Davis Mattek’s favorite late-round quarterback dart is Geno Smith. Smith has already led the league in completion percentage and produced a 30-TD season, and even during last year’s 'down' campaign he averaged 7.5 yards per attempt. Mattek thinks Chip Kelly could bring a high-tempo, aggressive attack to Las Vegas, giving Smith the context to turn those efficiency metrics into weekly QB1 spikes while costing nothing more than a 12th-round ticket.

Geno Smith continues to fall in drafts, and Jagger May is happy to exploit that inefficiency by waiting on his QB2 until Smith is available. May praised the Raiders’ revamped roster construction—crediting Tom Brady’s influence—and specifically mentioned OC Chik Kelly’s scheme fit. At Smith’s bargain price you get reliable weekly production with sneaky multi-TD upside, allowing drafters to allocate earlier picks to scarce positions while still finishing with a viable quarterback room.

Colm Kelly called Geno Smith a glaring value at QB24 ADP in superflex best-ball drafts. Smith still averaged 0.46 fantasy points per drop-back last season—12th-best in the league—yet drafters price him as a low-end starter. Kelly likes stacking him with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp to capture every Seattle passing touchdown. He expects new OC Ben Grubb to remain among the top-five in neutral-situation pass rate and pointed to an indoor Week 16-17 slate (Detroit, Minnesota) that can deliver tournament-winning spike weeks. The recommendation: take Smith as a discounted QB2 whenever the board lets him slide past ADP.

Cooter Doodle advised scooping up Geno Smith as the 25th QB off 2025 draft boards, noting he finished 4th in passing yards last season despite Seattle’s bottom-tier offensive line. Now in Las Vegas he inherits a better front and a supporting cast of Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers. Smith is projected for only 22 TDs after throwing 21 on 578 attempts a year ago, yet Doodle argued the projection bakes in all the downside with none of the yardage ceiling; another 4,000-yard campaign would push him into weekly top-20 territory. At his late price she views him as a cheap insurance policy with hidden upside for single-QB redraft leagues.

Brandon Anderson said Las Vegas owns the best upside of any offense he ranked outside the top-20. Upgrading to Geno Smith—whom he places inside his top-10 quarterbacks—unlocks Chip Kelly’s creative, run-centric system featuring explosive rookie back Ashton Genti and weaponized tight end Brock Bowers. Anderson trusts Smith’s deep-ball accuracy to raise the ceiling well beyond last year’s baseline and views Raiders skill players as under-valued darts in drafts while backing overs on their season totals.

Erik Beimfohr said Geno Smith is the single biggest discrepancy between his quarterback rankings and current ADP. Smith is going outside the top-24 signal-callers on Underdog, yet Beimfohr grades him a fringe QB1 and owns only 7 % exposure, a number he called "wrong" and plans to correct. He cited three reasons: (1) virtually every projection service ranks the Raiders defense bottom-five, setting up weekly shoot-outs; (2) Las Vegas quietly built a strong supporting cast with Brock Bowers over the middle, dependable slot man Jacoby Myers, and rookie burner Dante Thornton to clear out space; and (3) Smith himself is an underrated real-life passer whose accuracy and willingness to push the ball mesh perfectly with those weapons. Beimfohr’s actionable takeaway: make a conscious effort to draft more Smith-led Raider stacks before his price adjusts.

Erik Beimfohr recommended Geno Smith as the ideal "punt" quarterback. Smith regularly slips to the 14th round even though he already delivered top-12 fantasy production with Seattle and now pilots a Raider offense that can be inexpensively stacked with Brock Bowers, Tyquan Thornton and Bech. Beimfohr said Smith "should have been going in the 10th or 11th with the Jordan Love–Trevor Lawrence tier" and called him a classic "window quarterback" who can throw 30 touchdowns while freeing early picks for other positions. That combination of price, past production and easy late-round stacking makes Smith his favorite QB safety valve when he pushes the position.

Erik Beimfohr called Geno Smith his favorite punt quarterback, noting Smith is the single biggest gap between his personal ranks and ADP. The Raiders’ shaky defense should push Smith into pass-heavy scripts, and stacking him is painless: Brock Bowers, Jakobi Meyers and deep shots like Dante Thornton all come at bargain prices. Beimfohr expects the market to eventually move Smith up to the 10th-11th-round window with the Jordan Love–Trevor Lawrence tier, so grabbing him in the 15th as a QB2—or even as a late QB1 after an elite—locks in exposure to multiple spike weeks without sacrificing early capital.

