Calling the TD prop the sharper angle, Paruk grabbed Over 1.5 passing touchdowns for Jordan Love at –118. Love was hyper-efficient in Week 1 and piloted four red-zone drives without a misfire. Paruk trusts Matt LaFleur’s motion-heavy red-zone package—71% TD rate since last season—to generate at least two short-area scores despite Washington’s respectable between-the-20s defense.

Chris Farley took Jordan Love over 226.5 passing yards, citing Matt LaFleur’s track record against Dan Quinn defenses (30, 31 and 48 points in three meetings). Love had 167 yards by halftime last week before game script stalled him at 188. Farley remains skeptical of Washington’s secondary and expects a more competitive game that keeps Love throwing. He referenced Love’s 2023 home splits—268.9 YPG average and a 251-yard median in victories—and noted that last year’s injuries muddied season-long stats. With Green Bay likely needing to match Jayden Daniels score-for-score, Farley projects 250-plus yards for Love.

Camenker advised betting Jordan Love OVER 5.5 rushing yards (-110). Love averaged 5.5 rush yards per game last season even while nursing an MCL sprain, and he enters Week 2 healthy outside of a minor thumb issue on his non-throwing hand. The Commanders just allowed Russell Wilson—hardly a run-first QB at this stage—to pile up 44 yards on eight scrambles, suggesting lanes will be there if Love pulls it down once or twice.

Lang is back on Jordan Love UNDER 0.5 interceptions. Love has gone nine straight regular-season games without a pick and opened 2025 completing 16-of-22 throws with zero turnovers. Now healthier and moving better than a year ago, Love faces a Washington defense that must rely on four-man pressure; if Green Bay’s line holds, Lang expects another clean sheet. He treats low-INT quarterbacks like Love the same way he treats Justin Herbert props—auto-bet "no INT" every week until the books adjust.

Davis Mattek said Jordan Love is one of the few "secondary" quarterbacks who can realistically crash the top-five QB leaderboard in 2025 drafts. Mattek pointed to Love’s 2023 efficiency—83.6 PFF offensive grade, 8.9 average depth of target, 72.7% adjusted completion rate, 5.5% big-time-throw percentage and only 2.5% turnover-worthy plays—as evidence of ceiling. Those numbers dipped in 2024 after Love hurt his knee in the Brazil opener and hurried back, but Mattek expects a rebound now that he is healthy. He stressed that Matt LaFleur’s offenses rank top-10 in net adjusted yards per attempt in five of eight seasons and noted Green Bay was 30th in pass attempts yet 12th in passing yards last year—proof the scheme is efficient when it throws. First-round WR Golden and third-round WR Sabian Williams give the Packers more pass-catching firepower, and Mattek believes LaFleur would prefer to lean pass if the roster allows. With the Packers likely to creep back toward league-average pass rate over expectation and Love already efficient, Mattek thinks a little positive variance could vault him into league-winning territory for Best Ball and Season-Long managers.

Colm Kelly liked scooping Jordan Love 15 picks past ADP, calling that pocket of the draft a completely flat quarterback tier. Even unstacked, Kelly prefers Love’s dual-threat profile and weekly spike-week upside to the statuesque passers that usually inhabit that range. Taking the discount locks in a two-QB build with Kyler Murray, saves a roster spot, and frees capital for late-round wide-receiver swings.

Larry Hartstein named Jordan Love as an outside shot to reach 40 touchdown passes. Hartstein recalled Love closing 2023 with three-TD outings seemingly every week and trusts Matt LaFleur’s scheme to keep manufacturing open receivers. If Love stays healthy, Hartstein believes the late-season pace can extend to a full 17-game slate, making his long odds in the 40-TD pool worth sprinkling.

Larry Hartstein said Jordan Love will sail past 3,550 passing yards. Before Love’s groin issue last season, Green Bay averaged 36 throws and 270 yards per game, production Hartstein expects to return now that the quarterback is healthy. The Packers upgraded the line with Aaron Banks, drafted vertical weapon Matthew Golden, and bring back the entire 2024 receiving corps with hopes Christian Watson stays on the field. Hartstein reminded listeners Love led the league with a 16.5 % deep-throw rate, evidence Matt LaFleur prefers an aggressive down-field approach when the QB can extend plays. With volume, health, and new toys all pointing up, 3,550 would require only 209 yards a week—well within reach.

