Matthew Betz said Tyler Allgeier belongs on every zero-RB or hero-RB roster because the path to a starting workload is both obvious and massive. Betz reminded listeners that if Bijan Robinson misses any time, "Tyler Algier is the dude" and the Falcons have virtually no depth behind their core play-makers. Allgeier already owns the change-of-pace role in a run-centric offense that lacks proven wide-receiver depth (Darnell Mooney is battling a shoulder issue, and the only other target earners of note are Kyle Pitts and Drake London). Betz acknowledged the loss of tackle Kaleb McGarry, noting Brandon Thorn dropped Atlanta’s line to 23rd, and he flagged a tricky opening slate (Buccaneers, Vikings) plus an inexperienced quarterback in Michael Penix. Even with those worries he still views Allgeier as a "league-winner in waiting" who could show standalone flex value by Week 4 once the schedule softens (Panthers, Commanders).

Matthew Betz said Allgeier is a textbook zero-RB pick because his contingency value is crystal clear—if Bijan goes down, Allgeier is unquestionably "the dude." Unlike ambiguous depth charts such as Green Bay or Chicago, Atlanta’s hierarchy is set, which magnifies the payoff if an injury hits. Betz has been scooping Allgeier in best ball and redraft builds that fade early RBs, emphasizing that clarity of role is worth prioritizing late in drafts.

Tom Strachan argued that fantasy drafters are sleeping on Tyler Allgeier, pointing out the 12th-largest ADP gap in the league between an RB1 (Bijan Robinson) and his backup. Allgeier finished 10th in explosive run rate and 7th in juke rate last season and has delivered six top-36 weekly PPR finishes over the past two years despite Bijan dominating touches. Strachan believes those traits give Allgeier standalone flex appeal during bye weeks and tremendous contingent upside if Robinson misses time. He is targeting Allgeier in Dynasty, best ball, and redraft whenever he fades the early-round price on Bijan.

Davis Mattek called Tyler Allgeier one of "the best picks in the entire pool" because backs tethered to first-round stars are underpriced insurance policies. He argued that early-round workhorses miss games at a high clip, and drafters routinely overlook the contingency value.

Tom Strachan pounded the table for Tyler Allgeier at RB54. He ranked 10th in explosive run rate and 7th in juke rate last season while posting six top-36 weekly finishes in each of the past two years. Allgeier already offers flex-worthy production, and if Bijan Robinson goes down, Strachan says Allgeier ‘goes to the absolute freaking moon.’

Gretch reminded listeners that Atlanta cut last year’s RB3, leaving no legitimate depth behind Bijan Robinson. If Robinson were sidelined, Tyler Allgeier would reclaim the every-down role he handled for stretches in 2022. Atlanta ran the ball 52 % of the time inside the 10 last season, third-highest in the NFL, so Allgeier would inherit both volume and goal-line work.

Tom Strachan highlighted Tyler Allgeier as a glaring value at pick 175—20 spots after consensus and the eighth-largest ADP gap between any backfield’s RB1 and RB2. Fifteen other RB2s go before Allgeier despite his finishing 10th in explosive run rate and 7th in juke rate last season. Strachan noted Allgeier has logged six top-36 weekly finishes in each of his first two campaigns, proving usable even with Bijan Robinson healthy. If Robinson misses time, Strachan would rank only ‘a handful’ of running backs ahead of Allgeier on a weekly basis, making him both a prime contingency play and a viable flex in run-heavy Atlanta. Stash him everywhere—best ball, dynasty, redraft—before the market corrects.

Rich Hribar labeled Tyler Allgeier a “hundred percent” priority handcuff. He stressed that fantasy gamers have already seen Allgeier perform well when given work, making him one of the late backs Hribar is targeting most. If Bijan Robinson were to miss time, Allgeier would immediately inherit the backfield, offering league-winning upside for a double-digit-round cost.

Best Ball Guy called Tyler Allgeier—going around pick 155—“crazy cheap” for a direct handcuff. If Bijan Robinson goes down, Allgeier would inherit workhorse volume in an Arthur Smith rushing scheme that already produced efficient numbers for him as a rookie. BBG views Allgeier as a pure league-winner ticket you can grab in the double-digit rounds with very little opportunity cost.

