Best Ball Guy explained why he has stopped drafting Keenan Allen despite previously loading up for perceived closing-line value. Training camps are underway and the 33-year-old is still unsigned, meaning he will have to learn a new playbook late and beat out incumbent options just to earn the massive target volume that has fueled his fantasy value in past seasons. BBG stressed that volume is everything for Allen; if the veteran ends up as a team’s WR3 the floor completely collapses. With no landing spot locked in and Father Time looming, BBG advised passing on Allen in best-ball tournaments until the wideout secures a role that guarantees top-two snaps and targets on his new team.

Overzet called Keenan Allen a classic buy-low, noting his current 200.8 ADP is almost certainly the floor. Allen is still a target-hog when healthy, and Overzet expects an immediate price jump similar to J.K. Dobbins once Allen inks a deal. Grabbing him now locks in positive closing-line value and creates potential "super teams" if the veteran lands in an offense that needs volume in the slot.

Overzet called Keenan Allen the most obvious closing-line value play on the board, pointing out that his current ADP sits at 200.8 because he’s still a free agent. He compared the situation to J.K. Dobbins’ massive jump after signing with Denver and expects a similar "Dobbins-esque" rise the moment Allen lands anywhere. Pete’s advice: scoop Allen now while he’s essentially free, because it’s hard to imagine him getting any cheaper once news breaks.

Greg Brainos told drafters to grab Keenan Allen in the final rounds before the veteran signs somewhere. Brainos expects a contract to be announced "sooner than later," and he argued that literally any landing spot – from pass-heavy San Francisco or Washington to lower-volume destinations like Pittsburgh or the Jets – would push Allen’s price up 25-40 picks. Underdog drafters are currently getting Allen around pick 200, but Brainos thinks he would jump into the 160-170 range instantly, and closer to 110 on DraftKings because that room overreacts to name value. The takeaway: stash Allen now for easy closing-line value and a potential mid-season floor play once he settles into a WR2/WR3 role on his new team.

Best Ball Guy called Keenan Allen a screaming value while he remains unsigned. He is already pushing his own exposure toward 20 %, convinced that the moment Allen puts pen to paper his price will “rise big.” Because draft rooms are discounting the uncertainty, BBG likes scooping Allen two to three rounds below where a healthy target-hog would normally go, banking both closing-line value and a veteran floor that fits perfectly as a WR4 in tournament builds.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters not to abandon Keenan Allen even though the veteran still lacks a 2024 team. Allen’s ADP has cratered into the late-round wilderness, yet Pat argued any signing instantly propels him above Adam Thielen, DeMario Douglas, Jalen McMillan, and Romeo Doubs. He believes Allen would outscore every wideout currently drafted in that range on simple target-earning ability alone. The risk is binary—retirement versus a new contract—and Pat is willing to eat that downside because the moment a beat writer leaks that Allen inked a deal, closing-line value evaporates. His plan is to hammer Allen now, then back off once the market reprices him post-signing.

Davis Mattek told listeners that Keenan Allen is one of the best risk-reward clicks on the DraftKings board right now because market inertia is keeping him in the 14th-round range while contract uncertainty lingers. Mattek repeated the reporting that Allen only wants to suit up for the Bears or one of the two Los Angeles franchises, then added that Pittsburgh is a logical dark-horse fit thanks to its glaring need for a reliable zone-beating slot. With virtually every other nameworthy free-agent wideout already signed ("it’s him and Amari Cooper, that’s it"), Mattek expects whichever team wins the bidding to vault Allen’s ADP into the 7th round immediately. He called Allen an "immediate, immediate riser" whose 100-catch floor and red-zone savvy will look a lot more appealing once depth-chart certainty arrives, making current best-ball shares pure closing-line equity.

JSU told drafters to keep clicking Keenan Allen while he is still sitting on the free-agent pile. He expects the veteran’s DraftKings Best Ball ADP to jump "like five rounds" the instant Allen signs with a new team. In other words, you are buying certain closing-line value right now, then riding a proven target hog once training-camp headlines inevitably push him up the board. JSU’s stance is simple: if you believe Allen will land a job – and history says productive wideouts do not stay unemployed for long – you should stash him before the market corrects.

Best Ball Guy told viewers that now is "the time to buy" Keenan Allen in Best Ball Mania drafts. Allen’s uncertain free-agency status suppresses his price, yet any eventual signing will create "crazy closing-line value"—especially compared to the $1 Dalmatian where drafters can no longer capitalize. Even if Allen lands in a mediocre spot the host expects his ADP to surge several rounds once the market gets clarity, giving early adopters an easy value windfall.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound encouraged scooping Keenan Allen around pick 200, noting the downside is minimal at that cost even if the veteran somehow sits out 2024. At worst you burn a late-round roster spot; at best you get a target hog who could re-surface as a top-15 wide receiver. Pat framed it as an asymmetric bet: the reward of Allen landing in a pass-heavy environment—he floated Arizona as an example—far outweighs the small opportunity cost of a 17th-round pick. In his words, “the upside case versus the downside seems like there’s a lot more upside,” making Allen a no-brainer late-round stab in big-prize best-ball contests.