Jason Moore highlighted Jordan Love as the perfect arbitrage play on Baker Mayfield. Love finished as the fantasy QB5 two seasons ago on a similar touchdown outburst but now slips into the double-digit rounds. Both quarterbacks share a volatile pocket-passer profile, yet Love’s cost is negligible, allowing managers to load up on skill positions early while still capturing comparable ceiling. Moore urged drafters to wait and grab Love instead of burning a sixth-round pick on Mayfield.

Steve Palazzolo argued that Jordan Love’s ceiling is legitimately MVP-level and believes bettors should consider long-shot tickets now while odds remain generous. Palazzolo noted Love’s second-half 2023 split, when he produced top-five EPA per play and matched Patrick Mahomes throw-for-throw against Kansas City; a full season at that efficiency absolutely fits past MVP profiles. Love now adds first-round wideout Matthew Golden—whom Palazzolo calls a potential WR1 thanks to polished routes and strong hands—to a young core of Dontayvion Wicks and Jayden Reed, setting the stage for a more explosive passing attack that can mask a shaky secondary. Palazzolo also reminded listeners that the new ranked-choice MVP ballot rewards breakout narratives; first-time stellar seasons from Cam Newton and Matt Ryan both vaulted them to the award. The final hurdle is team record: Green Bay must beat upper-tier opponents this year after going winless versus teams with better records in 2024. If the Packers steal those signature wins, Palazzolo believes Love’s statistical line plus the “emergent star” storyline will put him squarely in the MVP conversation and cash big futures bets.

Shawn Siegele pointed to Green Bay’s scorching finish in 2023—24.5 points per game from Weeks 11-18—as proof that Jordan Love belongs in late-round best-ball mixes. That eight-game stretch produced fantasy outputs comparable to Jalen Hurts and featured multiple spike weeks (29, 26, 31 points), showing he can hang with the hybrid elites on any given Sunday. Siegele likes pairing Love with Reed or another Packers pass-catcher because the quarterback supplies both week-to-week stability and true tournament-winning upside without the draft-capital pain of Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen.

Mike Wright took Jordan Love as a lottery-ticket QB, saying the Packers admitted Love "wasn't able" to run last season because of injuries but have now "made a big commitment" to designing more rushing opportunities. Wright believes 5-plus carries per game paired with Love’s deep-ball aggression gives him a legitimate path to a surprise top-five fantasy finish, making him an ideal upside complement to a safer quarterback like Dak Prescott.

Warren Sharp said Jordan Love should be treated like a back-end QB1 in every season-long and DFS format. His argument rested on how dramatically Love improved once he was healthy in 2024: a jump from –0.07 EPA per attempt before the Week-10 bye to +0.20 after (5th among all QBs), an 8.5 YPA that trailed only Patrick Mahomes, and a 65 % completion rate even while facing the league’s 5th-toughest slate of pass defenses. Sharp emphasized that 22 % of Love’s incompletions—and a stunning 33 % on third and fourth down—were traced to drops, mis-timed toe taps, or truncated routes, the worst receiver-error rate in the NFL. With Christian Watson expected back in October, rookies Matthew Golden and Sabian Williams adding depth, and an upgraded line anchored by free-agent LG Aaron Banks, Sharp believes those errors will regress and Love’s early-down excellence (5th in EPA, 4th in YPA, 8th in success rate) will translate into top-10 fantasy production over a full season. He labeled Love a draft-day value wherever he is priced outside the first eight quarterbacks and a weekly DFS option in plus matchups, especially given Green Bay’s willingness to push tempo on early downs.

Chris Allen labeled Jordan Love a prime late-round quarterback target. Green Bay’s pass rate over expectation nosedived from +1.0% in 2023 to –8.0% in 2024 while Love dealt with injuries, leaving him with just 29.7 dropbacks per game after returning. Allen expects that number to climb toward league average in 2025 after the Packers spent a first-round pick on wideout Matthew Golden and have a healthy Love heading into camp. Even a modest PROE rebound would push Love’s volume into the Jared Goff (33.4) range; combined with his scrambling ability, that creates inexpensive QB1 upside for fantasy drafters who wait on the position.

