Erik Beimfohr said DeVonta Smith is a glaring Round-4 bargain because the market has over-corrected after last season’s disappointment. Smith sometimes lasts to pick 50 on DraftKings despite a fully consolidated Eagles passing attack that funnels almost every target to A.J. Brown, Smith, and Dallas Goedert. Beimfohr argued that drafters are ignoring Smith’s baked-in floor—he has finished no worse than WR21 in any of the last three years while never dipping below a 23 % target share when Brown was absent. He also highlighted Smith’s contingent upside: if Brown were to miss time, Philadelphia does not shift targets to depth receivers like Johnny Wilson; they simply condense them to Smith and Goedert, a pattern we already saw during Brown’s injury games last season. With Jalen Hurts expected to regress back toward 500 pass attempts, Beimfohr believes Smith’s 140-target ceiling is very much alive, making him an easy click in the mid-fourth round of Best Ball drafts.

Tyler Knaeble urged caution on DeVonta Smith, noting that Philadelphia’s offense could remain extremely run-heavy after Jalen Hurts was asked to throw for only 2,900 yards and 18 touchdowns last season. With the controversial ‘tush-push’ still legal, Knaeble expects Nick Sirianni to keep leaning on the ground game, which already forced both Smith and A.J. Brown to “take a step back” in 2023. Unless the Eagles change their philosophical approach or face far more negative game scripts, Knaeble doubts Smith can deliver WR1-level consistency at his current ADP.