Pat Kerrane argued Courtland Sutton is the lone Denver wide receiver worth targeting in best-ball drafts because Sean Payton’s latest pet signing—Trent Sherfield—will siphon snaps from every other pass catcher. Citing Payton’s quote that Sherfield is “tough, can run, and can block,” Kerrane expects the veteran to log roughly 27 % of offensive snaps as a pseudo run-game enabler, creating a four-man rotation (Bryant, Franklin, Mims, Veile) behind Sutton. Historical Payton tendencies—think Lil’Jordan Humphrey in New Orleans—suggest the X receiver stays on the field while ancillary roles churn. Camp usage backs that up: Sutton has worked with the ones on virtually every rep, and Kerrane projects a 95 % route rate once the season opens. With the rest of the room cannibalizing each other’s playing time, Sutton offers the only stable target floor plus red-zone equity, making him a priority at his current late-7th/early-8th ADP.

Peter Overzet said the steady trickle of puff pieces on fringe Broncos receivers—Trent Sherfield, Jaleel McLaughlin, and rookie Troy Franklin—actually strengthens Courtland Sutton’s case as the unquestioned alpha. Because Sean Payton keeps auditioning depth options, Overzet believes it confirms the staff is still searching for a reliable No. 2 behind Sutton, not a replacement for him. In best-ball drafts he is treating Sutton as the only Denver wideout worth clicking outside of explicit Bo Nix stacks or Week-17 bring-backs, adding that Sutton’s red-zone dominance (30% end-zone target share last year) gives him weekly spike-week equity even if the overall pass volume is middling.

Nez called Evan Engram a "smash" any time he drifts a full round past ADP, highlighting their own selection at pick 118—about 12 spots of closing-line value—as the ideal example. He normally avoids Engram at sticker price but said the tight end becomes an auto-click when paired with rookie quarterback Bo Nix, turning a mild reach on Nix into a balanced stack. Nez argued Engram still commands middle-of-field targets and gives Denver double-stack potential in playoff weeks. His rule: if Engram is available beyond pick 110 in Nix builds, lock him in and worry about secondary correlation later.

Jakob Sanderson pushed back on the idea that Marvin Mims can grow into an every-down fantasy starter. Sanderson said Sean Payton is actually deploying Mims correctly—as a specialized field-stretching weapon—because the second-year Bronco is "deplorably bad" at beating man coverage according to Reception Perception data. While Sanderson acknowledged Mims is an electric deep threat and dangerous in space, he emphasized that the wideout’s route tree is capped, making a full-time role unlikely. Payton’s insistence on rotating four similar gadget receivers (Brandon Johnson, Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Troy Franklin, etc.) further limits Mims’ snap ceiling. Sanderson concluded that drafters should treat Mims strictly as a late-round spike-week dart in Best Ball formats rather than banking on a breakout fueled by expanded volume.

Davis Mattek argued Courtland Sutton is quietly the only reliable piece of the Denver passing game after Sean Payton raved about new signing Trent Sherfield. Mattek believes Sherfield will reprise the "Lil’ Jordan Humphrey" role—playing 25–30 percent of snaps strictly to block—while Sherfield’s presence forces a frustrating rotation among Marvin Mims, Troy Franklin, Brenden Rice and Val Vele. That chaos should leave Sutton on the field for roughly 95 percent of routes as the lone every-down wideout. Mattek is boosting Sutton into the late-sixth/early-seventh round of Best Ball drafts and trimming exposure to the Broncos’ dart-throw youngsters, viewing Sutton’s locked-in volume as a cheap WR2 floor with occasional spike-week upside.

