Brent Sobleski laid the 7.5 with Baltimore, crediting the Ravens’ three-game surge to mid-season defensive adjustments that moved Kyle Hamilton into the box. He noted the unit is playing at an elite level even when Lamar Jackson misses time, and he doubts Cleveland’s sputtering offense can generate points, making a multi-score Baltimore win the most likely outcome.

Scott Kellen laid 7.5 with Baltimore even against Cleveland’s elite home defense. He noted the Ravens have scored 27-plus in every game that Lamar Jackson has played at least 95 % of snaps this season. Although the Browns just held the Jets to 3.6 yards per play, two special-teams TDs beat them anyway. With Baltimore’s offense firing, Kellen projected 28-17 Ravens.

Shepardson recommended betting Baltimore under 23.5 team points despite Lamar Jackson hanging 41 on Cleveland back in Week 2. He argued the matchup has flipped: the Browns rank top-five in virtually every defensive metric—4.7 yards per play (5th), ‑0.09 EPA/play (3rd), league-best ‑0.19 EPA/rush and 37.1 % success-rate allowed. Kevin Roth’s forecast of 20 mph winds with 30-35 mph gusts should neuter Baltimore’s vertical shots and tilt play-calling toward the run, right into Cleveland’s strength. In four home games the Browns have surrendered just 54 total points (13.5 per) and 4.12 yards per snap. Shepardson expects John Harbaugh to protect the football, especially because Cleveland’s anemic offense is unlikely to force a shoot-out. Combine weather, elite run defense and a probable Ravens “sit-on-the-lead” script, and the under on 23.5 becomes his best bet.

Everett laid 7.5 with Baltimore, spotlighting the Ravens’ 85-41 scoring margin in victories over Chicago, Miami and Minnesota. He argues Cleveland’s 2-7 offense can’t keep pace unless its defense limits Baltimore to 14 points or fewer—an unrealistic ask. Expect Lamar Jackson’s group to stay hot and win comfortably.

Gary Pearson laid the eight points with Baltimore, giving the play four stars despite Cleveland’s No.3 defense in EPA/play. He emphasized that Lamar Jackson has now covered two straight since returning from injury and should be even sharper in his third game back, a key factor as Baltimore claws back from an early 1-5 hole. Pearson also highlighted the Ravens’ healthiest defensive lineup of the year facing what DVOA grades as the league’s worst offense, a mismatch he believes neutralizes Cleveland’s home-field edge at Huntington Bank Stadium. Only BetMGM is still hanging -8 (-110), while rivals have shifted to -8.5; a $10 bet at BetMGM nets $9.09.

MacMillan laid 8.5 with Baltimore, highlighting a dramatic turnaround since the Week 7 bye: 10th in offensive EPA, 9th in success rate, 6th in opponent EPA and 9th in opponent success rate. Cleveland, meanwhile, owns the league’s worst offense—4.1 yards per play, 30th in EPA, 32nd in success rate—and its defense can’t single-handedly drag such an anemic attack to victories. He trusts the rejuvenated Ravens to pull away comfortably.

Brooke Cersosimo called Lamar Jackson "the ultimate chess piece" and expects him to dictate terms against Brian Flores’ blitz-centric defense. Minnesota harassed Jared Goff last week, but Cersosimo stressed that Goff is not a two-time MVP with Derrick Henry riding shotgun in the backfield. Baltimore’s defense has held opponents to 13 points per game since Week 6, giving Jackson favorable scripts. She likes the Ravens to cover ‑4.5 and projects top-five fantasy output from Jackson via explosive scrambles and play-action shots.

MacMillan bought into Baltimore’s post-bye surge—two wins by a combined 58-22—highlighting Lamar Jackson’s renewed efficiency and a defense finally healthy. He doubts J.J. McCarthy, who completed just 56% for 143 yards last week, can keep pace. He laid Ravens ‑3.5 at ‑105 (DraftKings).

