Ray Summerlin flagged Jayden Reed as a potential late-round league winner after camp reports showed the Packers giving him snaps in two-wide sets. Summerlin noted that Reed might already be Green Bay’s best receiver, and Rich Hribar added that Reception Perception grades show Reed can win across the entire route tree—not just from the slot. With Christian Watson currently sidelined and rookie Matthew Golden still unproven, Reed’s path to every-down usage looks far clearer than expected, making him a sharp upside pick in the double-digit rounds of best-ball drafts.

Steve Palazzolo also leaned under 9.5 wins for Green Bay, admitting he is "falling into the trap" of favoring divisional rivals that spent more aggressively this offseason. Palazzolo highlighted multiple soft spots that make double-digit victories unlikely: no reliable pass-rusher opposite Gary, Kenny Clark's recent injury history, Devonte Wyatt's inconsistency, and two outside corners being forced to play out of position in a heavy-zone system. He added that Matt LaFleur's coaching can only mask so many holes and that unless Jordan Love proves "special" again, nine wins is probably the ceiling—making the under the sharper side of the FanDuel wager.

Sam Monson recommended taking the Packers under 9.5 wins at FanDuel. He argued the roster is weaker than every other NFC North squad: the defensive line is still "Rashan Gary and a bunch of question marks," outside corners Nate Hobbs and Keisean Nixon are better in the slot, and there is no proven pass-rush help opposite Gary. While Monson believes Jordan Love's late-season surge in 2024 was real, he contends betting markets are already pricing in that near-ceiling outcome. With the Lions entrenched and the Bears and Vikings adding talent aggressively, Monson sees more realistic paths to eight wins than to ten.

Steve Palazzolo noted that Green Bay pivoted to a more downhill rushing approach last season and believes the free-agent addition of Josh Jacobs, who replaces Aaron Jones, locks that identity in for 2025. Jacobs’ power-back profile dovetails with Matt LaFleur’s desire for "multiple ways to win," setting him up for early-down and goal-line volume. Palazzolo framed the move as a "nice pickup," signaling Jacobs should see the kind of workload that keeps him firmly in the RB2 mix for season-long leagues while giving the Packers a second offensive path if Jordan Love is inconsistent.

Sam Monson labeled first-round pick Matthew Golden the "fascinating" X-factor in Green Bay’s receiver room. Golden’s blazing 40-time vaulted him up boards and gives him the raw athletic profile to become the Packers’ elusive true No. 1 target, which would instantly transform the passing attack. Monson cautioned, however, that Golden has only a "really, really small" collegiate sample of actually being that top option, making him a classic high-ceiling, high-variance late-round play that is better suited to best-ball formats than redraft lineups right away.

Sam Monson called Christian Watson "incredibly unreliable" and argued that every Packers wideout—Watson, Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks included—has flashed but never sustained production. Injuries and week-to-week inconsistency have kept Watson from locking down even a puzzle-piece role, much less true No. 1 status. Monson said this volatility forces fantasy managers to treat Watson strictly as a boom-bust option rather than a dependable weekly starter until the receiving corps shows real consistency.

Steve Palazzolo said the entire Packers season rides on whether Jordan Love can recreate the 35-to-40 big-time-throw form he flashed during the second half of 2023. Love produced 37 big-time throws that year (including playoffs) but only 17 last season while battling injuries. Palazzolo believes that if Love stays healthy and regains that off-platform, third-and-long play-making rhythm—highlighted by his playoff performance against Dallas—Green Bay can overcome what he views as merely the third- or fourth-best roster in the NFC North and finish atop the division. If Love merely repeats last year’s "pretty good" production, the Packers could sink to the bottom of the North. Fantasy drafters and bettors should calibrate their Packers exposure to their confidence in Love hitting that ceiling.

