Chris Gimino argued that Miles Sanders is being irrationally ignored in Round 18 despite Dallas giving him a real contract and doing almost nothing else at the position. The Cowboys handed Sanders a multi-million-dollar deal while only tossing $3 million at Javonte Williams and spending a Day-3 pick on undersized rookie Jaden Blue (28th-percentile BMI, 17th-percentile burst). Gimino reminded listeners Sanders was a Pro Bowler as recently as 2022 and that plenty of backs rebound after injury-plagued years. Early-season usage is already baked into projections, so drafters are getting free equity on a back who could easily emerge as the most productive Cowboy. Raybon agreed, noting Sanders flashed competent play behind a good Carolina line and that Dallas still boasts elite blocking if its first-round tackle pans out. With Blue unproven and Williams "terrible last year," Gimino sees a clear path to Sanders handling the majority of touches and smashing his basement-level ADP in best-ball formats.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound argued that Jake Ferguson is the perfect ADP-sweet-spot tight end for drafters who miss on early elites. Ferguson’s current Underdog price (pick 140-150) aligns with the back half of Dak Prescott’s draft window, enabling a cheap Dallas double stack. Pat cited Ferguson’s 17 end-zone targets last year (third among TEs) and noted that he has already caught multiple red-zone TDs from Dak in OTAs. He also likes the Week-16 Jacksonville bring-back if you’re building around Trevor Lawrence. Pat’s rule: if you whiff on Andrews/Kittle, grab Ferguson before the room can sniff the value spike that preseason highlight reels will generate.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he is perfectly comfortable sitting at 26% George Pickens exposure in BBM6 and actually wishes it were 40% because the second-year wide-out is still a discount even as his ADP moves into the low-40s. Pat pointed to off-season clips of Dak Prescott hitting Pickens for multiple red-zone touchdowns and noted the Steelers have him repping the same in-breaking routes Dallas uses to free up CeeDee Lamb, a sign Pickens will be more than a sideline jump-ball guy this season. Pat has already moved Pickens ahead of Travis Hunter in his personal ranks and expects another price spike once preseason highlights circulate. He told drafters to “keep clicking him in the 40s” while they still can, arguing the expanded route tree plus his proven contested-catch ability gives Pickens a weekly WR1 ceiling that pairs perfectly with zero-RB or anchor-RB builds.

Jakob Sanderson said George Pickens is one of the few wideouts he actively tries to be overweight on, calling Dallas a "much, much better environment than Pittsburgh." Pickens has cleared 0.20 targets per route and 2.0 yards per route run in each of his first two seasons despite bottom-five pass volume and scatter-shot quarterback play. Sanderson expects Dallas – a team he projects to finish top-8 in pass attempts because of a paper-thin running-back room and a shaky secondary – to push Pickens’ route total into the 620-plus range. Scaling those per-route numbers up puts Pickens on a T. Higgins–level trajectory, but you can draft him three rounds later at the 4/5 turn. Sanderson added that Pickens’ field-stretching skill set meshes perfectly with Dak Prescott’s historical deep-ball success (27 TDs of 20-plus yards since 2020) and that working off CeeDee Lamb should guarantee single-coverage looks. He is targeting a 20-plus percent portfolio share and called the landing spot "a really great steal" for Best Ball Mania.

Stuckey conceded he despises the Brian Schottenheimer promotion and sees plenty of roster holes—an unsettled left-tackle competition, a backfield led by washed vets, questionable run defense, and Dak Prescott’s declining mobility—but still thinks Dallas is mis-priced at +205 to make the postseason and 6-to-1 to capture the NFC East. His model comes in at 7.8–7.9 wins versus a 7.5 market, and he stressed the macro context: the NFC South will almost certainly produce only one playoff entrant and the North could cannibalize itself, leaving a wildcard path if either Philadelphia or Washington underperforms. Historical regular-season success matters too—this core has averaged 11.2 wins the past four seasons even with front-office missteps like the Trey Lance and Jonathan Mingo trades. Given the open NFC landscape and rich odds, Stuckey plans to add a small exposure to Dallas playoff-yes (and a smaller flyer on the division) as a hedge against his existing Eagles and Commanders unders.