Steve Palazzolo advised treating Geno Smith as a draft-day bargain QB2 with weekly QB1 spike potential. He argued the veteran is “absolutely an upgrade” and finally gets a supporting cast that can win through the air: Bowers at tight end, Jacoby Myers as a steady No. 2, 99th-percentile athlete Dante Thornton stretching the field, and first-rounder Ashton Gentie forcing loaded boxes. Palazzolo added that Smith masked Seattle’s interior-line issues last year; Vegas’ front, anchored by Colton Miller and Dylan Parham, should be at least equal and possibly better. Chip Kelly’s tempo-friendly, matchup-driven attack plus Carroll’s willingness to trust the pass means Smith could surpass the 572 attempts he averaged the last two seasons, while still benefiting from Carroll’s play-action heavy tendencies. Red-zone miscues remain a concern, but volume, efficiency, and upgraded weaponry make Smith a strong late fantasy target and a cheap DFS pivot in shoot-out weeks.

Purviance pointed out that Geno Smith is "way, way, way" down draft boards despite finishing as a borderline QB1 last year. Smith logged nine top-12 weekly finishes and ended the season just one slot behind Brock Purdy. In superflex or two-QB formats, Purviance views him as a cheap, steady QB2 who can be drafted long after the flashy names are off the board.

Polzin leaned under 49.5 passing yards for Geno Smith on Underdog. Pete Carroll historically gives his veterans one series in the first preseason game, and Smith cleared 50 yards in just 1 of 5 such preseason drives under Carroll. Although the Seahawks have new skill talent, Polzin doubts Carroll abandons his usual approach, making the line too high for likely six to eight pass attempts.

Best Ball Guy pushed for drafting Geno Smith because their roster already included both Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers, giving them a rare three-man Raiders passing stack at a cheap ADP. He argued the quarterback pool had dried up, nothing else on the board "was that great," and completing the stack now locks in correlated touchdown equity for the BBM playoff weeks rather than chasing individual one-off picks such as Cedric Tillman. The tout framed it as a tournament-winning construction move that lets them keep hammering late-round running backs afterward.

Best Ball Guy insisted Geno Smith was a "must" because the roster already had a double Seattle bring-back, giving the lineup essential correlation upside. He acknowledged Smith’s Week-8 bye overlaps with Sam Darnold’s but said the stack value outweighs the scheduling inconvenience and plans to carry three quarterbacks to cover the gap.

Best Ball Guy forecasted a big rebound for Geno Smith after his move to Las Vegas. He blamed last season’s struggles on Seattle’s “shittiest O-line in football” and expects the Raiders’ superior pass protection and weapons to restore the 2022 version of Smith. Drafting him as a late QB2/stack partner, Best Ball Guy is confident the veteran will finish as a top-15 fantasy quarterback at a bargain price.

Best Ball Guy said Geno Smith is a screaming value at his current QB26 cost. Smith has logged roughly 300 rushing yards in every season he has started wire-to-wire and already owns a 4,000-yard, 30-TD campaign on his resume. BBG highlighted the Raiders’ loaded skill group—Bowers, Besh, Tyquan Thornton, Jakobi Myers, Trey Tucker and pass-catching back Genti—and a fast-paced scheme that should flood Smith with volume. Because of that supporting cast and his proven dual-threat production, BBG believes it would literally take an injury for Smith not to beat his ADP, making him a staple late-round quarterback in best-ball portfolios.

Swanson called Geno Smith an unglamorous but highly useful last-round pick in redraft. While drafters chase the unknown ceiling of rookie signal-callers, Smith brings an every-week floor that could still sneak into the top-15 at the position. Swanson’s logic: pocket the 3,800-yard, 20-TD baseline Smith has shown, stash him behind your upside starter, and avoid a frantic waiver bid if the rookie hits turbulence.

Brown noted Geno Smith was already QB15 per game while Seattle ranked 4th in pass attempts, and he quietly finished 13th in YPA, 4th in CPOE and 10th in highly-accurate throws. His collapse under pressure (35th passer rating, 4th highest turnover-worthy rate) was exacerbated by the Seahawks’ 19th-graded pass blocking. The Raiders were 14th, so Brown expects fewer collapses in the pocket and plenty of volume spikes, making Smith a reliable high-end QB2 with matchup-dependent ceiling weeks for streamers.

