Erik Beimfohr said drafters are sleeping on George Kittle’s unique blend of weekly floor and nuclear-week ceiling at his current 4-5 turn ADP.
He laid out how every offseason data point funnels targets Kittle’s way: Brandon Aiyuk is rehabbing an ACL, Ricky Pearsall and Jacob Cowing are already battling soft-tissue injuries, Jauan Jennings is focused on a contract extension, and the rest of the receiver room is replacement-level. With Christian McCaffrey pushing 29 and coming off a near-lost 2024, San Francisco is unlikely to “build the plane” around the aging runner, leaving Kittle as the most reliable pass-game option.
Beimfohr backed it up with 2024 production metrics tracked by Spike Week: • 3 nuclear weeks (top-3 among TEs, 20 % of his games) • 9 spike weeks total, meaning Kittle posted a spike in 60 % of his outings • only 3 duds all season, tied with Trey McBride for the fewest at the position • 12 usable weeks, providing a floor that previously eluded him.
That profile gave managers advance-rate juice during the regular season while still delivering the monster playoff upside best-ball formats crave. Because Brock Bowers and Trey McBride now go a full round earlier, Beimfohr is jamming Kittle whenever he’s on the board after pick 40, calling him "the cleanest path to capturing 49ers upside" and an easy leverage point on rooms chasing the trendier elite TEs.