Billy Jones explained that Rico Dowdle (going in the 170s of BBM6 drafts) has the juice to outkick his ADP if injuries hit the Dallas backfield. Jones called Dowdle "more explosive than Chuba Hubbard," pointing to Dowdle’s 4.44 forty, 28% broken-tackle rate on limited 2023 touches, and RB5 pre-season PFF elusiveness grade. The Cowboys did not invest significant draft capital behind Dowdle, and Mike McCarthy has historically leaned on one runner once trust is earned (see Aaron Jones’ 71% snap share in Green Bay). Jones likened the path to Rashad White’s 2023 ascension: an ambiguous depth chart, a pass-centric offense that funnels high-value touches, and a back who can catch. If Tony Pollard or Ezekiel Elliott misses time, Dowdle could command 15+ opportunities per game, giving drafters cheap access to Dallas’ league-average 27.5 implied points in Weeks 15-17.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted George Pickens as the kind of boom-or-bust receiver he prioritizes in Superflex builds. Because the format only forces you to start two wideouts (with the option to flex up to four), Pat wants players who can single-handedly drop a 25-point nuke rather than chain together modest PPR lines. Pickens’ deep-ball profile and multi-TD upside make him a better fit than safer volume plays when you are chasing tournament ceilings with limited WR starting spots.

Greg Brainos warned drafters not to chase Javonte Williams at his current 9th-/10th-round price after the veteran signed with Dallas. Brainos pointed out that Williams was gifted top-15 opportunity shares behind a top-5 Broncos offensive line last season yet still finished outside the top-30 backs in yards per touch, missed tackles forced, and explosive-run rate. Cowboys OC Brian Schottenheimer told local media the staff has "no idea" who will lead the backfield, signaling a genuine committee that also includes pass-down ace Miles Sanders and rookie Jaden Blue. Without clear bell-cow volume and with Dallas likely to lean even more on Dak Prescott’s arm in 2024, Brainos sees little path for Williams to beat ADP and prefers cheaper darts like Blue or Sanders in the final rounds.

When the board flattened out in the 70s, Davis Mattek selected Tony Pollard as his RB2 behind Breece Hall, stating he’s "totally comfortable" with Pollard in that range. Mattek believes there isn’t a meaningful difference between Pollard and backs like Brian Robinson Jr. or Isaiah Pacheco, but Pollard offers pass-catching juice and explosive-play upside that fits best-ball scoring. By taking Pollard, he leverages a tier where he dislikes the wide receivers and shores up a two-RB anchor build before diving into his favorite late-round flyers. The pick underscores Mattek’s view that the mid-RB cluster is interchangeable, so securing one with receiving equity is the optimal tiebreaker.

Peter Overzet said Miles Sanders is the exact kind of final-round running back who can swing Best Ball Mania drafts. He pointed to fresh Coach Speak Index notes in which Dallas staffers praised Sanders for looking "explosive" and picking up the playbook quickly. Overzet reminded viewers that Sanders was less than two years removed from a 1,269-yard, 11-TD season in Philadelphia before getting buried on last year’s dysfunctional Panthers offense. With the Cowboys declining to add a premium back and the depth chart otherwise filled with Day-3 picks and special-teamers, Pete believes Sanders could easily seize 60-plus percent of early-down and goal-line work. The pick also gives his roster a Week-17 bring-back opposite Jake Ferguson and Washington’s run-heavy attack. At a current ADP around 200, Overzet called Sanders "pure upside with built-in correlation at a rock-bottom price."

Peter Overzet said Miles Sanders is the exact kind of final-round running back who can swing Best Ball Mania drafts. He pointed to fresh Coach Speak Index notes in which Dallas staffers praised Sanders for looking "explosive" and picking up the playbook quickly. Overzet reminded viewers that Sanders was less than two years removed from a 1,269-yard, 11-TD season in Philadelphia before getting buried on last year’s dysfunctional Panthers offense. With the Cowboys declining to add a premium back and the depth chart otherwise filled with Day-3 picks and special-teamers, Pete believes Sanders could easily seize 60-plus percent of early-down and goal-line work. The pick also gives his roster a Week-17 bring-back opposite Jake Ferguson and Washington’s run-heavy attack. At a current ADP around 200, Overzet called Sanders "pure upside with built-in correlation at a rock-bottom price."

Pat Moore jumped on Jake Ferguson after an 8-pick ADP tumble, calling the fall “too good to pass.” Ferguson already handled a 17% target share on 88% route participation in 2023, and Moore noted the Cowboys never replaced vacated red-zone looks from departed Michael Gallup. Grabbing Ferguson at the discount not only juices expected value but also creates an under‐owned Week-17 mini-correlation versus Brian Robinson and Washington’s run-heavy attack. Moore likes the combo for Best Ball Mania because it boosts uniqueness without sacrificing any median projection at tight end.