Best Ball Guy said Geno Smith is the screaming value of late-summer drafts, noting they just grabbed him roughly 30 picks after his current ADP. He argued Smith is 'easily live to finish as the quarterback 12' because (1) the Raiders’ pass-catcher group mirrors the talent he thrived with in Seattle, (2) camp reports have consistently said Smith is "balling out," and (3) he still offers a baseline rushing floor comparable to Baker Mayfield that pads weekly fantasy scoring. The tout reminded viewers Smith used to be a 10th-round pick with the Seahawks, so a double-digit discount in Las Vegas makes him a must-click in Best Ball rooms whenever the board falls this way.

Candayman argued that Geno Smith is the most undervalued quarterback in current Best Ball rooms. Vegas lists the Raiders with an 8.5-win total and Smith’s season-long passing-yards prop lines up with a QB15 median, yet he is still drafted around QB24. Smith offers a built-in 350-yard rushing baseline— comparable to Baker Mayfield’s 2024 output—but costs five full rounds less. Candayman emphasized the lack of bench risk (“he’s not losing his job”) and pointed to an upgraded supporting cast: first-round tight end Brock Bowers, chain-moving slot Jacobi Meyers, and deep threats Tyquan Thornton and Trey Tucker. His thesis: if Smith simply throws 25 TDs (not 40) while maintaining that rushing floor, he finishes solidly inside the top 15 and smashes current ADP, making him a perfect third-QB anchor in tournament builds.

Jake Ciely is neutral-to-bearish on Geno Smith despite the 16th-round ADP. He expects Antonio Pierce to run a balanced Raiders attack featuring Zamir White and says the defense is good enough that Smith won’t need to throw 600 times. Ciely cited researcher Ryan Heath, who found that even last season’s struggling QBs delivered more catchable passes than Geno. With minimal rushing juice, Ciely believes Smith would need a massive volume spike that simply isn’t coming, making Michael Penix or Bryce Young much better late-round pivots.

Hayden Winks ranked Geno Smith ninth overall and called him a mis-priced fantasy starter and prop-bet target. Smith sits fifth in completion percentage over expected on 20-plus air-yard throws across the last three seasons and was PFF’s QB7 when kept clean in 2024 despite playing behind one of the league’s worst pass-blocking lines. Winks highlighted that Smith led the NFL in check-down success rate, proof he is reading defenses rather than settling. The blemish is an 8% interception rate on late-down, five-plus-yard attempts when he drifts into hero mode after the pocket breaks. Winks expects new OC Ryan Grubb’s tempo and quick-game concepts to limit those busted-play picks and set up more calibrated vertical shots to DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. With current ADP around QB20, he urged season-long and best-ball drafters to scoop the discount and bet the over on Smith’s 3,900-yard passing prop.

Best Ball Guy called Geno Smith his “Baker Mayfield candidate” for 2024 drafts. Smith is going in the 14th round as QB26, yet BBG expects him to be selected in next year’s 10th-round QB window after a bounce-back season. He likes that Smith brings a 350-yard rushing baseline every full season and is now tied to what he labeled a “fun” up-tempo offense featuring Brock Bowers, Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers. BBG trusts Smith over rookies such as Cam Ward or Bryce Young and thinks the late price tag lets drafters hammer other positions early while still landing a quarterback who could climb at least four rounds in ADP by August and provide weekly ceiling during the fantasy playoffs.

The What argued that Geno Smith is a glaring value in current best-ball rooms because drafters have not priced in the realistic scenario of Las Vegas trading for him. He framed it as an easy late QB pick that can be immediately stacked with Jacoby Myers, noting that "the market in the slappies do not respect Geno Smith with the Raiders." Given the earlier segment where he cited multiple beat-writer links between the Raiders and Smith, The What views the combo as a cheap way to capture an every-week starter tied to a narrow target tree. His advice: scoop Smith well after pick 150 and pair him with Myers for an inexpensive correlation that could pay off if the rumblings become reality.

Best Ball Guy doubled-down on his earlier endorsement of Geno Smith, stressing that the market still has not caught up to the veteran’s combination of floor and ceiling. He reminded listeners that Smith has cleared 350 rushing yards in every full season of his career, giving him a built-in weekly floor that most late quarterbacks simply do not supply. The tout added that Las Vegas’ offseason upgrades – Chip Kelly calling plays, plus a suddenly deep pass-catcher group featuring Bowers, Gentee, Besh, Jakobi Myers and Davante Adams – raise both Smith’s efficiency and spike-week potential. He also pointed to the Raiders’ 9.5-win Vegas total as confirmation that the team projects to be competitive, further insulating Smith’s fantasy output. With an Underdog ADP that still drifts past pick 145, Best Ball Guy views Smith as “essentially free,” making him an ideal QB2 or even QB3 in the three-quarterback builds he has been championing all summer.

