Chris Raybon leaned UNDER on Baltimore’s 11.5 win total, arguing that last year’s immaculate health is almost certain to regress. The 2023 Ravens got 17 games from Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry (then with the Titans, now in Baltimore), Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, and four of five starting linemen; Raybon called that “pure luck” for a team historically ravaged by attrition. He also pointed out how much had to break right: Zay Flowers played every game until a late-season tweak, Odafe Oweh and Marcus Williams logged heavy snaps despite grading poorly, and Brandon Stephens was one of PFF’s worst corners yet still exceeded 1,000 snaps. Layer on a schedule that closes @Bengals, vs. Patriots, @Packers, @Steelers plus road dates with Buffalo and Kansas City earlier in the year, and Raybon doesn’t see a wide enough path to 12-5 in the AFC North gauntlet.