Sean Koerner pegged Bo Nix as a rock-solid low-end QB1, ranking him QB8-QB9 and calling his floor "extremely high" thanks to dual-threat production. Nix finished his rookie year as a top-10 fantasy quarterback with 3,784 passing yards, 29 TDs, 12 INTs and 430 rushing yards on 150 carries. He logged 10 games of 20-plus rushing yards, giving managers a weekly cushion. Koerner doubts true top-three upside because Denver’s defense is stout enough to avoid shoot-outs, capping drop-backs. Still, he outlined a believable path to top-five fantasy output: Evan Engram’s arrival at tight end, Marvin Mims’ strong finish, rookie Pat Bryant’s potential emergence and pass-catching back RJ Harvey all add weapons beyond Courtland Sutton. If one or two of those pieces hit, Nix’s passing volume could rise just enough to pair 4,000-plus combined yards with 30 total TDs. Koerner is comfortable selecting Nix in the late-sixth or later but prefers to let him slide given an ADP of 64. He believes the rushing floor keeps Nix from ever falling outside the top-15 even in a down year, making him an attractive anchor for drafters who bypass the early-round elites.

Cooterdoodle is thrilled to pivot to Evan Engram if she misses the elite tight-end trio. She trusts Sean Payton’s track record with the position and loves that Payton publicly called Engram his new "joker," a role previously reserved for Taysom Hill. After watching Payton bet on Bo Nix at 1.12—and seeing Nix shatter rookie records—she’s taking Payton at his word that Engram will be a creative focal point who can smash his ADP outside the top 100.

Kendall Valenzuela reluctantly picked Bo Nix as her potential sophomore slump candidate despite rooting for him. She cited his 2024 numbers—66.3% completion rate, 3,775 yards, QB10 finish, yet only 18th in QBR (56.9). Digging deeper, Nix ranked 25th in yards per attempt on vertical throws and logged the second-highest rate of passes behind the line of scrimmage. Valenzuela worries Denver’s thin receiver group beyond Sutton could exacerbate those shortcomings, noting Nix sat just 16th in EPA per dropback (+0.09) and 21st in completion percentage over expected (+0.6%).

Adam Ronis warned that Bo Nix is the second-year QB most likely to disappoint. He thinks Sean Payton will lean on an improved rushing attack and that, outside of Courtland Sutton, Denver is light on difference-making pass catchers. With Nix typically drafted ahead of more proven arms, Ronis believes the market is setting fantasy managers up for a sophomore let-down relative to cost.

Cooterdoodle said RJ Harvey is the rookie she keeps hammering in drafts that cost virtually nothing. Her entire case rests on Sean Payton’s well-documented willingness to lean on one primary back and his long résumé of fantasy-friendly RB usage. She believes that connection alone is enough to make Harvey worth a dart throw outside the first 10 rounds, calling him a classic low-risk, high-reward stash.

Matthew Freedman pointed out that Bo Nix has climbed to a consensus ADP of 85.8 (QB8) after Sleeper drafters nudged him up 5.1 slots, largely because the NFL Top-100 list slotted him at No. 64. Freedman is fading the buzz, keeping Nix on his personal Do-Not-Draft list while ranking him QB10 in both his season-long projections and 2025 redraft ranks. He acknowledged Nix’s solid rookie résumé—66.3 % completion rate, 6.7 AY/A, 92-430-4 rushing line, 10 wins, and a playoff berth—but argued that the ceiling isn’t meaningfully higher than later quarterbacks. In short, Freedman thinks drafters are paying for name recognition rather than outsized upside and suggests passing on Nix at his new price.

Bryant is Overzet’s favorite late-round Broncos pick for the Week 17 shootout versus Kansas City, but he noticed 25 % of those shares are paired with Chiefs rookie RB Brashard Smith— a player he recently faded for lacking upside. He wants future Bryant teams paired with higher-ceiling Chiefs like Isiah Pacheco or Travis Kelce (and is fine with Xavier Worthy). The tweak preserves the playoff correlation while avoiding a low-usage back who could clog roster spots.

