Sam Monson said Josh Allen should be the first quarterback off the board in season-long fantasy and any QB-centric futures market. Monson pointed to Allen’s "freak-show" arm talent, short-yardage rushing "cheat code" that routinely converts sneaks into touchdowns, and one of the NFL’s lowest pressure-to-sack rates – a combination that maximizes both floor and ceiling. He added that Allen’s underlying analytics profile is "utterly absurd," reinforcing that the Bills signal-caller has out-performed Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson over the past two seasons. Monson’s takeaway: prioritize Allen over Mahomes in drafts and MVP odds because the blend of elite passing splash plays plus bankable rushing production is unmatched right now.

Billy Jones said Josh Allen is the only quarterback you need on many Best Ball Mania or Weekly Winners rosters. Jones stressed that quarterback scoring is "super, super connected to advance rate," and Allen supplies both a league-high floor and ceiling. He cited Allen’s weekly top-5 finish rate (34% last season) and rushing touchdown dominance—27 scores inside the five over the past three years—as reasons he can single-handedly drag a roster through the regular-season pods. Jones also reminded drafters that the Bills face playoff-style stakes down the stretch as they jockey with Kansas City for AFC home-field advantage, giving Allen a realistic shot at three straight 30-point outputs in Weeks 15-17. Cold-weather worries are irrelevant for a Wyoming native who has averaged 26.7 fantasy points in games below 35°F. Stack partners are optional, but a cheap add like Khalil Shakir or Dalton Kincaid can juice correlation without forcing a second quarterback.

Davis Mattek said that when you open a best-ball draft with only one early wideout you have to “project for a lot of quarterback points.” He took Josh Allen in the third round and immediately planned to pair him with another elite option – Jayden Daniels if available, or Lamar Jackson/Jalen Hurts if they slipped – because the duo’s different bye weeks and easy stacking partners maximize weekly scoring. Mattek expects an Allen–Daniels combo to clear 30 fantasy points most weeks, giving a hero-WR roster the floor and ceiling it needs while allowing him to ignore the wide-receiver position for several rounds.

Calling it ‘ludicrous,’ Pat Fantasy Dog Pound told listeners to auto-click Josh Allen any time he slips into the 40s of drafts. At that price you’re landing a quarterback who has finished top-3 in fantasy points per game four straight seasons and has averaged 27.4 combined pass-plus-rush TDs during Weeks 15-17 in his career—exactly when Best Ball Mania titles are decided. Pat argued drafters are over-reacting to Buffalo’s offseason changes while simultaneously reaching for lower-ceiling QBs later. He sees Allen’s rushing floor (8.0 carries and 0.55 TDs per game since 2020) plus proven 35-point weekly ceiling as unmatched leverage in the early-fourth round.

Davis Mattek argued that you do not have to force a Bills pass-catcher whenever you draft Josh Allen in Underdog’s Eliminator. He pulled up Allen’s 2023 blow-up game against the Rams— the single largest quarterback fantasy score of the year— and noted that the top Buffalo receiver in that contest was Khalil Shakir with only 19.6 points. Mattek said the stat illustrates Allen’s unique ceiling: his rushing production and willingness to spread targets mean he can post 35-plus on his own, so the usual correlation tax is optional. Mattek is comfortable taking Allen as a naked QB1 (his only bring-back was RB Ray Davis in this draft) and using the freed roster spots on higher-upside one-off plays from other teams.

Davis Mattek said you should snap-take Josh Allen whenever he slips to the late-second/early-third round in Underdog’s Eliminator because the weekly, head-to-head format magnifies elite quarterback spike weeks. Allen normally costs a mid-second pick but occasionally drifts when drafters hammer running backs early; Mattek called that ADP slide “a huge value.” He added that Allen’s dual-threat profile has produced 32 games of 28-plus fantasy points since 2020—more than any QB over that span—so a single 40-point eruption can single-handedly win an Eliminator matchup and let you coast through the early payout weeks (money starts in Week 4). Mattek also liked the natural AFC East mini-correlation on Allen teams because most Josh drafters are selecting Dolphins RB Devon Achane or Jets RB Breece Hall at the 2-3 turn, combinations that will be relatively unique in a contest where duplicated studs dampen upside. Bottom line: if Allen falls past ADP, take him and enjoy the weekly floor/ceiling edge that cheaper quarterbacks simply cannot match in a no-bad-weeks structure.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound warned that drafters are making a mistake taking Josh Allen second or third overall in Underdog’s new Sprint contest. He noted that Allen’s ADP in normal Best Ball Mania rooms is still in the low-30s, and the only reason he is rocketing up the Sprint boards is because a fresh CSV rank file pushed quarterbacks to the very top of the queue. Pat called the early-round premium "flat-out wrong" and pointed out that he personally scooped Allen at pick 31 in a slow draft just last week, locking in the exact same weekly ceiling while preserving a first-round pick for a true difference-maker at another position. His advice: wait for the market to settle and only click Allen once he slides at least a full round past his BBM ADP—around 30–34 overall—so you capture closing-line value and avoid sacrificing an elite wideout or running back.

