Jonnu Smith’s Underdog ADP plummeted eight rounds to 177.9 (TE11 consensus 120.1) after the Dolphins shipped him to Pittsburgh and he immediately picked up a day-to-day injury. Freedman noted Smith finally flashed in 2024 with an 88-884-8 receiving line on 111 targets, but now lands with OC Arthur Smith—famous for suffocating tight-end routes—and will share targets with Pat Freiermuth and a run-centric offense. Even if his injury proves minor, Freedman doubts any tight end can thrive in Arthur Smith’s scheme and recommends letting another manager chase last year’s outlier production.

Shawn Siegele wants no part of Jonnu Smith at his current ADP after the move to Pittsburgh. He agreed with Ben Gretch that Pat Friermuth is the clear favorite to lead Steelers tight ends in scoring, leaving Smith in a gadget-player role similar to what Arthur Smith envisioned in Atlanta. Siegele worries that Mike Tomlin’s staff will treat Jonnu as a "chess piece" rather than a volume receiver, meaning fantasy points will be inconsistent and touchdown-dependent. Given that profile and the presence of Friermuth, Smith offers little ceiling relative to the receivers and backs available in the same draft range, so Siegele is passing on him in best-ball formats.

James Koh called Jonnu Smith one of the most over-drafted tight ends, noting his current top-10 price completely ignores context. Pittsburgh already has superior pass catcher Pat Freiermuth and is expected to live in 12 personnel, a split Smith failed to win in New England when Hunter Henry out-produced him. Smith’s fluky 111 targets last season were a career high and more than his previous two seasons combined. Even the much-publicized reunion with Arthur Smith offers little comfort—Smith managed only 70 targets under Arthur in Atlanta, a number that would have ranked eighth among TEs last year. Koh is fading Jonnu in every format.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound celebrated nabbing Jonnu Smith at pick 170, calling it the perfect way to patch a thin tight-end room while adding correlation juice. Smith slipped nearly a full round past ADP in this lobby, and Pat admitted he carried only 1.3% exposure beforehand, so the value was double—closing-line equity plus portfolio diversification. He also loved that Smith gives him a Week-16 bring-back against Detroit for his Amon-Ra St. Brown/Jared Goff stack, turning a normally bland TE selection into a mini-game stack that could matter in Underdog’s money weeks. Pat sees very little risk at the price: if Smith’s usage in Mike McDaniel’s two-tight-end looks holds, the veteran can pop for a 15-point spike, and if not, the late pick barely dents roster construction.

Summerlin advised letting Jonnu Smith continue to fall after his move to Pittsburgh. The Steelers attempted 72 fewer passes than Miami last season and Arthur Smith offenses occupy three of the bottom 16 seasons in pass rate over expected during the past three years. Pittsburgh already used multiple-TE sets at the 6th-highest rate, so snaps are available, but volume is not. Smith’s yards-after-catch prowess (6th among TEs, 20th among all pass catchers last year) and prior 50-582-3 line with the 2023 Falcons keep the downgrade from being catastrophic, yet Summerlin sees little path to consistent fantasy relevance in an offense that will feature DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth.

Calling TE7 ADP "oh ye of little faith," Harris is all-in on Jonnu Smith at Pick 98. Smith erupted for 88 receptions, 884 yards, and 8 TDs in his first year with Mike McDaniel, ranking fourth among TEs in targets (111) and trailing only Bowers and McBride in fantasy scoring from Week 5 forward. Carter’s film study shows Jonnu crushed zone looks and commanded 96 of those 111 targets in the final 13 games. Even if Tyreek Hill bounces back, Harris views a second-year leap in McDaniel’s system and a bargain price as a recipe for top-5 upside.

Best Ball Guy planted a flag on Jonnu Smith as a priority Round-16 flier, arguing the veteran tight end could outright outscore Pat Freiermuth in Arthur Smith’s new Steelers scheme. He called Jonnu the second-most athletic pass catcher on the roster (92nd-percentile SPARQ) and expects him to line up as a de-facto wide receiver while Freiermuth handles inline duties beside rookie blocker Darnell Washington. Arthur Smith already coaxed a 41-catch, 8-TD season out of Jonnu in Tennessee, and BBG believes similar seam-stretching usage is coming in Pittsburgh’s play-action heavy attack. Given the 80-pick gap between the two tight ends, he’s happily pairing Jonnu with a mid-tier option like David Njoku and stopping at two TEs to free roster spots for late RB darts.

Best Ball Guy circled Jonnu Smith again as the perfect tight-end swing for a 700-thousand-entry best-ball tournament. He reminded listeners that Smith already logged a 60-percent snap share last year and now reunites with Arthur Smith in Pittsburgh, giving him a baseline of "about two points most weeks"—enough to avoid zeros while other positions spike. The real appeal is the ceiling: on weeks the Steelers lean into play-action seam routes, the veteran’s yards-after-catch ability can pop for 15–20 fantasy points, the kind of score that wins playoff rounds. At an 18th-round ADP he combines a usable weekly floor, direct correlation with any Kenny Pickett or George Pickens shares, and true tournament-winning upside, making him Best Ball Guy’s preferred TE3 in deep builds.

