Chris Raybon compared Stefon Diggs’ 2024 outlook with the Patriots to Davante Adams’ first year under Josh McDaniels in Las Vegas. Adams commanded a 32% target share and led the NFL in touchdown catches at age 30. Raybon argued a similar funnel is in play because New England’s surrounding pass-catchers are thin and McDaniels historically features a true WR1 (Adams, Wes Welker, Demaryius Thomas). Diggs still posted a 26% target share and top-15 open-rate in Buffalo before an injury-marred finish, so Raybon sees talent erosion as overstated. With Drake May willing to pepper a favorite read, Raybon believes Diggs retains top-five weekly upside and labeled him a priority pick in Rounds 4-5 of best-ball drafts where ceiling matters most.

Sam Monson warned fantasy drafters that Stefon Diggs is far from a sure thing in 2024. Monson pointed out that Diggs is now on the wrong side of 30 and working his way back from a late-season ACL tear, calling both factors "an unknown." Because New England still projects as a run-leaning, rookie-quarterback offense, Monson argued that drafting Diggs at anything close to his historical WR1 price tag is dangerous. He suggested treating Diggs as a volatile WR3/FLEX until we see proof that his explosion and route sharpness have returned, especially in season-long formats where replacement options will be available on waivers.

Erik Beimfohr tabbed Stefon Diggs as the sneaky veteran smash in Round 7. The market hates the profile—31 years old, ACL recovery, new team—but Beimfohr argued all that risk is fully priced into a seventh-round ADP. Positive rehab reports keep trickling in, and New England finally landed a true alpha for No. 3 overall pick Drake Maye. With the rest of the Patriots’ receiver room consisting of dart-throws like Pop Douglas and rookie Kyle Williams, Beimfohr projects double-digit weekly targets for Diggs once he is up to speed. Diggs still posted a 26 % target share before last year’s Buffalo mess, and historical comps show veterans tethered to top-three rookie quarterbacks often smash. Beimfohr acknowledged the possibility Diggs opens on PUP—he thinks that news would only make the price sweeter—but believes the risk/reward is outstanding for a player who could be Maye’s first-read on every high-leverage play.

Pete Overzet called Stefon Diggs’ new 79 overall ADP "a tough price to pay" and is fading the veteran in Best Ball Mania rooms. Overzet cited Diggs entering his age-31 season, recovering from a late-season ACL tear, and competing for targets with Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz. Diggs’ yards per route already slipped from 2.78 in 2022 to 1.87 after Week 9 last year, even before the injury. Overzet likened the situation to 2023’s disappointing DeAndre Hopkins draft cost and prefers swinging on ascending rookies like Emeka Egbuka or Luther Burden in that range, arguing they at least offer genuine league-winning upside.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is hammering Stefon Diggs any time the veteran slips past pick 65, saying drafters are over-reacting to vague ankle-scope reports from February. Pat expects "positive medical updates" when Houston opens camp in late July, at which point Diggs’ ADP will rocket back into the early-50s where elite WR2s normally reside. He pointed out that even in a "down" season Diggs still posted a 26 percent target share, 2.26 yards per route run and eight top-20 weekly finishes—numbers that would make him a smash at his current mid-sixth-round cost. With C.J. Stroud’s Texans ranking top-five in pass rate over expectation and losing only Dalton Schultz’s 15 percent target share from 2023, Pat thinks Diggs settles in as a weekly ceiling play and sees drafting him now as “free closing-line value.”

Billy Jones urged drafters to take Stefon Diggs in the sixth or early seventh round while they still can. He noted that every datapoint since spring minicamp has been optimistic: Diggs is already running full-speed in rehab videos, coaches say he’s "ahead of schedule," and local beat writers expect him to be the Texans’ unquestioned WR1 by Week 1. Jones believes half-PPR gamers should chase Diggs’ red-zone dominance—nine touchdowns is the realistic median outcome in C.J. Stroud’s pass-heavy attack. At age 31 the floor is obviously lower, but Jones argued that the market will steam a healthy Diggs up near Calvin Ridley within "a couple streamers." Locking him in now at pick 70 is pure closing-line value for teams willing to embrace a veteran rebound profile.