Pete Overzet told drafters not to sweat stacking when it comes to Josh Allen. He noted Allen accounted for 42% of Buffalo’s rushing touchdowns and spread targets among nine different pass-catchers last season, making expensive pairings like Dalton Kincaid unnecessary. Overzet is comfortable taking Allen in Round 4 and filling correlation later with cheap pieces such as Khalil Shakir or rookie RB Ray Davis. The upside of a 28-point median in Week 17 outweighs any lost correlation EV, and selecting Allen early frees drafters to pound running back value in the Round 9-11 pocket where they’d normally be taking their first QB.

Jon Warner questioned Josh Allen’s current 6.3 average draft slot in the Sprint and advised passing on him at that price. Warner noted the same ADP spike happened last year before correcting and argued the Sprint’s rotisserie playoff format still demands ceiling games, making the opportunity cost of skipping elite RBs and WRs too steep. In a 216-player pool you can grab starting backs like Tony Pollard in Round 6, something you forfeit if you spend that pick on a onesie. Buffalo’s neutral Week 16-18 schedule offers no clear matchup advantage, so Warner believes Allen belongs closer to the late-second round rather than the mid-first.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said drafters should pounce on Josh Allen any time he slips past pick 10 in Underdog’s $20 Sprint. Allen’s Sprint ADP is currently 3-4 overall, yet Pat flagged a slow draft where the Bills QB lasted to pick 31 and called it “crazy value.” He credited the slide to auto-drafters and unsettled early-contest ADPs, noting Allen opened at 2.7. Pat expects the market to correct once rooms sharpen, so scooping Allen now provides a full round of closing line value on a dual-threat quarterback who has already logged two QB1 overall finishes in the last four seasons.

Hayden Winks said drafters should be pouncing on Josh Allen any time he slides a half-round past ADP because the elite-QB tier is cheaper than ever. In previous Best Ball summers Allen and Lamar Jackson were tethered to first- or second-round pass catchers (Stefon Diggs, Mark Andrews) that artificially boosted their cost; with those receivers now going later, the quarterbacks themselves have drifted into the late third/early fourth despite no change in weekly ceiling. Winks pointed out that Allen finishes top-25 in points over replacement every season and routinely end-zones 30-plus touchdowns through the air and on the ground. Without a Round-1 tax, Allen becomes a structural smash—especially on builds that start WR-WR or WR-RB—because you secure the highest median QB scorer while the room chases uncertain stacks. Winks labeled it a perfect leverage play on Burrow/Chase rooms that rarely roster Allen.

Billy Jones said he is perfectly comfortable clicking Josh Allen as early as pick 40—seven spots past ADP but still the fourth round in an 18-round Best Ball Mania room. Jones explained that he wants roughly 12-13 percent exposure to Allen because 2024 draft rooms are littered with "bench-risk" quarterbacks who come off the board after pick 150. With more teams inserting injury clauses and back-loaded guarantees, Jones expects several late-round QBs to be parking-lot deactivated by fantasy playoff weeks. Paying up for Allen removes that headache while still giving drafters access to the league’s No. 1 per-game scorer at the position and a weekly rushing-TD ceiling that no other early QB besides Jalen Hurts can match. In his view, the single extra roster spot you gain by stopping at two quarterbacks is worth the modest opportunity cost of taking Allen in the fourth.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said drafters should pounce whenever Josh Allen slides into the mid-fourth round of Best Ball Mania 6. He argued Underdog’s new 20-round format amplifies the edge of an elite quarterback because managers who land Allen can confidently stop at two passers, freeing an extra late-round pick for upside receivers or running backs. Pat noted Allen’s five consecutive top-2 fantasy finishes and league-best 7.8 designed rush attempts per game as proof his weekly ceiling is unmatched. With sharp rooms chasing wide-receiver avalanche builds, Allen is slipping “half a round or more,” a discount Pat believes will evaporate once casual summer drafters arrive.