Best Ball Guy is hammering Jordan Love at QB18, reminding listeners that Love finished as the fantasy QB5 in 2023. The Packers added first-round WR Michael Golden and Day-2 WR Savion Williams while tight end Tucker Kraft flashed late last year. With LaFleur’s pass-friendly offense, a deeper receiver room and year-two growth from Jaden Reed, BBG sees another top-10 outcome well within range and thinks Love’s current price badly misprices that ceiling.

Andy Holloway called Jordan Love the ideal late-round quarterback. Love is "borderline free" in round 11 despite already producing a QB5 fantasy season. Holloway likes the continued development of Green Bay’s young pass catchers and believes the Packers have enough firepower to let Love post multiple spike weeks. Because pocket passers with 30-touchdown upside rarely cost so little, Holloway recommends pairing Love with a higher-variance starter or simply betting on him outright in single-QB formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Jordan Love "one of the best values at quarterback" in 2025 Best Ball drafts. He cited Green Bay’s coaching continuity under Matt LaFleur, a top-eight pass-blocking unit, and a second-year receiving corps that already helped Love post 4,159 yards and 32 TDs last season. Love’s 6.8% big-time-throw rate ranked third-best in 2024, and he was QB6 from Weeks 10-18 despite playing through a rib injury. Pat prefers pairing Love with another mid-range QB instead of spending up early, believing the combination offers higher ROI and weekly upside than using premium draft capital on elite signal callers.

PPRTyler grabbed Jordan Love after what he called “a pretty decent fall,” turning his build into a three-quarterback room of Goff, Maye, and Love. Tyler cited the ability to later stack Love with cheaper Packers like Jayden Reed or Dontayvion Wicks and noted Green Bay’s 10th-highest implied Vegas total in Weeks 15-17 as sneaky playoff upside. Love’s 25 TDs over his final 12 games last season and 8.6% big-time-throw rate were data points Tyler referenced while framing the pick as inexpensive insurance with legit tournament-winning ceiling.

Jordan Love slid to Round 12 (ADP 137) after a 15.9-PPG drop-off, but McFarland notes his underlying efficiency improved: YPA climbed from 7.2 to 8.0 and TD rate from 5.5 % to 5.9 %. Volume cratered because Green Bay posted the league’s second-run-heaviest DBOE (-6.4 %) while leading by 20 % of plays. With health returning, a potential uptick in designed runs (fell from 7 % to 3 % after his ankle injury) and the addition of Round-1 WR Matthew Golden to join Jayden Reed and Tucker Kraft, Love owns what McFarland calls “efficiency QB1 spike upside.” Floor/ceiling: 14.2 / 21.4 PPG. He is a mid-range QB2 who can outscore many Tier-5 passers being drafted three rounds earlier.

Chris Raybon argued the difference between last year’s Jordan Love and a true breakout is razor thin, envisioning a jump to Joe Burrow-type numbers—mid-30s touchdowns and 4,000+ yards—if the supporting cast hits. He highlighted first-rounder Matthew Golden as the vertical threat Love has lacked, third-round YAC machine Savion Williams for easy completions, and second-year slot weapon Jaden Reed for after-the-catch juice. Raybon ranks Love at QB15, slightly ahead of Jared Goff, because Green Bay’s pass rate should regress upward while Love’s career-long efficiency remains intact. He believes the combination of added deep shots and increased underneath lay-ups could launch Love into the back end of the QB1 tier.

Sean Koerner called Jordan Love a screaming buy-low at his current QB17 price. He reminded listeners that Love still finished 16th in fantasy points per game last year even though Green Bay ranked among the league’s most run-heavy offenses. Koerner expects a sharp pass-rate spike because Josh Jacobs logged 300+ carries and is now more likely to miss a couple weeks, backup Marshawn Lloyd is already banged up, and the Packers finally spent a first-rounder on wideout Matthew Golden. With better health from Christian Watson, added YAC help in Savion Williams, and a friendlier game script after last season’s near-perfect record in neutral situations, Koerner moved Love up to QB15 in his ranks and is comfortable starting him Week 1 while aiming for a 280-yards, 30-TD outcome that would smash his ADP.

