Jason Logan said Jalen Hurts is a strong anytime-touchdown wager at -105 on bet365 for Monday Night Football. Logan tied the recommendation to Philadelphia's "Brotherly Shove" goal-line play that Green Bay tried to outlaw last spring, expecting Nick Sirianni to call it aggressively in this revenge spot. Hurts has not scored in two straight games—his second-longest rushing-TD drought since 2023—which Logan believes will motivate the staff to punch him in from short range. He cited touchdown projections between 0.4 and 0.7 (most ≥0.5) and noted he grabbed the prop earlier in the week at +140 but still likes the current price.

Schneidman recommended Jalen Hurts to score an anytime touchdown at +105. He expects Philadelphia to showcase its nearly unstoppable ‘tush push’ after Green Bay tried to have the play outlawed this offseason, giving Sirianni extra incentive to dial it up near the goal line. Although Hurts has logged only one rushing TD over his last five outings, his short-yardage usage remains intact, and Schneidman trusts the league’s best interior line to shove the quarterback across for six at least once Monday night.

Jess Root also advised betting Jalen Hurts OVER 0.5 interceptions at +145, labeling it a pure value play. Hurts has thrown only one pick all season and the Packers have just three team interceptions, yet Root argued turnovers are often random events—tipped passes, miscommunications, weather quirks—so the low historical rate actually boosts the likelihood of one popping up. With only a single mistake needed to cash and the plus money payout, Root sees this as a worthwhile hedge against the rest of a potentially pass-heavy script.

Jess Root played Jalen Hurts OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns at +135. Hurts fired four TD passes in his most recent game and has cleared two or more in back-to-back contests, doing so in five of his last six starts overall. Coming off a bye with a fully scripted game plan, Root expects Nick Sirianni to keep the air attack humming against a Green Bay secondary that just surrendered a walk-off loss to Carolina. The league’s most efficient red-zone offense (per EPA/play) gives Hurts multiple opportunities to reach the two-TD threshold again.

Despite Hurts’ pristine ball security (just one pick all season) and Green Bay’s modest three-interception total, Root likes OVER 0.5 interceptions at +145 purely for the odds. He reminded readers that tipped passes and fluky bounces create turnovers regardless of a quarterback’s track record. With only one mistake needed to cash and an implied probability under 41%, Root believes the number is mis-priced relative to the random nature of interceptions.

Root endorsed Jalen Hurts OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns at +135. Hurts erupted for four TD strikes in the Eagles’ 38-20 win over the Giants before the bye and has cleared two scores in two straight games and five of his last six overall. With Philadelphia coming in rested and still leaning on a pass-heavy red-zone script, Root sees two touchdown passes as the baseline expectation, making the plus-money price attractive.

Walder predicted Philadelphia will post its first positive pass-rate-over-expectation of 2025. Tampa Bay ranks first in EPA allowed vs designed runs, so Nick Sirianni will lean on Jalen Hurts’ arm rather than D’Andre Swift’s legs. A likely uptick in drop-backs (Philadelphia has been –7% PROE through three weeks) boosts stacking appeal for Hurts, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith in DFS while creating overs on Hurts’ yardage props.

Citing two wins over LA last year—including the playoff meeting—Cluff forecasted Philadelphia 30-17 and said Jalen Hurts "won’t need a late tush-push" this time. Bettors expecting another multi-score victory can lay the points with confidence.

Matty Betss said Jalen Hurts is flat-out mispriced at 24-1 to win MVP at Circa. He reminded viewers that Hurts finished second in the MVP race two seasons ago, then "regressed" only because Saquon Barkley stole so many headlines in 2024. Hurts already owns 55 career rushing touchdowns – the most ever by a quarterback through five seasons – and threw just five interceptions last year while captaining an offense loaded with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and now Barkley. Betss expects a 10-20 % touchdown regression from Barkley, freeing Hurts to pad both his rushing and passing TD totals behind a still-dominant offensive line. As long as the Eagles are winning and Hurts keeps the turnovers down, Betss believes the narrative and the stats will keep him in the top two or three all season, making 24-1 too juicy to pass.

