Josh is 15 running-back spots over ADP on Tank Bigsby, slotting him at RB34 and calling the 10-spot ADP gap between Etienne (RB33) and Bigsby (RB43 in home leagues) ‘way too rich.’ He cites tape dating back to Week 1 last season and every underlying rushing metric to claim Bigsby is the Jaguars’ best runner. Josh dismisses Etienne as just a ‘volume sponge’ entering a contract year with little organizational commitment, while Bigsby is explosive, breaks tackles, and caught 60 balls in college (30 in his final season), suggesting his rookie-year receiving struggles were fluky. New OC Liam Coen has reportedly singled out Bigsby after film review, reinforcing Josh’s conviction that Bigsby is the superior football player and the sharper pick at current prices.

Hayden Winks recommended targeting Tank Bigsby in the 130-140 overall range because camp reports from beat writer John Shipley have repeatedly shown Bigsby running ahead of Travis Etienne and rookie Bachell Tootin. Hayden projects an early-season committee in which Bigsby handles most of the traditional rushing while Etienne works as the more rounded option and Tootin develops. Bigsby’s projected volume outstrips similarly priced backs, so Hayden expects his ADP to climb, while Etienne (currently in the 110s) has probably hit his ceiling. If the ambiguous Jaguars backfield produces a clear winner, Hayden sees Bigsby as the most likely candidate and a strong upside pick at cost.

Davis Mattek doubled down on Tank Bigsby as one of the three best running-back picks on the entire board and said the sophomore "should be absolutely rocketing up" to the Round-11/12 turn (he personally moved him to pick 129). Mattek noted beat-writer reports that Bigsby is currently leading a three-way committee and praised his early-down running chops—"a very good runner who keeps the chains moving." The key, in Mattek’s view, is that Jacksonville’s coaching staff is not deferring to Travis Etienne’s veteran status; if they’re willing to feature Bigsby now, they would be just as open to benching Etienne altogether if the performance gap widens. Bigsby has already returned to practice after a brief absence, easing injury worries. Mattek is holding 20 percent exposure and predicts an August ADP surge once fantasy drafters realize Bigsby could open the year as the Jaguars’ lead rusher with goal-line equity.

Davis Mattek doubled down on his early-summer stance that Tank Bigsby is one of the three best running-back picks on the board. Mattek moved Bigsby from an ADP of 160 all the way to 129 in his latest update after hearing multiple camp reports that Bigsby is leading the Jaguars’ three-way split and looks like the best pure runner on the roster. He noted the second-year back’s tackle-breaking profile and short-yardage success rate were both better than Travis Etienne’s in 2023, and Jacksonville’s staff is showing little deference to Etienne’s veteran status—an encouraging sign for Bigsby’s touch ceiling. With beat writer Mike Dempsey telling Mattek he “takes a drink every time someone drafts Etienne,” Mattek expects Bigsby’s price to keep climbing and is targeting 20%–25% exposure in Best Ball drafts before the market corrects.

JJ Zachariason called Tank Bigsby a great double-digit-round target after multiple Jacksonville beat writers reported he’s been "running with the ones" all camp. Although Bigsby owns a dreadful 0.36 yards-per-route-run over his first two NFL seasons—historically a death knell for future target share—JJ believes early-down and goal-line volume at a 154 overall ADP offsets those reception worries in best ball. He compared the situation to Mark Ingram’s early career, stressing that touchdown-driven spike weeks are all you need when drafting a mid-round back. Because Bigsby’s price has barely budged despite the positive camp buzz, JJ is scooping him wherever he can, viewing him as the cheap piece of an "ambiguous" Jaguars backfield that still leaves the higher-ceiling pass-catching work to Travis Etienne or Baisal Tuton.