Sean Koerner likes Love as a value because he still finished QB16 in points per game while Green Bay was ultra run heavy behind 300-carry Josh Jacobs. Koerner expects a higher pass rate in 2025—both natural progression and the possibility of Jacobs or injured backup Marshawn Lloyd missing games push the offense toward Love. Layering extra attempts onto an already efficient passer makes Koerner bullish on Love smashing his late-round ADP.

Chris Raybon labeled Jordan Love a buy-low at 123rd overall. Despite his pass volume being "completely nerfed" to 28.3 attempts per start down the stretch, Love still finished top-five in yards per attempt (8.0) and touchdown rate (5.9%). Green Bay upgraded the receiver room—Raybon noted they literally converted one 2024 wideout to corner because last year’s group was so poor—so even a modest bump in attempts could vault Love into weekly QB1 territory.

Connor Allen predicted a meaningful jump in Green Bay’s aerial attack with Jordan Love finally healthy. Using data he saw from Fantasy Points, Allen highlighted that the Packers were –8.2 % pass-over-expectation while Love played hurt, but flipped to +3.6 % when he was healthy—top-10 territory league-wide. The front office doubled down on weapons by drafting Matthew Golden to join Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks, giving Love a four-deep receiver rotation. Although Allen expects Josh Jacobs to remain the primary runner, he doesn’t foresee the extreme run-heavy script of prior seasons. That combination of health, play-calling tendency and skill-player depth makes Love an upside QB target and raises the ceiling for all Packers pass-catchers in season-long and best-ball formats.

Steve Palazzolo said the entire Packers season rides on whether Jordan Love can recreate the 35-to-40 big-time-throw form he flashed during the second half of 2023. Love produced 37 big-time throws that year (including playoffs) but only 17 last season while battling injuries. Palazzolo believes that if Love stays healthy and regains that off-platform, third-and-long play-making rhythm—highlighted by his playoff performance against Dallas—Green Bay can overcome what he views as merely the third- or fourth-best roster in the NFC North and finish atop the division. If Love merely repeats last year’s "pretty good" production, the Packers could sink to the bottom of the North. Fantasy drafters and bettors should calibrate their Packers exposure to their confidence in Love hitting that ceiling.

Jorge Martin said fantasy drafters are sleeping on Jordan Love, who is falling to QB18 (ADP 126.8, 13th round on Underdog) even though projections place him at QB13. Martin reminded readers that Love played most of 2024 on a bad leg, missed two games, and is only one year removed from 4,159 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and 247 rushing yards with 4 more scores. Current projections still give him just under 4,000 yards and 30 TDs. Martin also likes the opening-month schedule—Lions, Commanders and Cowboys in the first four weeks—plus a potential Week 17 shoot-out with Baltimore for fantasy championships. He views Love as a cheap upside QB2 or late best-ball stack target who should not last until the 13th round.

Tom Strachan urged drafters to bypass every early quarterback and simply grab Jordan Love in the final round. Love is currently QB18 in ADP but finished 2024 as the QB13 in points per game despite playing through injuries. He scored 14-plus fantasy points in 11 of his 14 starts—a higher hit rate than his 2023 breakout—and did so in an offense that ranked dead last in situation-neutral pass rate while cycling receivers every week. Strachan argued that even a modest return to 2023 passing volume unlocks legitimate top-five upside given Love’s proven rushing floor, an upgraded offensive line, and a suddenly deep skill group headlined by touchdown-machine TE Tucker Kraft. In one-QB redraft leagues, Strachan sees no reason to spend capital elsewhere when Love’s ceiling can be had for free.

Chris Raybon called Jordan Love a screaming value at his current QB19 best-ball ADP. Raybon reminded listeners that Love quietly finished top-5 in passing yards, attempts and QBR last season despite playing hurt from Week 1 and throwing to what Raybon labeled “one of the worst perimeter groups in the league.” He expects Green Bay to lean far more heavily on the pass now that second-year wideouts Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks and Romeo Doubs have another offseason under their belts and first-round tight end Brock Bowers joins the mix. With the Packers unlikely to hide their quarterback behind a run-heavy script again, Raybon projects a material jump in both volume and efficiency that could push Love into weekly top-12 territory while costing only a late-round pick. He advised scooping Love as a QB2—or even QB3 in three-quarterback builds—to capture that upside without sacrificing draft capital.

