 TD rate (first sub-5.8% mark since 2020) will bounce back toward career norms inside a pass-centric scheme. Weeks 1-8 last year the Cowboys sat 8th in neutral pass rate and 10th in PROE, and Jerry Jones added George Pickens to flank CeeDee Lamb alongside Jake Ferguson and Jalen Tolbert. Brown reminded drafters that just two seasons ago Prescott ranked QB4 in fantasy points per game while placing 7th in YPA, 8th in CPOE, and 6th in highly accurate-throw rate. He expects a return to QB1 territory at a steep ADP discount.

Conor Allen hammered the 4,500-plus passing-yard alt line on Dak Prescott at roughly 3-to-1 instead of the standard 3,850 number. Allen pointed to Prescott’s two most recent healthy seasons—both on a 4,600-yard pace—the Cowboys’ nonexistent ground game (Miles Sanders already hurt, Javonte Williams struggling), and a defense that could be without Micah Parsons. He highlighted the addition of George Pickens alongside CeeDee Lamb to stretch the field and expects Dallas to abandon balance for a near air-raid approach, making 4,500 yards closer to Prescott’s median than ceiling.

Andy Holloway said he still has Dak Prescott seventh in four-point-per-pass-TD rankings even though the Cowboys’ offensive line is shakier than past seasons. Holloway pointed at Dallas ranking 5th in plays per game, 7th in red-zone plays and 5th in points the last two years as proof the tempo and scoring environment should stay fantasy-friendly. He warned managers that Prescott’s first five opponents – at Philadelphia, the Giants, Chicago, Green Bay and likely the Jets – all project as top-half pass defenses, echoing 2023 when Prescott opened slowly before rebounding to finish QB3. Because fantasy managers may panic if Prescott repeats that sluggish start, Holloway recommended drafting another late QB or planning an early-season streamer, then buying Prescott cheaply once the schedule softens and his upgraded WR2 ‘George’ helps the passing ceiling show up. The take is season-long actionable: draft or trade for Prescott after Week 4 when the schedule lightens and Dallas’s fast pace and weak run game force high volume.

Andy Holloway likes Dak Prescott as a back-end QB1 (his QB7 in four-point scoring) but warned managers to build an insurance plan for September. Dallas ran the fifth-most plays and seventh-most red-zone snaps per game the last two years, and a weak running game should keep Dak’s pass volume high alongside CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens and Jake Ferguson. However, Prescott has completed only one full season in the past five and operates behind a declining offensive line, mirroring Christian McCaffrey’s boom-or-bust availability profile. Holloway suggested pairing Dak with a late flier in case a shaky early schedule or another injury forces a quick pivot.

Graham Barfield urged drafters to exploit Dak Prescott’s Round 10 ADP (114 overall) because the market is "flat-out too low." Over the last two seasons Prescott is QB8 in fantasy points per game (18.8), QB6 in passing yards per game (259.8) and QB9 in touchdown rate (5.5 %), yet he is being selected as QB14. He produced a top-12 finish in five straight seasons before last year’s hamstring issue and still posted a top-5 weekly finish in 29 % of starts since 2023—just a shade behind Joe Burrow’s 31 %. Prescott remains lethal versus man coverage, logging 8.1 yards per attempt last season (6th) and 9.2 two years ago (3rd). Barfield believes the offseason addition of contested-catch specialist George Pickens gives Dak a vertical threat that can unlock even more spike weeks. He plans to be significantly overweight on Prescott in Underdog tournaments.

Best Ball Guy called Dak Prescott one of the three "incredibly undervalued quarterbacks" this draft season. Prescott is falling to the 7th–8th round, whereas last summer he often went two rounds earlier. The tout likes pairing that discount with easy Dallas bring-backs such as CeeDee Lamb and believes the salary relief on Prescott allows drafters to build unique, high-ceiling stacks without sacrificing early-round firepower.

Sean Koerner agrees Prescott is overvalued, noting the veteran "doesn't really offer much rushing upside at all," which forces fantasy managers to rely on pure passing volume. While Koerner concedes Dallas may still throw plenty because the current RB room (Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders, day-three rookie Jaden Blue) lacks a true workhorse, he still ranks Prescott just QB25 for a brutal Week-1 matchup with Philadelphia—meaning drafters would need a second starter immediately. Koerner prefers gaining exposure to the Cowboys offense through CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens and Jake Ferguson rather than investing a mid-round pick in a quarterback who might live on the matchup streamer line all season.