Sam Monson said Jalen Hurts’ gaudy win–loss record owes as much to Philadelphia’s loaded roster as to individual brilliance. He cited Mike Sando’s annual QB tier survey in which only 3 of 50 league insiders slotted Hurts in Tier 1, leaving him closer to seventh-rounder Brock Purdy than to Patrick Mahomes. Monson added that the Eagles have fielded “one of the best rosters in the NFL every year he’s been there,” so raw wins can be misleading. Fantasy drafters paying top-three QB prices and bettors grabbing Hurts at short MVP odds (+800 range) are effectively buying a perfection scenario; Monson advised allocating that capital to quarterbacks the league itself already grades as true Taylor-Swift-level drivers of offensive production.

Ian Hartitz said fantasy managers should treat Jalen Hurts as a first-tier cheat code because he is effectively the Eagles’ goal-line running back. Over the last two seasons Hurts has produced 147 fantasy points on rushes inside the five-yard line, while Josh Allen is next closest at 93 and no other quarterback even hits 45. Hartitz argued that this short-yardage role stacks on top of Hurts’ already elite dual-threat profile, separating him from every non-rushing quarterback and from wide receivers with quarterback or age concerns. His takeaway: spend an early pick on Hurts (or Allen) instead of gambling on the uncertain WR2 tier once the top 12 receivers are gone.

FPTS Staff tagged Jalen Hurts as a fair-price "target" at his 36.0 ADP (QB4), arguing that a likely uptick in pass volume will restore his league-winning ceiling. Despite the Eagles’ four-year-low 47.5% pass rate in 2024, Hurts still produced 21.7 FPG (QB5) in 15 games and 22.9 FPG in his 14 full contests before a Week-16 concussion torpedoed many fantasy playoff runs. He ranked second only to Lamar Jackson in fantasy points per drop-back (0.74) and, even with his career-low 20.7% designed-run share, still led all QBs in rushing TDs for the fourth straight season. His scramble efficiency (9.3 YPC on 39 attempts) was the third-best mark in the Fantasy Points Data era, and the "tush-push" remains legal, fueling a projection of 11.4 rushing scores. The staff also notes he’ll operate behind Scott DeBenedetto’s No. 1-ranked offensive line and throw to an elite WR duo in what should be a more balanced 2025 offense. Hurts has finished top-six in FPG four years running; locking him in as the fourth QB off the board captures that stability with room for upside if passing volume rebounds.

Ian Hartitz called Jalen Hurts a borderline unfair value at his current Round 4-5 ADP. Hurts has produced at least 20 fantasy PPG every season and leads the league with 147.4 fantasy points from inside-five rush attempts over the last two years, 54 more than any other quarterback. Hartitz prefers taking Hurts over what he labels as “potential landmine” WR2s because the quarterback’s rushing-TD floor rivals that of high-end running backs.

Ryan Noonan said alt-market overs on Jalen Hurts’ passing attempts and yards are the only futures he wants exposure to on Philadelphia. Median projections price Hurts around 25 throws because the Eagles usually lean run-heavy, but Noonan reminded listeners that any game in which Philly falls behind or decides to lean on A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith can spike Hurts to 35–40 attempts. Books struggle to account for that tail outcome, leaving +300-type ladder bets mis-priced whenever the Eagles are underdogs or face another high-end offense. Rather than laying juice on division odds, Noonan plans to hunt those weekly alt overs whenever the game script hints at a track meet.

Connor Allen said he is eager to keep betting Jalen Hurts anytime-touchdown props this year because the Eagles’ Tush Push quarterback-sneak package remains legal and every bit as dangerous. Allen reminded listeners that Philadelphia was "absolutely dominant" with the play last season, turning virtually every 4th-and-short or goal-to-go snap into either a first down or six points. With the same top-rated offensive line intact and the coaching staff willing to treat 4th-and-1 anywhere past midfield as four-down territory, Allen expects Hurts to continue seeing multiple high-leverage rushing attempts per game. He views that volume, plus likely early-season plus-money odds, as a clear betting edge in touchdown-scorer markets.