Rohit Ponnaiya recommended Over 68.5 receiving yards for Zay Flowers, pointing to Miami’s league-worst marks in defensive dropback EPA and success rate. Flowers commanded 19 targets the past two weeks despite backup quarterbacks under center and surpassed 70 yards in four of his first five games when Lamar Jackson was healthy. With Jackson returning and Miami’s secondary ranked last by those advanced metrics, Ponnaiya expects Baltimore’s top wideout to resume early-season efficiency and clear the posted total.

For the third leg of his SGP, Osborne highlighted Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown, noting Miami has already yielded a league-high four rushing TDs to quarterbacks this season. He expects the Dolphins to bring extra pressure to mask a secondary that is 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt. That aggressive approach opens scramble lanes, and Lamar’s dual-threat pedigree (30+ rushing yards in every start, three rushing scores through Week 8) makes him the most likely player on the field to turn a broken play into six. With Baltimore projected for 30-plus points in Vegas team totals and Lamar accounting for 71% of the Ravens’ red-zone touches, Osborne believes + odds on an anytime score are mis-priced.

Tipster grabbed Mark Andrews Anytime TD at +120. Baltimore has funneled 35% of its goal-line throws to Andrews, and Miami’s linebackers have allowed four tight-end scores over their last five outings. With Jackson’s off-script improv skills, Tipster believes Andrews’ chemistry inside the 10 makes him a plus-odds touchdown bet.

LM Tipster grabbed Baltimore -4 for the first half (-110), citing the Ravens’ 13.7 first-half points per game and Miami’s chronic slow starts at Hard Rock Stadium. He expects Todd Monken to script early Jackson keepers and quick play-action throws, forcing the Dolphins to chase from behind before halftime.

Tipster bet Lamar Jackson Over 234.5 passing yards (-115). Miami has permitted 265 passing yards per game since Week 4 and could be without both starting safeties (Ifeatu Melifonwu, Ashtyn Davis). If the Dolphins stack the box to slow Derrick Henry, Jackson’s play-action game to Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews should clear the number comfortably.

LM Tipster loves Derrick Henry Over 90.5 rushing yards (-115). The Dolphins are yielding 5.1 yards per carry at home, and Henry’s 76% share of Baltimore rushing attempts signals 20+ touches. Tipster predicted Miami’s light boxes designed to respect Jackson’s legs will open downhill lanes for the power back to top 100 yards by the fourth quarter.

Tipster played Zay Flowers Over 69.5 receiving yards (-115). Flowers averages seven receptions and 82 yards across his last three contests and now faces a Dolphins corner group missing depth pieces. With Miami likely bracketing Mark Andrews inside, Tipster expects Flowers’ 27% target share on intermediate routes to cash this over.

Rohit Ponnaiya advised taking the Under 6.5 rushing attempts prop on Lamar Jackson for Thursday Night Football. Ponnaiya questioned Jackson’s claim of being 100% after missing Sunday’s must-win game with a hamstring injury, arguing that a four-day turnaround is unlikely to leave him fully healed. He expects the lingering hamstring issue to reduce Jackson’s willingness to scramble, especially with Miami’s “feeble” pass rush unlikely to flush him from the pocket. Jackson has logged fewer than 6.5 carries in three of his four starts this season, a trend Ponnaiya believes will hold in Week 9.

LM Tipster laid the points with Baltimore -7.5 (-115), grading it an 8/10 confidence play. He argued the Ravens can control tempo behind Derrick Henry’s downhill rushing against a Miami front surrendering 5.1 yards per carry and 125 rushing yards per game. Baltimore’s offensive line ranks top-10 in adjusted line yards while Miami’s pass protection is "inconsistent," setting up Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat stress on the Dolphins’ banged-up secondary. Tipster also noted Baltimore is 4-1 ATS following its last five straight-up wins, reinforcing the spread edge.