Eric Polzin urged bettors to smash the OVER on Jordan Love’s 3,500.5 passing-yard total at PrizePicks. Underdog hangs the same prop roughly 100 yards higher and BetMGM is 150 yards richer, indicating a clear market mis-price. Love gutted through most of 2024 with multiple nagging injuries, missed a game entirely, and still flirted with 3,600 yards despite losing Christian Watson for a large chunk of the season. Polzin expects healthier pass-catchers, another year in Matt LaFleur’s system, and normal injury luck to push Love well north of 3,600 yards, projecting a median outcome closer to 3,800. The line discrepancy plus improved health makes the PrizePicks over his preferred wager.

Hayden Winks said Jordan Love is a smash upside pick in best-ball and a viable late QB1 in redraft. Winks ranked him 12th today but predicted that "if we redo this next summer he will be comfortably top-10, maybe top-5." Love finished QB3 in pressure-to-sack rate last season thanks to slippery pocket movement and side-arm creativity, yet he was only QB18 in success rate because the decision-making is still volatile. With another year in the same scheme, a fully healthy lower body and the league’s youngest receiving room gaining reps, Winks projected a 4,300-yard, 30-TD passing line plus 300 rushing yards. He urged drafters to grab Love at his current QB14 ADP and sprinkle his +3000 MVP odds before summer buzz shortens the number.

Chris Raybon is loading up on Jordan Love at his outside-the-top-20 quarterback price. Love quietly ranked top-five in yards per attempt (8.0), top-five in QBR, and took sacks at one of the league’s lowest rates while playing hurt for half the season. Raybon noted interceptions are a highly volatile stat—last year’s 12-pick stretch does not scare him—and emphasized that Green Bay’s pass volume is almost guaranteed to rise after finishing bottom-six in neutral passing rate. The front office telegraphed that shift by drafting gadget RB Tyrone Williams and first-round WR Matthew Golden, giving play-designer Matt LaFleur more ways to create easy completions. With every primary pass catcher going outside the top-40 at their position and Love himself available in the double-digit rounds, Raybon thinks drafters can build cheap multi-player stacks that still carry top-10 weekly upside. He compared the profile to last summer’s optimism around C.J. Stroud, arguing Love “may not be done breaking out.”

Johnny Venezia called Jordan Love a prime 2025 bounce-back target at his 117 ADP. Love battled injuries and still threw for 3,389 yards, 25 TDs, and 11 INTs last season, finishing with seven straight interception-free games. Green Bay added rookie pass-catchers Matthew Golden and Savion Williams plus RB Marshawn Lloyd to an existing core of Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Jaden Reed, and new workhorse Josh Jacobs. Venezia believes the deeper weapon pool and Love’s strong finish point to a top-10 ceiling, making him worth a 9th- or 10th-round pick in season-long drafts.

Best Ball Guy said he would take Jordan Love over Trevor Lawrence as the second quarterback on a Lamar Jackson roster. Love supplies a different bye week than the other late options he was eyeing (Geno Smith and Bryce Young both sit in Week 8), so the pick avoids a potential Superflex zero. He also called Love the perfect "bring-back" for Jackson’s late-season matchup, allowing the lineup to grab natural playoff correlation without having to force a full Packers stack. BBG admitted the decision was tight but concluded the bye-week diversification plus game-stack upside made Love the sharper choice.

Jeff Erickson highlighted Jordan Love as the prototypical "last year’s bum" the market always forgets. Love’s 2024 production was capped by an elbow issue that forced him out of Week 18, a groin injury suffered on the slick Brazil surface in Week 1, and sub-par wide receiver play that never recovered. Green Bay corrected that by drafting Matthew Golden in Round 1 and Sabian Williams in Round 3. Love is the QB19 in NFFC ADP—far cheaper than his 2023 closing price—and Erickson loves scooping him as the second quarterback in builds that punt the position until the double-digit rounds.