Best Ball Guy said Jonnu Smith is one of his favorite dirt-cheap tight ends to round out a three-TE build. Smith’s Underdog ADP is identical to last summer, yet this time he reunites with OC Arthur Smith—the coach who milked a TE1 season out of him in Tennessee. The tout believes that reunion plus Pittsburgh’s paper-thin receiver room makes Jonnu “probably the second-best receiver on the team,” giving him every-down snap potential and legitimate spike-week upside. Because he already played 60-plus percent of snaps last year and costs nothing in the 17th–18th rounds, Best Ball Guy is comfortable locking him in as the high-ceiling piece of his tight-end trio.

Best Ball Guy loved scooping Jonnu Smith at pick 179, reminding viewers that the veteran “dominated the Falcons’ room even with Kyle Pitts” the last time he played under Arthur Smith—who is now coordinating Seattle’s offense. He labeled Smith the roster’s second-most athletic weapon behind DK Metcalf and expects Aaron Rodgers to lean on his tight ends in condensed-area situations. With Smith’s 4.6 speed, top-five yards-after-catch rate during his previous Arthur Smith stint, and almost zero ADP tax, the tout sees a clear path to spiked-week usability that makes him a smash in two-TE builds.

Conor O'Driscoll snapped up Jonnu Smith nearly two rounds past his ranking and called him a must-have TE3 in FFPC drafts. O'Driscoll reminded listeners that Smith posted five games of 8+ receptions last season, a profile that explodes in 1.5 PPR scoring—eight catches alone bank 12 fantasy points before yards or touchdowns. He added that FFPC’s two flex spots let drafters start three tight ends, making a high-volume TE like Smith competitive with mid-tier WRs and RBs in weekly lineups. Jonnu sits TE14 in their in-house ranks but is routinely available in the ninth; Conor wants to exploit that gap because the positional leverage of a third double-digit tight-end week can swing playoff pods. Even with the recent trade to Pittsburgh (recording was pre-deal), he believes the Steelers’ shallow target tree behind George Pickens gives Smith a real path to 70–80 targets, plenty for a profit at his current price.

Harris is “all in” on Jonnu Smith at TE7, Pick 98. Smith reset Miami franchise TE records with 88-884-8 and ranked fourth in TE targets (111), with 96 looks from Week 5 on when he trailed only Bowers and McBride in fantasy scoring. Although his targets per route dip versus man coverage and a Tyreek Hill rebound is possible, Harris believes Smith’s second year in Mike McDaniel’s scheme should unlock further growth. Ninth-round cost erases the risk.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Jonnu Smith’s move to Pittsburgh vaporizes almost all of his best-ball appeal. With Pat Freiermuth entrenched as the primary pass-catching tight end, Smith now projects as, at best, the No. 4 target behind George Pickens, Roman Wilson, and the running backs. Pat expects Smith’s ADP to crater from the mid-teens to the Kyle Pitts–Hunter Henry range (around TE25-30), noting he will now be drafted behind names like Jake Ferguson, David Njoku, Tucker Kraft, and Colston Loveland. Unless drafters believe Pittsburgh will live in two-TE sets, Smith is strictly a last-round dart who needs multiple injuries to matter.

Jason Moore said Jonnu Smith went from his preseason TE4 to undraftable overnight. The trade to Pittsburgh throws him into a pure timeshare with Pat Freiermuth in Arthur Smith’s 12-personnel heavy, run-first offense. Moore noted Smith’s 20 % target share in Miami completely evaporates because Pittsburgh already uses three capable tight ends (Smith, Freiermuth, Darnell Washington) and will throw less than league average. With neither man projected to lead the positional pecking order, Moore advised fantasy drafters to cross Jonnu off redraft and best-ball boards unless bye-week desperation strikes.

Chris Liss called Jonnu Smith the screaming value of 2024 drafts. Smith is slipping into rounds 8-9 as the TE7-8 despite finishing last season as the overall TE2 from Week 10 on. Liss reminded listeners that Mike McDaniel treated Smith as the No. 2 target behind Tyreek Hill whenever Jaylen Waddle was banged up, and even when the full trio played Smith still earned a 19 % target share. He argued that the market is ignoring both Miami’s shallow target tree and Smith’s late-career trajectory— tight ends typically peak at age 28-29. If Miami stays healthy, Smith is locked in as the tertiary option; if Tyreek or Waddle miss time, he vaults to No. 2 and showed week-winning upside (six-catch, walk-off TD game in OT was Liss’s favorite example). A rumored trade to Pittsburgh would only help because Arthur Smith— the coach who turned Jonnu into a red-zone monster in Atlanta— now calls the Steelers’ plays. Liss said the gap between Smith and George Kittle is nonexistent yet Kittle goes three rounds earlier, so he is scooping Jonnu everywhere in best ball and season-long.