Davis Mattek said Dontayvian Wicks should remain in best-ball player pools as an 18th-round dart despite the recent camp buzz cooling off. Mattek laid out several realistic paths to fantasy relevance: (1) a Romeo Doubs trade or injury, noting Doubs was even suspended last season for diva behavior; (2) a Christian Watson or Jayden Reed injury opening snaps in 11-personnel; (3) Wicks simply capitalizing on early-season opportunities—Mattek tossed out a hypothetical 4-catch, 64-yard, 1-TD Week 3 line that could force coaches to expand his role. He reminded listeners that Green Bay ranked 31st in Pass Rate Over Expected in 2023, yet Wicks still logged 76 targets to lead the team; if Matt LaFleur pushes the offense toward league-average (Mattek suggested 13th in PROE) the target pie grows. With Jordan Love stacks needing a cheap bring-back and both Doubs and Watson likely gone by 2026, Mattek views Wicks as a correlated upside pick now and a strong dynasty stash for the longer runway.

Nez said he has stopped drafting rookie running back MarShawn Lloyd after Lloyd tweaked his groin again in camp. Nez pointed out the former USC back "has yet to be healthy" since arriving in Green Bay and a groin issue usually sidelines a runner for multiple weeks and saps burst even after he returns. With Lloyd repeatedly rehabbing instead of practicing, Nez is shifting his late-round Packers exposure to second-year back Emanuel Wilson while continuing to hammer Josh Jacobs, who now has "absolutely zero competition behind him" and therefore can’t, in Nez’s words, "do anything wrong at this price."

Davis Mattek said Wicks is still worth an 18th-round dart despite last year’s drops. He outlined several ways the second-year Packer can pay off in Best Ball or dynasty: 1) a Romeo Doubs trade, suspension or injury immediately frees outside snaps; 2) Wicks could simply flash early (Mattek floated a four-catch, 64-yard, 1-TD Week-3 line) and earn more routes; 3) Green Bay was 31st in pass rate over expected last year—if Matt LaFleur bumps that to mid-pack (Mattek guessed 13th) Jordan Love’s volume rises and the target pie grows; 4) both Doubs and Christian Watson may be gone by 2026, giving Wicks long-term starter equity on his rookie deal. Mattek called the talk of Wicks being “Jover” premature and recommended him as a correlated late pick with Love or a cheap dynasty stash.

Mattek highlighted Jordan Love as the pocket passer who slips the most relative to the ADPs of his receivers. On DraftKings, Jayden Reed and Christian Watson both go ahead of Love, yet rooms routinely let the quarterback drift into the QB12-14 range. That creates a back-door stack where drafters can pair Love with Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, or tight end Tucker Kraft two full rounds later. Mattek likes scooping the signal-caller when he falls, arguing the inexpensive three-man stack offers weekly ceiling at minimal opportunity cost.

Rich Ryan called Jordan Love the "falling pocket passer" of DraftKings best-ball lobbies. Love routinely lasts a full round past ADP—sometimes even behind both Jayden Reed and Malik Nabers—despite closing 2023 with 32 touchdown passes and the league’s fourth-best EPA per dropback from Week 9 forward. Ryan’s preferred build is to grab Love at the 10/11 turn, then complete a dirt-cheap triple stack with Romeo Doubs in Round 12 and Dontayvion Wicks after pick 180. He projects Green Bay for 600 attempts and ranks Love as a top-10 weekly ceiling play in full-PPR playoff weeks, making him an every-draft QB2 when he misses on the Allen/Lamar tier.

Jorge Martin said fantasy drafters are sleeping on Jordan Love, who is falling to QB18 (ADP 126.8, 13th round on Underdog) even though projections place him at QB13. Martin reminded readers that Love played most of 2024 on a bad leg, missed two games, and is only one year removed from 4,159 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and 247 rushing yards with 4 more scores. Current projections still give him just under 4,000 yards and 30 TDs. Martin also likes the opening-month schedule—Lions, Commanders and Cowboys in the first four weeks—plus a potential Week 17 shoot-out with Baltimore for fantasy championships. He views Love as a cheap upside QB2 or late best-ball stack target who should not last until the 13th round.

Showing 17 % exposure in his portfolio, Best Ball Guy said Matthew Golden is still "way too cheap" relative to his first-round pedigree. Golden consistently lasts into the double-digit rounds even though rookie wide receivers have delivered league-winning advance rates in three straight seasons. BBG is betting that once drafters see Golden run routes against pro corners in August, his ADP will jump at least a full round. Grabbing him now locks in an explosive downfield threat without paying the premium attached to established names, a profile BBG believes is tailor-made for half-PPR best-ball scoring.