Rich Cooling urged dynasty managers to pounce on Dak Prescott right now, calling his current QB19 ADP “absolutely insane.” Cooling argued that the offseason is always the softest point in the quarterback market because managers convince themselves they are set at the position until bye weeks and injuries hit in October. Prescott just led the NFL in touchdown passes and finished as a top-3 fantasy quarterback last season, yet managers are pricing him behind fringe QB2s. Cooling’s strategy for contending rosters is to roster four or five NFL starters before Week 1; once quarterbacks start going down, that depth becomes scarce and rival managers will pay premium prices. Buying Prescott now locks in a weekly starter for 2024 and gives you a chip you can flip later for extra first-round capital if you need flexibility.

Beimfohr lumped Jake Ferguson into the same post-QB, pre-kicker wasteland where drafters are desperate for real upside. He loves scooping Ferguson around pick 145 on Underdog because the Cowboys funnel targets to tight ends in the middle of the field and give them frequent goal-line looks. That profile, combined with the fact that virtually every viable wide receiver is gone by that point, makes Ferguson a clean structural fit: he soaks up touchdown variance in half-PPR while freeing early capital for premium WRs and backs. Beimfohr’s directive: when the receiver board is barren, smash Ferguson and lock in a tight end who can post TE1 weeks without costing you earlier leverage spots.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound defended a late-round Miles Sanders click after Panthers beat writers reported Dave Canales praised Sanders’ pass-pro reps and called him the early favorite for third-down duties. Pat argued that drafters have overreacted to Chuba Hubbard’s 2023 finish, pushing Sanders into the 140s despite his fully guaranteed contract and a career 5.0 yards-per-touch average. In Underdog’s Sprint format, Pat is willing to pair Sanders with Bryce Young and Diontae Johnson stacks, banking on Canales’ track record of coaxing RB1 seasons from previously disappointing backs (see Rachaad White’s RB5 finish last year). The combination of positive spring reports and an upgraded offensive line gives Sanders a clear path back to 15-18 weekly touches at a dead-zone-escaping price.

Andrew Erickson pushed KaVontae Turpin as an 18th-round dart who can win weeks in best-ball formats. Turpin just signed the richest special-teams deal ever—Erickson reads that as a commitment to give him more offensive touches, not just return duties. He quoted Brian Schottenheimer calling Turpin "so special with the ball in his hands" and wanting to feature him, while pointing out Dallas lacks proven depth behind CeeDee Lamb (Jalen Tolbert "not a thing" and other fringe options uninspiring). With Mike McCarthy still dialing up a pass-heavy attack, Erickson expects the 4.3-speed receiver to pop for multiple 60-yard scores and a handful of 20-plus-point outings, making him a cheap differentiator for wide-receiver-thin builds.

Ryan McDowell noted that Prescott was a top-10 dynasty quarterback before last season’s injury yet still sits at QB17 nearly six months later—an anomaly compared to most injured stars who regain value by February. Prescott has finished as a QB1 in 54 percent of his career games and, per McDowell, remains an ideal QB2 target in the third or fourth round for managers opening WR-heavy. The veteran’s floor combined with today’s unprecedented depth at the position allows drafters to sidestep an early QB run, grab elite receivers, and circle back to a proven producer whose price has not rebounded the way market history suggests it should.

Rich Cooling could not fathom Dak Prescott falling to QB17 (39 overall) in Superflex startups. Prescott has averaged 20+ fantasy points per game in six straight seasons and remains tethered to Dallas through at least 2027 thanks to a $108 million dead-cap hit that makes him virtually uncuttable. That three-year runway of job security, plus an offense still anchored by CeeDee Lamb, allows drafters to open RB/WR heavy and scoop Prescott in the fourth round as a high-floor QB2—or even a back-end QB1—who rarely busts. Cooling emphasized how difficult it is for rookie quarterbacks to reach a second contract with their original team, making Prescott’s contractual stability and proven production an undervalued asset in dynasty startup rooms.