Andrew Erickson said the Eagles are positioned to lean more on Jalen Hurts’ arm in 2025 and advised taking the over on Hurts’ season-long passing props and treating him as a slight buy-low in fantasy drafts. Erickson’s logic: (1) Saquon Barkley is coming off a 400-touch season, a workload that has historically led to year-after regression or missed time, so Philadelphia may protect him by throwing more. (2) The defense lost several veterans and was the second-healthiest unit in 2024; regression plus a younger secondary could force shootouts. (3) New OC Kevin Patullo has been Hurts’ passing-game coordinator since 2021, creating continuity even with play-calling changes. (4) Philadelphia kept its core receiving trio of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert intact. Put together, Erickson expects volume gains—projecting Hurts in the 34-to-36 attempt-per-game range versus 31.1 last year—and sees value on his 4,100-yard DraftKings prop and weekly DFS upside in likely higher-tempo game environments.

Erik Toft said he is backing off Jalen Hurts because the Eagles’ short-yardage hierarchy is about to change. Hurts has averaged 14 rushing touchdowns per season across the last three years, but Toft thinks that number is unsustainable after Philadelphia imported AJ Dillon to replace Kenneth Gainwell and complement Saquon Barkley. The 247-pound Dillon, "literally built for the goal-line" in Toft’s words, gives Nick Sirianni a way to preserve both Hurts and Barkley for the postseason instead of leaning on the Tush-Push every time they reach the 1-yard line. With elite pass catchers A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert also demanding touches, Toft expects a noticeable dip in Hurts’ rushing-TD total and has dropped him below the top two fantasy quarterbacks.

Purviance warned that Jalen Hurts’ third-round ADP bakes in another season of one-yard "tush-push" touchdowns that may not repeat. Hurts averaged 14 rushing scores over the last three seasons but logged just QB7 overall in 2024 because he missed three games and doesn’t run for big yardage. Game logs show the floor: 10 fantasy points vs the Saints and 15 vs the Rams when he failed to score on the ground. Purviance also noted Hurts isn’t outrunning defensive linemen anymore and that new backup A.J. Dillon could siphon goal-line work. He’s fading Hurts unless the price drops into the late fourth.

Best Ball Guy argued that stacking Jalen Hurts with A.J. Brown is an overlooked edge. Many drafters either take Hurts naked or link him to DeVonta Smith when board dynamics separate the two stars. By instead grabbing Brown early and adding Hurts later, managers create a rarely duplicated superstar stack that maximizes the Eagles’ weekly ceiling and provides playoff uniqueness similar to the Lamar-Flowers approach.

Gene Clemons said drafters in two-quarterback leagues should prioritize Jalen Hurts because rushing production is weighted more heavily than passing in standard scoring (1 point per 10 rushing yards vs 1 per 25 passing). He illustrated the math: 50 rushing yards are worth the same as 100 passing yards, so a 225-yard passing day with 50 on the ground produces more fantasy points than a 300-yard pocket performance. Hurts has logged double-digit rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons, a feat Clemons contrasted with Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield, who exceeded 4,500 passing yards and 40 passing TDs yet still lagged behind Hurts in total fantasy output. Because those "hidden" scramble and goal-line points create a higher weekly floor and ceiling, Clemons urged managers to grab Hurts in the first round of 2QB drafts and treat him as a league-winning differentiator over pure pocket passers.

Dwain McFarland called Jalen Hurts his most-drafted quarterback because Hurts is sliding to the Round 3-4 turn (ADP 37). Even while posting a career-low 194 passing YPG in 2024, Hurts still scored 22.0 PPG and has three straight top-QB seasons (25.6 and 22.4 PPG in 2023-22). Philadelphia’s pass rate cratered to a league-low 48 % (-6.5 % DBOE) in 2024 due to constant positive game scripts, a scenario McFarland deems unlikely to repeat; his 2025 projection is a 54 % drop-back rate and roughly 225 passing YPG. Hurts dominates high-value rush touches, logging 14, 15 and 13 TDs the past three years and the NFL’s highest inside-five carry share. With an elite line and A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith weaponry, McFarland projects a 22.5 median and 28.5 ceiling, branding Hurts a Round 4 "steal."

