Justin Herzig urged drafters to be overweight on Jaylen Warren at current ADP. He cited historical research showing third-round rookie running backs hit a usable fantasy season less than 20 % of the time, so new draftee Caleb Johnson is unlikely to leapfrog Warren immediately. Even if the rookie flashes, Warren’s proven pass-catching role and efficiency should still provide weekly RB2/FLEX scores. Herzig reminded listeners that Warren produced 10 startable weeks last season while sharing with Najee Harris and argued there are "several pathways"—injury, rookie ineffectiveness, or pure passing-down usage—for him to clear that mark in 2024. The combination of stable floor and contingent upside makes Warren a smash pick in the middle rounds of Best Ball Mania drafts.