Best Ball Guy prefers Troy Franklin over Velus Jones as his final-round receiver because Franklin quietly ranked around 20th in red-zone targets last season (10 looks) despite bungling several deep balls. Those missed chances masked a best-ball friendly ceiling: "Franklin catches four passes, he’s dropping 22 points—you just shipped your week," BBG said. He compared the profile to Marvin Mims’ Week-17 explosion and likes that Franklin serves as a natural Denver bring-back in Chiefs or Chargers stacks. The call is to fire Franklin before rising ADP dynamics push him into the drafted window of sharper rooms.

Pat Kerrane called RJ Harvey a "such a smash" any time he slides into the sixth round. Whether Harvey ends up your RB1, RB2, or RB3, Kerrane is auto-clicking because the rookie’s three-down skill set and explosive metrics (96th-percentile breakaway rate at UCF) dwarf the backs going around him. He noted that Harvey routinely handled 20-plus touches in college, caught passes naturally, and enters a depth chart without an entrenched starter. At a point in the draft where veteran handcuffs with capped ceilings usually go, Harvey brings legitimate every-week upside if he simply wins the job outright. Kerrane said he would only pass if he somehow already had three running backs by that point—otherwise Harvey is the priority pick of the tier.

Gretch called ninth-round Bo Nix the cheapest on-ramp to what he expects will be a surprise top-10 offense in Denver. He and Siegele built a full-season bet around the rookie by adding college running mate Troy Franklin and late flier RB RJ Harvey, reasoning that if Sean Payton’s tempo uptick hits, the stack captures every fantasy touchdown without paying Courtland Sutton’s or Javonte Williams’ pricetags. Gretch stressed that unlike one-off DFS stacks, this is not about Nix throwing every TD to Franklin; it is about Denver simply scoring a lot more total points than the market projects. In that scenario Nix’s round-9 cost bakes in very little risk while unlocking top-12 quarterback seasons that advance best-ball teams.

Ben Gretch said Marvin Mims is still being drafted too early because Sean Payton simply does not give secondary receivers enough routes to matter. He pulled PFF’s raw participation numbers and noted Mims topped out at just 21 routes and 48 percent of Denver drop-backs in Week 16, with his third-highest mark only 15 routes all season. Before Week 13 the second-year wideout never cleared a 33 percent share and spent most contests in the low-20s. Gretch believes that four-wide rotation is a design feature of Payton’s offense, pointing out that Troy Franklin, Devon Vele and Lil’Jordan Humphrey all stalled in the same 40–60 percent range and that new arrivals Evan Engram and rookie Pat Bryant will only deepen the rotation. With Denver also talking up more RB usage in the passing game, he doubts Mims gets the Year-3 route spike that Blair Andrews’ research typically forecasts. Gretch prefers Franklin three rounds cheaper and called Mims “pretty overvalued” at current FFPC Best Ball ADP.

Jim Coventry told drafters to burn a late flex pick on Marvin Mims, contending the third-year Bronco doesn’t need heavy volume to matter. He highlighted Denver’s plan to manufacture touches through bubble screens while still unleashing Mims on deep posts, giving the speedster two avenues to splash plays. Coventry admitted target share may stay modest, yet he views Mims as the type of bench receiver who can flip a matchup any week he converts a long ball or breaks a screen. In half-PPR or best-ball formats, Coventry sees him as an ideal upside dart in the double-digit rounds.

Jason Moore dismissed Evan Engram as a draft day trap, insisting TE6-TE10 finishes are ‘not meaningful seasons’ at an eighth-round price. Moore highlighted Engram’s declining efficiency—yards per catch has fallen from 10.5 to 8.4 to 7.8 over the past three years—and argued that five to six targets a game will translate to only 25-30 yards because the veteran rarely breaks tackles. He prefers the cheaper upside swings going immediately after Engram (David Njoku, rookie Tyler Warren, YAC monster Tucker Kraft, newly paid Jake Ferguson). Moore conceded Engram’s weekly floor is fine in PPR, but without touchdowns or down-field usage he cannot separate from the streaming tier. Verdict: let someone else pay TE8 prices and chase higher-ceiling options instead.

