Russell played Mike Evans under 68.5 receiving yards at -115. He noted Evans drew fewer than 70 yards in 9 of 14 games last season and usually needed nine-plus targets to clear the mark. With Tampa’s reshuffled offensive line likely overwhelmed by Houston’s front, Baker Mayfield should struggle to hold the ball long enough for deep shots. Russell expects Texans CB Derek Stingley Jr. to shadow Evans the way A.J. Terrell did in Week 1, further depressing volume. Given those matchup and protection concerns, Russell put the true probability of Evans staying below 69 yards higher than the implied 52.4% on the standard prop price.

Eric Moody recommended locking Mike Evans into fantasy rosters. Atlanta surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points to wide receivers last season and still lacks a steady pass rush, leaving corners on an island. Evans roasted A.J. Terrell for 23.2 points in Week 5 last year and now projects for an even larger share with Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan battling injuries. Baker Mayfield cleared 1.5 passing touchdowns in 12 of 17 starts, and his −140 prop to do so again underscores Evans’ multi-TD ceiling.

Ian Hartitz said Mike Evans is his favorite dart throw in the murky Round-4 wide-receiver tier. With Chris Godwin unlikely to play until at least October and Jalen McMillan also sidelined, Hartitz expects Evans to monopolize Tampa’s targets. He reminded listeners that ESPN’s Open Score graded Evans as one of the league’s best separators last year, showing no age-related decline, and noted that Evans has averaged more fantasy points per game with Baker Mayfield over the past two seasons than he did with Tom Brady. Hartitz believes that if Evans stays healthy for all 17 games we could be talking about a top-three fantasy wideout by the end of September, making his current ADP a clear buying opportunity in season-long drafts.

Jason Moore said Mike Evans is his favorite of the mid-round receivers, ranking the veteran over DK Metcalf, Marvin Harrison Jr. and Tetairoa McMillan. Moore noted that Chris Godwin "is not there to start the year," and McMillan is also absent, leaving a massive target vacuum that mirrors the reasons he likes rookie Emeka Egbuka. Moore argued those same factors apply to Evans, making the Buccaneers’ star a potential league-winner even if he is "older" than the flashier names going in the same range.

Ron Stewart said Mike Evans remains a strong selection in FFPC managed formats, pointing to Chris Godwin currently opening camp on the PUP list, which should funnel a hefty early-season target share to Evans. Stewart highlighted Evans’ unmatched consistency—nine straight 1,000-yard seasons—and noted that Tampa was willing to feed him manufactured touches last year, including 19 screens, to keep that streak alive. With the Buccaneers lacking established pass-catchers behind Evans and Godwin and Baker Mayfield showing a tendency to lock onto his primary read, Stewart expects Evans to post a safe weekly floor with spike-week upside. He believes age concerns are overstated and that the veteran profiles as a high-floor WR3 who can deliver WR1 weeks, making his ADP in the mid-fourth round an easy click when teams need reliable production.

Chris Raybon said he is fading Mike Evans at his current WR-17 Yahoo ADP and has the veteran slotted around WR-18 to WR-20. Raybon called Evans’ streak of eleven straight 1,000-yard seasons a true coin-flip to continue, projecting only 906 receiving yards on a 15-game assumption. His model dings Evans for several red flags: (1) age 31 season with a declining full-snap workload; (2) Chris Godwin expected to be healthier than last year; (3) first-round rookie Emeka Egbuka immediately grabbing a top-three role and siphoning targets; (4) overall offensive regression after OC Liam Coen’s departure and Baker Mayfield coming off a clear career outlier season. Even with respectable touchdown equity, Raybon thinks the path to smashing ADP requires another late-season stat-padding push just to clear 1,000 yards, something he is not willing to bank on at this price.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Mike Evans should comfortably out-score Chris Godwin in half-PPR formats unless Evans suffers an injury. He pointed to Evans’ 77 % regular-season snap rate (81 % in last year’s playoff run) and his entrenched red-zone dominance, traits that translate directly into touchdowns in half-point scoring. Pat added that even if Godwin is fully healthy by roughly Week 6, the chain-moving receptions Godwin collects between the 20s will not eclipse Evans’ touchdown equity. In Pat’s view, drafters are still getting a discount on a weekly spike-week WR2 and should keep clicking Evans at current Underdog ADP.