JJ Zachariason argued that Tank Bigsby is the cleanest late-round arbitrage play on Brian Robinson. Robinson goes in the 10th while Bigsby is still hanging around pick 155 in the 14th—even after multiple Jacksonville beat writers said he is 'running with the ones.' JJ stressed both backs share the same touchdown-centric profile (little pass-catching, early-down bruiser) and therefore similar 75th–80th percentile outcomes. With new coordinator Liam Coen expected to keep Jacksonville’s pace and red-zone volume high, JJ believes there is a realistic path for Bigsby to post a Jamal Williams- or Raheem Mostert-style season (low target share but 13-15 TDs). Because the backfield remains ambiguous—Travis Etienne for receiving, Bigsby for goal-line, rookie Baisal Tutton lurking—the market is suppressing Bigsby’s cost. JJ is scooping him five rounds later than comparable archetypes, aiming to be '10 spots ahead of ADP' before the inevitable price jump.

JJ Zachariason framed Tank Bigsby as a textbook arbitrage play on Brian Robinson. Bigsby’s DraftKings ADP sits at 154 (early-14th round), five full rounds after Robinson despite similar 75th-percentile paths: early-down work, short-yardage usage and a 12-to-15 touchdown ceiling. Beat writers keep noting Bigsby mixing with the first team, yet the market has only nudged him six spots over the last week. Zachariason argued that in best-ball formats you care about spike-week touchdowns, not weekly floor, and Jacksonville’s new Liam Coen offense could score plenty while Travis Etienne soaks up pass-game volume. He is drafting Bigsby any time he falls beyond pick 150 to capture that Jamal-Williams/Mostert style payoff without spending a 10th-round pick on Robinson.

Zachariason said the market has not reacted enough to multiple Jacksonville beat writers reporting Tank Bigsby running with the first team. Bigsby’s ADP barely budged—he drafted him at 154 overall on July 29—so drafters can still lock in double-digit-round exposure to a back who may siphon early-down and goal-line work from Travis Etienne. While Bigsby’s brutal 0.36 yards per route run across 100+ career routes makes a true three-down leap unlikely, JJ emphasized that in best ball you care most about spike-week touchdown equity. If Bigsby grabs 10–12 carries and short-yardage duty weekly, those red-zone touches can swing DraftKings’ weekly payouts even without receptions. He’s treating Bigsby as a priority pick any time the price stays in the 150s.

Ian Hartitz moved Tank Bigsby into his ‘pump’ bucket after multiple Jaguars beat writers observed the second-year back taking the bulk of first-team carries and consistently out-shining Travis Etienne at camp. Benjamin Solak noted that Bigsby has been the primary early-down runner in every full-speed drill this week. Hartitz believes Doug Pederson wants a between-the-tackles grinder to keep Etienne fresh and expects Bigsby’s ADP to spike once preseason usage becomes public. His advice: ease off Etienne shares for now and load up on Bigsby in the double-digit rounds before the market corrects, especially in Best Ball rooms where RB depth dries up quickly.

Kendall Valenzuela noted that multiple on-site reporters have now seen Tank Bigsby taking the "bulk of the carries with the first team" and looking more explosive than Travis Etienne early in Jaguars camp. While she stopped short of declaring a starter, Valenzuela urged drafters to move Bigsby up their season-long boards because first-team usage this early usually foreshadows at least a committee. Etienne’s price bakes in a three-down role that may no longer exist, whereas Bigsby remains a late single-digit-round pick with direct access to a potentially valuable goal-line gig in a Doug Pederson offense that produced 27 running-back carries inside the 5-yard line last season.

Valenzuela said she is closely monitoring Jacksonville’s backfield after multiple camp reports showed Tank Bigsby, not Travis Etienne, commanding most of the first-team carries and flashing more juice. The Jaguars were bottom-six in red-zone rush rate last year, and a bigger role for Bigsby could translate into valuable goal-line touches in an ascending offense led by Trevor Lawrence. Valenzuela implied Bigsby is an upside bench stash who could leapfrog Etienne sooner than the market expects.