Davis Mattek said Tyler Allgeier is one of the best contingency bets in Best Ball Mania drafts. Mattek reminded viewers that Allgeier ran for 1,000 yards as a rookie and insisted he is ‘definitively a better player than Nick Chubb, Tank Bigsby, Najee Harris and a host of others’ currently drafted ahead of him. Because Arthur Smith keeps Atlanta near the top of the league in rush rate, Mattek expects Allgeier to offer occasional flex value even with Bijan Robinson healthy. More importantly, he argued that if Robinson misses time Allgeier would step into a Chuba-Hubbard-style late-season surge and could “win leagues.” Mattek added that he would “bet money” Allgeier outscores Trey Benson this season, underscoring how mispriced the Falcons’ No. 2 back is at his current ADP.

Tom Strachan believes the market is sleeping on Tyler Allgeier. He pointed out that Allgeier finished 10th in explosive run rate and 7th in juke rate last season, numbers that suggest real talent rather than fluke production. Because that efficiency earned him trust with the coaching staff, Strachan expects Allgeier to keep a meaningful rotational role behind Bijan Robinson, providing flex-worthy weeks and elite handcuff upside if Robinson ever misses time. He advised scooping Allgeier in the 13th round before defenses start coming off the board.

Johnny Venezia said Tyler Algier is an easy bench stash at his 160 ADP because he is “more than capable of stepping up and handling that bell-cow share” should Bijan Robinson miss time. Algier has already put a 1,000-yard season on his resume and still logged 137 carries, 644 yards and 3 TDs last year despite Robinson racking up 304 attempts. Venezia noted that Atlanta’s run-centric offense “is going to bear a lot of fruit” and believes Algier would immediately vault into every-down work if Bijan’s massive workload finally catches up with him. In the meantime he offers minor standalone flex weeks but the real appeal is the clear injury hedge.

Candayman highlighted recent “positive coach speak” out of Atlanta that insists the staff will find ways to keep Tyler Allgeier heavily involved all season. The commitment to usage despite backfield competition makes Allgeier an appealing late-round stab for drafters hunting weekly flex touches and contingent upside.

Candayman advised prioritizing Tyler Allgeier over similarly priced backs, calling him the clear "hit-the-nuts" contingency play behind Bijan Robinson. He argued Allgeier’s payoff is enormous because the Falcons give their RB1 20-plus touches whenever possible, and Arthur Smith has publicly said he wants Allgeier more involved even with Bijan healthy. That combination of verbal coach support plus every-down replacement upside makes Allgeier the most attractive swing in the Rashad White tier.

Strachan argued Tyler Allgeier should not be RB64 off the board when the gap between him and Bijan Robinson is the eighth-largest No. 1/No. 2 split in the league. Fifteen backups are drafted ahead of Allgeier despite his 2024 top-10 explosive run rate and seventh-best juke rate. Strachan framed Allgeier as one of fantasy’s most valuable contingency bets: if Robinson misses time, Allgeier’s efficiency metrics suggest immediate RB1 production at a Round-13 cost.

Freedman ranked Allgeier RB40 versus an RB51 ADP, calling him one of his favorite handcuffs on the Fantasy Life Show. Allgeier has 1,608 rushing yards and eight touchdowns as a change-of-pace the last two seasons and previously logged 1,174 yards as a lead back in 2022. If Bijan Robinson were ever sidelined, Freedman expects immediate RB2 production for pennies (pick 150).

Hayden Winks called Tyler Allgeier one of his favorite double-digit-round zero-RB targets. The "opportunity cost has fallen apart" because drafters have forgotten how often Allgeier has already handled "a bulk of the load." With no obvious RB3 in Atlanta, Winks believes Allgeier would immediately take over if Bijan Robinson were sidelined and can still deliver usable spike weeks even in his current role.

Hayden Winks said he "lives in the Tyler Allgeier zone" of drafts because the opportunity cost at wide receiver and tight end has "fallen apart" by the time Allgeier goes off the board. Allgeier offers contingent RB1 upside behind Bijan Robinson and simultaneously damages opposing robust-RB builds if the Falcons' starter misses time. Winks called that profile the ideal late-round target for zero-RB and hero-RB drafters hunting for tournament-winning spike weeks.