Jason Moore moved Javonte Williams up his rankings after Cowboys OTA reports showed Williams taking the lion’s share of first-team reps. Moore argued that Dallas offers an ideal set-up: Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and a top-10 scoring offense create abundant red-zone trips, and the backfield competition is underwhelming—Miles Sanders hasn’t been efficient for two seasons and rookie Jaden Blue is unproven. If Williams, now two years removed from knee surgery, secures even 60% of early-down work plus the passing-game role that made Rico Dowdle fantasy-relevant late last year, he could flirt with 275 touches. At his current double-digit-round ADP, Moore recommends scooping multiple best-ball and redraft shares before camp hype drives the price up.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound argued that Jalen Tolbert is a perfectly fine final–round click in Underdog’s Puppy. He expects Tolbert to handle roughly 65 % of Dallas’ three-wide sets even while sharing snaps with KaVontae Turpin, giving drafters bankable weekly routes instead of the total zeros many WR8 types post. The real ceiling comes if CeeDee Lamb or any other starter misses time—Pat noted the pick transforms from ‘safe volume’ to a legitimate spike-week candidate in that scenario. Because the Cowboys ignored wide receiver in the draft, Tolbert’s path to entrenched playing time is clearer than it was 12 months ago, making his current 18th-round price an easy add when you need late receiver depth.

Conner Allen recommended Dak Prescott at 45-1 for MVP, arguing that Dallas’ roster construction all but forces a throw-first attack. The Cowboys replaced their departed bellcow with a committee of Miles Sanders and Javonte Williams, leaving virtually no running identity. Meanwhile the front office finally added a legitimate perimeter threat in George Pickens to loosen double-coverage on CeeDee Lamb. Allen noted Prescott is already 10-1 to lead the league in passing yards; pairing that statistical ceiling with an NFC East title would put him squarely in voter crosshairs. He expects Mike McCarthy’s offense to finish top-three in pass rate over expectation, which would give Prescott a realistic shot at 5,000 yards and 38-plus touchdowns—historically MVP-level counting stats at the helm of a 12-win contender. At 45-1, Allen called the number “flat-out wrong” relative to other veteran pocket passers in the 20-30-1 tier.

Building off his Prescott volume take, Sigmund Bloom said CeeDee Lamb could "easily lead the NFL in targets, receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns." Bloom noted that Dallas finally has a credible WR2 to deflect coverage but still projects to be a pass-first offense because of its threadbare backfield. Lamb will live on three-wide sets, benefit from the anticipated 700-attempt script, and retain his red-zone dominance in a Brian Schottenheimer system that historically funnels looks to alpha receivers. In half-point PPR best-ball formats Bloom considers Lamb worth the No. 2 overall selection.

Sigmund Bloom predicted Dak Prescott will push 700 pass attempts in 2024, making the Cowboys one of the league’s pass-heaviest attacks. Bloom’s reasoning: (1) Brian Schottenheimer keeps talking about balance, yet Dallas failed to add legitimate early-down talent to a thin running-back room, suggesting the front office is comfortable winning through the air; (2) the most notable backfield move was signing pass-pro specialist Javonte Williams, a signal the staff prioritizes Prescott’s protection over establishing the run; and (3) organizational mis-management has repeatedly ignored cheap avenues to upgrade the ground game. All signs point to a volume spike for Prescott, which sets up favorable best-ball and DFS ceilings.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound defended grabbing Jalen Tolbert in the late rounds despite Dallas adding George Pickens. He expects the Cowboys to return to heavy three-WR sets and projects Tolbert for 60–70% snap share as the locked-in WR3—well ahead of gadget man KaVontae Turpin. Pat likes pairing Tolbert with higher-variance receivers such as Jameson Williams and Quentin Johnston because Tolbert’s steady floor protects against those spike-week darts missing. If Dak Prescott and Mike McCarthy push pace like they did in 2022, Pat believes Tolbert can pop multiple WR2-level weeks, which is all you need from a Round-18 pick in BBM6.

Davis Mattek said Jaydon Blue is worth aggressively targeting even though he is "literally one-trait speed right now." Mattek pointed out that Blue lucked into a perfect depth chart: he only needs to out-play Javonte Williams, who still has not shown pre-injury burst, and Miles Sanders, who was benched twice last season in Carolina. Blue showed that burst on the biggest stage, ripping off chunk plays in the College Football Playoff, and Mattek believes the Broncos will give him every chance to seize early-down work. With that runway and 24.6% personal exposure already in his Best Ball portfolio, Mattek sees an inexpensive path to 180-plus touches and labeled Blue a classic "get your guy" pick when chasing upside in the double-digit rounds.