Reacting to a beat-writer blurb that Tank Bigsby is “taking most first-team reps,” Best Ball Guy said that news validates his zero-RB eliminator strategy of fading Travis Etienne and hammering Bigsby (8 percent) and Daijun Tooten (16 percent). He believes Jacksonville’s coaching staff is frustrated with Etienne’s inefficiency and may pivot toward a power back to handle early downs and goal-line work—exactly the role Bigsby excelled in at Auburn. If that rotation sticks, a double-digit-round Bigsby suddenly owns the touchdown equity on an ascending Jaguars offense, while Etienne’s Round-3 price tag craters. BBG called Bigsby a “really strong Eliminator pick” because weekly cut-line formats reward backs who can spike 15+ points without needing full snap shares.

Pat Kerrane advised nudging Tank Bigsby higher in draft ranks after a Jaguars beat reporter charted every Trevor Lawrence snap and found Bigsby rotating frequently with Travis Etienne on first-team hand-offs. Kerrane had previously faded Bigsby because of his two-down profile and the expectation of a three-way committee, but the data showed Bigsby getting more early-down and goal-line work than anticipated. That usage raises his weekly touchdown equity in Best Ball and gives him contingent upside if Etienne misses time. Kerrane now sees Bigsby as a viable late-round pick who can pay off even without an Etienne injury and become a smash if the backfield tilts toward a true 1A/1B split.

Pat Kerrane spotlighted Tank Bigsby’s massive efficiency jump, noting the second-year back ranked 11th in rush yards over expected in 2024—finishing ahead of J.K. Dobbins and James Conner—after a brutal rookie season. Kerrane thinks that profile makes Bigsby the favorite for early-down "move-the-chains" work in Jacksonville’s three-headed backfield with Travis Etienne and Bachel Tootin. Because Etienne’s price remains the highest and Tootin is viewed as the pass-catcher, Bigsby offers the cleanest path to 10–12 carries plus goal-line equity at a double-digit ADP. Kerrane framed him as a cheap hedge on any Lawrence stack: if the Jaguars offense hums, Bigsby’s efficiency plus touchdown upside will pop; if the pass game stalls, volume tilts his way anyway. He’s upping exposure before preseason games make the improved play too obvious to the market.

Pat Kerrane bumped Tank Bigsby up his ranks after a beat writer charted every Trevor Lawrence snap and found a "decent amount" of hand-offs going to Bigsby alongside Travis Etienne and rookie Tutton. Kerrane originally faded Bigsby because of a two-down profile, but the data shows Jacksonville is rotating him regularly with the 1s. If that usage holds, Bigsby would be the early-down hammer in what now looks like a three-back committee, giving him contingent-plus standalone value at his current double-digit Best Ball price.

Best Ball Guy said Tank Bigsby is one of his favorite darts because Jacksonville’s depth chart is still unsettled. He contrasted it with the Jets, where Breece Hall is an unquestioned bell-cow, arguing that uncertainty in the Jaguars room gives Bigsby multiple paths to spike-week volume if roles shift during the season. For a player who often slips 20 picks past ADP, BBG believes the payoff on that ambiguity is well worth the final-round investment in Best Ball Mania.

Siegele could not understand why drafters are still paying up for Tank Bigsby. The only positive peripherals on Bigsby’s rookie resume came almost entirely from one early-season game; once Travis Etienne returned from his injury spell, Bigsby was actually worse than Etienne’s own shaky efficiency. Siegele highlighted that Bigsby offered nothing in the passing game, posted sub-4.0 yards per carry over that stretch, and routinely graded below replacement in missed-tackle rate. With Jacksonville hinting that Etienne may shift toward a receiving-heavy role and rookie Bhayshul Tuten bringing far more dynamism, Bigsby is squeezed from both sides. In Siegele’s view, drafters are ignoring a multi-path downside—Bigsby could lose short-yardage to Tuten and target share to Etienne—while paying a Round-11 price that assumes he owns the dirty work. He labeled Bigsby a clear fade in both best ball and redraft unless the price craters.