JSU argued Jordan Love is a sneaky upside target at his depressed DraftKings ADP. Love still finished QB17 last season despite missing two games and gutting through an injury that forced the Packers to lean run-heavy. The only quarterback who missed the same amount of time yet ranked higher was Jalen Hurts. With a clean bill of health, a deeper pass-catching corps, and what JSU expects to be more aggressive play-calling, he sees a realistic path to Love cracking the top-12 in fantasy points per game. That combination of suppressed price and plausible QB1 outcome makes Love one of JSU’s favorite QB2s in Best Ball builds.

Mike Wright advised passing on Jordan Love at his current QB12 ADP in season-long and best-ball drafts. Wright noted that Love offers virtually no rushing juice, so a top-five fantasy finish would require something like 4,500 yards and 35 touchdowns—a perfect season he doubts materializes. He pointed out that healthier quarterbacks with similar or better upside such as Drake Maye, Jared Goff, Bo Nix, and Brock Purdy are all available later. Wright also questioned whether the Packers will lean as heavily on the pass with Josh Jacobs now in town and a coaching staff that repeatedly turned to the run after Love’s groin flare-up last year. Bottom line: if you need a late QB, wait for someone else and let the room overpay for Love.

Jason Moore stumped for Jordan Love as a late-round swing with legit top-five quarterback potential. Before Love’s Week 4 groin injury, he was on a 17-game pace for 51 touchdowns and more than 600 pass attempts—numbers that would have rivaled Josh Allen for the fantasy crown. Moore argued the pieces around Love are now better: Jaden Reed’s explosive second season, Christian Watson’s expected return to health, the addition of field-stretching rookie Matthew Golden, plus tight end Tucker Kraft as a between-the-hashes mismatch. Green Bay already ranked eighth in points and seventh in yards per game despite the mid-season shift to a run-first approach. With Love back to full strength and the receiver room six-deep, Moore sees plenty of paths for pass volume to rebound and carry the QB12 in ADP into weekly QB1 territory. For managers waiting on quarterback, he recommends pairing Love with a safe floor option, then enjoying the upside shots that could push him into the top five by season’s end.

Best Ball Guy projected a meaningful fantasy jump for Jordan Love, noting that Green Bay ranked second-to-last in pass rate over expectation in 2023. He argued that figure is almost certain to rebound—"even if it only climbs to bottom-10, that’s still a ton more throws than last year"—and any uptick in volume will be amplified by Love’s already strong efficiency (7.6 YPA and 32 TDs over his final 12 games). With a full offseason of continuity for second-year wideouts Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks, BBG expects Love to flirt with top-10 weekly finishes at a QB13-ish ADP. The host called him a "fantasy-friendly gunslinger" whose spike weeks pair perfectly with Trevor Lawrence or Sam Darnold in three-QB best-ball builds.

While building a Green Bay-heavy roster, Davis Mattek said a best-ball team is “one billion percent dead” if you roster three Packers skill players and fail to draft Jordan Love. His rationale: once you’ve sunk four roster spots into one offense, you need the quarterback to capture every multi-TD spike that makes the bet pay off—especially during Underdog’s Week-15-to-17 playoff sprint. Without Love, every Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, or Josh Jacobs touchdown deducts fantasy points from your lineup ceiling instead of compounding it. Mattek therefore locks in the quarterback—even a mid-tier one—rather than risk an uncorrelated roster that can’t realistically win the $1 million top prize if Green Bay erupts for a 35-point December game.

Warren Sharp said he is bullish on Jordan Love after a deeper dive into the quarterback’s 2024 portfolio. Sharp pointed out that in Love’s first five games—when he was healthy—the Packers registered a 60.8% drop-back rate and Love delivered weekly fantasy finishes of QB11, QB3, QB14, QB3 and QB12, mirroring the floor-plus-spike profile he showed in 2023. After Love suffered a groin injury in Week 8, Green Bay’s drop-back rate plunged to 51.1% from Week 9 on, and Love cracked the top-10 only once (QB10). Sharp argued the late-season downturn was driven by the injury, not scheme, and expects the Packers to return to a higher pass rate if Love stays healthy in 2024. That would put him firmly in the mid-QB1 conversation and make him a worthwhile target in the muddled mid-round quarterback tier for best-ball drafts and season-long leagues.