Asked which Packers receiver he prefers, Best Ball Guy answered Jayden Reed and backed it up with portfolio numbers: 18 % Reed exposure compared to roughly 20 % on cheaper teammates like Dontayvion Wicks ("Golden") and 8 % Romeo Doubs. He grabs Reed when he starts RB-heavy because the second-year slot man should bank early-season points right away, then pivots to Wicks later in drafts when he already has four wideouts and wants pure ceiling. The key, he said, is that every Green Bay pass catcher is still priced outside the top 75 picks even though Jordan Love’s offense quietly supported multiple spike weeks last year, making the entire group an efficient way to stockpile WR upside without sacrificing early capital.

Jim Coventry framed Josh Jacobs as the "safe play" in Round 2/3 turns. Even in a down 2023, Jacobs averaged 19 carries per game over the second half and regularly posted 20-point PPR outings. Coventry highlighted Jacobs’ durability—only a couple missed games during his Raiders stint—and expects Green Bay to feature him similarly, giving drafters a sturdy RB2 with RB1 weeks.

Matthew Freedman argued that Matthew Golden is set up for a rookie-year breakout because he can play anywhere on the field, not just the slot. Freedman noted that Jaden Reed has been almost exclusively a slot receiver, which bumps him to the sideline whenever Matt LaFleur rolls out his frequent two-tight-end packages. Golden, however, can win on the perimeter and in the slot, keeping him on the field in both 11- and 12-personnel. The Packers confirmed that vision by spending a first-round pick on him—something they did not do for Reed or Romeo Doubs. Freedman added that Jordan Love quietly finished top-five in QBR and yards per attempt despite last year’s run-leaning script, and LaFleur ranks as a top-eight (arguably top-four) play-caller. If Green Bay is forced to throw a bit more, Freedman thinks every target earner in the offense explodes, but Golden is the only one with both locked-in snaps and a WR50-plus ADP. He called that combination “buying a ceiling at its floor” in season-long and best-ball drafts.

Chris Raybon labeled Matthew Golden the sneakiest upside swing in Green Bay after studying the Packers’ offseason moves and last year’s usage data. Jaden Reed managed only 4.5 targets per game while Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks struggled to separate, prompting Brian Gutekunst to spend premium picks on Golden and Savion Williams. Raybon argued that once Jordan Love injured his shoulder in Week 1, Matt LaFleur throttled back pass volume to hide an uninspiring perimeter group, but Love still finished top-five in yards per attempt and QBR. Golden’s downfield acceleration and contested-catch chops solve the very problem that forced the scheme into a shell. With Christian Watson perpetually hurt and Wicks locked into a 25–35% snap role, Raybon believes Golden can finish camp no worse than third in routes and has a clear path to the alpha chair if Watson’s hamstrings flare up again. Because drafters anchor to last year’s low pass rate, Golden is available in the WR5–WR6 range despite a rookie-year ceiling of 115 targets in an offense poised to re-open the throttle.

Matt Harmon noted Jaden Reed was the first name to miss his Top-15 WRs Under-25 list for the second straight offseason, signaling Reed sits right on the edge of stardom. Reception Perception charted Reed with an 80-plus percent contested-catch rate in 2023 while he remained "an awesome separator" versus man and zone and won downfield on digs, corners, and posts. Harmon dismissed last year’s spike in drops as statistical noise given Reed’s prior history. He argued the fantasy community underrates Reed as a slot-only player and still overestimates how run-heavy Green Bay will be. Harmon expects the Packers to pass more now that Jordan Love is healthy and called Reed "somebody I want to bet on," labeling him a mis-priced mid-round pick with genuine year-three breakout potential.

Tom Strachan urged drafters to bypass every early quarterback and simply grab Jordan Love in the final round. Love is currently QB18 in ADP but finished 2024 as the QB13 in points per game despite playing through injuries. He scored 14-plus fantasy points in 11 of his 14 starts—a higher hit rate than his 2023 breakout—and did so in an offense that ranked dead last in situation-neutral pass rate while cycling receivers every week. Strachan argued that even a modest return to 2023 passing volume unlocks legitimate top-five upside given Love’s proven rushing floor, an upgraded offensive line, and a suddenly deep skill group headlined by touchdown-machine TE Tucker Kraft. In one-QB redraft leagues, Strachan sees no reason to spend capital elsewhere when Love’s ceiling can be had for free.