Raybon has Prescott all the way down at QB20 and will not draft him near his QB15 ADP. He worries that Brian Schottenheimer’s arrival pushes Dallas toward a slower, run-heavier script than Mike McCarthy’s high-tempo 2024 attack, capping attempts. Prescott’s rushing production has evaporated (54 yards and one TD in seven starts), so volume is everything. A healthier O-line and a deeper backfield—Miles Sanders, rookie Tyrone Mafa, plus holdovers—could funnel touches away from the pass game, and a potentially improved defense might further suppress shootout scripts. Raybon concludes that even if Prescott exceeds expectations through the air, a true ceiling beyond mid-QB2 territory is unlikely, making the price a stay-away unless he slips several rounds.

Seeing quarterbacks flying off the board, Josh traded up to secure Dak Prescott as his second starter. Prescott had been a top-eight fantasy scorer in four of the five seasons before 2024, when a torn hamstring and a prolonged CD Lamb holdout sabotaged offseason chemistry. Now healthy and supported by Lamb plus new addition George Pickens—and with what Josh calls a 'questionable backfield' likely forcing a pass-heavy approach—Josh expects a Kellen Moore-style offense that lets Prescott 'sling it across the yard.' He believes the 31-year-old can post mid-QB1 numbers through at least 2027, providing superflex stability while younger options develop behind him.

Ian Hartitz urged drafters to scoop Dak Prescott in the 11th-12th round, calling him a cheaper Joe Burrow style swing. Hartitz reminded listeners that Prescott has tossed 30-plus TDs in every season in which he’s played at least 16 games and played at an MVP level just two years ago. Dallas no longer has a bell-cow back—Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders form a shaky committee—so Hartitz expects Mike McCarthy to let Dak throw 35-40 times a week. He argued this is Prescott’s best WR duo ever, with CeeDee Lamb and newly acquired George Pickens, and the defense, while still buoyed by Micah Parsons, is unlikely to be dominant enough to suppress shoot-outs. That combination of volume, efficiency, and dirt-cheap ADP makes Prescott a high-upside QB1 who can anchor both season-long rosters and best-ball builds.

Jeff Mueller said Dak Prescott’s surgically-repaired right hamstring is a non-issue for 2025 redraft and best-ball formats. Because Prescott now wins almost exclusively from the pocket, Mueller is only looking for evidence that the leg can handle the torque and stabilization required at the top of Prescott’s throwing motion. Prescott has already completed his full throwing program and, per Mueller, "looks like he’s in the best shape of his life," showing no drop in velocity. Rich Hribar added that Dallas should lean pass-heavy again under Brian Schottenheimer, and that the addition of George Pickens over Jalen Tolbert plus a questionable secondary that could push shoot-outs further insulates Prescott’s floor. Since gamers were no longer drafting him for rushing anyway, Mueller advises treating Prescott as a safe, mid-tier QB1 whose price is unlikely to spike but who can beat ADP through volume and efficiency.

Hayden Winks warned that Dak Prescott is drifting toward mid-QB2 territory unless his accuracy rebounds. Prescott posted the league’s third-highest turnover-worthy-play rate in 2024 and ranked QB33 on throws beyond the sticks, a stark contrast to his 2023 Peyton-Manning-like efficiency. Winks blamed scattershot footwork and skittishness under pressure—Dallas allowed 163 pressures, 30 more than the year before—while noting Prescott’s rushing floor has evaporated since the ankle dislocation (career-low 18 rushing yards per game). Until cleaner mechanics re-appear, Winks advised treating Prescott as a matchup-based fantasy streamer and passing on his 16-to-1 MVP ticket.

Jon Warner called Dak Prescott "a very good selection" in the Brawl, noting that most drafters will only pair him with CeeDee Lamb. Warner prefers building Dak stacks around cheaper pieces like Jake Ferguson or late-round rookies, creating a unique roster while still tapping into an offense that finished top-3 in both neutral-situation pass rate (61 %) and points per game (29.9) last season. By avoiding Lamb’s first-round price tag you save early capital, gain structural flexibility, and still access Dak’s weekly 30-point ceiling—he logged four such games in 2023. Warner’s bottom line: draft Prescott and diversify his pass catchers to exploit field duplication at quarterback.

