Andy Holloway cautioned drafters against chasing Rhamondre Stevenson as anything more than a late RB2. Fantasy research showed that over the last four seasons, 92 % of top‑15 backs came from teams with at least seven wins; only 8 % hit that mark on sub‑seven‑win clubs. Holloway expects New England to stay in the bottom tier of projected win totals, meaning Stevenson would have to buck historical trends to finish as a fantasy RB1. Even if Stevenson is the more talented runner compared with similarly priced options like Brian Robinson Jr., Holloway’s tiebreaker is always overall team strength. With the Patriots likely to trail often and field a rookie quarterback, Holloway recommends passing on Stevenson for backs attached to offenses expected to win more games.