Cory Bonini advised taking Justice Hill for 3-plus receptions at ‑103. Miami has allowed the eighth-most catches per game to running backs this season, and one of the teams ahead of them is on bye, making the matchup even more attractive. The prop has cashed in seven of eight games against the Dolphins. Bonini stressed that Lamar Jackson’s return is critical: in nearly four full games with Jackson, Hill snagged at least three passes 75% of the time, versus only once in three games without him. The lone caveat is game script—if Baltimore controls the contest on the ground, targets could dry up—but Bonini still labeled the odds a “strong place to double up.”

Ryan Wooden highlighted DeAndre Hopkins as the model’s favorite dart throw at +550 on DraftKings. Hopkins is seeing limited snaps (28.7% of Baltimore’s offensive plays) but is being funneled high-leverage looks: 10 catches, 192 yards and two scores, including a clutch third-down grab that iced Week 8 versus Chicago. With Lamar Jackson’s hamstring healed, Wooden expects the Ravens’ passing efficiency to spike, giving Hopkins more shots at big plays. The model assigns Hopkins 0.26 touchdowns on average, dwarfing the 15.4% implied probability baked into the +550 odds and making him a value long shot for anytime-TD parlays.

Ryan Wooden said the SportsLine Projection Model is still backing Derrick Henry to hit pay-dirt on Thursday night even at a steep -200 price tag. Henry has already punched in six rushing touchdowns through seven games and just vaulted past Walter Payton into fifth place all-time with 112 career scores. The return of Lamar Jackson keeps Miami’s front seven from keying exclusively on the run, something Wooden believes maintains Henry’s red-zone volume. The model spits out 0.94 projected touchdowns for Henry, translating to a 94% chance he scores at least once compared with the market’s 66.6% implied probability. Wooden framed that gap—plus a softer upcoming schedule—as enough cushion to eat the juice.

Even with Lamar Jackson (hamstring) sitting for a third straight week, Chirimbes laid the touchdown, forecasting a 37-27 Baltimore win. He argued this is the pivot point of the Ravens’ season as the upcoming schedule softens and expects John Harbaugh’s defense to end Chicago’s four-game winning streak. Baltimore’s offense still averages 5.1 yards per carry, and the Bears secondary has allowed nine TD passes during their streak—metrics that led Chirimbes to back the desperate home favorite.

Baltimore is laying 6.5 in what Dabbundo called an "all-in spot." He acknowledged Chicago’s rushing attack has been the NFL’s second-most efficient since its bye and the Bears are 6-for-6 on hitting their team total, but he believes their 23.9 percent defensive turnover rate is wildly unsustainable. The Bears could still run well because the Ravens miss interior lineman Nnamdi Madubuike, yet Dabbundo expects the game script to flip once Lamar Jackson (expected back) stakes Baltimore to a lead. With regression coming for Chicago’s takeaway luck, he’s willing to swallow the points at home. Verdict: Bet Ravens –6.5.

Vic Tafur laid 2.5 with Baltimore even though the Ravens have allowed 97 points (tied most in the league). He no longer trusts Patrick Mahomes’ receiver-light attack to capitalize, whereas Kansas City’s leaky run defense sets up Derrick Henry — eager to atone for early fumbles — to pound out clock and cover.

Dabbundo played Ravens first-half winner at –115 to avoid late-game chaos. Kansas City sits eighth in EPA per drive only because Patrick Mahomes leads the league in scramble EPA; the Chiefs lack a ground attack and elite line play, two areas Baltimore’s defense typically struggles against. By contrast the Ravens offer multiple paths to easy offense and have historically jumped on opponents before their trademark collapses. Betting the first half lets him capture that edge while dodging potential Mahomes magic in the fourth quarter.

Walder projected a double-digit Ravens victory over Kansas City. He argued Detroit’s success last week stemmed from a dominant ground attack, something the Chiefs lack (ranked 28th in rush EPA). Without a credible run threat to slow Roquan Smith’s front, Walder expects Baltimore’s offense (already league-leading 111 points despite a 1-2 record) to separate while its defense plays lighter boxes. The call makes Baltimore –2.5 a strong ATS play and presents value on alternative-spread markets.