Mike Wright said Evan Engram is ‘primed’ for another productive season and just became an autopick if he slips past the eighth round. Wright expects Engram to inherit Denver’s No. 2 target role behind Courtland Sutton now that the rest of the depth chart (Pat Bryant, Marvin Mims, Troy Franklin, Adam Troutman) lacks proven NFL production. Sean Payton has historically peppered his tight ends—Jimmy Graham averaged 7.8 targets per game under Payton—and Wright believes Engram’s 47 catches in only nine games last year show the 31-year-old can still command volume. After finishing TE6 and TE2 in 2022-23, Engram’s blend of reliable floor (zero career goose eggs in full games) and low acquisition cost (current ADP 8.07) makes him a value for season-long drafters who miss the elite tier.

Andy Holloway said Courtland Sutton is now "securely at the tippy-top" of Denver's depth chart after inking a four-year, $92-million extension with $41-million guaranteed. Holloway reminded listeners that Sutton quietly finished as the WR13 last season despite the Broncos' offensive turmoil and argued the new deal eliminates any lingering target-share concerns. With first-round rookie Bo Nix poised to pepper his big outside target and Sean Payton calling the plays, Holloway expects Sutton to again flirt with double-digit touchdowns. Because Sutton is currently available in the fifth round of redraft leagues, Holloway labeled him a "pretty decent value" and a safe weekly starter in season-long formats.

Chris Raybon said Marvin Mims’ fantasy punch this season probably will not come from overtaking Courtland Sutton but from Sean Payton weaponizing him like a souped-up Cordarrelle Patterson. Payton’s camp rotations have had Sutton, Pat Bryant and Troy Franklin running with the first team while Mims works in multiple spots, a signal that the coach still prefers bigger perimeter receivers in traditional roles. Raybon expects Mims to match last year’s wide-receiver snap share yet see a spike in designed carries and motion looks—essentially a Taysom Hill package for a 4.38 wideout. Because Mims wins off-coverage with burst and Denver’s backfield currently features only a late-signed J.K. Dobbins plus an unproven rookie, Raybon anticipates Payton scheming 5-7 touches per week for Mims regardless of route volume. That hybrid workload, paired with his WR60 ADP, gives Mims more than enough paths to beat cost even if Sutton keeps the WR1 chair.

Matthew Freedman called Marvin Mims his favorite dart throw in the back half of drafts, arguing the second-year wideout has a clear path to become Denver’s No. 1 receiver. Freedman laid out several pillars for the bet: (1) elite special-teams pedigree – Mims was a first-team All-Pro returner, a profile that has foreshadowed breakouts for Antonio Brown, Tyreek Hill and Wes Welker; (2) an aging, soon-to-be-30 Cortland Sutton who could decline at any moment; (3) an otherwise underwhelming depth chart of Devon Vele, Pat Bryant, Troy Franklin and Trent Sherfield; (4) strong underlying efficiency (10.4 career yards per target) plus 22 NFL carries that hint at Sean Payton’s willingness to manufacture touches in a Joker role; and (5) Payton’s history of coaxing big seasons out of previously unheralded No. 2 wideouts in New Orleans. Freedman believes those factors combine to give Mims genuine WR1-in-Denver upside while his ADP still sits in the double-digit rounds, making him a mandatory exposure in season-long and best-ball formats.

Jason Moore said Bo Nix is going a full round later than Moore’s own rankings have him, calling the rookie his top mid-round quarterback target. Nix’s current ADP is the second pick of the 8th, but Moore would "probably take him" if he slips to the 9th because he believes the former Oregon star offers both rushing production and Sean Payton–driven passing efficiency that are not yet priced in. Moore even endorsed a "double-tap" approach—grabbing Nix in the 9th and Dak Prescott at ADP in the 11th—so managers can play match-ups while still accessing a top-10 ceiling from either signal-caller. The affordability of this plan lets drafters load up on premium running backs and wideouts in the early rounds without sacrificing quarterback upside.

