Davis Mattek said he is drafting Jonnu Smith ahead of Travis Kelce straight up in Best Ball because he expects Miami to move Tyreek Hill at the trade deadline, creating a massive mid-season target void. Mattek walked through Mike Clay’s conservative projection of 67-693-4 (TE9, 159 PPR points) and argued that is the absolute floor if Hill exits. He thinks Smith will inherit many of the lay-up throws that kept Hill’s YAC numbers gaudy, while Jaylen Waddle soaks up the down-field routes. Mattek compared the potential volume surge to Darren Waller’s 2020 breakout after the Raiders traded Amari Cooper, noting that Mike McDaniel already targets tight ends in the red zone at a top-10 rate. At a double-digit ADP, Mattek believes Smith offers an outsized ceiling relative to cost and is a leverage pivot off early-round elites.