Fantasy Nerds Staff said that Jalen Hurts is a steal whenever he lasts beyond the third round of 2025 fantasy drafts. They pointed out that Hurts is being selected one to two rounds after Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen despite matching their weekly ceiling. Supporting data included his 2024 averages of 42.2 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown per game, plus a league-best 18 red-zone carries inside the five. With A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert still in place, the staff argued Hurts owns the same rushing floor as Jackson while operating in an offense loaded with elite pass-catchers. The combination of discounted ADP, rushing equity and weaponry makes him their favorite Round-3-or-later quarterback target in season-long drafts.

Francesconi slotted Jalen Hurts as the mid-first pick once Allen, Jackson and Daniels are gone, citing Hurts’ unmatched goal-line usage. Philadelphia dialed up 34 QB carries inside the five over the past two seasons — eight more than any other team — giving Hurts a built-in top-5 weekly ceiling even in games where passing volume dips. At only 26 years old and attached to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith through 2027, Francesconi believes Hurts’ rushing-plus-weapons combo secures multiple elite seasons without the age cliff that comes with older pocket passers.

Andy Holloway called Jalen Hurts "pretty much a lock for 10 rushing touchdowns, probably closer to 15," and argued that grabbing him in the late-second or early-third is better roster construction than paying a full second-round price for Josh Allen. Hurts has averaged roughly 21 fantasy points in three of the past four seasons, and Holloway sees room for a passing-volume bump if Saquon Barkley misses time or game scripts force more throws. Because the point gap between Hurts and Allen will be small while the cost gap is a full round, Holloway prefers the Hurts side of that decision.

Sam Monson said fantasy managers should stop treating Jalen Hurts like an automatic top-five quarterback in 2025 drafts. He argued Hurts’ counting stats are inflated by Philadelphia’s elite roster and almost automatic short-yardage ‘tush-push’ touchdowns, not by elite throw-for-throw play. Monson noted that while Hurts’ clutch gene and rushing floor are real, an unbiased film review still puts him outside the NFL’s very top tier. Because much of Hurts’ perceived ceiling is narrative-driven—two strong Super Bowl showings, palpable leadership, the Alabama/Oklahoma pedigree—Monson believes drafters are paying a premium for intangibles rather than weekly fantasy advantage. His bottom line: value Hurts as a mid-QB1, not a round-two anchor, and spend that early capital elsewhere.

FPTS Staff categorized Jalen Hurts as a "target" at his 40.0 ADP (QB4) and argued he is priced correctly but carries league-winning upside if the Eagles tilt slightly back toward the pass. Even with Philadelphia’s four-year low 47.5% pass rate and a concussion that wiped out Week 16, Hurts still delivered 21.7 FPG (QB5) and 22.9 FPG in his 14 full outings. Efficiency remained outrageous: 0.74 fantasy points per drop-back, second only to Lamar Jackson. Designed runs accounted for 20.7% of his attempts — his lowest rate yet but still higher than any other QB — while he racked up 9.3 yards per scramble (39/365). The famed tush-push helped him post double-digit rushing TDs for a fourth straight year, and their projection (11.4 rush TDs) keeps him top-four at the position. The staff notes he plays behind the site’s No. 1 graded offensive line and still throws to an elite WR duo, but expects a more balanced attack to unlock extra drop-backs. Bottom line: four consecutive top-six FPG seasons plus bankable goal-line usage make Hurts a rock-solid selection at cost with legitimate overall QB1 upside if volume bounces back.