Jason Moore fist-pumped after landing Jonnu Smith in Round 8, calling him “literally my tight end four in full PPR.” Moore reminded listeners that Smith finished as the TE4 last season thanks to a 22 percent target share once Mike McDaniel pivoted to a quick-game, high-percentage attack that let Tua pepper underneath routes. Smith led all tight ends with 78 receptions over the final 12 games and posted the third-best yards-after-catch per reception (6.4) among qualifiers, evidence Moore says proves the efficiency is sustainable inside Miami’s spacing. With defenses forced to bracket Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle deep, Moore expects another 100-plus target season for Smith and views the eighth round as a massive discount relative to the positional edge he provides. He advised drafters to punt the position and scoop Smith wherever he slides past pick 80 in PPR formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Jonnu Smith’s slide from a 96 ADP to 114 “the gift I’ve been waiting for.” Smith’s 1.79 yards per route last season ranked 6th among TEs with 40+ targets, and Mike McDaniel targeted his TEs in the red zone 21% of the time—identical to Arthur Smith’s rate—so Pat sees no schematic drop-off if Smith stays in Miami. If the front office trades him, likely destinations include Arthur Smith’s Steelers or the TE-needy Jets, both of which would keep his route volume intact. Pat stressed that Smith now goes a half-round behind Evan Engram and a full round before the next TE tier, giving drafters an easy mid-draft island pick without sacrificing correlation. He projects 55 catches, 650 yards, and 5 TDs—good for TE12 numbers—and reminded listeners that a July resolution to the contract standoff could pop his ADP back into the 90s. “Grab the discount before the chart flattens,” he concluded.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound cautioned that Jonnu Smith’s price hinges on where he ultimately plays. Miami is acceptable at his current sticker—he still goes directly after Mark Andrews and before Evan Engram—but a rumored move to Pittsburgh would wreck his fantasy profile. Pat noted that a Steelers landing spot would drop Smith into the David Njoku tier because Pittsburgh ranks bottom-three in tight-end target share over the past two seasons and currently lacks a proven quarterback. Until the contract restructure is finalized, Pat is trimming exposure or taking him only on Tua stacks to protect against the downside.

Davis Mattek said Jonnu Smith is one of his favorite throw-away tight ends to mix into May best-ball portfolios. Mattek argued last year’s bloated Atlanta target total was more a symptom of a broken scheme than an indictment of Smith’s talent—proof that coaches will pepper him when the playbook stalls. Dropping him into Mike McDaniel’s turbo-charged Miami attack gives the Dolphins a curveball formation: weeks where defenses sell out to stop Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, McDaniel can pivot to 4-TE looks and feed the 6-3, 248-pound Smith on drags and RPO seams. In an offense that averaged 29.6 points in Tua Tagovailoa’s healthy starts, even a 12–14 percent target share would spawn two-TD spike weeks that matter in Underdog’s playoff pods. Because Smith is routinely available in Rounds 17–18, Mattek views him as a near-free ceiling bet who lets drafters punt early tight end without sacrificing upside.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound spotlighted Jonnu Smith as the perfect complement in patient tight-end builds. Smith’s 6.6 yards after catch per reception ranked third among tight ends last year, and Miami’s motion-heavy scheme under Mike McDaniel is tailor-made for that skill set. Pat expects Smith to function as the offense’s third read behind Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle but noted that both receivers missed time in 2023 and are another year older. If either star sits, Smith’s designed-touch role could balloon to 5-6 targets per game, a level that routinely lands tight ends in weekly top-12 range. Because he often slips past pick 190, Pat likes pairing Smith with a mid-tier option such as Dalton Kincaid and banking on one of the two emerging as a difference-maker during the playoff weeks.

Davis Mattek said he is drafting Jonnu Smith ahead of Travis Kelce straight up in Best Ball because he expects Miami to move Tyreek Hill at the trade deadline, creating a massive mid-season target void. Mattek walked through Mike Clay’s conservative projection of 67-693-4 (TE9, 159 PPR points) and argued that is the absolute floor if Hill exits. He thinks Smith will inherit many of the lay-up throws that kept Hill’s YAC numbers gaudy, while Jaylen Waddle soaks up the down-field routes. Mattek compared the potential volume surge to Darren Waller’s 2020 breakout after the Raiders traded Amari Cooper, noting that Mike McDaniel already targets tight ends in the red zone at a top-10 rate. At a double-digit ADP, Mattek believes Smith offers an outsized ceiling relative to cost and is a leverage pivot off early-round elites.