Davis Mattek snagged Dak Prescott after Patrick Mahomes went ahead of ADP and labeled Dak one of the best buy-low quarterbacks. Mattek noted Prescott historically outperforms when the fantasy community counts him out and said projections are too low on both the Cowboys offense and Prescott individually. He invoked the 2020 Dallas unit that led the NFC in scoring, arguing a similar environment could propel Prescott to a QB4 overall season at a mid-round price, making him an ideal ceiling option in Best Ball builds.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said drafters should pounce whenever Dak Prescott slides to the 129 range (roughly 10–12 spots past his current Underdog ADP). Pat landed him there as the finishing touch on a double-stack with CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson, noting that the Cowboys finished third in points per game and led the league in red-zone trips last year. He thinks the market has over-reacted to summer WR fever and the softening of Ferguson’s price, creating a temporary pocket where you can lock in a proven top-six fantasy quarterback at mid–Round 11. Pat stressed that the closing-line value plus built-in Week-17 bring-back upside versus Detroit makes Prescott one of the best late QB bets in Best Ball Mania rooms that are wide-receiver–hungry right now.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound advised using Jalen Tolbert as a final-round backstack with Dak Prescott. Tolbert’s ADP has slipped from 170 overall back toward the draftable fringe even though Dallas has yet to name a clear WR3. Pat expects pass volume to balloon—he joked the Cowboys could "chuck it 90 times"—given the league-worst projection for their run game. Prescott’s historically high red-zone pass rate (first among starting QBs the past two seasons) further juices touchdown equity for the ancillary receivers. Pat is waiting on a bit of positive coach-speak before smashing the button harder but is already mixing Tolbert onto Dak teams as a floor stabilizer when he’s loaded up on volatile rookies early.

Billy Jones said Jake Ferguson is still an “easy click” in the 130-140 ADP pocket because the market has over-corrected after his early spring rise. Ferguson already spiked to TE9 territory before drifting back while nothing about the Cowboys’ passing environment changed. Jones reminded listeners that Dak Prescott ranked top-3 in red-zone throw rate over expectation last season, a tendency that directly benefits his tight end. With Dallas unlikely to lean on its shaky run game, Jones projects high drop-back volume and sees Ferguson retaining last year’s 17 % target share inside the 10-yard line. He views the current price as a discount relative to the other TEs in that tier and is scooping Ferguson whenever he needs a back-end stack piece for his Dak builds.

Billy Jones said Dak Prescott remains one of the few QBs whose price is meaningfully climbing in an otherwise flat quarterback market. Jones argued the original BBM6 ADP was an "initial mis-price": Prescott is coming off a season in which all the regression indicators (league-leading TD rate dip, career-low INT percentage) point to a bounce back. Dallas upgraded the pass-catcher room, giving drafters more stacking outs than just CeeDee Lamb, so Prescott now fits multiple draft starts. With drafters aggressively chasing Week-17 correlations, Jones expects the climb to continue another 20+ spots and recommends scooping Prescott before he settles into the Round-7 tier of quarterbacks.

Tyler Sullivan advised fading Dak Prescott in the Comeback Player of the Year market and tempering fantasy expectations. Sullivan pointed out that Prescott was under .500 as a starter in 2024 and threw multiple interceptions in four separate games even before the injury. Now the 31-year-old returns to an NFC East that features Jalen Hurts and rookie sensation Jayden Daniels—both quarterbacks from 2024 NFC Championship teams—making the divisional path brutal. Dallas has invested in pass protection (two offensive-line picks) and traded for George Pickens to join CeeDee Lamb, but Sullivan questions a rushing attack led by free-agent flyers Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders plus a Day-3 rookie. With the Cowboys paying Prescott over $60 million per season, eight prime-time games, and realistically needing the NFC East to send three teams to the playoffs, Sullivan believes the pressure and surrounding circumstances make Prescott a poor value at short comeback-award odds and a risky season-long fantasy bet.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Jalen Tolbert is still a perfectly fine click in the 17th round of Underdog’s Eliminator even after Dallas added George Pickens. Pat does not buy the narrative that Pickens will monopolize the passing game, projecting roughly eight down-field targets per week— nowhere near the 30-percent share some drafters fear. That field-stretcher role should actually lighten coverage on Tolbert, who will continue to run the intermediate routes in an offense unlikely to lean on 12 personnel or its thin running-back room. With Dallas potentially forced into pass-heavy scripts, Pat thinks Tolbert can deliver the early spike weeks required to survive the contest’s immediate 50-percent eliminations. In his words, “Tolbert might just be fine at ADP, especially in the ‘Limb.’”