Jason Moore said the Cowboys’ collapse on defense (31st in points allowed, 28th in yards) plus the league-worst run game means Mike McCarthy will live through Dak Prescott’s arm. Moore expects 600+ attempts because Dallas opens at Philadelphia, vs. the Giants, at Chicago and vs. Green Bay—four opponents capable of turning every week into a shoot-out. He trusts the long-running chemistry with CeeDee Lamb (170-target pace when both are healthy) and thinks Lamb can push for overall WR1 while Prescott smashes his current QB11 ADP. Moore admitted the offensive line is only preseason-ranked 23rd, but he framed that as a bonus for fantasy: more negative game script equals more passing volume.

Jim Coventry urged drafters to grab Dak Prescott around pick 95 if he slides. Prescott has finished QB2, QB3, and QB7 in three of the past five healthy seasons. With Dallas set to air it out again, Coventry believes betting on Prescott’s health returns elite fantasy value without paying early-round prices.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called the combination of Dak Prescott, Jordan Love, and Trevor Lawrence a ‘really nice three-QB combo’ because all three are routinely slipping past ADP in Underdog drafts. By scooping each signal-caller a round late, Pat expects to build stacks (Dak–CeeDee Lamb, Love–Christian Watson/Romeo Doubs, Lawrence–Calvin Ridley/Christian Kirk) that come in materially lower-owned than rooms paying sticker price. He views the trio as perfect for a three-quarterback construction: Prescott provides weekly ceiling after finishing 2023 as QB3 in fantasy points per game, Love closed last year with a 21:4 TD-INT ratio over his final eight starts, and Lawrence offers rushing equity plus a Week-17 dome game in Jacksonville. The ADP discount not only frees early capital for wide receivers and running backs but also sets up unique playoff correlations that most of the field simply won’t have.

In Underdog’s six-man Badge Bros Brawl where the player pool cuts off at pick 103, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted Dak Prescott as a uniquely low-owned stacking partner for CeeDee Lamb. Because Dak’s usual ADP sits around 111—just outside the contest’s draftable range—most Lamb drafters can’t pair them without reaching. Pat plans to exploit that gap: any time he starts with Lamb, he’ll "have Dak almost every time" in the late rounds, guaranteeing a correlation that few lineups can replicate. He noted Prescott still finished 2023 as the QB3 in fantasy points per game and led the league in red-zone pass attempts, so the upside remains intact. The strategy play: reach a half-round if needed to secure Dak, creating a differentiated Lamb stack that the field simply won’t have in a contest this shallow.

Best Ball Guy relayed Evan Silva’s newest coaching-notes pod and came away pounding the table for Dak Prescott as a smash Superflex and Best-Ball pick. Silva projected Dallas to finish top-3 in pass rate over expectation because (1) the Cowboys offensive line grades out top-three in every early ranking, giving Mike McCarthy license to air it out, (2) the running-back room is ‘trash’—no proven early-down hammer means the staff will lean on Dak’s arm rather than force inefficient carries, and (3) Prescott is reportedly 100 % healthy after last year’s late-season ankle scare. Add in a newly paid, happy CeeDee Lamb commanding targets and you get a recipe for 650-plus attempts and multiple 30-point spike weeks that win Superflex playoff rounds. BBG said the Dak-Lamb stack is now a priority reach at the 2/3 turn before the market bakes in the coming volume surge.

Nick Whalen said Dak Prescott is one of the best late-round quarterback targets this summer. Whalen reminded listeners that two seasons ago Prescott finished second in MVP voting, was a top-5 fantasy QB, ranked #2 in the league in passing yards and was near the top in touchdown passes. 2024’s context sets up another volume spike: Dallas has almost nothing at running back, the offensive line has slipped from its peak, and the team just added George Pickens as the first legitimate secondary weapon since Amari Cooper left. With the Cowboys likely forced to throw early and often, Whalen projects Prescott to settle in the QB8-QB9 range even though his current early ADP is QB12-QB13 (picks 100-130). He encouraged drafters who want to wait on the position to scoop Prescott before the market corrects upward.