Best Ball Guy said Geno Smith is being drafted far too late ("Geno at 170, what are we talking about?") and believes the veteran can finish around QB10—"this year’s Baker Mayfield" for best-ball drafters. He pointed to Chip Kelly’s arrival as OC and expects a warp-speed offense that maximizes volume: Smith will be throwing to a deep pass-catcher room that now includes rookies Gentee, Bowers and Besh alongside Jakobi Myers. In that context, Smith’s current ADP outside the top-20 quarterbacks is a gift; drafters can grab him as a second or even third QB and still capture weekly spike weeks that matter most in playoff rounds.

Kev Coleman pushed back on the Geno Smith enthusiasm, highlighting red-flag metrics from 2023. Under pressure Smith posted the league’s 35th-best passer rating and the 4th-highest turnover-worthy-throw rate; when kept clean he jumped to 13th in rating and 23rd in turnover risk. Coleman worries the Raiders’ unproven offensive line will leave Smith exposed far more often than Seattle did. He also expects Chip Kelly to lean on the run, limiting pass volume and forcing Smith to rely on pinpoint efficiency to stay fantasy-relevant. Add age-related decline and what Coleman calls "zero resale value" in dynasty, and he sees Smith as no more than a two-year QB2 floor play—fine for a mid-second if you desperately need a starter, but a poor bet to ever gain value or reach low-end QB1 territory.

Rich Cooling called Geno Smith a screaming value at QB28 on DLF, noting that managers can acquire him for a mid-second in superflex formats. Smith just signed a fresh deal and enters a Chip Kelly offense loaded with weapons—Brock Bowers, Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers—and an above-average run scheme that should keep defenses honest. Cooling believes the combination of scheme and talent locks Smith into top-24 fantasy production for at least the next two, and likely three, seasons. That profile makes him the perfect "bridge" QB3 for contenders who already roster a high-variance QB2 like Jordan Love or Michael Penix. Cooling’s rule of thumb is that any quarterback with three guaranteed starting seasons is worth a future 1st; since Smith costs half that, he views the move as a boring but championship-winning arbitrage play even though resale value will be minimal.

Steve Palazzolo said the Raiders shot their quarterback room from empty to viable QB1 territory by trading for Geno Smith. He pointed to Smith’s play over the last few seasons, calling him "at least a top-12 to 15 quarterback by every measure." Palazzolo believes the combination of Smith’s accuracy and Chip Kelly’s up-tempo scheme – the same system that unlocked Nick Foles’ 27-2 touchdown-to-interception campaign in 2013 and delivered Mark Sanchez’s career-best stretch – sets the table for weekly fantasy relevance. Add in Pete Carroll’s arrival as a proven culture changer and a draft class that supplied versatile playmakers such as Ashton Gentie and multiple big-bodied receivers, and Palazzolo expects a meaningfully higher passing ceiling. He framed Smith as a late-round steal in season-long leagues, a best-ball target whose spike weeks will come from volume and tempo, and a DFS pivot once salaries catch up, arguing the move improves Las Vegas immediately without mortgaging future roster flexibility.

Davis Mattek slotted Geno Smith in as the second quarterback on his current Best Ball Mania roster and explained why the veteran is the ideal late-round QB2. Mattek said, “They wrote me off, I didn’t write back,” calling that quote proof of the same ‘dog’ mentality scouts loved when Smith ran the 2012 West Virginia offense that turned Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey into living highlight tapes. In Mattek’s eyes, the deep-ball accuracy that produced those college explosions still shows up on film, giving Smith week-winning ceiling games whenever his big-play receivers hit. Because best-ball formats automatically capture those spike weeks, Mattek is comfortable drafting Smith behind an early stud like Josh Allen, believing the intangible edge plus proven vertical arm talent make him a cheap insurance policy that can swing playoff rounds if the Raiders find themselves in shoot-outs.