Evan Abrams highlighted how the Cowboys’ post-bye schedule sets up as a betting landmine. Dallas goes Raiders-Eagles-Chiefs-Lions-Vikings-Chargers-Commanders in consecutive weeks, a run he called "a brutal, brutal gauntlet." The team also plays a record four Thursday Night Football games, creating condensed-rest spots that have historically produced a 47 % cover rate for the favorite. Abrams believes the cumulative effect of short weeks and elite opponents gives value to betting Dallas UNDER on in-season win totals and looking to fade them ATS from Weeks 11-17, particularly in the three-game stretch that includes Kansas City and Detroit—both top-five offenses by EPA per play in 2023.

Andy Holloway said he would instantly accept CeeDee Lamb over Ashton Gentry in dynasty. Holloway argued that Lamb, still only 26, already is the player drafters hope Gentry might become: a perennial top-five producer who has cleared the scary second-contract hurdle at a fantasy-friendly position. He reminded listeners that wide receivers retain value and production longer than running backs—Lamb projects for at least four more elite seasons—whereas even ‘generational’ backs flame out quickly once the rookie deal ends (he cited Todd Gurley’s sudden collapse and Saquon Barkley’s bumpy ride as cautionary tales). Holloway framed Gentry’s profile as exciting but inherently fragile because RB shelf life is unpredictable and second contracts are never guaranteed. In startups he would still select Puka Nacua, Malik Nabers, Brian Thomas Jr. and Amon-Ra St. Brown before considering any back, including Bijan Robinson, reinforcing his belief that trading Gentry for Lamb is an easy win for contenders and rebuilders alike.

Pete Overzet said the hypothetical Metcalf-for-Pickens deal that would send DK Metcalf to Dallas instantly juices both Metcalf’s and Dak Prescott’s best-ball value. With no established WR2 behind CeeDee Lamb, Metcalf would walk into a massive target share while keeping Lamb’s schemed-touch volume intact. Leone’s preliminary ranks (which Overzet referenced) bumped Dak several spots because the Cowboys’ pass efficiency would spike; Metcalf, meanwhile, gains weekly ceiling thanks to a quarterback who finished top-five in EPA per play last year and an offense that averaged 35.4 pass attempts even in positive game scripts. Overzet acknowledged concerns about Dallas’ overall throw rate if they play with more leads but said being the clear perimeter alpha offsets that risk. Bottom line: draft Metcalf confidently two or three picks ahead of current ADP and treat Dak as a mid-tier QB1 whenever you can complete the new stack cheaply.

Pete Overzet said he is finally willing to click Javonte Williams when the Denver back slides a few spots past current Best Ball Mania ADP. Overzet expects what he called a “flippening” in the coming weeks: rookie Jaden Blue’s price is already rocket-shipping (up to pick 131) and should jump Williams entirely as drafters keep looking for any excuse to fade the veteran. When that happens, Williams will likely be 10–20 picks cheaper than he is right now. Overzet wants to front-run that shift, arguing that even a committee-plagued Denver backfield can still offer spike-week touchdowns if the offense improves, and a sliding price eliminates most of the downside. His actionable takeaway: grab Williams now before Blue leap-frogs him and the discount disappears.

Pete Overzet warned drafters that Dak Prescott’s current Best Ball Mania ADP (121.0) is living on borrowed time. Last season Jake Ferguson’s sixth-round price tag organically dragged Prescott up draft boards, but Ferguson has slipped this spring, removing that upward pull. Now, however, a new dynamic is forming: George Pickens’ surge into the late-fourth/early-fifth range makes the CeeDee Lamb + Pickens double-stack attractive, and those drafters will not let Prescott fall far past the 10th round. Overzet expects “more competition for stacking partners” to nudge Dak closer to the Kyler Murray/Justin Fields tier (round 9) within weeks. His actionable takeaway: grab Prescott now as a discounted QB2 with elite ceiling attachment to Lamb before the stacking gamesmanship pushes him 10–15 picks higher.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Jalen Tolbert’s 30-spot ADP crash in eight days has reset him to an attractive 17th-/18th-round flier. Even after the Cowboys dealt for George Pickens, Tolbert remains the WR3 and offers cheap back-door correlation with Dak Prescott stacks. Pat noted Tolbert’s 14.1-yard aDOT and 19-target Week-15-to-17 stretch last season prove he can flash when called upon. In rooms that let Dak fall past ADP, Pat is comfortable pairing the two as a late exposure punt, adding that sharper drafters have “done uglier things” at the very end of best-ball drafts.