Hayden Winks acknowledged that every day Keenan Allen remains unsigned past minicamp "adds a little bit of risk," but he continues to draft the veteran at his current ADP. Winks, who interned with the Chargers and knows Allen’s "big family-guy" mindset, noted Allen has publicly floated returning to Los Angeles or playing in Chicago while dismissing a move to Pittsburgh—comments that spook some drafters because those destinations already boast crowded WR rooms. Even so, Winks argues Allen’s Round-7 price bakes in plenty of downside for a player who finished top-six in target share and yards per route last season. If the Bears lose one of D.J. Moore, Luther Burden or Colston Loveland to injury—or if the Chargers realize their current WR depth chart of Mike Williams, Ladd McConkey and late-round flyers is "not a serious approach"—Allen could walk into 140 targets. Winks is willing to gamble on that ceiling, figuring the market is over-penalizing the holdout/trade chatter relative to the upside of a five-round closing line value spike once his landing spot stabilizes.

Best Ball Guy labeled Keenan Allen a “pretty interesting” 17th-/18th-round stab because the market is overreacting to contract uncertainty. He argued Allen still ranks top-10 in yards per route run against zone and will almost certainly ink a new deal—either an extension with the Bears or a contender trade—before Week 1. When that news hits, drafters will remember he averaged 10.2 targets per game last season and push his ADP up multiple rounds. Grabbing Allen now lets you bank closing-line value on a proven volume hog while everyone else spends that slot on low-ceiling dart throws.

Mattek called Keenan Allen a ‘nickel on the sidewalk’ pick in the late rounds because the minute Allen inks with any team—Chiefs, Bears, Chargers, Eagles, Jets, whoever—his ADP will jump five to six rounds. With drafters desperate for bankable target volume, Mattek expects Allen to move from the 17th–18th round range into the 12th or even 13th the second news breaks. Loading up now bakes in an immediate, sizable closing-line value edge in Best Ball tournaments without needing to predict the landing spot.

Rubio said he is hammering Keenan Allen in the double-digit rounds because the second the veteran signs anywhere his DraftKings ADP will climb by at least 20 spots. Allen’s slot skill set delivered a steady 12 fantasy points per game last season even while supposedly ‘fat’ and battling target competition from Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore, proving he can still separate on quick-hit routes that score well under PPR settings. Rubio believes any team that makes Allen a top-two option— Atlanta, Dallas or even Miami if the Dolphins prioritize another chain-moving route runner— instantly locks him into that same dependable floor with the occasional multi-TD ceiling. JSU agreed, adding that if Allen joins a pass-heavy offense playing from behind (he mentioned the Falcons) the veteran could even smash his current projection. Draft him now before the market bakes a landing spot into the price.

Williamson notes Keenan Allen is ‚practically free‘ at WR58 despite a 2024 campaign that produced a WR33 finish and five separate 20-plus-point weeks. As a big-slot technician, Allen racks up PPR points through sheer reception volume and has been a steady touchdown producer. The only reason for the markdown is uncertainty around his next team; Williamson predicts his ADP will jump several rounds the moment a favorable landing spot is announced, making now the time to buy low.

Sean Koerner pitched Keenan Allen as a unique Round-16 moonshot. Despite being 33 and currently teamless, Allen still ranked 34th in fantasy points per game last year and remains an elite route runner. Koerner argued that free-agent status is a feature, not a bug: Allen can wait for a perfect landing spot—an injury replacement or a contender suddenly thin at wideout—allowing him to walk into a top-two target share rather than fight depth-chart politics. He cited scenarios such as a Stefan Diggs suspension in New England or a late Ravens deal that morphs into a Texans playoff rental, emphasizing multiple paths to relevance. The risk of retirement or a bad fit exists, but at pick 190-plus the opportunity cost is negligible compared with the ceiling of a 110-target season. Koerner framed Allen as the quintessential stash for managers willing to swing big in Best Ball tournaments or deep season-long leagues.

JSU said that if he has to plant a flag on one unsigned veteran, it is Keenan Allen. His logic is simple: some contender will lose a starting wideout in camp and immediately ring Allen because the 12-year vet can still uncover at will and serve as a quarterback’s best friend in the middle of the field. Allen’s route-running remains elite—he ranked top-10 in target per route rate last season—and JSU thinks that in a new spot with a proven passer, Allen could step right back into a 22-25% target share. That short-area volume is gold in Best Ball half-PPR scoring, and Allen’s current free-agent ADP outside the top-120 picks bakes in all of the landing-spot risk.

