Jason Moore called Derrick Henry the "easy layup" pick in early drafts, sliding him one spot above consensus because Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds (tied for second behind Philadelphia) insulate Henry from the game‑script volatility that has historically tanked his fantasy output. Henry has averaged 22 half‑PPR points in wins versus 12.8 in losses throughout his career, yet the Ravens project for double‑digit victories. Moore highlighted Henry’s 347 opportunities, league‑leading seven ‘first touchdown’ games, and 325 carries from 2024 as proof the veteran still commands king‑size volume. While Moore concedes Henry’s limited receiving role caps his overall RB1 odds, he sees virtually no path outside the top‑5 if the Ravens meet win projections, recommending Henry as a safe Round‑1 cornerstone in season‑long and best‑ball formats.