McFarland called Jalen Hurts the bargain of Tier 1, noting his ADP has slipped to 40.1 (Round 4) while his projection (floor 18.3, ceiling 28.5 PPG) mirrors Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. Even in last year’s extremely run-heavy script (league-low 48 % drop-back rate) Hurts still produced 22.0 PPG and a career-high 14 rushing TDs. The analyst projects Philadelphia to rebound to a 54 % pass rate, giving Hurts 225 passing yards per game to go with his league-leading 37 % share of carries inside the five. Protected by PFF’s No. 1 offensive line and flanked by A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and newcomer Saquon Barkley, Hurts is labeled an “absolute smash” at his current draft cost.

Strachan argued Jalen Hurts’ QB4 ADP undersells the league’s premier short-yardage weapon. Hurts has punched in 42 rushing TDs across his last 62 regular-season games thanks to the still-legal tush-push, giving him weekly two-touchdown upside that few quarterbacks can match. Even if his passing efficiency lags behind Lamar Jackson’s, Hurts’ patented goal-line role and surrounding talent keep his median and ceiling projections higher than where he is being drafted.

Ian Hartitz argued that Jalen Hurts offers the most bang for the buck among the ‘big four’ quarterbacks, and he backed it up with numbers. Over the past two seasons Hurts has generated 147 fantasy points on carries inside the five—57 more than Josh Allen and more than triple every QB except Allen and Anthony Richardson. Hartitz credited Philadelphia’s unique tush-push package for this edge and pointed out that Hurts’ ADP lags a full round behind Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen in most drafts. Given identical per-game ceilings, Hartitz believes drafters should attack that discount and take Hurts at the three-four turn rather than paying late-second capital for the other dual-threat passers.

Jake Ciely said Hurts belongs on his own tier at quarterback because no one can touch his goal-line production. Ciely pulled the numbers from his projections database: 147 fantasy points for Hurts on carries inside the five over the last two seasons, with Josh Allen a distant second at 90 and Anthony Richardson the only other passer above 40. Ciely stressed that Philadelphia designs its offense so Hurts, not the running backs, is the primary short-yardage finisher, giving him a weekly rushing-touchdown floor that simply does not exist anywhere else. That unique role is the driver for Ciely’s rank and projection edge, not just raw rushing volume, making Hurts a set-and-forget QB1 in season-long and a priority ceiling play whenever his DFS salary dips.

Rich Hribar noted that Jalen Hurts routinely slips to QB5—often behind Joe Burrow—making the entire Eagles stack far too easy to assemble in Best Ball drafts. With Hurts available a round later than expected, drafters can pair him with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert without paying full freight for an elite offense. Hribar said it feels like "getting away with something" given the front-end spike weeks Hurts supplies.

Rich Hribar reminded listeners that with the tush-push again legal, Hurts produced two of the three greatest one-yard-line fantasy seasons of the past 25 years in 2023. Those six-point rushing touchdowns create outsized scoring relative to four-point passing TDs, giving Hurts unmatched red-zone leverage. Hribar still ranks Hurts over Jayden Daniels despite Daniels’ rushing profile, citing Philadelphia’s designed goal-line package and massive touchdown equity. Landing Hurts as the fourth QB off the board behind Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes is, in Hribar’s words, “stealing” for best-ball drafters stacking him with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

Ariel Epstein advised taking the over on Jalen Hurts’ 3,200.5 season-long passing-yard prop. Hurts logged only 2,903 yards last year, yet Epstein expects new coordinator Kevin Batulow to front-load the passing attack to preserve Saquon Barkley. Hurts already flashes elite deep-ball chemistry; Batulow’s mandate is to improve his intermediate efficiency while maintaining the same overall scheme familiarity under Nick Sirianni. With a 300-yard cushion versus last season, a friendlier early-season pass rate, and the goal of keeping Barkley fresh, Epstein believes Hurts can eclipse 3,200 yards and reward over bettors.