Billy Jones said George Pickens’ climb to a 56.5 ADP—up 20.3 picks in the last week—has not erased the value. Jones expects Dallas to lean pass-heavy after failing to add meaningful backfield talent and highlighted that Dak Prescott ranks top-3 in red-zone pass attempts over the past two seasons. With CeeDee Lamb demanding defensive attention, Jones projected Pickens for 8-9 touchdowns and reiterated the stack equity in Cowboys builds: if Dak hits 4,000 yards again, ‘Pickens and Lamb are going to eat.’ He urged drafters to grab Pickens ahead of similarly priced Calvin Ridley, Jameson Williams and Courtland Sutton, calling him the cleanest upside swing in the late-fourth/early-fifth round.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Dak Prescott’s early-11th-round ADP rise is only the beginning. He argued Dallas’ off-season 'upgrade' through the draft gives Prescott an offensive environment that was previously being discounted. Pat expects Dak to leapfrog Justin Herbert, Jared Goff, Brock Purdy and even Justin Fields in the coming days, pointing out that an 11-pick climb since May still leaves him below comparable quarterbacks who did not add weapons. The host framed Prescott as an underpriced QB1 who should be targeted before the market corrects fully.

Davis Mattek said George Pickens is the Round-6 pick he is jamming before the ADP spikes. Pickens finally escapes Pittsburgh’s quarterback purgatory and lands opposite CeeDee Lamb in a Dak Prescott offense that has produced a QB1 season and multiple 4,500-yard campaigns. Mattek projects Dallas to stay pass-heavy because their defense is still leaky and Javonte Williams is an inefficient lead back, opening the door for a Lamb 30 % target share and a surprisingly attainable 28 % share for Pickens. With half his games now inside AT&T Stadium, Pickens gains dome-controlled scoring environments plus better quarterback accuracy on his trademark down-field shots. Mattek highlighted Pickens’ career 13.7-yard aDOT and 33-38 % contested-catch rates as ingredients for a blow-up touchdown season—despite just 12 career TDs so far, variance could easily swing his way. He admitted risks (Cowboys O-line, Dak injury, possibility Pickens is simply “dust”) but called the risk-reward “insane” and urged best-ball drafters to scoop shares before summer camp chatter pushes him into Round 5.

Erik Beimfohr labeled CeeDee Lamb the best first-round value. Lamb’s 2024 eruption—highlighted by two most-efficient games with backup quarterbacks—proved he is QB-proof and matchup-proof. Despite running mates like Jalen Tolbert, KaVontae Turpin and Ryan Flournoy, Lamb still soaked up elite usage and refused to leave the field even while injured. Beimfohr loves the bankable floor/ceiling combo and notes that Lamb’s ADP is a tick cheaper than Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase, sometimes sliding past them entirely. He even prefers Lamb over Chase in certain builds, calling him an easy click in early best-ball drafts.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound upped the ceiling projection on George Pickens, saying he "could see double-digit touchdowns this year" after the trade to Dallas. He noted Dak Prescott already led the NFL in red-zone accurate-throw rate (50.7%) and that Mike McCarthy’s offense should be even more pass-centric because the Cowboys failed to add a short-yardage hammer at running back. Pickens’ field-stretching role complements CeeDee Lamb’s slot dominance, so Pat expects 6–9 targets per game with a big-play profile that can turn a modest 20% target share into 10–12 scores. He continues to draft Pickens aggressively before the market fully prices in the touchdown upside.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound labeled Dak Prescott a “major winner” at his 109 ADP—just one pick behind Brock Purdy—because Dallas added George Pickens without touching the running-back room. Prescott already led the NFL with a 50.7% accurate-throw rate inside the 20 and ranks near the top in pass rate over expectation in the red zone. With more pass-catching firepower and no new goal-line grinder to siphon touches, Pat expects Prescott’s touchdown ceiling to rise, making him a sharp QB value for Best Ball Mania 6 drafters who need a late-eighth/early-ninth-round signal caller.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said George Pickens is still a value even after the trade-driven ADP bump from 70.7 to 63.6. He expects Pickens to settle in the high-40s because the landing spot in Dallas is perfect: Dak Prescott owns the league’s highest red-zone accurate-throw rate at 50.7%, and the Cowboys failed to add a meaningful goal-line running back, signaling more pass attempts near the stripe. Pickens already posted 59-900-3 in a run-heavy Pittsburgh attack; Pat thinks 1,000 yards and 8 touchdowns are realistic in a pass-first Cowboys offense. He compared the situation to AJ Brown and Drake London, who exploded the year after leaving Arthur Smith’s scheme, and urged drafters to take Pickens right after Calvin Ridley before the market fully adjusts.