Best Ball Guy explained that Tank Bigsby is one of his favorite late-round rookie stabs because he expects the Jaguars to open the season giving Bigsby the early-down workload while Travis Etienne is eased into a more diverse role. BBG sees Bigsby handling between 12-15 carries right away, including goal-line looks, which can patch the early-season production hole created by loading up on riskier rookies elsewhere in the draft. He emphasized that Jacksonville ranked 9th in red-zone rush rate last year under Doug Pederson and projects to play with more positive game script after beefing up its defense in the off-season, increasing the touchdown equity for the between-the-tackles back. In BBG’s view, Bigsby functions as a cheap floor piece who can keep a Zero-RB-ish Superflex roster afloat until the rest of the rookie backs hit.

Craig Horlbeck pushed Tank Bigsby as a screaming value outside the top-100 picks. He noted Bigsby averaged more yards after contact last season than Travis Etienne averaged total yards per carry, calling him "just a better player." Horlbeck expects Liam Cohen to replicate the rushing turnaround he engineered in Tampa—where the Bucs jumped from dead-last to league-average in yards before contact—giving Jacksonville’s backs far cleaner looks. Because Cohen prefers a decisive, downhill runner (Bucky Irving’s 2023 role), Horlbeck believes Bigsby will seize early-down work and goal-line carries, offering double-digit TD upside at a round-13 price tag.

Best Ball Guy flagged Tank Bigsby as a sneaky mid-round running back whose value hinges on front-loaded touches. He reminded listeners that Jacksonville trusted Bigsby with meaningful carries the first month of 2023 before ceding the backfield to Travis Etienne, and thinks a similar script could play out this season while the Jaguars break in two rookie ball-carriers. That potential for September work—"Bigsby could be the bridge if he's the early-season guy like last year"—gives him unique utility in best-ball tournaments where early points often determine advance rates. Bigsby’s ADP remains depressed after a quiet rookie year, so Best Ball Guy is comfortable betting on a fast start and taking the floor he provides while waiting for rookies to develop.

Tyler Knaeble called Tank Bigsby a “nice upside play” when you already have three tight ends locked in early. He pointed out that Bigsby’s Week-8 bye meshes cleanly with the rest of his roster and said there are “worse RB4s” you could land this late in Underdog’s Puppy drafts. Knaeble’s logic was simple construction math: adding a fourth running back with contingent value keeps the build balanced without sacrificing wide-receiver or tight-end capital in the double-digit rounds.

Davis Mattek purposely grabbed Tank Bigsby while talking through the idea of drafting both inexpensive Jacksonville backs. He said stacking an ambiguous backfield lets drafters capture multiple ceiling paths at a bargain price—if either runner takes control or injuries hit, you suddenly roster the feature back in a Trevor Lawrence offense. Mattek added that Bigsby on his own owns enough early-down and goal-line equity to produce several 15-plus-point outings, making him an ideal mid-round zero-RB target.

Best Ball Guy advised sprinkling Tank Bigsby into late-round builds, arguing the second-year back was "legit better than Etienne last year" on interior runs and could siphon goal-line carries on a half-PPR site where touchdowns rule. With Jacksonville yet to crown a short-yardage specialist, he likes leaving each draft with either Bigsby or another cheap Jaguar so that whoever claims the role is already in his portfolio. The play fits perfectly behind premium anchors like Jahmyr Gibbs and Jonathan Taylor, chasing spike-week TDs without spending early capital.

