Ben Gretch labeled Tyreek Hill the rare wide receiver in the late-second/early-third round who still owns true league-winning upside. Hill’s ADP slid after he battled injuries last season, but Gretch thinks the dip is unwarranted if the ankle issue is fully behind him. Because so many other WRs in that range carry shaky profiles, Gretch is happy to grab Hill whenever he falls, betting on a healthy 28-plus percent target share and week-breaking speed that few receivers possess.

Nick Holz warned managers to steer clear of Tyreek Hill at his current top-15 ADP for 2025 drafts. Holz cited a perfect storm of age (Hill turns 31 during the season), mounting durability worries and a sharp drop-off in efficiency once defenses adjusted last year. From Weeks 8-16 with Tua Tagovailoa, Hill ranked just 24th in fantasy points per game, 39th in yards per route run and 34th in target share, while his 56.4 receiving yards per game were his lowest since his rookie year. Holz believes those splits point to a longer-term decline rather than a blip and notes DraftKings has already hung a modest 975.5-yard receiving prop, reinforcing the under. With similar names in the same range offering fewer red flags, Holz is fading Hill in all season-long formats and would lean under on that yardage line.

Jonathan Fuller framed Tyreek Hill as a value because 2024’s dip can be traced to a mid-season wrist injury (screws were removed this spring) and Tua Tagovailoa missing eight games, not irreversible decline at age 31. Hill just clocked a 10.10-second 100-meter dash in the offseason, reinforcing that the trademark speed remains. Fantasy Life’s median projection has him comfortably clearing 1,000 yards with several more touchdowns than last year, and Fuller notes his proven 1,700-yard ceiling if the Dolphins stay healthy. Managers willing to ignore the age narrative can grab a discounted top-five upside wideout.

Shawn Siegele said Tyreek Hill is an automatic click when he drifts to the late-second because the Dolphins star still possesses top-five overall upside. Hill finished like an early-first-rounder in both 2022 and 2023 and, per Siegele’s research, is more involved near the goal line than most realize, giving him bonus short-TD equity to pair with his trademark long scores. With Jonnu Smith no longer siphoning red-zone looks and Mike McDaniel’s scheme continuing to manufacture deep shots, Siegele expects Hill to rack up both long and short touchdowns. Any time Hill lasts past pick 20 he is a value in FFPC best-ball rooms.

Whalen placed Tyreek Hill at the bottom of Tier 3, labeling him the hardest player to value. While Hill owns obvious top-five upside—no one else in the tier can match it—Whalen flagged several red lights: age-related decline, nagging injuries last season, and the fact that Tua Tagovailoa is "maybe the most injury-prone quarterback in the NFL." Those factors have Whalen mostly fading Hill despite acknowledging the ceiling.

Michael Leone said Tyreek Hill is actually a low-risk selection relative to his late-first ADP. Leone pointed to Hill’s league-leading target share and the Mike McDaniel–Tua Tagovailoa combo that has produced top-three offensive efficiency whenever Tua is healthy. Even if Hill loses a step or Miami regresses, the volume concentration makes it “almost impossible” for him to pay off worse than fifth-round value. Leone thinks drafters are overweighting the two injury-shortened seasons and the generic age-29 cliff narrative, leading to unnecessary fade-risk in best-ball and season-long contests.

Hayden Winks moved Tyreek Hill ahead of Tee Higgins at the 2-3 turn, laying out a clear rebound thesis. He reminded listeners that Hill’s target share cratered to 20 % from Weeks 8-16 last year because Jonnu Smith inexplicably became the focal point, but Smith has since been traded. Hill played through a wrist injury yet is evidently healthy—Winks cited the viral 10.1-second 100-meter video as proof the speed is still ridiculous. Miami’s offensive line has been upgraded, Tua is tracking for a fully healthy camp, and Mike McDaniel should scrap the back-shoulder go-ball experiment and return to deep-crossers that produced 3.2-plus yards per route run in 2021-22. With the Dolphins offense projecting closer to its 3rd-in-points 2023 version than last season’s 22nd-place flop, Winks is willing to “roll the dice that Tyreek is still Tyreek for at least one more year,” making him his preferred pick over Higgins in Best Ball drafts.