Davis Mattek said he would confidently take the over if bookmakers hang Geno Smith’s passing-TD prop around 22 or 23, as long as the veteran starts a full 17-game slate. Mattek reminded listeners that Smith has only had three true seasons as a starter and still cleared 22 touchdowns once—in Seattle’s notoriously conservative 2022 attack. He believes that number is Smith’s floor in Chip Kelly’s up-tempo scheme that historically finishes top-11 in total plays and projects a league-average or better scoring rate. Mattek pointed to the drastic upgrade in supporting talent—rookie bell-cow Ashton Gentry and generational tight end Brock Bowers—and projected a neutral-to-slightly negative pass rate over expectation but enough overall snaps for 580+ attempts. His takeaway for bettors is simple: if you get a 22-TD line, hit the over, with injury risk the only real sweat.

Davis Mattek argued that Geno Smith should be scooped up at his current late-round Best Ball price because the betting markets are underrating him. Books opened Smith at just 20.5 passing TDs and 3,500 yards, yet Mattek reminded listeners that even in Seattle’s conservative 2022 attack Smith reached 32 TDs and followed with 21 last year while ranking top-15 in composite EPA+CPOE. Mattek expects those numbers to climb behind Chip Kelly’s uptempo scheme (every Kelly NFL offense has finished top-11 in plays) and with an upgraded supporting cast featuring first-round RB Ashton Gentry and target-magnet Brock Bowers. He believes Las Vegas will still throw plenty—Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew combined for 17 TDs in the same environment—and projects Smith for a mid-QB1 ceiling if the offense scores at a league-average rate. Bottom line: Mattek is "going to draft a lot of Geno" and would take the overs on both posted prop lines.

Davis Mattek said he would take the over on Geno Smith’s 22-touchdown sportsbook prop as long as the veteran logs a full 17-game slate. Mattek argued that Smith’s career counting stats are misleading because he has only been a full-time starter for three seasons. With Chip Kelly calling plays, Las Vegas projects as an uptempo, YAC-centric attack that funnels red-zone chances to its two rookie stars. Mattek believes the improved supporting cast plus Kelly’s history of top-11 pass attempts in three of four NFL seasons raises Smith’s touchdown ceiling well above market expectations. He still views Smith as a QB2/3 in best ball, but the “over 22 TDs” ticket is his preferred way to invest.

Davis Mattek cautioned that Geno Smith’s counting stats are unlikely to pop in Las Vegas even though the quarterback is practically free in best-ball drafts. Sportsbooks opened Smith’s season props at just 20.5 passing touchdowns and 3,500 yards, a clear sign that the market expects a run-first approach from the Pete Carroll / Chip Kelly pairing. Mattek highlighted that Smith has eclipsed 30 touchdown passes only once (2022) and managed just 21 last year with better weapons. Now 35 years old, Smith is sandwiched between two rookie skill stars—first-round RB Ashton Gente and second-round TE Brock Bowers—so red-zone volume should funnel to the ground game and YAC opportunities rather than deep, fantasy-friendly strikes. Mattek is still willing to sprinkle Smith as a QB2/3 because of price, but he warned drafters not to chase a non-existent ceiling for DFS showdown slates or season-long leagues.

Jake Ciely argued that Geno Smith is getting ignored despite offering almost the exact same fantasy profile as Jordan Love. Ciely projected both quarterbacks for roughly 4,000 passing yards with a small but helpful rushing boost—"about 250-300 yards and a couple of scores on the ground"—yet drafters keep pushing Love up the board while letting Smith fall multiple rounds. Ciely reminded listeners that Smith has already delivered a full QB1 season in 2023 and still carries DK-Metcalf-level weaponry even if Antonio Pierce prefers a balanced attack. Because the market discounts him simply for changing teams and lacking offseason buzz, Ciely is happy to wait, skip the Love/Dak/Goff tier, and scoop Smith as a late QB2 who can post identical weekly spikes at a fraction of the cost.

Anthony Dabbundo said Geno Smith’s ugly 2023 red-zone numbers are primed for a sharp rebound now that he is out of Shane Waldron’s offense and operating indoors with the Raiders. Smith ranked bottom-five in touchdown rate inside the 20 last season, a slump Dabbundo blamed partly on play-calling; Waldron was fired after just one year and was "not particularly well liked" in Seattle. Smith now inherits Luke Getsy’s West Coast concepts and an upgraded skill group headlined by record-setting tight end Brock Bowers and chain-mover Jakobi Meyers. Dabbundo highlighted Smith’s lifetime splits—103.4 passer rating in domes versus 87.6 outdoors—and pointed out that 12 of Las Vegas’s 17 games will be under a roof. Between scheme change, friendlier environments, and better red-zone weapons, he expects Smith’s TD total to climb back into the mid-20s and labeled him a late-round fantasy quarterback with weekly DFS ceiling.

