Referencing Raheem Mostert’s ridiculous 8.6 % touchdown rate two seasons ago, Andy Holloway labeled it a ‘screaming red flag’ and a textbook example of why fantasy drafters should discount extreme efficiency spikes. Touchdown rate shows virtually no stickiness and even carries a slight negative correlation with next-year fantasy points for running backs. Holloway’s advice: if a player’s ADP is inflated by a once-in-a-career scoring binge, pivot to backs whose value rests on sustainable measures like share of red-zone opportunities or pass-game involvement. Mostert’s new environment in Las Vegas lacks Miami’s explosive spacing, making a big regression likely.

Swanson labeled Raheem Mostert a classic veteran backup worth scooping with your final pick. Drafters enamored with new Raiders starter Ashton Jeanty are ignoring the 32-year-old speedster, but if Jeanty misses time, Mostert instantly inherits a Mike McDaniel-style outside-zone role that previously produced RB2 weeks in Miami. Grabbing him now beats racing to the waiver wire later.

Best Ball Guy confessed he has been "grossly taking" Raheem Mostert whenever he slips outside the draftable range because the veteran looks like the clear No. 2 behind rookie MarShawn Genty. If Genty misses time, Mostert could deliver "80-plus points in four starts," the exact kind of spike-week production that buries best-ball rooms late in the year. He emphasized the leverage angle: a Genty injury would simultaneously nuke many first-round teams while propelling Mostert drafters forward with fresh legs in an offense he expects to be "pretty damn fun."