Nick Whalen acknowledged Tyreek Hill’s undeniable top-five WR ceiling but cautions drafters that he is the quintessential boom-or-bust pick in 2025. Hill turns 31, relies on elite speed, had wrist surgery, and comes tied to an injury-prone quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa. While Hill piled up back-to-back 1,700-yard seasons under Mike McDaniel, Whalen noted his production lagged even after Tua returned last year, raising concern that the league may have adjusted to Miami’s scheme. Given off-field baggage and quarterback durability worries, Whalen is personally avoiding Hill in the late-second/early-third despite acknowledging the massive upside if both stars stay healthy all 17 games.

Best Ball Guy is scooping Tyreek Hill whenever he reaches Round 3, arguing the slide is purely injury-headline driven. He believes a single camp report stating Hill is healthy will shove the All-Pro wideout back into the early-2nd or even late-1st, creating free closing-line value for drafters who act now. Given Hill’s proven ceiling and the uncertainty in other receiver situations, he views the current price as one of the easiest bets on talent in Best Ball Mania.

Jakob Sanderson told listeners the room is chasing a mirage as Tyreek Hill climbs into the late-second round. Hill’s efficiency already cratered to roughly 2.1 yards per route (down nearly a full yard and barely above rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba) and he turns 31 during the fantasy playoffs— historically the tipping point for an irreversible wide-receiver cliff. Sanderson piled on Miami’s protection woes: Pro Football Focus ranks the Dolphins 25th after Terron Armstead’s retirement pushed likely bust Patrick Paul into the blind-side role and forced two brand-new interior starters, James Daniels and rookie Jonah Savaginia, into action. A bottom-ten line paired with Tua Tagovailoa’s well-documented concussion history (and Zach Wilson as the fallback) raises the odds Miami leans on ultra-quick throws to backs and tight ends rather than down-field digs to Hill. With the ecosystem this fragile, Sanderson is smashing Rashee Rice, Trey McBride, Tee Higgins and even Josh Jacobs over Hill at similar ADPs and expects the market to correct once drafters stop “catching a falling knife.”

Kerrane thinks the market has gone overboard after Tyreek Hill won a 100-meter race in 10.35 seconds, pushing his ADP up 16.5%. He argued last year’s efficiency dip was more about Miami’s offensive collapse—Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion absences and the league’s worst pass-protection unit—than Hill suddenly being washed. That said, Hill turns 31 during the fantasy playoffs and a real age cliff "could hit at any point." Kerrane added that Tua remains one big hit away from missing the season, leaving Hill reliant on backup quarterbacks behind a porous line. Given those downside scenarios, Kerrane believes paying a top-five overall price because "Tyreek is still fast" is a poor risk-reward bet in Best Ball drafts.

Jim Coventry urged drafters to fade Tyreek Hill at his current WR15 cost, saying the soon-to-be 31-year-old showed real decline in 2024. Hill’s 81-959-4 receiving line was his worst since his rookie year, and he posted only 38th-percentile yards-after-catch despite routinely sitting in the 90th percentile throughout his prime. Coventry blamed age, a lingering wrist injury, and defensive game plans that choked off Tua Tagovailoa’s preferred short/intermediate windows. Hill exceeded 83 yards just three times while falling below 40 yards in eight different games. With Hill publicly unhappy in Miami and the Dolphins projected to struggle, Coventry would not consider him until after WR20.

Jason Moore flipped from "undraftable" to bullish on Tyreek Hill after Jonnu Smith’s departure vacated 105 short-area targets. Moore moved Hill up to WR10–14 in his rankings, predicting a rebound to a 28 % target share on Tua Tagovailoa’s 67 % completion rate. Hill finished WR19 last year despite a lingering wrist injury and a career-low red-zone target rate; Moore expects both metrics to regress positively. With Miami’s offense poised to funnel lay-ups back to Hill, he sees 100-plus receptions and 1,400 yards as a realistic median outcome, advising drafters to pounce if Hill slips into the early third round.