Andrew Erickson wants exposure to every Jordan Love passing over—yards, touchdowns, and eventually interceptions—because he expects Green Bay to live in track-meets. Sportsbooks have opened Love at just 3,500.5 yards and 24.5 TDs, numbers Erickson calls "really low" for a quarterback whose defense projects bottom-five in EPA after the front office ignored edge and secondary help. He anticipates 35-plus pass attempts most weeks, pointing to Love’s league-leading 10 games with 275+ yards last season when the Packers were forced into shootouts. While Erickson and Furman both doubt those stats translate into wins, the volume makes the overs attractive betting positions.

Jim Coventry noted that Jordan Love’s perceived breakout masks a second-half schematic shift. Before Green Bay’s Week 10 bye, Love averaged 34.3 pass attempts. After the bye, Matt LaFleur pivoted to a run-centric approach featuring Josh Jacobs, cutting Love’s volume to 24 attempts per game. Love is not a high-end runner—he topped out in the 240-yard range two seasons ago—so reduced drop-backs translate directly into mediocre fantasy ceilings. Coventry believes LaFleur views Love as more of a game manager and sees nothing on the roster that will drive volume back up. At a QB18 ADP, Coventry still thinks managers are paying for last season’s hot stretch and advised avoiding Love unless the Packers revert to shootouts, which he sees as unlikely.

Ian Hartitz ranked Jordan Love as his QB15 and called him a “rock-solid QB2 with top-12 upside” once the rushing returns. Hartitz blamed Love’s 2024 drop-off on two lower-body injuries: the Week 1 MCL issue on the slick Brazil surface and a mid-season groin strain that visibly limited him against Detroit. Those ailments slashed Love’s rushing fantasy output from 2.9 points per game in 2023 to just 1.1, effectively turning him into Jared Goff. Even so, his passing efficiency held steady, and Hartitz reminded listeners that Love finished top-5 overall (and borderline top-10 in points per game) only a year earlier. With a full offseason of health, Matt LaFleur’s proven scoring acumen, and a front office that just committed hundreds of millions to its quarterback, Hartitz expects modest rushing (250–300 yards, 3–4 TDs) to return and stabilize the weekly floor. That combination pushes Love ahead of middling pocket passers like Trevor Lawrence and C.J. Stroud in Hartitz’s ranks.

Jake Ciely said he is keeping Jordan Love outside his top-20 quarterbacks (QB21) because the Packers’ signal-caller still feels like “DeSean Jackson for quarterbacks” – all spikes and valleys. Ciely noted Love’s best fantasy stretch was 18.5 points per game two seasons ago, a mark driven by extreme touchdown efficiency rather than bankable volume. With Love’s rushing production shrinking to roughly 250 yards and four scores at his peak, Ciely believes the former first-rounder now needs 4,200 passing yards and 25-30 touchdowns just to sniff the low-end QB1 range. He is skeptical that happens given an offense built around “15 number-two wide receivers,” the arrival of workhorse Josh Jacobs, and Green Bay’s willingness to lean on the ground game late in the year. Because Ciely doubts Love can deliver a 4,500-yard, 35-TD ceiling, he prefers darts like Bryce Young, Dak Prescott, or Trevor Lawrence in the same range.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound argued that Jordan Love is the sharper QB2 than Jared Goff when you already have Josh Allen. Love’s 2023 line (330 fantasy points, 32 passing TDs, 4 rushing TDs) produced essentially the same ceiling as Goff’s career-best 4,600-yard, 37-TD season, but Love adds rushing juice plus inexpensive back-end stacking partners. Pat stressed that in a 9,300-entry, three-week sprint you gain much more leverage by pairing Love with cheap Packers like Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft than by rolling out a ‘naked’ Goff who will be duplicated by every Lions super-stack. The ability to double or even triple-stack Green Bay late while still matching Goff’s raw projection makes Love the clear play at similar ADP.

Jason la Canfora prefers taking a bigger swing on Jordan Love for MVP. He reminded listeners that Love’s 2023 campaign was hampered by the foot injury he suffered on the Brazil turf but pointed to the prior postseason stretch when Love led the league in touchdown passes over the second half. La Canfora is bullish on a young Packers roster that already owns playoff experience, notes Green Bay added more pass catchers, and trusts Matt LaFleur’s QB-friendly tutelage. Love cut back on interceptions down the stretch last year, and at a much longer price than the favorites, JLC views him as the best value on the board.