Chris Raybon called Hurts the elite passer with the widest gap between ADP and upside. Raybon reminded listeners that Hurts’ career highs—32 attempts and 247 yards per game—came just two seasons ago, and any Saquon Barkley injury would force volume back toward those numbers. If Hurts adds that passing bump to his still-legal Tush Push TD production, Raybon believes he could run away with overall QB1 honors, especially if Josh Allen’s rushing scores regress or Lamar Jackson misses time. He is comfortable drafting Hurts once he slips past his 32.0 ADP, labeling him his favorite target among the top-tier quarterbacks.

Sean Koerner said Jalen Hurts is set up for a textbook positive-regression year as a passer while retaining his nuclear rushing upside. Koerner bumped Hurts’ projection to 27.5 pass attempts and roughly 3,200 yards after last season’s 24.1 attempts and 1,930 yards, noting 2023 was artificially deflated by a dominant 2,000-yard Saquon Barkley rushing campaign that shortened drives and locked Philadelphia into run-heavy scripts. He added that A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert logged only 79 snaps together, suppressing efficiency that should normalize if the trio stays healthier. With the league refusing to ban the Tush Push, Koerner still pencils Hurts in for 11–12 rushing TDs, giving him both a safe weekly floor and top-overall ceiling. He ranks Hurts QB4 but views him as a slam-dunk pick when he slips into the late third or early fourth round of season-long drafts.

Best Ball Guy pitched the Hurts-A.J. Brown-DeVonta Smith triple stack as this year’s version of last season’s Chase-Higgins-Burrow combo that powered so many tournament winners. Because Brown often goes near the 1-2 turn, Smith lingers until Round 5, and Hurts sometimes slips into Round 4, BBG said drafters can start with an anchor running back like Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey and still land all three Eagles studs in the next three rounds. Very few rooms are building that construction, creating a naturally unique roster that captures every Philadelphia passing touchdown while preserving elite RB scoring. He believes that concentrated correlation plus differentiated roster texture is the perfect recipe for smashing small-field contests such as the $50 Chow Chow and Sprint formats.

Best Ball Guy said grabbing Jalen Hurts whenever he slips past ADP is a true "luxury pick." He had already opened the draft RB-RB and pointed out that the running-back shelf is bare on the following turn while wide-receiver depth remains strong. Snapping up Hurts now locks in an elite dual-threat ceiling without sacrificing receiver volume later. In his words, you avoid the dead-zone tier at running back, still double-tap wideouts on the wrap, and end up with a quarterback who can hang a 30-burger any week. He thinks that little roster-construction edge is especially valuable in the new $50 Chow Chow rooms where every point matters.

McFarland labelled Jalen Hurts an "absolute smash" at his Round-4 consensus ADP (40.1). Even in a worst-case 2024 environment where Philly led on 47% of snaps and posted league-low 48% drop-back rate, Hurts still scored 22.0 PPG and ran for 13 TDs. He has recorded 14, 15 and 13 rushing TDs the last three years and commands a league-high 48% of the Eagles’ carries inside the 5. McFarland projects 54% drop-back rate in 2025 (in line with 2022-23), bumping passing to roughly 225 YPG while the league’s No.1 offensive line and addition of Saquon Barkley keep red-zone efficiency sky-high. Model range: 18.3 floor, 22.5 median, 28.5 ceiling. Cheapest path to elite dual-threat production.

Hayden Winks argued Jalen Hurts remains a fantasy cheat code despite ranking him seventh overall. Hurts finished fourth in EPA on quarterback runs last season and showed he is more than a tush-push merchant by ripping off a 48-yard counter TD that included outrunning a linebacker and shrugging a defensive tackle. Winks pointed out Hurts is actually QB1 in completion percentage over expected on third and fourth downs over the past two years and noticeably improved against blitz looks once Kellen Moore arrived late in 2023. Combine that with his bucket-drop deep accuracy to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith and the defensive stress Saquon Barkley will add, and Winks expects another top-five fantasy finish even if Hurts’ traditional pocket stats lag behind the pure passers.

