JSU said drafters should be aggressive on Garrett Wilson in 2025 Best Ball because the situation around him finally sets up for a true breakout. The arrival of Justin Fields gives Wilson a quarterback who can extend plays and push the ball downfield, something Zach Wilson never provided. JSU also pointed to the Jets’ Week 15-17 fantasy-playoff gauntlet—at Jacksonville, at New Orleans in the dome, and home against New England—as three beatable secondaries that rank in the bottom half of expected pass-defense efficiency. He believes that combination of QB upgrade and a cakewalk playoff schedule positions Wilson for multiple 25-point spike weeks and a realistic WR1 overall ceiling at his current late-third-round ADP.

Heath Cummings advised dynasty managers to shop Garrett Wilson after noticing the wideout carries a loftier consensus price tag than Wilson has actually justified. Cummings is "a little bit lower on him" because the Jets still have major quarterback uncertainty and Wilson’s elite real-life talent has yet to translate into consistent fantasy production. His plan is to accept any deal that meets current market value—effectively locking in a profit on Wilson’s WR1-level ADP—while keeping a few shares in case the situation improves. In short, if another manager is willing to pay the going consensus rate, Cummings recommends cashing out now rather than risking another muted season tied to shaky quarterback play.

Sean Koerner slid Garrett Wilson down to WR20—five spots below his WR15 ADP—based on the expectation that Justin Fields starts the entire season. Koerner anticipates a sharp drop in pass attempts compared to last year’s Aaron Rodgers plan, noting Fields’ scramble rate will siphon targets and lower overall play volume. Wilson will still command alpha usage, but Koerner worries defenses can devote extra resources to him because the Jets lack a true WR2 threat. The result: a stable weekly floor yet fewer top-12 fantasy finishes. Until New York shows a higher-volume passing script or adds another legitimate receiver, Koerner prefers wideouts with clearer path to elite ceilings in the same draft range.

Nez Badge Bros called Garrett Wilson a screaming buy in the late-second/early-third of Sprint drafts. Wilson still produced 1,100 yards and seven scores with league-worst quarterback play, and Nez expects a massive leap now that Aaron Rodgers is back. He cited Rodgers’ history of hyper-focusing on a true WR1—Davante Adams drew 32 % target share in Green Bay—and noted the Jets’ depth chart leaves Allen Lazard as Wilson’s only real competition. With built-in chemistry from their Ohio State days and a clean bill of health, Nez sees 150-plus targets and top-five wideout upside, making the current discount a smash in all best-ball formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he has pushed Garrett Wilson up his Sprint rankings to the early-second round—one spot ahead of Tyreek Hill—and is clicking him as high as pick 14. Pat explained that the Jets did nothing during free agency or the draft to threaten Wilson’s target dominance, adding only a pure field-stretcher who will actually clear space for Wilson’s intermediate routes. Wilson already owned a 28% target share and top-10 yards-per-route last season; with Aaron Rodgers returning, Pat expects a major efficiency jump. Because Underdog’s Sprint crowns its champion on cumulative Weeks 15-17 scoring, Pat wants exposure to receivers who can post multiple 25-point spike weeks, and he believes Wilson fits that profile at a still-manageable cost.

Pat Kerrane explained that Justin Fields joining the Jets actually boosts Garrett Wilson’s outlook at his current early-third-round ADP. Before the move, Kerrane’s ranks assumed Wilson might be saddled with a replacement-level passer and he planned to drop him. After reviewing the new depth chart he raised Wilson instead, arguing that Fields guarantees a stable target floor and can still deliver the 30-point spike weeks we saw DJ Moore post last season. While a Fields offense will lean run-heavy, Kerrane believes Wilson’s alpha target share and Fields’ deep-ball aggression create both a safe weekly floor and league-winning upside. He is comfortable clicking Wilson in the third round and expects the market to warm up once camp highlights show a functional New York passing game.

Tyler Knaeble projected an "easy 30 percent target share" for Garrett Wilson and labeled him a rock-solid WR1 in early best-ball builds. Knaeble believes the Jets will trail frequently, forcing Aaron Rodgers to keep throwing, and noted that the offensive line (rookie Olu Fashanu, free-agent guard John Simpson, plus a healthy Alijah Vera-Tucker and Joe Tippmann) is stronger than last year. While Breece Hall and the run game could siphon some touches, Knaeble’s greater concern for volume actually helps Wilson: negative game scripts and a shallow receiver room should funnel targets his way, giving him weekly ceiling and season-long consistency.

Billy Jones warned that Garrett Wilson could post a career-low target total in 2024 because the Jets “are just not going to throw that much.” Jones said his own pass-attempt projection for New York comes in well below league average, making it hard for Wilson to justify a third-round Best Ball Mania price tag even in a best-case scenario. While Jones still likes stacking Wilson with an under-priced Justin Fields for correlation equity, he views Wilson as a net loser if the Jets lean on Breece Hall and defense the way the coaching staff continues to signal. Jones advised drafters to pivot to receivers with clearer 140-target paths—such as Nico Collins—until Wilson’s ADP drifts into the late third.

Jason Moore argued that Garrett Wilson remains a strong WR2 despite the quarterback change. Moore projected 150-plus targets after noting the Jets added zero impact pass catchers in the draft and let Tyler Conklin walk. Even if Justin Fields repeats last year’s 63 percent on-target rate, Moore pointed out that 140 catchable balls would have ranked 10th among receivers in 2024. Wilson already owned a 27 percent target share and posted 2.08 yards per route run in a broken Zach Wilson offense, so Moore believes pure volume keeps the floor intact while Fields’ deep-ball prowess (9.1 aDOT, 7th in NFL) unlocks more spike weeks. He recommended scooping Wilson in the late third round of best ball and redraft leagues, calling him a "discounted Chris Olave" profile.