Jon Warner labeled Dak Prescott a smash pick in the current Eliminator "QB pocket." Prescott is sliding a handful of spots below ADP, yet Warner expects Dallas to throw as much—or more—than any team in 2024, giving Dak a rock-solid median projection. Because Eliminator is essentially a weekly cash-game until the final rounds, Warner prioritizes floor and sees Prescott delivering steady 20-plus point outputs even without a perfect stack. He notes that drafters can still back-stack Jake Ferguson or a late Michael Gallup, but likes the freedom to click an unstacked Dak and chase correlation elsewhere. The Cowboys enter the year with no change to their pass-catcher core, a healthy offensive line, and a schedule that pits them against seven secondaries ranked bottom-half in pass EPA through the first ten weeks—more than enough volume for Prescott to pay off his suppressed price.

R.J. White prefers Dak Prescott at roughly +350 for Comeback Player of the Year over Trevor Lawrence. He argued that Prescott owns genuine MVP-caliber production ceilings we have not yet seen from Lawrence and returns to an offense loaded with firepower, boosting counting stats that sway award voters. White acknowledged the market’s QB bias and cited voters’ history of ignoring the AP’s formal criteria, meaning Prescott’s bounce-back narrative from last year’s late-season injury plus his potential gaudy numbers give him a stronger path than any other candidate despite the shorter odds.

Ian Hartitz warned drafters that Dak Prescott no longer possesses the rushing or arm strength that once carried him to top-five quarterback finishes. Prescott is coming off a hamstring "ripped off the bone," on top of the lingering ankle and shoulder issues that have already killed his designed-run usage. Hartitz noted Dak’s fastball disappeared as far back as Week 1 of 2024, and the Cowboys’ supporting cast is shakier than usual: a downgraded offensive line (no more Zach Martin), zero proven running backs—"single worst backfield in the league"—and an over-reliance on CeeDee Lamb plus the newly acquired George Pickens. With Brian Schottenheimer replacing Mike McCarthy and Dallas likely stuck in the NFL’s middle tier of offenses, Hartitz pegged Prescott as a low-end QB2 who belongs on benches in 1-QB leagues and should be drafted behind upside swing options like Jayden Daniels or Caleb Williams.

Kev Coleman said Dak Prescott is a screaming dynasty buy at his current QB21 price tag on Keep-Trade-Cut. Coleman reminded listeners that Prescott has topped 20 fantasy points in four of the past five healthy seasons and finished 2023 as the overall QB3 despite minimal rushing after ankle surgery. Schottenheimer’s scheme historically funnels volume to a single quarterback, and Dallas projects for shoot-outs thanks to a shaky defensive line and secondary. The offense around Prescott has quietly leveled up: George Pickens joins CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson to give Dallas its best three-man pass-catching group of the Prescott era, while a top-10 graded offensive line (rookie guard Tyler Booker could push it into the top-5) should keep him upright. Coleman calculated that Schottenheimer produced 13 ‘clear lead QB’ games in 2023, compared to just seven in a dysfunctional 2024 offense—evidence Dallas will again lean on its starter. Add in a contract that all but guarantees Prescott four more starting seasons (massive 2025 and 2026 cap hits will force an extension rather than a release), and Coleman sees almost no risk: even a “disappointing” outcome is four straight QB15 finishes, which is worth far more than the late 1st-round rookie pick he’s currently fetching in Superflex trades. If the offense bounces back, Prescott has legitimate top-8 upside without needing to run, making him a perfect QB2 who can win weeks in 2024 and beyond.

Hayden Winks preferred Dak Prescott over rookie Caleb Williams in Round 10, reminding listeners that Prescott has been the fantasy QB7 in points per game over the past two seasons and owns four top-eight finishes in his last five healthy campaigns. With Brian Schottenheimer entrenched and a threadbare backfield, Winks anticipates one of the league’s highest pass-attempt totals. He highlighted the addition of George Pickens as a perfect fit for Dak’s back-shoulder obsession—an upgrade over the Jalen Tolbert reps of 2023. CeeDee Lamb is now fully integrated after last year’s contract stalemate, and Winks thinks rookie RB Jaden Blue can add Tony-Pollard-style YAC on outlet throws, juicing Prescott’s efficiency even without rushing production. The combination of volume, continuity and improved WR2 talent makes Prescott a low-risk QB1 anchor in both Best Ball and Season-Long drafts.