Jagger May recommended letting someone else pay the first-round premium for Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins offense collapses when Tua Tagovailoa misses time, and Miami’s offensive line remains a glaring weakness they failed to address meaningfully this offseason. Hill is entering his age-30 season and has publicly discussed post-football media opportunities, raising commitment concerns. May argues the gap between Hill and receivers like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Garrett Wilson, and Marvin Harrison Jr. is far narrower than their ADPs suggest, especially when Hill’s floor in a shaky offense is factored in. Older speed receivers fall off quickly, so May is out at cost.

Liz Loza passed on Tyreek Hill, explaining she does not want to invest a first-round pick in a receiver who will be 31 and whose game is so reliant on elite speed. She believes the inevitable age-related decline in explosiveness introduces too much downside relative to his current draft cost in Best Ball Mania.

Bellofatto called the 975.5 receiving-yard prop for Tyreek Hill a "buy-the-dip" opportunity. Hill posted 1,799 yards last season and has never failed to clear 960, even in his statistical low point. Claudia argued the number bakes in too much Tua-injury discount. Even if Zach Wilson—or eventual rookie Quinn Ewers—takes snaps, Hill’s yards-after-catch ability and heavy target share should still push him past 1,000. She prefers this prop to betting Tua’s passing total because Hill can get there regardless of quarterback play.

Steve Palazzolo warned that Tyreek Hill no longer looked like the league’s scariest deep threat in 2023 and therefore carries far more downside than his first-round redraft or high-priced best-ball ADP implies. Palazzolo said Hill "didn't look the same physically" and emphasized that so much of Hill’s production has always hinged on being the single most explosive player on the field. If that raw speed and suddenness have slipped even five percent, Hill’s entire fantasy profile changes because he cannot simply transition to a high-volume underneath role the way bigger framed receivers can. While acknowledging that a fully healthy Hill could still catch 150 balls from the slot, Palazzolo framed that scenario as a low-probability outcome and advised managers to treat Hill as a boom-or-bust proposition rather than a bankable WR1 cornerstone.

Rich Cooling highlighted Tyreek Hill as a rare opportunity to add elite production at a non-elite Dynasty price. Rookie fever has pushed Hill’s cost down to the point that some managers are willing to move him for a single future first plus a sweetener, despite the fact he just posted 1,799 yards and 12 TDs while leading the league in yards per route run (3.82). Cooling emphasized that nothing in Hill’s underlying profile suggests imminent decline—he is top-three in team target share (31%) and air-yard share (39%), and the Dolphins ranked first in neutral-situation pass EPA. He cautioned that this discount will evaporate once redraft season arrives and everyone realizes Hill is still a top-3 wideout in weekly rankings. Contenders should pounce now, locking in a 20-point-per-game WR1 without sacrificing a 2027 first-rounder.

Andy Holloway said snagging Tyreek Hill in the fourth round of 2025 drafts is "delicious bait." Holloway pointed to fresh camp video that showed Hill exploding off the line next to Jaylen Waddle and emphasized newly published veteran-open-rate data that still has Hill at the very top of the league. He argued Hill’s 2024 downturn was more about Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion issues, Mike McDaniel’s conservative in-season adjustments and a leaky Miami offensive line—not physical decline from the soon-to-be 31-year-old. With McDaniel committed to quicker releases in 2025, Holloway believes Hill remains one of the last receivers on the board who can realistically finish inside the overall WR1 tier, making him an auto-click any time he slips past Round 3 in season-long or best-ball formats.

Jason Moore argued that Tyreek Hill is still an undervalued first-round pick because drafters are baking in 2024’s muted deep-passing environment as the new normal. Moore noted that despite Miami dialling back vertical shots, Hill still posted 119 catches and 1,672 yards on a league-leading 31 % target share. He believes Miami’s offense is a prime candidate for positive regression toward its 2022 deep-ball rate—when Hill averaged 12.5 yards per target and finished as the unquestioned WR1 overall—citing improved offensive-line health and defensive coordinators inevitably committing more resources to the box after Jonnu Smith and De’Von Achane became underneath focal points. Moore contends that if Mike McDaniel unlocks even a modest uptick in down-field attempts, Hill’s ceiling vaults back into 2,000-yard territory while his current ADP sits closer to WR5. He urged season-long and best-ball gamers to treat Hill as a potential league-winner who is not being drafted anywhere near his true ceiling.