Mark Andrews Over 36.5 receiving yards was recommended. Detroit’s second-level defenders vacate RPO seams, and Andrews averages 2.21 yards per route vs blitz since 2024. Two chunk catches get him home. Confidence grade: 3/5.

Tipster took Derrick Henry Over 87.5 rushing yards. Baltimore plans to open run-first to dictate tempo; if they jump ahead, Henry’s fourth-quarter hammer volume can smash this number on its own. Detroit is allowing 4.5 YPC to backs through two weeks. Confidence grade: 3/5.

Tipster also played Lamar Over 44.5 rushing yards. Designed keepers plus scramble frequency rise in primetime, and Baltimore’s red-zone boots add bonus upside. In game scripts where the Ravens protect a lead, late-down scrambles alone can push him into the 50s. Confidence grade: 3/5.

LM Tipster bet Lamar Jackson Over 235.5 passing yards at ‑115. Detroit must allocate an extra safety to contain QB run, which opens intermediate windows for Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. The Lions run heavy doses of single-high and man coverage, schemes Jackson historically shreds (8.6 YPA vs single-high looks since 2023). Yardage can pile up without a single deep bomb. Confidence grade: 4/5.

Tipster took Ravens team total Over 29.5. Detroit struggles with mobile QBs and deep crossers created by play-action. Between Derrick Henry’s grind, Lamar’s explosives, and potential short fields if pressure rattles Goff, multiple touchdown pathways exist. Confidence grade: 3/5.

LM Tipster laid the 4.5 points with Baltimore, arguing the Ravens’ roster construction directly attacks Detroit’s weak spots. On offense, the target tree is concentrated on Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews while the downhill run game now features Derrick Henry, giving Lamar Jackson two reliable safety valves. On defense, Baltimore’s front four owns the early-down matchup, projected to set up frequent 2nd-and-long situations that force Jared Goff to throw outside of script. Jackson’s rushing ability is the ‘floor-raiser’ that keeps drives alive even when protection breaks down, so covering a one-score spread at home is framed as a “fair ask.” Confidence grade: 4/5.

Matt Russell backed Rashod Bateman at +220 or longer for an anytime TD. Bateman found the end zone nine times in eight of 17 regular-season games last year and scored in every playoff game, yet the market is focused on Zay Flowers’ hot start. Bateman still sits second among Ravens wideouts in snaps and targets, and Lamar Jackson consistently looks his way in the red zone. Russell believes Flowers’ Week 1 mismatch against Buffalo and Baltimore’s Week 2 blowout of Cleveland skewed perception, leaving Bateman undervalued at better than 2-to-1.

Matt Russell took Over 285.5 combined passing and rushing yards for Lamar Jackson, dubbing it the “Lamar does stuff” prop. Jackson has already finished just shy of this mark twice in 2025 but ceded late-game snaps in comfortable wins. When pushed by opponents that can score—prime-time tilts against the Bengals, Chiefs, Buccaneers and 49ers over the past two seasons—he routinely tops 300 total yards. Facing a Detroit defense dotted with injury red letters in a matchup carrying a 53.5 total, Russell expects another full-tilt performance that clears the posted number.

Zay Flowers Over 70.5 receiving yards was flagged. Pre-snap motion and stacked releases give him free access, and if Detroit loads the box for Henry/Jackson, Flowers’ crossers become the primary answer. Confidence grade: 3/5.

John M. Anderson said a Lamar Jackson passing-yards over is the first prop he would circle for Monday night, noting that the line sits around 250 yards. He expects Baltimore to lean on Jackson’s arm to exploit what he calls a vulnerable Lions secondary, especially with Detroit likely keying on his designed runs. Anderson added that Jackson’s ability to extend plays outside structure should pad his yardage total and pointed out that the Ravens are 3.5-point home favorites, a game script that sets up for four full quarters of passing volume if Detroit keeps it close.

Jay Canale recommended betting Derrick Henry as an Anytime TD scorer at -225. Despite last week’s quiet 23-yard, scoreless outing, Canale stressed that Henry is still Baltimore’s unquestioned goal-line hammer, converting 13 of his 16 touchdowns inside the red zone a season ago. Expecting multiple short-yardage chances in a projected high-scoring game, he likes Henry’s historical red-zone efficiency to cash the prop.

