Jason Moore told listeners to draft Jonathan Taylor as a safe mid-range RB1 but stop dreaming about a Bijan-or-Gibbs type ceiling. Taylor’s final five games last season projected to an absurd 2,500 rushing yards and 20 TDs, yet Moore reminded everyone those explosions came against four bottom-five defenses (Titans, Giants, Patriots, Jaguars). He still expects Steichen to hand Taylor 22–25 carries a week, but flagged three red lights: Anthony Richardson’s scramble/goal-line prowess will siphon touchdowns and check-downs, Indianapolis lost veteran linemen Ryan Kelly and Will Fries, and Vegas projects the Colts in the league’s bottom half for team scoring. Moore put Taylor’s odds of out-scoring Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and Saquon Barkley at just 5 %, while calling him a 75 % bet to finish somewhere in the RB1 ranks. Draft him for volume-driven stability, not an overall-RB1 repeat.