Pat Fantasy Dog Pound projected Josh Jacobs to become Green Bay’s clear bell-cow once the playoff race heats up. He acknowledged the Packers will likely spread touches early, saying the staff ‘wants to get more touches going in the direction of other players to help the workload of Jacobs.’ However, Pat believes that if Green Bay is competing for a postseason spot, the coaching staff will revert to a heavy-usage model with Jacobs, making him an attractive Greyhound pick for the playoff weeks when the money is on the line.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted a sneaky Green Bay stack: start with new arrival Josh Jacobs, then layer in Jordan Love, Jayden Reed and tight end Tucker Kraft. He likes how Jacobs’ three-down role provides floor while the cheap pass catchers unlock ceiling, giving drafters a differentiating Packers build that few rooms replicate. Pat called the combination ‘pretty fun’ because it captures every touchdown path without spending elite capital at quarterback or receiver.

Bloom labeled Josh Jacobs a screaming value at the 2-3 turn, asserting there is "no reason to think Jacobs won’t do exactly what he did last year." Even after switching teams, Jacobs still profiles as a volume hog: the Packers let AJ Dillon walk and did not spend meaningful draft capital at running back, leaving Jacobs uncontested early-down and goal-line work in an offense that projects to be top-10 in neutral-situation pace. In half-PPR best-ball contests, Bloom views Jacobs, Jonathan Taylor and Chase Brown as mis-priced early-second talents regularly leaking into the late-second/early-third range.

Cody Woodman said he is "not super high" on Josh Jacobs at his current early-third-round price, citing several red flags. Jacobs logged 340 touches last season—including 316 carries during his Raiders swan song—and faded badly down the stretch, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry after Week 12. While Cody acknowledged Green Bay invested heavily in the offensive line this offseason—signing Aaron Banks and drafting Anthony Belton and Jordan Morgan—he reminded listeners that head coach Matt LaFleur publicly said last year he didn’t want a true bell-cow but had to ride Jacobs out of necessity. With rookie Marshawn Lloyd shelved, Jacobs again projects for a punishing workload that could sap his efficiency. Cody has Jacobs ranked RB15 (overall 28th) and will only click him when he slides a full round past ADP, preferring to spend that capital on wide-receiver upside in balanced builds.

Hayden Winks said Josh Jacobs is one of the easiest ADP wins on the entire board. He reminded viewers that Jacobs was a consensus first-round pick last summer and then posted another 1,300-plus scrimmage-yard season, yet he now slips into the mid-third because drafters are trying to convince themselves last year was a fluke. Winks noted that Green Bay did not add meaningful backfield competition—MarShawn Lloyd barely saw the field as a rookie and the Packers ignored RB in the draft—so Jacobs should reprise the 18-to-20-touch workload that made Aaron Jones a fantasy staple. With Jordan Love’s offense trending up (top-10 in points per drive after Week 9) and zero threat on passing downs, Winks projected Jacobs for another 50-target season and labeled his current RB15 price “pure closing-line value” for both Best Ball and redraft rooms.

Erik Beimfohr pushed back on the Josh Jacobs enthusiasm, saying the new Packer comes off the board in the early third round while similar touch projections for Joe Mixon and Chuba Hubbard can be had a full round—or more—later. Beimfohr pointed out that the wide-receiver names available next to Jacobs (DK Metcalf, Garrett Wilson, Travis Hunter) carry genuine league-winning ceilings, whereas Jacobs profiles as a ‘maybe he’ll be okay’ volume play. He also noted that Green Bay’s pass-heavy tilt with Jordan Love and three capable receivers could suppress the red-zone carry count that buoyed Jacobs during his 2022 RB1 season. Unless Jacobs slides toward the Mixon/Hubbard price tier, Beimfohr is pivoting to those cheaper backs and scooping the elite receivers that share Jacobs’ current ADP pocket in Best Ball drafts.

Pat Kerrane argued that Josh Jacobs is mildly mispriced, saying drafters should treat him as a late-second/early-third pick instead of letting him slide to the middle of Round 3. Kerrane noted the probability of Jacobs simply "chugging along" as Green Bay’s unquestioned RB1 is far higher than the market implies; Marshawn Lloyd or A.J. Dillon would have to become stars to dent Jacobs’ workload. The Packers ranked ninth in combined RB expected fantasy points last season, and Matt LaFleur has historically leaned on a single back once trust is earned. Kerrane framed Jacobs as the same 260-touch, goal-line-favored profile that used to be drafted on the 2/3 turn but now comes at a lower opportunity cost next to wide receivers like DK Metcalf and Garrett Wilson. While acknowledging minor durability concerns, he believes the median outcome still returns a top-15 season and provides early-season stability for Best Ball builds that start WR-heavy.

Mike Wright dropped Josh Jacobs to RB13 because last year’s fantasy finish rode an extreme and historically fickle touchdown split. Green Bay jumped from scoring 24 % of its TDs on the ground in 2023 to 45 % in 2024, a swing Wright called "wildly out of character" for Matt LaFleur’s offense that normally ranks near the top in passing‑TD rate. Jacobs’ 14 rushing scores inside the 10 masked a middling 58 % catch rate and only 4.1 yards per touch. Wright also cited the back’s ‘every‑other‑year’ production pattern and minor durability issues—seasons finishing outside the top‑12 have coincided with 13 and 15 games played. With zero Top‑30 visits for RBs in Green Bay, workload looks safe, but Wright expects TD regression to pull Jacobs down to the RB10–14 range, making him an avoid at his current RB7 ADP in season‑long drafts.