Evan Silva elevated Trevor Lawrence to QB12 (ADP QB19) on the back of what he called the best supporting cast of the quarterback’s career. New OC Liam Cohen arrives from Kentucky with a vertical, play-action heavy scheme, and Jacksonville added touchdown savants Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter to complement Christian Kirk. Silva expects the Jaguars’ defense to struggle, forcing Lawrence into shootouts. The Clemson product has already cleared 4,000 passing yards twice but has never topped 25 TD passes; Silva projects a jump to 30-plus thanks to red-zone upgrades and believes a subtle rushing floor (300-plus yards) cements him as a mid-range QB1.

Adam Levitan is buying the recent slide on Trevor Lawrence to pick 137, arguing that a historically low touchdown rate should bounce back under new OC Liam Coen. Lawrence never topped 25 passing TDs, but Jacksonville added first-round freak Brian Thomas Jr. plus Swiss-army Travis Hunter, and still boasts Christian Kirk. Lawrence’s offseason AC-joint surgery was on his non-throwing shoulder, eliminating health concerns. Levitan prefers him on DraftKings where pocket passers benefit from the 300-yard bonus and full-PPR scoring. Ideal builds pair him with one of the early wideouts, yet late backdoor stacks exist with Brenton Strange, Parker Washington and Diami Brown. Levitan’s rankings have Lawrence just behind C.J. Stroud and Drake Maye, and he sees little in the current environment that would keep Lawrence from a 30-plus TD breakout season.

Tyler Sullivan endorsed betting Trevor Lawrence at +430 (fourth-shortest) to win Comeback Player of the Year, noting the quarterback has a clearer runway than Dak Prescott. Sullivan highlighted a fresh offensive scheme under first-year head coach Liam Cohen—known for pass-heavy concepts with the Rams and Buccaneers—and an upgraded receiver room featuring first-rounder Travis Hunter opposite Brian Thomas Jr. Lawrence’s issue has been volatility: before last year’s injury he completed just 52% of his passes in September, then 70% in October. Sullivan expects Cohen to iron out those wild swings and make Lawrence more consistent. With elite weapons, a favorable AFC South schedule, and the inherent award bias toward quarterbacks, Sullivan considers Lawrence both a strong futures wager and a buy-low target in best-ball and season-long formats.

Steve Palazzolo said the Jaguars have finally surrounded Trevor Lawrence with the weapons needed for a breakout fantasy season. With the "one-two punch" of newly drafted Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, plus coordinator Liam Cohen’s aggressive passing scheme and a multi-year-intact offensive line, Palazzolo believes 2024 is Lawrence’s best opportunity to jump from his current "top-10-to-12" fantasy standing into the true QB1 tier. The combination of a vertical burner (Thomas), an elite separator (Hunter), and existing depth pieces like Gabe Davis gives Lawrence legitimate multi-touchdown weekly upside. Palazzolo views the Jaguars’ roster construction as trending toward a Rams-style "stars and scrubs" model that will funnel volume through its elite playmakers—further boosting Lawrence’s counting stats in season-long formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound advised best-ball drafters to be comfortable reaching a round for Trevor Lawrence in the Sprint because quarterback ADPs are shooting up in fast drafts. Auto-drafters are snapping up signal-callers 10-plus spots ahead of slow-draft averages, which makes it easy to get shut out of a double-stack if you wait for published ADP. Pat was already invested in a Jacksonville stack and decided to grab Lawrence around pick 130 instead of his usual 140s landing spot to lock in the pairing. He noted that securing a full Lawrence–Ridley–Engram or Lawrence–Kirk stack is worth the slight overpay in a contest that crowns its champion on cumulative Weeks 15-17 scoring, where correlated spike weeks can leapfrog dozens of entries.

Billy Jones said drafters should start taking Trevor Lawrence a round earlier than current BBM6 ADP because the Jacksonville stack is about to get far more expensive. He pointed out that rookie wideouts Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr. both project to settle in the late-Round-3 / early-Round-4 pocket, creating a clean three-four turn pairing with Lawrence. Once the market fully prices in those weapons, Jones expects Lawrence’s ADP to jump two to three spots among quarterbacks. He advised taking advantage of the temporary discount, emphasizing that Lawrence already averages 37 pass attempts per game under Doug Pederson and now gains two explosive perimeter targets to complement Christian Kirk and Evan Engram.

Erik Beimfohr called Trevor Lawrence one of his favorite quarterback targets at current mid-round prices, stressing that Jacksonville’s offseason haul sets up a perfect storm for fantasy upside. The Jaguars traded up for Travis Hunter at No. 2 overall and added Brian Thomas Jr. later in Round 1, then handed the offense to pass-happy coordinator Liam Cohen. Beimfohr believes that trio injects enough vertical juice to turn the Jaguars into a top-tier passing attack and create weekly spike-week ceilings. Because drafters remain lukewarm—Lawrence often lasts until the eighth or ninth round—Beimfohr is hammering Lawrence–Thomas–Hunter stacks as a discounted avenue to elite correlation in Best Ball tournaments.

Mike Renner said the Jaguars have finally surrounded Trevor Lawrence with two true man-beaters in Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr., calling both "force multipliers" who will instantly change the passing game. Renner noted that before this draft Lawrence did not have a single receiver he could trust to win one-on-one, which showed up whenever defenses went to man coverage. Now he has two, and Renner expects new play-caller Liam Cohen to lean on that advantage. Renner framed Hunter as a "two-for-one" pick who gives Jacksonville a second explosive wideout while still keeping the option of occasional snaps on defense. With Lawrence now equipped to punish man looks and Jacksonville committing first-round capital to wide receiver in back-to-back seasons, Renner projected the Jaguars’ 2025 offense to be "unbelievably exciting" and advised fantasy managers to treat Lawrence as a buy-low QB1 in season-long and best-ball formats, banking on a spike in touchdown rate and explosive plays.