Buck declared that J.K. Dobbins will ‘straight-up outscore’ Brian Robinson Jr. this season. He prefers Dobbins’ explosive profile and the Broncos’ commitment to feature him near the goal line over Robinson’s merely ‘perfectly fine’ early-down role in Washington. Buck believes Denver’s half-point-PPR environment on Underdog further tilts the scales because Dobbins offers big-play juice while Robinson rarely catches passes. Drafting Dobbins several rounds after backs like Isiah Pacheco or Tony Pollard allows drafters to bank ceiling without paying the high opportunity cost those names require, making him a priority target in the double-digit rounds.

Jonathan Fuller said RJ Harvey is his most-rostered rookie because the Broncos check every box for a committee back who scores fantasy points. Denver ranked near the top of the league in targets to running backs last season and still boasts a strong offensive line. Fuller is unfazed by the J.K. Dobbins signing, noting Harvey was never expected to handle 20 touches per week. As long as Sean Payton continues peppering backs in the passing game, Fuller believes Harvey can deliver PPR value that far exceeds his late-first rookie draft cost and urged dynasty managers to trade for him before preseason buzz pushes the price up.

Jeff Mueller said Evan Engram’s repaired shoulder labrum carries minimal re-injury risk and should not affect his receiving ability. Unlike Colson Loveland’s more violent AC injury, Engram’s labrum tear is stable once range of motion and strength return—benchmarks team doctors would require before clearing him. Mueller added that Sean Payton historically isolates one pass-catching tight end in the slot while asking a blocking specialist—likely Adam Trautman, who blocked on 66 percent of snaps last year—to handle in-line work. If second-year quarterback Bo Nix takes even a modest step, that usage could funnel high-value routes Engram’s way without exposing him to blocking collisions. Given his depressed ADP in the nebulous post-Kittle tier, Mueller is scooping up Engram in best-ball drafts as a cheap path to mid-TE1 numbers.

Polzin leaned toward the UNDER on RJ Harvey’s rushing-yard props (726 at PrizePicks, 724 at Underdog, 700 at Caesars/DraftKings). He doubts Sean Payton will hand the rookie immediate bell-cow duties with J.K. Dobbins also in the mix and pointed to Payton’s 2024 revolving-door backfield—Jalil McLaughlin, Audric Estime, Javonte Williams—as proof the coach will ride a committee until someone separates. Without guaranteed volume, Polzin prefers fading Harvey at the higher numbers offered on the pick-’em sites.

Polzin likes the OVER on Courtland Sutton’s 849.5 receiving-yard line (PrizePicks). Sutton commanded 135 targets and topped 1,000 yards last season while playing all 17 games. Post-bye chemistry with Bo Nix surged: Sutton’s lowest target count after Week 9 was six, and Denver made no significant WR additions to threaten his role. Polzin projects similar or better volume with an improving Nix, estimating Sutton’s true line should sit near 950 yards, making the current 849.5 a strong value play.

At Round-8 ADP (86.4) McFarland touts Bo Nix as a mid-QB1 candidate who could crack the top-4 if rushing and passing spikes align. The 2024 surprise QB8 averaged 235 passing yards and 25 rushing yards after Sean Payton lifted Denver’s DBOE from 1.5% to 2.5% mid-season. Nix logged 10% designed-run share (8th) plus 8% scramble rate and now gets upgrades in versatile pass catchers RJ Harvey, Evan Engram and rookie WR Pat Bryant while operating behind PFF’s No.2 offensive line. Projection model returns 15.2 floor, 18.5 median, 23.8 ceiling. McFarland loves him as an upside consolation if elite dual-threats slip away.