Makinen laid –4.5 with Baltimore on Monday night. Teams averaging 6.75+ yards per play through two weeks are 20-8 SU/ATS in Week 3, while clubs that just posted an 8.75+ YPP game like Detroit are 17-29-2 ATS their next time out. John Harbaugh is 9-1 ATS versus offenses scoring 27+ PPG, and Lamar Jackson is 32-9 SU/27-13 ATS in games following a 30-point outing. The Lions have failed to cover their last four trips to Baltimore. Makinen expects the Ravens’ balanced attack to expose Detroit’s still-suspect defense.

Everett laid 4.5 with Baltimore on Monday night, betting on Lamar Jackson to win a shoot-out despite lingering concerns about the Ravens’ ability to close games. Detroit just dropped 52 points on Chicago, yet Baltimore has averaged over 30 per game in back-to-back seasons. Everett concedes the Ravens blew big leads to Cincinnati and Buffalo last year, but he still trusts Jackson to outduel Jared Goff and cover at home.

Bender prefers Baltimore –6 but warned it could be a sweat. He highlighted an electric offensive environment—Baltimore leads the league at 40.5 PPG while Detroit checks in third at 32.5—and John Harbaugh’s sparkling 15-7 record on Monday Night Football, including five straight wins with Lamar Jackson. Detroit’s 4-of-5 success rate on fourth-down gambles keeps things close, yet the Ravens’ 6-3-1 ATS mark as a home favorite since last season tilts the scales. Final: 34-31 Ravens.

Dabbundo bet Baltimore team total over 29.5 (-110). The Ravens have hit 30 in seemingly every outing thanks to an offense bursting with explosive generators. He highlighted Detroit’s chronic struggles against running quarterbacks and its continued top-10 man-coverage rate—exactly what Lamar Jackson feasts on with scramble drills and option looks. Coordinator Aaron Glenn’s defense has been torched by mobile passers for years, and Dabbundo expects Baltimore to score ‘early and often’ under the Monday-night lights.

Matt LaMarca encouraged taking shots on Derrick Henry in large-field GPPs because his DK ownership lags other elite backs despite a league-best 169-yard, 2-TD opener. Baltimore is an 11.5-point favorite—the largest spread of the slate—creating Henry’s ideal game script. With FanDuel popularity likely siphoning some exposure, LaMarca views Henry’s combination of workload, red-zone equity and blowout potential as a leverage path at $8,200.

Although Bartel acknowledged that AFC North games "are always so needlessly complicated," he still sided with Baltimore –11.5 because he believes the Ravens "should run roughshod on the Browns." The size of the mismatch up front leads him to a correlated bet on Over 45.5, anticipating that Baltimore’s ground attack creates enough explosive plays to push the total past the posted number even if Cleveland shows some fight.

MacMillan laid –11.5 (–115, FanDuel) with Baltimore, insisting the Ravens are “the best and most complete team in the NFL.” He pointed to their +2.2 Net Yards per Play (2nd best in Week 1) despite facing a Super Bowl contender. He dismissed Cleveland’s competitive opener versus a "clearly unprepared" Bengals squad and expects Lamar Jackson’s group to win by 12+ at home.

DFS Army called Derrick Henry a "smash spot" play at Cleveland after he erupted for 169 rushing yards and 33.2 DK points in Week 1. The tout stressed that Henry doesn’t need targets to break slates because the bonus and multi-TD upside are always live—especially against a Browns defense that struggled with power runners last season. Volume remains secure, and Baltimore enters as road favorites, a setup DFS Army loves for bell-cow backs. Henry is locked into the core player pool despite a rising price tag.

