Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Keon Coleman a "terrible pick" at his current Underdog ADP in the 110-115 range, insisting the rookie should be going "in the 130s at best." Pat said drafters are paying for an immediate Year-1 breakout that showed "no signs of potentially happening" this spring. He is only clicking Coleman when he already has Josh Allen because tournament correlation can justify the reach, but in otherwise unstacked builds he would rather grab running-back values or pocket the falling onesie positions. Pat noted that ADP pressure in this area is driven by drafters “falling into the pack of sheep” chasing Bills exposure and not by any concrete depth-chart information from camp.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound dismissed the idea of a Keon Coleman sophomore leap, stating, “I don’t think Keon’s very good—his Reception Perception was a lot of red.” Pat highlighted Coleman’s documented difficulty separating at every route angle and pointed out that Buffalo already rotates its wideouts heavily. He will only draft Coleman when paired with Josh Allen for correlation but refuses to treat the second-year receiver as a standalone value in Eliminator builds that need early spike weeks.

Calling him a “best-ball only pick,” Sean Koerner pushed Keon Coleman up to WR49 while the market leaves him at WR58. Koerner noted Buffalo cleared out downfield competition by parting with Amari Cooper and Mack Hollins, leaving Coleman to inherit the old Gabe Davis role. The rookie already flashed similar production—29-556-5 on limited routes—almost mirroring Davis’s 35-599-7 debut year. With Khalil Shakir operating as the underneath volume sponge, Koerner projects Coleman to dominate the deep-target pie and sees 80-95% route participation by mid-season. The weekly floor will be low, but in best ball you only need the 2-for-80-and-a-TD weeks, and Koerner expects several of those in Allen-led shootouts. He advised taking the late-round swing before ADP catches up.

Michael Leone said Keon Coleman is the late-round Bills receiver he’s "most excited to draft right now." Leone admitted Coleman’s rookie season was rocky – poor separation metrics and a wrist injury – but emphasized Buffalo’s off-season moves leave a wide-open path to volume. The Bills let Gabe Davis walk, added only cheap veterans, and already view Coleman as a locked-in starter opposite Khalil Shakir. With Josh Allen’s offense annually finishing top-3 in pass TDs, Leone expects Coleman to be "given every opportunity" to post a 20-plus percent target share. Coleman’s ADP hasn’t adjusted the way Shakir’s has, so drafters are still catching a cheap bet on a sophomore leap tied to an elite quarterback, something Leone framed as "exactly the profile that smashes in Best Ball Mania."

Pete Overzet warned drafters not to get sucked into Keon Coleman’s highlight-reel catches, bluntly stating "Keon kind of sucks." He argued Coleman did little in college to suggest he can earn NFL targets—posting a middling 1.64 yards per route and relying on contested grabs—while Khalil Shakir has already shown the Bills staff he can separate and command volume. Overzet also pointed out that during Buffalo’s playoff run, veteran Mack Hollins, not Coleman, routinely stepped in as the secondary option behind Shakir, underscoring the rookie’s steep path to snaps. Until Coleman’s price drops another round or he flashes in camp, Overzet is fading him in best ball drafts.

Tyler Knaeble said Keon Coleman has quietly become one of the cleanest values in early-summer best-ball rooms. Coleman’s real-life situation in Buffalo is unchanged, but his ADP has slid because every flashier rookie wideout (Xavier Worthy, Brian Thomas Jr., Adonai Mitchell, etc.) now goes in the fourth or fifth round. That inversion means drafters can land Josh Allen’s presumptive WR1 nearly a full round later than pre-draft, while the Bills still project top-10 in pass rate over expectation with only Khalil Shakir and Curtis Samuel competing for perimeter snaps. Knaeble reminded listeners that GM Brandon Beane has repeatedly defended the receiver room—"he’ll yell at you for 30 seconds about it"—and that Buffalo did not add a veteran target hog after the draft. With a clear path to 110-plus targets and spike-week linkage to an elite quarterback, Knaeble is upping his Coleman exposure now before the market corrects.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Keon Coleman looks like one of the cleaner sophomore break-out bets in Best Ball Mania drafts. Pat reminded listeners that Buffalo’s coaching staff labeled Coleman "raw" as a rookie, so last year’s uneven production was exactly what we should have expected. The bar for a 2024 jump is simply holding a 70-plus percent route rate and stealing red-zone work, both realistic goals on a Bills depth chart that rotates four wideouts every week. With rookie receivers screaming up boards, Coleman’s ADP has actually stayed flat in the 11th–12th round, giving drafters access to touchdown-spike weeks without paying the rookie tax. Pat likes tacking Coleman onto Josh Allen builds or as a stand-alone bet on second-year growth now that the price is finally palatable again.

Erik Beimfohr advised passing on Keon Coleman at his current mid-round DraftKings price. Buffalo ranked bottom-10 in neutral-script pass rate last year and has repeatedly botched receiver additions—Curtis Samuel, Dalton Kincaid and a string of mid-season veteran trades. That same roster mismanagement thrusts Coleman into a de facto WR1 role as a raw rookie, guaranteeing he draws top corners while the Bills continue to lean on the run. Beimfohr compared it to the Bucks wasting Giannis’ prime: an elite centerpiece can’t overcome systemic roster flaws. He expects too many 5-for-60 stat lines and not enough week-winning spikes to justify an ADP around pick 80, so he is largely fading Coleman until Buffalo either changes its philosophy or adds another legitimate target earner.