Hayden Winks told listeners Bo Nix should be on every upside-hunting draft board as a QB2 with legitimate weekly spike potential. Winks reminded viewers that Nix was QB2 in first-downs added as a scrambler and QB4 in EPA on sneaks as a rookie. He actually clocked big-play speed on film, outrunning Derwin James, Khalil Mack and Trey Hendrickson in the open field. Arm concerns are overblown—Nix uncorked last season’s longest in-air completion at 67 yards—and Sean Payton already dialed up a vertical shot rate that produced that bomb. The negatives (league-high checkdown count, QB28 in avoiding negatives and QB34 in middle-of-field success rate) stemmed from processing too quickly, something Winks expects to improve in a second season of Payton’s system. With added YAC threats Evan Engram, RG Harvey and a healthier Marvin Mims to turn short throws into explosives, Winks projected 550 rushing yards plus 22-25 passing TDs, making Nix a smash value at his current QB24 best-ball ADP and an intriguing long-shot for Offensive Player of the Year futures.

Coventry recommended stashing Marvin Mims at the tail end of drafts, noting the speedy wideout "doesn't get a lot of targets, but does a lot" with the ones he earns on bubble screens and vertical shots. In an offense expected to feature more motion and play-action, Coventry thinks Mims’ efficiency gives him best-ball spike-week upside and makes him a worthwhile lottery ticket in the final rounds.

Jim Coventry said J.K. Dobbins is a late-round swing worth taking because Denver under Sean Payton will lean on its rugged offensive line and a run-heavy approach. Coventry stressed that Payton "loves to run the ball," making Dobbins the kind of stash who could rack up early-down volume and surprise as an RB2 once he’s fully healthy.

Nick Whalen passed on Bo Nix 8-plus rushing TDs at 11-to-1. Nix ran for only four scores last season, and none after Week 8 as Denver shifted into preservation mode. Whalen pointed out that only Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen cracked eight rushing TDs among QBs in 2024, both possessing rare size and short-yardage roles. He doubts Sean Payton will repeatedly expose his rookie to goal-line hits, projecting 4–5 rushing TDs as a realistic ceiling unless an outlier streak of QB sneaks materializes.

Ryan Heath said Evan Engram is an easy click in managed leagues now that Sean Payton has only Courtland Sutton going inside the top-60 picks. Engram’s 7.8 targets per game over the last two seasons rank fourth among tight ends, and Payton’s long-standing "Joker" role could keep him on the field despite blocking concerns. With Denver projected to play uptempo and feature heavy play-action, Heath envisions Engram stumbling into red-zone volume similar to Jimmy Graham’s Payton-era usage. The TE is a bit pricey on Underdog, but Heath loves him as a last-starter or hero-TE build in season-long formats where his ADP is several rounds cheaper.

Ryan Heath labeled RJ Harvey a high-upside dart after Denver spent day-two capital on him—only the fourth time Sean Payton has drafted a running back that early. The other three (Reggie Bush, Mark Ingram, Alvin Kamara) averaged more than 100 rookie-year targets, highlighting Payton’s long-standing tendency to pepper backs in the passing game. Heath called Harvey an explosive player who fits that dual-threat mold and believes Payton’s system plus Denver’s shallow receiver depth could unlock immediate PPR value. With Harvey’s ADP drifting downward during the rookie lull, Heath is scooping him everywhere, betting that one preseason splash play will push him up multiple rounds.

Liam Murphy cautioned that rookie back RJ Harvey should be treated strictly as a volatile spike-week play. Harvey sits behind J.K. Dobbins on Denver’s depth chart and, according to Murphy, does not project for a workhorse role at any point this season. Instead, Murphy envisions a roller-coaster stat line — zero usable points one week, 20 the next — that is fine for Best Ball Mania as an RB5/6 but scary in managed formats. He drafted Harvey only because aging starters Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones on this roster could fade late, but he warned listeners not to expect consistent volume from the former UCF star in Sean Payton’s committee attack.