Sam Monson predicted Mike Evans will surpass 1,000 receiving yards in 2025, saying the Buccaneers "will find a way" to get him there—even if it means force-feeding targets in the final seconds of Week 18. That confidence in guaranteed volume positions the over on any posted 1,000-yard prop as a strong play and cements Evans as a dependable top-25 wideout in season-long formats.

Josh said he is uncomfortable drafting Mike Evans at the WR16 price tag because several indicators point to regression. Tampa will get Chris Godwin back to full health and has added a first-round pass catcher, both of which threaten Evans’ target share that ballooned when Godwin was hurt last season. The Buccaneers open the year without left-tackle Tristan Wirfs, and although Baker Mayfield looked better in 2024 he still has clear limitations. With the offense likely to step back, Josh expects Evans’ production to dip from last year’s peak and is steering clear at a third-round cost.

Hayden Winks slotted Mike Evans 36th overall, several spots below last year’s finish, flagging multiple headwinds. At 31, Evans sits on the wrong side of the age curve and now faces first-round pick Malik Nabers plus a healthier Chris Godwin for targets. New OC Liam Coen’s scheme shift, the early-season absence of stud left tackle Tristan Wirfs, and the volatility baked into Baker Mayfield’s game all add downside. Evans was a top-15 asset in 2024 because almost everything broke perfectly; Winks expects natural regression in red-zone efficiency and yardage, viewing him as a volatile WR2 rather than a safe top-20 pick.

Warno advised dynasty managers to move Evans now rather than chase one last elite season. The future Hall-of-Famer turns 32 this August, and historical wide-receiver aging curves show steep efficiency decline after 31. Warno’s mantra: it’s better to be a year early than a year late on a fading asset whose name still commands strong trade packages.

Best Ball Guy warned drafters not to rely on Mike Evans as a weekly producer at his current third-round price. Evans admitted to reporters he may not be playing much longer, raising durability and motivation concerns. The tout likes him strictly as a one-off spike-week play for Tampa’s Week-17 shoot-out with Miami but argues his floor outside of that game is shaky given age-related decline and the Buccaneers’ league-low pass-rate expectations under Dave Canales. In short, Evans is fine for playoff correlation but overpriced for season-long consistency.

PPRTyler said the Week 17 Dolphins-Buccaneers game in Miami will play to a 30-30 type script, making it the hinge point for Best Ball finals. He expects Tampa to funnel volume toward Mike Evans as the veteran pushes to extend his 1,000-yard season streak after missing four games earlier in the year. Tyler projected a “200-yard and a touchdown” line for Evans, arguing the personal milestone plus a track-meet environment with Tyreek Hill on the other sideline gives Evans ceiling exposure rarely baked into his current ADP.

Strachan pivoted to Evans in Round 4, noting that Chris Godwin’s current injury concerns and the uncertainty around rookie pass catchers only funnel more targets toward Evans. He expects another 130-plus-target season and likes the price discount created by offseason hype on younger receivers, calling Evans a bankable weekly starter with double-digit-TD upside yet again.

Josh grabbed Mike Evans as the WR44 off the board, arguing he owns the highest two-year upside of any remaining option. Evans just delivered a WR10 finish in PPR points-per-game and still dominates Tampa Bay’s red-zone looks. Even at 32 and on a void-year heavy deal, Josh values the immediate production to mash league flex spots over longer-term but lower-scoring names like Courtland Sutton or Chris Godwin.

Davis Mattek said he is now happily clicking Mike Evans ahead of Terry McLaurin when both are on the board in the late third or early fourth round. Mattek thinks the market is sleeping on Evans because drafters are anchoring to Chris Godwin’s name value and ignoring Tampa Bay’s clearer target hierarchy: Godwin’s hamstring issue has him sliding while Evans—fresh off another 1,200-yard, 13-TD season—enters camp fully healthy. Mattek highlighted Evans’s 35 deep-target share (tied for second in the league) and Baker Mayfield’s top-five rate of throwing 20-plus-yard passes, calling the combo "an under-priced weekly nuke" for Best Ball formats. With Tampa projected to trail often and little reliable competition behind the top two receivers, Mattek believes Evans owns both target-volume and touchdown-spike paths to a WR1 finish and is a priority selection whenever he lasts past pick 38.