Andrew Cooper grabbed Tank Bigsby deep in the draft and defended the pick despite market hate. Citing PFF’s Nathan Jahnke, Cooper reminded listeners that backs who eventually grab the starting role produce the most RB1/RB2 weeks. Bigsby was the Jaguars’ most efficient runner in 2023 and, in Cooper’s view, could simply win the job outright if Travis Etienne stumbles. That asymmetric upside makes him an ideal RB4/5 in Best Ball rooms where drafters chase receiving backs instead. Cooper believes Bigsby’s path to a full workload— behind an improved offensive line and in a Doug Pederson offense that historically feeds its lead back near the goal line— is being underestimated, and he expects multiple usable spike weeks if the second-year back seizes early-down and red-zone work.

Mike Wright argued that Tank Bigsby is a smart late-round hedge for managers who refuse to trust Travis Etienne. Wright noted that Etienne’s efficiency cratered in 2024 (3.6 YPC, RB46 in rush yards over expectation) and that the new staff has talked up a "multiple back" approach. Bigsby—already taking first-team reps—can leapfrog Etienne in short-yardage work and projects for the goal-line touches Liam Cohen funneled to Kyren Williams when the Rams were inside the five. With Bigsby available in the 11th round, two full rounds after Etienne, Wright believes you’re getting similar weekly touch upside at a fraction of the cost and none of the downside that comes with Etienne’s plummeting reception share (career-low 7.5% target rate).

Erik Beimfohr urged drafters to scoop Tank Bigsby any time he slips past ADP as a cheap way to profit from what he calls a "mis-priced" Jaguars backfield. Beimfohr trusts new coordinator Liam Cohen, who has repeatedly said he wants runners who are "fast to and through the hole," a trait Bigsby flashes more consistently than either Travis Etienne or rookie Tutan. He expects Cohen’s heavy pony personnel to put two backs on the field and believes Bigsby’s downhill style will earn him most of the goal-line carries. While Bigsby was a near-zero as a rookie receiver, Beimfohr noted the 62 career catches he logged at Auburn and thinks competent coaching can coax enough targets to keep him playable. With Etienne now two rounds more expensive, Beimfohr is sprinkling exposure across all three Jacksonville runners but prioritizing Bigsby because the payoff—a double-digit TD season in a top-10 offense—far outweighs a late-round price tag in Best Ball Mania.

Davis Mattek said he leans toward drafting Tank Bigsby over other late backs such as Tyler Allgeier because Bigsby could seize Jacksonville’s backfield without requiring an injury ahead of him. Mattek noted that Doug Pederson has historically used committee approaches and has already praised Bigsby’s pass-protection, making the rookie the most logical three-down replacement if Travis Etienne falters. In a half-PPR best-ball environment, that theoretical takeover would provide league-winning weekly ceilings at a dirt-cheap ADP in the 150s. He contrasted that with Allgeier, who still needs a Bijan Robinson injury to matter, underscoring Bigsby’s relatively simpler path to meaningful touches.

Davis Mattek suggested scooping Tank Bigsby in the final rounds as an inexpensive way to play a potential Jaguars backfield shake-up. He believes new OC Liam Coen prefers backs who hit the hole “fast to and through,” a stylistic match for Bigsby that differs from Travis Etienne’s bounce-everything approach. Mattek noted Jacksonville media keep hinting the staff is "tired of the Etienne experience" and pointed to Bucky Irving’s late-season surge under Coen at Kentucky as proof the coordinator will ride the hot hand. While Bigsby is a non-factor in the passing game, Mattek expects him to handle lead-back carries in positive scripts and rack up efficiency if the Jaguars offense takes a step forward. At a cheap ADP, one or two multi-TD outings could make him a tournament winner.

Davis Mattek said he has come around on Tank Bigsby after re-watching every Jacksonville snap. The rookie’s profile was not limited to that 65-yard house call against the Colts; he actually earned goal-line carries in three separate games and graded out better than Travis Etienne in success rate. Mattek noted Etienne nursed a Week-3 shoulder injury and then limped to a 3.4 YPC the rest of the way, so Jacksonville’s coaching staff has every incentive to work in a more efficient short-yardage back. With Bigsby available in the late-fourth round of best-ball drafts—territory usually reserved for committee backs—Mattek sees a cheap path to 10-12 touchdowns and labeled him a priority share before summer steam pushes the price up.