Nez argued that Dak Prescott is the best pick in the crowded Round 11–13 quarterback bucket that includes Justin Fields, Bo Nix, Jordan Love, Drake Maye, and Jared Goff. He is routinely grabbing Prescott a few spots ahead of ADP because he believes the tier is flat yet Prescott owns the clearest 30-point ceiling: Dallas ranked top-5 in pass rate over expectation last year, retained almost its entire receiving corps outside of Brandin Cooks, and added vertical threat George Pickens. Meanwhile, Fields must acclimate to a new offensive system with Garrett Wilson and Brian Daboll, and Nix has to win the job on a rebuilding Denver roster. Nez is intentionally fading those two while reaching for Dak when necessary, confident he can outscore the rest of the tier and anchor two-QB builds without requiring a third late flier.

Claudia Bellofatto leaned to the OVER on Dak Prescott’s 3,800.5 passing-yard prop. She pointed out that Prescott has already cleared 4,000 yards twice since 2021 and was pacing for another 4K season in 2022 before injury. Even if Dallas struggles, she expects game script to force a pass-heavy approach because the Cowboys opted for an underwhelming backfield (Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders) that may not let Brian Schottenheimer "establish the run" the way he wants. Bellofatto also noted the upgraded receiver room with George Pickens opposite CeeDee Lamb and a pass-catching backfield option, which collectively raises Prescott’s ceiling in neutral and negative game scripts. Assuming health, she believes 3,800 yards is a reachable floor, making the over the sharper side.

Jim Coventry highlighted Dak Prescott’s ADP rise to QB13 after Dallas traded for George Pickens and argued managers should still reach a couple spots earlier. In three of Prescott’s last five healthy seasons he finished as QB2, QB3 and QB7, so the ceiling is proven. Coventry expects a pass-heavy 2025 offense because the backfield (Javonte Williams, Jadon Blue, Miles Sanders, Phil Amafa) lacks a true workhorse, meaning sustained drives will rely on Prescott throwing to CeeDee Lamb, Pickens and Jake Ferguson. The Cowboys’ defense remains solid but no longer suffocating, ensuring enough shootouts to keep volume intact. Coventry called QB8 a worst-case outcome with realistic potential to rejoin the elite tier.

Joey B grabbed Dak Prescott at pick 99—15 spots ahead of ADP—because completing the Dak–CeeDee Lamb double stack mattered more than squeezing a few slots of value at this point in the draft. He noted that the only players he would be ‘passing on by ADP’ were dusty veterans like Cooper Kupp and Travis Kelce, who do not fit his young, upside-heavy roster. Locking up Dak guarantees weekly correlation with his first-round anchor, allows a future bring-back with Tyler Warren or an Indianapolis tight end, and saves him from praying Prescott makes it back at pick 118. Joey said ADP discipline is overrated once you’re past the 9th round if the pick meaningfully increases your stack equity and advance rate.

Graham Barfield labeled Dak Prescott a screaming value at his QB14 ADP (114 overall). Even after a hamstring-marred 2024, Prescott still ranks QB8 in fantasy points per game (18.8), QB6 in passing yards per game (259.8), and QB9 in touchdown rate (5.5 %) across the last two seasons. Before the injury, he delivered five straight top-12 fantasy finishes. Barfield highlighted Dak’s spike-week profile: 29 % of his starts since 2023 have been top-5 QB weeks, the sixth-best rate in the NFL and only two percentage points behind Joe Burrow. Efficiency versus man coverage remains elite—8.1 YPA last season and 9.2 YPA the year prior. Dallas upgraded the receiver room with contested-catch maven George Pickens, giving Prescott an added downfield weapon. Barfield wants to take advantage of a market discount and load up on Dak as a mid-round quarterback in Best Ball tournaments.

Rich Cooling urged dynasty managers to pounce on Dak Prescott right now, calling his current QB19 ADP “absolutely insane.” Cooling argued that the offseason is always the softest point in the quarterback market because managers convince themselves they are set at the position until bye weeks and injuries hit in October. Prescott just led the NFL in touchdown passes and finished as a top-3 fantasy quarterback last season, yet managers are pricing him behind fringe QB2s. Cooling’s strategy for contending rosters is to roster four or five NFL starters before Week 1; once quarterbacks start going down, that depth becomes scarce and rival managers will pay premium prices. Buying Prescott now locks in a weekly starter for 2024 and gives you a chip you can flip later for extra first-round capital if you need flexibility.