Bill Harrelson Picks said to play Lamar Jackson higher than 1.5 passing touchdowns in the Sunday-night matchup with Buffalo. His case: Jackson stacked 41 passing TDs with only four INTs last season and finished the year on a blistering run, clearing this number in 9 of his final 10 games and 12 of his last 13 overall. Even against the Bills he got there in both meetings (Week 4 blow-out win and the Divisional-round loss). Buffalo’s pass defense surrendered 1.6 passing TDs per game, a shade worse than league average, and market makers agree—FanDuel and DraftKings were hanging ‑125/-130 to the over when he recorded the video. Harrelson projected a 27-21 type script and reminded viewers that the Ravens field “one of the best offenses in the NFL,” making two scores through the air the likeliest outcome.

Just A Bet Outside said Lamar Jackson is a strong play to go over 1.5 passing touchdowns at –125. Jackson closed last season with 20 TD throws in his final eight games and has cleared two passing scores in 12 of his last 13. Baltimore’s team-touchdown prop is 2.5 (juiced –180 to the over) and their implied total is 26.5, so the tout expects three-plus Ravens touchdowns overall and needs only two through the air. He highlighted Buffalo’s profile from last season: eighth-most passing TDs allowed (28) but only 10 rushing TDs, forcing opponents to attack through the air; seven of the Bills’ final nine opponents had the quarterback reach two or more TD passes. With game script, implied total, and defensive tendencies all pointing the same direction, he likes Jackson to hit two passing scores in prime time.

Just A Bet Outside took Lamar Jackson over 1.5 passing TDs at ‑125 (DraftKings). Jackson threw 2-plus scores in 14 of 19 games last year—including both matchups with Buffalo—and finished the campaign with 20 TDs across his final eight contests. Baltimore’s team total sits at 26.5 with touchdowns juiced to the over 2.5 (-180), implying 3-4 scores; the handicap only needs two through the air. Buffalo surrendered the 8th-most passing TDs in 2024 (28) while allowing just 10 rushing TDs, steering offenses to throw near the goal line; seven of the Bills’ last nine opponents hit this QB milestone. In the highest-total game on Sunday Night Football, the tout likes Jackson to continue the trend for a half-unit wager.

Donaldson grabbed Baltimore on the money line, calling this ‘Ravens season’ when Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat impact is most pronounced. He referenced the playoff snow-game loss (the Mark Andrews drop) as added motivation and believes Baltimore’s balanced run game and defense complement Lamar enough to edge an evenly matched Buffalo roster.

Matt Youmans backed the Ravens -1 on Sunday night, arguing their top-tier defense will swing the AFC opener. He noted Baltimore out-gained Buffalo 416-273 in January’s playoff loss but self-destructed with three turnovers. Nothing structural has changed: Youmans still grades John Harbaugh, new bell-cow Derrick Henry and the defensive roster as clear checkmarks over Buffalo. While the Bills own an 18-2 home record since 2023, the market making Baltimore a road favorite signals sharp confidence that mirrors his own power ratings, which list the Ravens No. 1 overall. He expects Buffalo’s home-field intangibles to be outweighed by Baltimore’s pass rush and secondary, recommending bettors lay the short spread.

Burke paired Henry with Mark Andrews at +1200. Andrews led all tight ends with 10 red-zone touchdowns despite a slow September after his preseason car accident. Burke noted that Buffalo’s two-high looks leave seams vulnerable, and the Bills surrendered nine TDs to tight ends last year, fifth-most in the league. With defenses forced to crowd the box against Henry near the goal line, Burke expects Lamar Jackson to isolate Andrews on play-action, giving the All-Pro tight end legitimate first-score equity at double-digit odds.

Adam Burke locked in Derrick Henry +500 to open the scoring Sunday night in Buffalo. Henry produced seven first touchdowns for both his team and the game in 2024 and ranked sixth league-wide in red-zone carries. Burke highlighted Baltimore’s league-best 84.2% first-TD rate last year and back-to-back seasons atop the metric, attributing it to their surgically scripted drives. Conversely, Buffalo finished below 50%, often settling for field goals early. With the Ravens’ ground-heavy approach expected to travel in potential cold weather, Burke believes +500 may be the best price bettors see on Henry all season.