Murphy snapped up Tua Tagovailoa in the mid-rounds, arguing that public "hate has gone too far" after Miami’s underwhelming finish. When healthy, Tua routinely posts 23-28 fantasy points thanks to league-leading yards per attempt and the lightning-fast pace Mike McDaniel plays at. Those steady 20-plus point weeks are enormously valuable as a QB2 in total-points best ball, especially for a drafter who already invested in an elite QB1 (Jalen Hurts). Murphy added that drafters can still back-stack Tua late with cheap options like Nick Westbrook-Ikhine if they want correlation, but even unstacked his floor/ceiling combo is superior to similarly priced passers.

Billy Jones said it is "flat-out irresponsible" to click Tua Tagovailoa in BBM6 unless you have at least two other Dolphins already rostered. Miami has refused to use a true WR3 under Mike McDaniel—only 8 % of 2023 pass snaps featured someone beyond Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle—so you cannot back-stack the quarterback late the way you can with most offenses. Jones likes grabbing Tyreek or Waddle early, mixing in either pass-catching back De’Von Achane or new tight end Jonnu Smith around the 7-10 turn, and then letting Tua come to him at or just after ADP. If another drafter snipes Tagovailoa, he simply pivots off the Dolphin build rather than settling for an uncorrelated quarterback. Jones expects another 4,000-yard season and thinks warm Miami weather in Week 17 gives the double-stack legitimate tournament-winning ceiling.

Liam Murphy predicted that Tua Tagovailoa "is going to fall off" in 2024 and that Miami will soon be shopping for a new quarterback. The main concern is Tua’s extensive concussion and injury history, which leaves Murphy uncomfortable making large best-ball bets on him or Dolphin stacks that rely on weekly quarterback stability. Given the fragility risk and the looming possibility Miami moves on, Murphy is lowering his exposure to Tagovailoa relative to market ADP.

Davis Mattek could not believe Anthony Richardson routinely goes ahead of Tua Tagovailoa in Underdog’s Eliminator drafts. He reminded listeners that Tua has finished as the overall QB1 or QB2 in three of the past four Septembers and benefits from four straight warm-weather games to open 2024—exactly when Eliminator rosters must survive the biggest weekly cuts. Mattek argued that early spike-week certainty outweighs Richardson’s theoretical rushing ceiling, especially because AR’s shoulder rehab still limits his preseason reps. With rooms sometimes leaving Tua on the board until the QB15 range, Mattek is scooping every discount share and letting draft capital dictate whether he even needs a third quarterback.

Danny Kanell expressed real concern about Tua Tagovailoa’s 2024 outlook. Despite the new contract, Kanell expects Miami’s 24-year playoff-win drought to continue, citing Tagovailoa’s multiple concussions, a run game that still lacks a true power back, and what he views as a finesse-first mentality under Mike McDaniel. He contrasted the Dolphins’ roster building with teams that gave their young QBs downhill runners (e.g., Saquon Barkley to Jalen Hurts, Derrick Henry to Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey to Brock Purdy). Kanell questioned Miami’s mental toughness after they ‘looked frozen’ in Kansas City and pointed to Tyreek Hill omitting Tua from his top-five QB list as another chemistry warning sign. Recommendation: downgrade Tua a tier in season-long rankings and be cautious with Miami playoff futures.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound argued that Tua Tagovailoa is a slam-dunk pick at his current Underdog ADP around 153 (QB22). Tagovailoa averaged 20.1 fantasy points in games where both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle played at least 50% of snaps last season, a pace that would have finished as the QB10. Pat acknowledged Miami’s injury volatility but pointed out that drafters are being paid handsomely for that risk—Tua now goes three full rounds after Jordan Love despite a higher per-game ceiling. With Mike McDaniel retaining his play-calling duties and the Dolphins adding yards-after-catch specialist Jonnu Smith, Pat sees an easy path to multiple 30-point spike weeks. He likes stopping at two quarterbacks in builds anchored by Tua and another upside passer, freeing a roster spot while still capturing elite efficiency if the receiving corps can stay upright for 14-plus games.