Erik Beimfohr said he is once again loading up on Tyler Allgeier, calling the Falcons runner one of the best cheap contingency picks in Best Ball. Algier was Beimfohr’s highest-owned player last season, and he is repeating the strategy because just one perfectly timed starter absence can turn a late-round roster into a $2 million sweat. Beimfohr argued that the market chronically underprices "binary" backs since drafters hate holding probable zeros, but a single Algier spike week in the fantasy playoffs could be the difference between min-cashing and taking down the entire tournament.

Mattek called Tyler Allgeier the "easiest hack" in 2024 drafts because he is the direct contingency play for first-rounder Bijan Robinson. He argued that drafters who pass on Robinson should actively root for early-round running backs to bust, and the cleanest way to monetize that chaos is by rostering their immediate backups—Allgeier, Will Shipley behind Saquon, Jalen Wright behind De’Von Achane, etc. If Robinson misses time, Allgeier inherits top-15 weekly volume in Arthur Smith’s run-centric scheme at a double-digit-round cost, an asymmetric payoff Mattek prefers to any RB in the same ADP neighborhood.

Shawn Siegele framed Tyler Allgeier as, “probably the best handcuff we have currently in the NFL.” Allgeier’s receiving usage was almost nonexistent last season because Arthur Smith force-fed Bijan Robinson in the passing game, so Siegele doubts you would ever feel comfortable starting Allgeier in traditional redraft line-ups without an injury in front of him. In best-ball formats, however, the second-year back becomes attractive for two reasons: (1) he prevents weekly zeros by popping occasional spike weeks that drafters could never predict and (2) he offers massive contingent upside if Robinson were to miss time, thanks to Allgeier’s proven goal-line success and Atlanta’s run-heavy philosophy. The combination of high leverage injury upside and random, un-startable spike weeks makes him a priority Round-14/15 best-ball target despite limited floor in managed leagues.

PPRTyler urged drafters to leave every Underdog Superflex draft with at least one of Bijan Robinson or Tyler Allgeier—and preferably both. He argued Atlanta's offense will generate so much rushing volume that "one of those guys is going to be a smash; it's a given." Because Allgeier’s ADP has slid into the double-digit rounds, he is a cheap fallback if you miss Bijan and an ideal handcuff if you do land him. Tyler said anyone sitting below a 15 % Allgeier exposure rate is making a mistake and joked he would "do illegal things" to draft the second-year back. The upshot: lock down the Falcons’ entire backfield to secure a high-floor, high-ceiling fantasy outcome.

Jake Ciely urged drafters not to forget Tyler Allgeier, calling him one of the most valuable late-round swings in fantasy. Allgeier averaged 19.8 PPR points over his final six games before Bijan Robinson arrived and logged five 20-carry outings during that stretch. Ciely argued that 90% of backs who absorb workhorse volume turn into weekly RB1s, and we already have proof Allgeier can handle it. With Atlanta’s offense projected top-10 in rush rate under new OC Zach Robinson, a single Bijan injury vaults Allgeier into fringe top-5 territory. At a Round-12 ADP, Ciely views him as a no-risk, league-winning stash.

Conor O'Driscoll endorsed Tyler Allgeier as a low-leverage depth add in the mid-teens, saying the Falcons’ No. 2 back supplies just enough weekly points to cover rookie RB volatility later in the season. Atlanta averaged 30.5 rush attempts per game in 2023, and Allgeier still logged 36% of the carries even after Bijan Robinson’s arrival. Conor argued that pairing Allgeier’s bankable 8–10 touches with several late-round rookies prevents the roster from "playing catch-up" during the first half of the year while retaining contingent-value upside if Bijan misses time.

Winks took Tyler Allgeier over Tank Bigsby despite holding a Jacksonville stack, arguing that Allgeier’s contingency and standalone value dwarf Bigsby’s three-way committee outlook. If Bijan Robinson misses time, the backfield snaps consolidate "only two ways" between Allgeier and gadget back Avery Williams, while Bigsby would still share work with Travis Etienne and rookie Jordan James. Winks reminded viewers that Allgeier has already produced a top-15 fantasy stretch (Weeks 13-17 of his rookie year) and owns a career 4.6 yards per carry behind Atlanta’s bully O-line. Drafting Allgeier in Round 14 creates a lever against the teams that spent a first-rounder on Bijan; if the starter goes down, their roster craters while Allgeier vaults into every-down volume on yours.