Davis Mattek highlighted Geno Smith, available around ADP 165, as one of his favorite late-round quarterback values. He noted that Smith sits in the same tier of weekly ceiling as passers being drafted 30–40 spots earlier but costs almost nothing, which frees drafters to hammer premium positions first. By starring Smith during his "draft-backwards" exercise, Mattek can confidently pass on mid-tier quarterbacks knowing a proven 4,000-yard passer with two elite receivers is waiting in the double-digit rounds. This price insulation lets him play a 2-QB build and still capture upside without sacrificing scarce wide-receiver capital.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound flagged Geno Smith as one of the last true discounts in Underdog’s new SuperFlex lobby. Smith opened the contest with a 96.0 ADP but is already coming off the board at 63 after only two-plus days of drafting. Pat expects the climb to continue because the tournament is barely 12 % full, meaning 9-of-10 final-day teams will have to pay an even steeper price once drafters finish pushing all starting quarterbacks into the top five rounds. He framed the pick as a ‘buy-now or watch him hit the 50s’ situation and prefers locking Smith in as a stable QB2 before the market fully reprices him alongside Brock Purdy and Jared Goff.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said the draft build built around Baker Mayfield and Bryce Young desperately needed a third quarterback and called missing Geno Smith a clear mistake. Smith was still on the board at picks 163-171, a pocket Pat views as the perfect spot to scoop a stable veteran who can paper over the floor concerns that come with two low-ceiling starters. He argued that spending that 14th-round pick on Geno would have "changed the whole trajectory of the team," giving the roster weekly survivability without sacrificing high-leverage receiver equity in earlier rounds. In Pat’s eyes, any draft that opens with shaky QB2s should plan to grab Geno in the 160s as an inexpensive insurance policy rather than forcing a Mayfield reach in the 90s.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Geno Smith is the perfect "naked" quarterback to grab in Underdog’s Eliminator. Because every round after Week 3 is a one-on-one coin-flip, Pat values steady weekly points over elaborate game stacks. Smith is currently slipping behind three rookie QBs despite logging 17 starts and finishing top-15 in fantasy points per game in back-to-back seasons. Seattle has finished top-12 in pass attempts each of those years and just imported OC Ryan Grubb’s up-tempo, vertical scheme while retaining Puka Nacua–level weapons in DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Pat argued that simply staying healthy for 17 games gives Smith a bankable 15-20 points most weeks—enough to survive early multi-team cuts and steal a head-to-head matchup without any Seahawks pass-catcher on the roster. At his current ADP he views Smith as pure closing-line value and a core advance-rate pick in this format.

Pete Overzet singled out Geno Smith as one of his favorite quarterbacks in the 90-to-160 ADP window, calling that stretch the ‘sweet spot’ for three-QB builds. Smith is routinely the last passer in that tier to come off the board despite finishing 10th in EPA per drop-back two years ago and retaining DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Overzet believes Seattle’s modest pass-rate projections are already fully priced in, while drafters are overlooking Smith’s sneaky 20-plus rushing-yard floor and cheap stacking partners. Because Best Ball Mania rooms bunch nine quarterbacks in that pocket, grabbing Smith around pick 150 lets you pair him with an earlier upside QB (Stroud, Tua, Kyler) and still tack on a late flyer like Tyler Shough for bye-week coverage. The strategy locks in weekly usability without paying the Round-4 tax attached to the elite names.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Geno Smith the perfect "panic quarterback" when early stacks fall apart. He pointed out that Smith routinely slides 10–15 picks past ADP yet carries almost zero benching risk—Seattle did not draft a quarterback and has fully guaranteed his 2024 salary. Pat likes pairing Geno’s late spike weeks with any of DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, or Jaxon Smith-Njigba because the trio guarantees at least one solid weekly ceiling game. Geno’s 4.9% big-time throw rate last year quietly matched Jared Goff, and Seattle still plays fast (6th in situational neutral pace). Pat is happily grabbing Smith as QB2 around pick 150 whenever the room leaves him there.

Mattek called Geno Smith “one of the skeleton keys for fantasy football this year.” If the veteran starts a full 17-game slate, Mattek believes his combination of steady volume, rushing sprinkles, and an underpriced stacking environment with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett can swing Best Ball tournaments. Because Smith slips well past QB20 in current ADP, drafters can pair him with an elite quarterback for spike-week coverage without sacrificing early picks.