Rich Hribar warned that rookie RJ Harvey’s poor pass-blocking profile could keep him off the field in high-leverage downs and limit his fantasy ceiling. Harvey posted the lowest pass-protection grade in the entire draft class and allowed the second-worst pressure rate, according to PFF data Hribar cited. By contrast, new teammate J.K. Dobbins ranked fourth in the NFL in pass-pro snaps last year. Hribar said that if Harvey is pulled on obvious passing downs the Alvin Kamara–style ceiling analysts dream about disappears, making the current market expectation of a 300-touch workload unrealistic.

Bob Harris called J.K. Dobbins the move he is "most eager" to make among backs on new teams. Broncos beat-writer Cecil Lammey told Harris the plan is for Dobbins to operate as the 1A with rookie RJ Harvey as the 1B, and that aligns with Harris’ read of the situation. He likes the veteran for goal-line work and every-down reliability, while Harvey profiles as a change-of-pace player at 205 pounds. Current ADP, which treats the backfield as a 50-50 split, therefore undervalues Dobbins’ touch projection in Harris’ eyes.

Chris Raybon said R.J. Harvey is one of his three must-draft rookie sleepers in 2025 best ball because Sean Payton rarely spends early draft capital on running backs and, when he does, he feeds them immediately. Payton’s only three Day-1/2 RB picks – Reggie Bush (12.5 touches per game, RB9 as a rookie), Mark Ingram (RB46 in 10 games, top-30 pace), and Alvin Kamara (RB3 as a rookie) – all delivered fantasy-viable volume. With 2024 snap leader Javonte Williams (52% snaps) now in Dallas, the backfield is wide open for Harvey. The former UCF star brings the 4.40 speed and burst Payton wants for his “Joker” role, coming off 2,993 rushing yards, 38 TDs, 6.8 YPC, and 13.4 YPR over his last two college seasons. His Underdog ADP has already climbed from outside the top-60 RBs into the high 40s, and Raybon expects it to keep rising as drafters realize Harvey’s combination of breakaway ability and immediate workload upside.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound voiced real discomfort with RJ Harvey’s recent price hike, noting that the UCF rookie is now going ahead of veteran names such as Travis Etienne in some Underdog rooms. Pat’s average exposure sits only "right above ADP" because, in his words, "the new price throws me for a loop." He pointed out that four comparable backs were still on the board when Harvey went off, meaning drafters are paying a premium without a clear workload guarantee. Pat is willing to click Harvey when he drifts, but at the current cost he labels the pick "sketchy" and prefers pivoting to cheaper backs or waiting for the next tier.

Colm Kelly cautioned against chasing J.K. Dobbins at his new Round 9-10 ADP, calling the jump "astonishing." Dobbins’ history of multiple lower-body injuries and diminished explosiveness make him unlikely to reclaim the form that once made him a breakout darling. Kelly believes drafters are pricing in a best-case scenario while ignoring that rookie RJ Harvey is younger, healthier and already pencilled in for early-down and goal-line work. With a fragile workload ceiling and significant re-injury risk, Dobbins is a fade at cost.

Colm Kelly predicted that rookie RJ Harvey will ultimately seize control of Denver’s backfield despite JK Dobbins’ meteoric ADP rise into Round 9-10. Harvey brings youth, 3-down traits and downhill explosiveness that Sean Payton covets, while Dobbins carries a lengthy injury history and has not looked like his pre-injury self. Kelly expects Denver to be run-centric, creating enough touches for two backs but believes Harvey’s talent will make him the clear lead and a league-winner at his current Round 5 price.

Leone still views Courtland Sutton as a solid target even while fading Bo Nix. He emphasized that Sutton is "the one wide receiver they trust to run 90-plus routes" whenever Denver rotates the rest of its pass-catchers. That locked-in playing time plus Sutton’s established red-zone role gives him a sturdy weekly floor, and his ADP has not adjusted for the Broncos’ willingness to feature him as their clear alpha. Leone is happily scooping Sutton as a value WR3 in best-ball and redraft formats.