Hartitz could not believe Tyreek Hill is slipping into the early third round, noting fantasy-life projections still slot him as the WR4 overall. He chalked last year’s dip in production up to Miami’s patchwork offensive line and Tua’s multiple injuries, issues the team partially addressed with Terron Armstead’s return to health and continuity in Mike McDaniel’s scheme. Hill still ranked top-six in target share (28 %) and yards per route run (2.78) but finished outside the top 10 in touchdowns—a number Hartitz expects to regress positively. He argued the only thing holding ADP down is “weird Twitter posts,” not on-field concerns, and predicted Week 1 will remind everyone why the Cheetah averages 19.7 PPR points since joining Miami.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is backing off Tyreek Hill for now after news surfaced he will have screws removed from his wrist, a development that has already knocked Hill’s ADP down 11 percent. Pat expects the price to rebound once camp videos show Hill at full speed, but until then he prefers to use early-first capital on healthier elites. He warned that casual drafters returning in August will instinctively click Hill earlier, so the current discount window may slam shut quickly; in the meantime Pat is reallocating those shares to Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb.

Davis Mattek said he would rather draft Tyreek Hill at a similar ADP than Jonathan Taylor because Hill has the clearer path to being “the guy you needed” on Underdog in 2025. Hill averaged 18.5 fantasy points in games he started and finished last season, and Mattek believes a quiet summer or a blockbuster trade to an elite offense (he floated Dallas or Kansas City) could unlock an even higher ceiling. While the market is currently skittish due to trade and health rumors, Mattek sees a scenario where Hill reports to camp healthy, stays out of the headlines and smashes. He contrasted Hill’s massive spike-week potential with Taylor’s capped upside in a one-dimensional rushing role, concluding that the wide receiver’s range of outcomes is wider but carries a much higher top end.

Andy Holloway warned managers not to expect a Tyreek Hill renaissance simply because he is two years removed from a WR1 overall season. Holloway hammered that Hill played all 17 games in 2024 yet averaged just 10.0 PPR points—WR35 on a per‑game basis, behind Adam Thielen—and logged a consistency grade of D with only 29.4 % of outings above 10.5 points. He dismissed the lingering wrist‑injury narrative, noting Hill’s snap share never dipped, and blamed Miami’s philosophical pivot toward short‑area targets for Jonnu Smith and the running backs. Citing how rare it is for receivers past age 30 to rebound after a full‑season drop‑off, Holloway said he is "out" at Hill’s current WR11/early‑second‑round price and would rather chase younger upside plays in both season‑long and best‑ball formats.

Jason Moore flagged Tyreek Hill as one of the biggest red‑flag picks inside the top‑12 wide‑receiver ADP. Moore’s own rank is WR15 after charting a massive efficiency collapse: Hill logged 906 snaps last year—211 more than 2023—but produced 840 fewer yards. He dealt with a season‑long wrist injury and ranked near the top of the league in drops, but Moore believes the larger issue was an offensive philosophy change. Miami stopped pushing the ball downfield, funneling short‑area targets to Jonnu Smith and the running backs, stripping Hill of his superpower of explosive plays (league‑leading 20‑plus‑yard reception rate prior to 2024). With no sign Mike McDaniel plans to revert and Hill entering age‑31 season, Moore warned that drafters are paying 2023 prices for a 2024 role, advising a fade in season‑long drafts unless his ADP slips two full rounds.

Jason Moore urged caution on drafting Tyreek Hill at his customary first‑round price. Hill logged hundreds more snaps last season yet produced barely half the yardage he posted in 2023, despite Tua Tagovailoa staying healthy for most of the year and Miami actually increasing total passing yards. Moore chalked the dip up to age‑related explosiveness loss and a route‑tree shift that pushed more targets underneath. Add in Hill turning 31 before Week 1 and the off‑field uncertainty from another domestic‑dispute report, and Moore slid the speedster down his preliminary wide‑receiver board. He still sees WR1 weeks in Hill’s range of outcomes but prefers younger, similarly priced options and labels Hill a potential overpay in season‑long drafts and best‑ball contests.