Calling Green Bay one of the year’s biggest surprises, Cluff projected a 31-16 road win. He credited Micah Parsons and the rest of the Packers’ front for a looming shutdown of Cleveland’s offense, implying bettors should lean to Green Bay and the Under given the expected defensive dominance.

Ducey recommended betting Micah Parsons 1+ sack at +102. The Lions still allowed four sacks to Green Bay last week despite grading 17th in pass-blocking and Parsons picked up one in what Ducey called a "quiet" debut. On Thursday he’ll hunt Commanders rookie LT Josh Conerly Jr., whose 12th-worst PFF grade at the position included two sacks surrendered to Brian Burns. Ducey labeled Parsons "arguably the best pass-rusher in the game" and expects the mismatch against an overmatched rookie to cash the prop.