Sam Monson maintained that fantasy managers should not fade Mike Evans simply because he’s turning 31. Evans owns a career 15-plus yards-per-reception average and recently passed 100 touchdowns, production Monson credited to “being big and strong and fast” rather than pure long speed. That skill set, he said, will let Evans stay Tampa’s primary vertical and red-zone weapon even after losing a step, similar to how Vincent Jackson and Brandon Marshall aged. Monson sees Evans’ spike-week profile intact, making him a value at current ADP in Season-Long leagues and an ideal ceiling play for Best-Ball builds.

Whalen is below consensus on Mike Evans, noting that only 11 players since 2000 have cracked 1,000 yards in their 12th NFL season. Although Evans’ 11-year streak is impressive, Whalen would "rather be out a year early" than spend a late-third-round pick on a profile that screams statistical regression. With Tampa expected to lean run-heavier and Chris Godwin back at full strength, Whalen cautioned drafters not to chase last season’s production spike.

Best Ball Guy said drafters should start mixing Mike Evans into their third-round portfolio even when they do not have Baker Mayfield already in hand. His argument is pure ceiling: Evans’ week-tilting touchdown profile has produced multiple BBM finals appearances, and the Buccaneers’ December schedule – one BBG repeatedly called "very stack-friendly" – offers shoot-out potential that maximizes that spike-week juice. Because the third round often feels flat, sliding in Evans secures weekly upside that most of the volume-based wideouts in that range simply cannot match. BBG noted he is purposely diversifying away from a strict Evans–Godwin pairing and is happy to run Evans as a solo bet with Mayfield or even with rookie Emeka Egbuka to keep roster construction flexible while still capturing Tampa Bay’s playoff ceiling.

Nick Whalen is fading Mike Evans at WR20 (top-40 overall). He pointed to stark splits: in six games alongside Chris Godwin last season, Evans averaged just 4 catches for 48 yards, but when Godwin missed time he spiked to 7 catches for 96 yards. Banking on another Godwin injury is a thin bet, and Evans is now entering his age-32 season, which historically correlates with efficiency decline. Whalen conceded Evans’ streak of 11 straight 1,000-yard seasons is impressive but called it statistically unlikely to continue at cost. He would rather pivot to cheaper options in the same offense.

Jeff Erickson expects Mike Evans’ league-best 10-season 1,000-yard streak to stop in 2024 and is leaning UNDER the posted 950.5-yard (DK) / 925.5-yard (FanDuel) lines. He noted no wide-receiver in his 12th NFL season has hit 1,000 yards since Larry Fitzgerald in 2015. Evans still wins on deep patterns, a route tree that needs more pocket time just as Tampa loses Tristan Wirfs for at least the first month. Erickson fears the combination of an aging vertical receiver, a shuffle at offensive coordinator, and immediate match-ups with strong pass-rush defenses will suppress both volume and efficiency, making the under the sharper side for season-long yardage props or best-ball draft fades.

Ben Gretch said drafters are paying a Round-4 premium for past glory rather than 2024 reality with Mike Evans. Tampa’s 57 offensive TDs and Baker Mayfield’s 7.3 % pass-TD rate both crushed previous career highs after Liam Cohen completely revamped the red-zone script. Cohen is now in Jacksonville, left tackle Tristan Wirfs is expected to miss the start of the season, and first-rounder Emeka Egbuka plus Jalen McMillan add target competition alongside a healthier Chris Godwin. Gretch projects Mayfield back near his career-norm 5 % TD rate and the Bucs closer to 40 total scores, slicing Evans’ likely touchdowns from 13 to the 8-9 range. With an aging receiver and lower volume baked in, his median outcome settles outside the top-20 WRs, making Evans a fade at WR19 ADP in season-long and best-ball drafts.

