Mike Wright warned that Kyren Williams’ top‑10 ADP is fragile because his 2024 breakout rested almost entirely on red‑zone volume. Williams averaged just 11 receiving yards per game—third worst among 34 qualified backs—and ranked 44th in explosive‑run rate (1.9 %). Yet he led the league with 4.7 touches inside the 20 per game, inflating his fantasy totals. Wright noted that if you subtract merely three touchdowns over the season Williams falls outside the positional top‑15. Contract demands north of $14 M and the presence of rookie Blake Corum could further complicate matters. Without a bump in passing‑game usage, Wright says Williams is an overdraft at RB10‑12 and should be treated as a touchdown‑dependent RB2 in season‑long formats.