Andrew Erickson told listeners to grab Keenan Allen shares now in case the veteran lands with Las Vegas. Erickson noted that new Raiders wide-receivers coach Chris Beatty has followed Allen from the Chargers to the Bears and would almost certainly scheme throws to his long-time pupil if the reunion happens. That familiarity, plus Chip Kelly’s no-huddle offense that could push 70 snaps per game, sets the stage for Allen to soak up double-digit targets even at age 32. Because best-ball ADP rarely bakes in hypothetical moves before they become official, Erickson believes Allen would still be available in the double-digit rounds when the news breaks—creating an immediate value spike for anyone who speculated early.

Davis Mattek selected Keenan Allen at pick 180 strictly to follow the exercise’s ADP rules, but cautioned that drafting 31-year-old receivers is always a "razor’s edge" move. Allen closed 2024 with an ADP of 68.7—sandwiched next to Brian Thomas Jr.—yet fell off the cliff in 2025 drafts despite posting productive stretches. Mattek used the plunge to highlight how quickly a single "black-marble" season can torpedo aging wideouts’ fantasy value, advising managers not to mistake a cheap price tag for safety when drafting receivers on the wrong side of 30.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters to scoop Keenan Allen while he lingers outside the top-100 picks. History says any free-agent signing at his stature jumps at least three rounds the moment pen hits paper. Pat noted Allen still commanded a 28 % target share last season, so even a landing spot like New England or Pittsburgh would push him back toward the WR2/3 fringe. The only risk is waiting: if you hate clicking him now, Pat joked, "you’ll really hate clicking him later" once the news hits. With no fresh information on Allen’s health or demands, Pat treats the current ADP dip as pure uncertainty discount and is stacking him with whichever QB value falls in drafts.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Keenan Allen is “a great piece… probably for any team on the Eliminator.” He likes locking in Allen’s week-to-week reception volume because the contest eliminates half the room after Weeks 1-3, making early consistency as important as the Week-17 final. Pat noted Allen fits both balanced builds and hyper-fragile RB starts; his reliable 20-plus percent target share smooths variance for teams that took on risk elsewhere. In Pat’s view, paying Allen’s current price is cheap insurance against the one bad Sunday that can boot an entry.

Tyler Knaeble urged drafters to keep hammering Keenan Allen while he slips into the 140–180 range of Underdog’s Puppy rooms. Knaeble said the only thing holding Allen’s price down is stack-anxiety around an undefined quarterback, calling that a temporary discount that evaporates the moment Allen signs. He pointed to Allen’s still-solid 800 yards and seven touchdowns last season as proof the veteran has plenty left, and floated Dallas as a "wheels-up" landing spot that would immediately shove his ADP inside the top-100. Because the Puppy will still be open when that signing likely breaks, Knaeble expects early drafters to bank easy closing-line value and get a free WR3/4 with WR2 weekly upside even if the roster cannot stack him.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said drafters are over-penalizing Keenan Allen because of ‘stacking anxiety’—no one wants to click him while his future quarterback is undefined. As a result, the veteran slips 15-20 spots past pre-draft ADP despite three straight seasons with at least a 27% target share and top-five yards-per-route-run among receivers with 100-plus routes. Pat argued that even a ‘worst-case’ landing spot like Cleveland or Arizona would funnel Allen intermediate volume, and any pass-heavy destination (Dallas, Jacksonville, Kansas City) would immediately vault him back into the WR2 tier. Because best-ball payouts hinge on ceiling weeks, Pat reminded listeners that Allen has logged eight 25-point games over the past two years—more than DeVonta Smith and Mike Evans combined. He’s comfortable taking Allen as his WR6/7 when he free-falls into the 120s, confident the market will correct the moment signing news breaks.

Nez Badge Bros is quietly loading up on free-agent Keenan Allen, arguing that drafters are over-reacting to his current lack of a helmet. Allen is going two-plus rounds later than last summer even though he still commanded a 27% target share and ranked top-10 in yards per route (2.25) before Chicago balked at his 2025 salary. Nez expects Dallas—"the one contender with a glaring WR2 hole"—or another playoff hopeful to ink him to a one-year, $10-15 M prove-it deal once post-draft medicals clear. History says the second the notification drops, Allen’s Underdog ADP will rip upward 20-30 picks (similar to DeAndre Hopkins and Odell Beckham’s 2023 moves). Grabbing him now banks closing-line value, and in Eliminator specifically his chain-moving route tree provides the stable week-to-week floor rosters need while still offering 10-catch spike potential on an offense that actually throws.