Davis Mattek called Jalen Hurts the best value on the board once drafts hit the fifth round. He noted a clear tier break at wide receiver after George Pickens, meaning the opportunity cost of quarterback is lowest at that turn. Pairing Hurts’ elite rushing production with his top-five projection in every scoring setting outweighs any stacking concerns, especially for drafters who have already secured premium receivers. By taking Hurts at pick 51, Mattek explained, drafters avoid being boxed into Jared Goff or J.J. McCarthy later and keep the structural integrity of their Hero RB roster intact.

Ryan Heath highlighted Jalen Hurts as another prime Round 3-4 target. Hurts, along with Allen and Lamar Jackson, owns a 5-for-6 track record of league-winning seasons when drafted in that pocket the past three years. Heath’s study shows Hurts easily satisfies the key marker of at least 55 rush attempts (he logged 164 last season) while adding a unique cheat-code with the Eagles’ goal-line ‘tush-push.’ The Eagles’ offense remains stacked, and Hurts is still under 30, keeping age-related decline off the table. Heath argued that passing on shaky mid-round WRs like Davante Adams or Terry McLaurin in favor of Hurts’ weekly 25-point ceiling is the sharper path because you can circle back for mis-priced rookies such as Brian Thomas later.

Brandon Kravitz said he would stay away from Jalen Hurts at 17-to-1 in the MVP market. His reasoning: Philadelphia leans on the run to salt games away, which limits late-game heroics that sway voters. Credit on offense is spread among dominant wideouts, an elite line and newcomer Saquon Barkley, making it hard for Hurts to stand out individually. Kravitz noted the award’s quarterback bias still requires eye-popping counting stats and narrative comebacks—neither fits the Eagles’ typical game script. With several other quarterbacks offering clearer paths to gaudy volume, he advised putting betting dollars elsewhere.

Best Ball Guy said that while Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith make up one of the most popular early-round stacks in Underdog rooms, very few of those drafters are willing to burn another premium pick on Brock Bowers. Because Bowers goes two to three rounds earlier than tight ends normally paired with Hurts, tacking him on produces a Hurts-Smith-Bowers trio that will be dramatically under-duplicated in Best Ball Mania finals. He framed it as the perfect way to keep the "elite onesie" upside at quarterback yet still gain portfolio leverage, noting that uniqueness matters when Hurts is being drafted on roughly 20 % of all teams. His advice: if you already paid up for Hurts, spend the extra capital on Bowers to separate yourself from every other Hurts-Smith roster without sacrificing ceiling.

Best Ball Guy said the main common denominator on each of his last three finals teams was an elite quarterback—one roster had Jalen Hurts, another Lamar Jackson, and the third mixed in both Hurts and Stafford. He walked listeners through those line-ups to show that premier QB scoring carried otherwise imperfect builds (zero-RB experiments, weak WR3s, even a four-QB mess that still advanced). The takeaway: in Best Ball Mania and Superflex alike, paying a first- or second-round tax for a dual-threat stud massively boosts advance odds because their 30-point spike weeks mask misses elsewhere. BBG now treats Hurts, Jackson, Allen and Mahomes as non-negotiable anchors when they slip past ADP, even willing to reach a half-round to secure one before the cliff drops to the Dak/Love tier.

Best Ball Guy has started yanking Jalen Hurts up draft boards whenever A.J. Brown falls into his lap because, in his words, ‘everyone is stacking Hurts with Devonta Smith or Saquon.’ He notices far fewer drafters clicking the premium Hurts-Brown pairing, even though Brown owns the higher weekly ceiling thanks to his 2.55 yards per route run and league-leading 47% share of Philadelphia’s deep targets last season. By paying the small ADP premium to secure the duo on the same roster, BBG believes drafters gain unique exposure to Hurts’ 35-point spike weeks while still soaking up the target-hog receiver who can win tournaments on a single play. The mini-stack also frees him from hunting late Eagles consolidation pieces and lets him focus on filling out RB and TE value pockets instead.