Jason Moore explained why he still ranks Mike Evans a full tier ahead of Chris Godwin even though he projects both Buccaneer veterans for roughly 130 targets. Evans’ down-field aDOT and red-zone usage make his targets much more valuable—he has cleared double-digit touchdowns in four of the past five seasons and averages 1.9 end-zone targets per game, nearly double Godwin’s 1.0. Moore trusts Evans’ durability as well, noting the receiver has posted 1,000-plus yards in every one of his 10 NFL campaigns, whereas Godwin’s post-injury ramp-up last year produced an “extremely depressing” stretch run. With Evans going in the late third and Godwin in the sixth, Moore sees the Hall-of-Fame-track wideout as the safer bet to return WR1 value and is comfortable selecting him ahead of names like DK Metcalf and DeVonta Smith in that same ADP pocket.

Bob Harris said Mike Evans is his favorite best-ball value at his current WR37 price on DraftKings. Harris highlighted Evans’ 10 straight 1,000-yard seasons, the 1,255 yards he logged last year despite missing time, and the 96.7 receiving yards he averaged after returning from injury. Those numbers, plus his perennial double-digit touchdown upside, give Evans weekly WR1 ceilings. Harris added that managers can often draft Davante Adams a round earlier and then immediately take Evans, creating a difference-making veteran duo. He believes the market is once again disrespecting Evans and urged drafters to scoop him aggressively in best ball.

Nick Whalen argued that drafting 32-year-old Mike Evans at a slight WR discount is still risky because volume is likely to drop. With Chris Godwin healthy, first-round rookie Emeka Egbuka, and second-rounder Jalen McMillan crowding the room, Evans’ target share could revert to the pre-injury split that saw him average just 4 catches and 48 yards per game. Whalen also highlighted the historical precedent: since 2000 only 12 players have topped 1,000 yards in their 12th NFL season. Factor in minor injury flare-ups and the loss of OC Liam Coen, and Whalen believes Evans’ league-leading touchdown pace (24 over the last two years) is due for a slowdown, making the veteran a fade in 2025 drafts.

Jagger May said Mike Evans is a land-mine at his current 2025 ADP. Even if the 31-year-old has not fallen off a cliff athletically, May worries the Buccaneers could overhaul the receiving room as soon as this summer—he specifically mentioned prospects Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan as threats to siphon snaps. Evans already has to compete with Chris Godwin, and Liam Cohen’s departure means the passing scheme could look completely different. In the same draft range you can grab Marvin Harrison Jr., Davante Adams, or Rashi Rice—players May believes carry higher floors without Evans’ age and scheme uncertainty. The combination of looming target competition, a possible shift away from the current offense, and Evans’ natural decline makes him a fade in season-long drafts.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound endorsed Mike Evans as an ideal ceiling play for Underdog’s 20-round Sprint. He reminded viewers that in a three-week playoff you only need two spike weeks to push a roster into the finals, and Evans still produces multi-TD eruptions despite his age. Pat likes stashing Evans as the WR3/4 on otherwise young builds, banking on his 14.3-yard career aDOT and eight seasons of double-digit touchdowns to deliver at least two 25-plus-point bombs. He called Evans the prototype "boom-bust" vet who can win Weeks 15-17 without requiring full-season consistency.

Nez Badge Bros acknowledged a nagging worry that Mike Evans might finally slow down at age 31 but ultimately labeled those fears ‘priced in’ at his late-fourth-round Sprint tag. Evans’ game—dominating at the catch point rather than relying on speed—ages gracefully, and he has never fallen short of 1,000 yards in a season. Nez highlighted Evans’ 13.4-yard average depth of target and career-long 8.5 percent touchdown rate, arguing the wideout can offset any minor yardage dip with another double-digit TD campaign. With Baker Mayfield back and the Buccaneers projected to chase points weekly, Nez is comfortable drafting Evans at 4.08 until the wheels actually fall off.

Pete Overzet called Mike Evans at a 4.08 Sprint ADP "a gift." Evans usually goes at the 3-4 turn in Best Ball Mania and sits side-by-side with Davante Adams in ETR’s projections, yet drafters are passing on him 15 picks later here. Overzet highlighted Evans’ NFL-record 10 straight 1,000-yard seasons, a 31.5 % air-yard share last year, and Baker Mayfield’s extension that guarantees continuity. He concluded that the discount lets drafters start RB-heavy while still locking in a weekly WR1 ceiling—critical in the Sprint’s rotisserie playoff format where raw points matter more than week-to-week advance rates.