Tom Strachan said Tyler Allgeier should go several rounds earlier because the market is under-pricing his upside. Allgeier is being drafted after 15 other NFL RB2s even though the gap between him and Bijan Robinson is the eighth-largest RB1/RB2 ADP delta. Strachan pointed to Allgeier’s 2024 efficiency—10th in explosive run rate and 7th in duke rate—as proof he is more than a plodder. Over the last two seasons Allgeier logged six top-36 weekly finishes, so he can already fill a flex spot. If Bijan were to miss time, Strachan thinks Allgeier would instantly rank as a weekly RB1 given Atlanta’s run-heavy philosophy. He called Allgeier a priority stash in dynasty, best ball, and redraft formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound grabbed Tyler Allgeier as his fourth running back and explained why he thinks the pick is sneaky-important. Even in a healthy Bijan Robinson season, Pat projects Allgeier for roughly 120 touches based on Arthur Smith’s historical preference for 1A/1B backfield splits. The 25-year-old already owns a 1,000-yard rookie season and posted 4.7 yards per carry on neutral-situation runs last year. Should Bijan miss time, Allgeier would jump into a 20-touch role on a run-centric offense that finished first in rush rate over expectation. Pat views that contingent upside as perfect glue for zero-RB or hero-RB builds where you are hunting playoff spikes rather than weekly floor.

Pete Overzet said Tyler Allgeier is his most-drafted late-round running back because he checks both of the boxes that matter in May best-ball rooms: (1) he is the unquestioned handcuff to Bijan Robinson and (2) he still projects for weekly touches even if Bijan stays healthy. Overzet compared Allgeier’s profile to Zach Charbonnet—clear takeover path, competent on early downs—but noted Allgeier goes three to four rounds later while offering similar contingent upside. He called Allgeier a noticeably better pure runner than other backs in this pocket, such as Rico Dowdle, and emphasized that Arthur Smith’s ground-heavy tendencies last season still produced 59 backfield high-value touches behind Bijan. In short, Allgeier gives you the ‘locked-in active’ floor plus league-tilting upside if Bijan ever misses time, all for a double-digit ADP price tag.

Erik Beimfohr closed Round-13 by touting Tyler Allgeier as the quintessential premium handcuff. Arthur Smith’s Falcons led the league in rush rate over expectation last year (-11 %) and kept the same run-heavy DNA under Zac Robinson, giving Allgeier a weekly 6–8 carry floor in non-Bijan snaps. Beimfohr noted Allgeier already has two games of 20+ fantasy points on his resume and handled 203 touches as a rookie, proof he can shoulder the full load if Bijan Robinson were to miss even a couple quarters with a concussion or hamstring tweak. Falcons RBs combined for 23 carries inside the five in 2024— third-most in the NFL— so any multi-week absence from Bijan would instantly make Allgeier an every-week RB1. At a cost outside the top-150, that blend of defined contingency value and minor standalone scoring equity makes Allgeier an easy late click whenever Beimfohr fades early running backs.

Pete Overzet cannot understand why drafters keep letting Tyler Allgeier tumble two rounds past ADP. Allgeier is the unquestioned RB2 behind Bijan Robinson, so you’re already playing a binary contingent bet— yet you also get a player who logged 40 percent of Atlanta’s carries inside the five last year and averaged 4.3 yards per attempt in a dysfunctional offense. Overzet emphasized that at this price you avoid the land mines of nebulous depth-chart battles; you know Allgeier is the immediate replacement if Robinson misses time and a weekly change-of-pace option who won’t goose-egg your best-ball roster. He called the perpetual ADP slide “free closing-line value” and said Allgeier is quietly becoming his most-drafted running back because the room refuses to click him.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Tyler Allgeier a top-three—and perhaps No. 1—handcuff in 2024 best-ball drafts. He noted Allgeier already owns a 1,035-yard rookie season, eclipsing any single-season line from Zach Charbonnet, yet the two backs are separated by nearly two rounds. Atlanta projects as one of the run-heaviest offenses under Raheem Morris, and new OC Zac Robinson has stressed keeping Bijan Robinson fresh for a playoff push. That opens a path to 8-10 scripted carries per game even without an injury. Pat also pointed out Allgeier’s 79th-percentile broken-tackle rate and three-down skill set, which would vault him into weekly RB1 territory if Bijan misses time. Given the uncertain workloads behind other workhorse backs, Pat is comfortable drafting Allgeier 2-3 spots ahead of ADP and capping exposure only when it exceeds 12-15 percent.