Defending a build that opened Hurts/Saquon and later grabbed Joe Burrow at a post-ADP discount, The What said two early elite quarterbacks are "quite all right" in cumulative-scoring best-ball tournaments. He pointed to the 2023 regular-season BBM winner (Mathology) as proof that front-loading QB ceiling can juice weekly point totals, especially when both passers are stacked—Hurts with Barkley for goal-line TD correlation and Burrow with Tee Higgins. The What argued that locking in 50-point upside at the position frees drafters to embrace late-round chaos without worrying about a third quarterback, making the roster both flexible and high scoring through 14 weeks.

Jakob Sanderson is not shying away from Jalen Hurts even after the quarterback’s ADP bumped from the fifth into the fourth round. When Hurts was a fifth-rounder Sanderson said he was a "massive stand"; now, although the market has adjusted, Hurts is still the only elite signal-caller you can "get away with" drafting after a heavy wide-receiver start. Sanderson contrasted Hurts’ new tag with the third-round sticker prices on Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and Jayden Daniels and is forcing himself to take some Hurts exposure whenever the Eagle slips into Round 4.

Rich Hribar said the Eagles’ jump from the league’s 4th-easiest 2024 schedule to the 4th-hardest in 2025 should push Jalen Hurts back toward the 2023 volume that propped up his fantasy ceiling. Philadelphia trailed for only 62 fourth-quarter snaps last season, which produced just 86 total fourth-quarter dropbacks (44 fewer than in 2023) and a league-low 11.3 second-half dropbacks per game. Hribar expects that number to rise because the Eagles face ten 2024 playoff teams and will be "challenged a little bit more" every week. Even if the offense never becomes top-five in pass rate, Hurts averaged 17.8 first-half dropbacks (14th) before game script shut things down, so a return to league-average second-half volume could add 80-100 attempts. Hribar framed the schedule swing as a buy signal for Hurts and an upside catalyst for A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert in season-long drafts and best-ball rooms.

Best Ball Guy said drafters should be willing to click Jalen Hurts a full round ahead of ADP whenever they have already taken AJ Brown. After combing through his own portfolio with Best Ball Overlay, he noticed almost every Hurts roster in Best Ball Mania is paired with Devonta Smith or has no Eagles receiver at all, making the Hurts–Brown combination comparatively rare. By yanking Hurts into the early-fourth—roughly a 6-to-8-pick reach—you lock in Philadelphia’s alpha WR–QB connection and create leverage against a field that is building its Eagles stacks in a predictable way. He argued the modest reach is well worth the structural edge because Hurts still carries overall-QB1 weekly ceiling and Brown’s target-hog profile can swing playoff weeks 15-17 on his own.

Davis Mattek called the Jalen Hurts / DeVonta Smith combo at the Round-3/4 turn an "absolute smash." Hurts’ weekly 30-point rushing/TD ceiling paired with Smith’s WR1 spike weeks gives drafters two correlated cracks at blow-up games in the same lineup slot. Because Underdog half-PPR reduces the value of raw reception volume, Mattek prefers tying his expensive wideout to an elite, dual-threat quarterback instead of chasing a standalone WR2. He noted that the Eagles still project top-5 in implied points and routinely rank near the league lead in explosive plays, so any contest that shoots out instantly turns the stack into a week-winner. At current ADPs—Hurts 37, Smith 38—Mattek thinks the pairing is under-priced relative to more expensive Mahomes/Kelce or Allen/Diggs builds while offering the same tourney-winning upside.

Hayden Winks said Jalen Hurts is an auto-pick in the mid-fourth (47th overall) because every game-script variable breaks in his favor. Winks expects the Eagles’ defense to regress after losing multiple starters, forcing more neutral-pass situations that inflate Hurts’ volume. A healthy, ceiling-season from A.J. Brown would further boost counting stats, and any injury to newcomer Saquon Barkley would funnel additional goal-line opportunities back to Hurts. With top-five rushing equity already locked in and a historically efficient red-zone passing profile (0.76 EPA per dropback inside the 20 last year), Winks does not see a realistic path to Hurts failing at cost in Half-PPR or Best Ball formats.