After re-watching every carry and crunching the numbers, Davis Mattek spotlighted Tank Bigsby as the cheapest way to attack Jacksonville’s unsettled backfield. Bigsby posted a 51% rush success rate and forced missed tackles on 28% of his attempts—both figures that would have led Travis Etienne last season. Mattek added that new OC Liam Cohen has talked up a committee approach, and league insiders have whispered that the Jaguars could shop Etienne before the deadline rather than pay him. At an RB55 price tag in Round 13-14, Mattek believes even a five-start stretch could deliver the two spike weeks you need to matter in Best Ball playoffs. He is drafting Bigsby heavily—often alongside rookie blazer Byshell Tutin—to capture multiple paths to a suddenly intriguing offense.

Buck said Tank Bigsby is the Jacksonville back you want in 2025 drafts. After an ugly rookie season, Bigsby rebounded in 2024 with multiple long TDs—including a 65-yarder—and finished 16th among all RBs in yards after contact per attempt despite ranking 86th in yards before contact behind an offensive line that was 25th in run-block win rate. Only Derrick Henry posted a better yards-after-contact mark among backs with 100+ carries. Buck argued Liam Cohen’s offense (projected by Mike Clay for 1,500 rushing yards, 9 rushing TDs and 74 backfield receptions) will lean on Bigsby’s improved vision and tackle-breaking ability. At an Underdog ADP around 152, Buck views Bigsby as a cheap path to a projected 300-point backfield and a potential league winner.

Davis Mattek floated Tank Bigsby as one of his favorite late-round swings after the Jaguars drafted two more running backs and quietly shopped Travis Etienne. Mattek compared Bigsby’s potential 2024 outcome to David Montgomery’s role in Detroit—low aDOT involvement but a lock for short-yardage and goal-line carries on an above-average offense. Etienne averaged only 8.0 fantasy points last season and first-round draft capital is the only thing keeping him in the mix, so Jacksonville could easily pivot to the more efficient Bigsby if the former starter falters or is traded. With 800 rushing yards and seven scores already on his resume, Bigsby’s path to double-digit TDs is in play and Mattek is happily scooping him in the RB40 range before summer camps reveal the depth-chart shake-up.

Eric Luttrell said Tank Bigsby is still worth clicking in the mid-150s—even after Jacksonville added rookie Dequon Allen—because there is, in his words, a “real 20-percent chance” Travis Etienne gets traded before Week 1. Luttrell argued that drafters are over–discounting Bigsby (current Underdog ADP ~170) even though he is clearly the best short-yardage option on the roster and Etienne has graded poorly near the goal line. If Etienne is moved, Bigsby would inherit the early-down and goal-line work in a Doug Pederson offense that ranked 10th in red-zone plays last season, giving managers instant 8- to 10-round closing-line value. Until the Jags’ backfield picture clarifies, Luttrell wants at least a modest portfolio share of Bigsby on every Best-Ball Mania draft to preserve that asymmetric upside.

Davis Mattek said he is "totally done" drafting Tank Bigsby in the 10th–12th rounds after beat writers reported rookie Bhayshul Tuten has been running with Jacksonville's first-team offense. Mattek argued that if Tuten keeps those reps—and with rumors swirling that Travis Etienne could be a cap casualty—Bigsby would open the season as an RB3 with no standalone value. Jacksonville already finished bottom-10 in goal-line rush attempts last year, so losing early-down snaps to Tuten would leave Bigsby praying for an injury just to crack double-digit touches. Mattek advised reallocating those mid-round shares to backs with clearer workloads or to Tuten himself before training-camp buzz fully nukes Bigsby's ADP.