Michael Leone admitted he is "a little bit nervous" about Bo Nix at his current price. Leone pointed out that much of Nix’s 2024 fantasy production came from short-area passing and an unsustainably high red-zone touchdown rate down the stretch. In FFPC drafts the rookie is creeping into the eighth round and still goes in the ninth on Underdog, yet Leone sees only a marginal difference between Nix and several quarterbacks available multiple rounds later. Because drafters are effectively paying for a perfect repeat of last year’s efficiency, Leone is passing on Nix in both best-ball and season-long builds and redirecting those picks to cheaper signal‐callers in the same scoring range.

Chris Raybon called RJ Harvey a sell at his current RB21, 62-overall ADP. He dropped Harvey to RB29 after Denver added J.K. Dobbins and kept a slew of young backs—Blake Watson, Audric Estime and Jaleel McLaughlin—creating a five-man logjam Payton could shuffle weekly. Raybon fears Harvey slots into a Darren Sproles-type role (few carries, reliant on explosive receptions) rather than a true three-down workload. With Payton’s history of unpredictable backfield committees and a suddenly loaded passing attack, Raybon sees too much weekly volatility to invest in Harvey before proven veterans like Alvin Kamara, James Conner or David Montgomery who go in the same range.

Sean Koerner preferred Bo Nix as his QB1 over spending similar capital on mid-tier tight ends, citing Nix’s ADP edge and multi-path upside. Koerner reminded listeners that Nix posted an "impressive rookie season" and should take the classic second-year leap now that the Broncos added Evan Engram for intermediate routes, Troy Franklin for deep speed and Pat Bryant as a Michael-Thomas-style chain-mover. Nix already provides the rushing floor we chase—Koerner projects 35–45 designed carries—and the upgraded skill group gives him weekly spike-week potential. At his current cost outside the top-20 quarterbacks, Koerner views Nix as a set-and-forget QB1 in season-long formats and a priority stacking partner with Sutton or Franklin in best ball.

Chris Raybon urged drafters to pass on Evan Engram at his current TE8 price, arguing he may not even finish top-15. Raybon pointed out that Sean Payton is loading the Broncos with weapons—rookie RB RJ Harvey (comped internally to Darren Sproles), J.K. Dobbins, gadget back Jaleel McLaughlin, plus a suddenly deep WR room of Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims. Payton’s history of rotating tight ends (Adam Trautman, Lucas Krull, Greg Dulcich when healthy) further caps Engram’s snap share. Raybon also noted a subtle production dip in Engram’s final Jaguars season and said he could end up the "least sexy Bronco" in a week-to-week guessing game. Bottom line: too many mouths to feed to justify a single-digit TE cost.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound remains interested in rookie wideout Pat Bryant as a Round-17/18 flier while his average draft position hovers around pick 190. Pat noted he already owns 6.3 percent Bryant exposure and believes the only significant risk is an unexpected Keenan Allen retirement or contract snag, a scenario he calls "very low-probability." At the current price Bryant offers cheap access to Caleb Williams’ passing upside and could emerge as a perimeter complement to DJ Moore if Allen shows his age. Pat’s plan is to sprinkle Bryant into builds that already feature plenty of ceiling at receiver—enough shares to benefit from a breakout, but not so many that a quiet rookie season tanks portfolio EV.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters to pump the brakes on Marvin Mims at his current triple-digit ADP. He pulled up Denver’s 2023 snap counts to show that Sean Payton routinely rotated five wide receivers, leaving Mims on the field for only 30 percent of snaps even during his late-season hot streak. Courtland Sutton remains the lone full-time option, so Mims needs both a role change and a playing-time jump to justify costs in the 120s. Pat believes that bet is too thin relative to other wideouts in the same range and is trimming his exposure until the market discounts Mims to reflect the uncertain playing time.