Chris Raybon slotted rookie Jaydon Blue at RB40 and urged drafters to attack unsettled backfields after the top 36 backs come off the board. Dallas currently leans on inefficient veterans—Raybon cited Miles Sanders’ 3.5 YPC and sub-6.0 YPR over the last two seasons and noted similarly poor production from the rest of the room—leaving a clear path for Blue. At roughly 200 lbs, Blue flashed pass-game chops and elusiveness at Texas despite spending most of his career buried behind Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Brooks. Raybon believes Blue could seize the old Rico Dowdle role quickly and climb to weekly RB2 territory if he wins the job outright. In early best-ball drafts, that upside costs virtually nothing, making Blue one of Raybon’s favorite late-round darts.

Chris Raybon slotted rookie Jaydon Blue at RB40 and urged drafters to attack unsettled backfields after the top 36 backs come off the board. Dallas currently leans on inefficient veterans—Raybon cited Miles Sanders’ 3.5 YPC and sub-6.0 YPR over the last two seasons and noted similarly poor production from the rest of the room—leaving a clear path for Blue. At roughly 200 lbs, Blue flashed pass-game chops and elusiveness at Texas despite spending most of his career buried behind Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Brooks. Raybon believes Blue could seize the old Rico Dowdle role quickly and climb to weekly RB2 territory if he wins the job outright. In early best-ball drafts, that upside costs virtually nothing, making Blue one of Raybon’s favorite late-round darts.

Andy Holloway elevated Dak Prescott into his locked-in top-8 fantasy quarterbacks on the heels of the Pickens acquisition. Holloway emphasized that Dallas failed to add receiving firepower in the draft, so bringing in Pickens finally restores the down-field element Prescott lost when Amari Cooper left. Prescott already ranked #1 in EPA per play on go routes, and Holloway expects an uptick from last season’s 33.8 pass attempts per game to roughly 36 as Mike McCarthy and new OC Kellen Moore exploit the Pickens deep threat. That volume, paired with Pickens’ contested-catch skills plus CeeDee Lamb’s YAC prowess, spikes Prescott’s ceiling back to his 2021 level (4,449 yards, 37 TDs). Holloway advised drafters to take Prescott ahead of consensus options like Brock Purdy or Kirk Cousins, especially in leagues that award bonuses for 40-yard touchdowns.

Jason Moore projected that CeeDee Lamb will remain an elite WR1 even after Dallas added George Pickens. Moore adjusted Lamb’s target share from 31 % down to 28-29 %, but believes the efficiency gains from cleaner coverage will offset the minor volume loss. With defenses now forced to honor Pickens’ boundary speed, Lamb can live in the slot and underneath, areas where he averaged 2.77 yards per route and a league-best 653 yards after catch last season. Expect fewer doubles, more yards-after-catch opportunities, and continued high-value red-zone work. Moore still ranks Lamb inside his top-5 season-long wideouts and compares the situation to A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith in Philadelphia—two top-10 receivers co-existing because the defense cannot focus on one.

Mike Wright said George Pickens’ value shoots up after being dealt from Pittsburgh to Dallas. Wright argued that the trade drops Pickens into the league’s second-highest pass-rate offense and pairs him with Dak Prescott, the NFL’s leader in yardage on 15-plus-yard go routes the past two seasons (first in yards, second in attempts). Pickens himself leads the league in yards and ranks second in receptions on those same deep go routes over that span, making it a hand-in-glove schematic fit. Wright expects Pickens to leapfrog Brandon Cooks and Jalen Tolbert immediately, projecting WR2 usage with weekly boom potential. He framed Pickens as the preferable late-round dart over similar ADP names like Darnell Mooney because of the realistic 8-TD upside tied to Prescott’s accuracy and Kellen Moore’s vertical concepts. The Cowboys’ willingness to give up a 2027 third hints at a featured role, and leaving Pittsburgh’s run-heavy, low-volume attack alone removes the target squeeze he would have shared with DK Metcalf.