Rich Cooling called Tucker Kraft a slam-dunk pick at his current TE12 ADP, predicting he can jump into the elite tight-end tier. Kraft already led Green Bay with seven touchdown catches last year—just one fewer than George Kittle and three fewer than Mark Andrews—and paced all TEs with at least 50 targets in yards after the catch at 9.38 per reception. Cooling stressed that Kraft outplayed Luke Musgrave despite being drafted 60 spots later and believes Jordan Love clearly trusts him in high-leverage situations. Even if some of the big-play YAC regresses, the combination of red-zone usage, athleticism, and a vacancy atop Green Bay’s target totem pole makes Kraft a strong bet to beat cost in both redraft and best-ball formats.

Raybon called Matthew Golden a rare late-round rookie who might pace his team in routes as soon as September. He noted that once everyone in Green Bay’s receiving corps was healthy last year, Dontayvion Wicks devolved into Malik Heath-level usage and the coaching staff openly toyed with turning Bo Melton into a gadget player. In that context Golden— a second-round pick with a clean prospect profile— projects to seize the perimeter snaps opposite Jayden Reed almost by default. More importantly, the Packers’ pass-catcher ADPs still bake in last season’s hyper-run-heavy finish, ignoring that Jordan Love was a top-five quarterback by EPA per drop-back before his injury. Raybon expects the volume bounce-back to collide with Golden’s every-down role, creating a weekly ceiling the market is missing. He is scooping Golden two rounds ahead of ADP when building Jordan Love stacks, betting that the rookie becomes the primary outside threat and posts multiple spike weeks down the stretch.

Raybon urged drafters to keep buying the dip on Jayden Reed, who goes right around WR40 despite functioning as Jordan Love’s de-facto No. 1 option in limited snaps last year. Reed averaged 4.5 targets per game even though he rarely cracked Green Bay’s two-wide sets; that per-route efficiency should translate into box-score production if the Packers simply throw more— something Raybon expects after Matt LaFleur throttled back to a run-heavy approach once Love hurt his shoulder in mid-season. Love still finished top-five in several efficiency metrics, and Raybon believes a healthier quarterback plus a schedule loaded with neutral or negative scripts will push passing volume well beyond the market’s baseline. Because the public has already priced in ‘Reed stays a slot-only player,’ any bump in two-wide usage or team pass attempts turns his current ADP into pure upside. Raybon likes stacking Reed with Love as a cheap way to capture a high-ceiling offense that the room is treating like a middling one.

Chris Raybon called Jordan Love a screaming value at his current QB19 best-ball ADP. Raybon reminded listeners that Love quietly finished top-5 in passing yards, attempts and QBR last season despite playing hurt from Week 1 and throwing to what Raybon labeled “one of the worst perimeter groups in the league.” He expects Green Bay to lean far more heavily on the pass now that second-year wideouts Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks and Romeo Doubs have another offseason under their belts and first-round tight end Brock Bowers joins the mix. With the Packers unlikely to hide their quarterback behind a run-heavy script again, Raybon projects a material jump in both volume and efficiency that could push Love into weekly top-12 territory while costing only a late-round pick. He advised scooping Love as a QB2—or even QB3 in three-quarterback builds—to capture that upside without sacrificing draft capital.

Eric Polzin urged bettors to smash the OVER on Jordan Love’s 3,500.5 passing-yard total at PrizePicks. Underdog hangs the same prop roughly 100 yards higher and BetMGM is 150 yards richer, indicating a clear market mis-price. Love gutted through most of 2024 with multiple nagging injuries, missed a game entirely, and still flirted with 3,600 yards despite losing Christian Watson for a large chunk of the season. Polzin expects healthier pass-catchers, another year in Matt LaFleur’s system, and normal injury luck to push Love well north of 3,600 yards, projecting a median outcome closer to 3,800. The line discrepancy plus improved health makes the PrizePicks over his preferred wager.

Jim Coventry advised locking in Josh Jacobs as your second running back at pick 27. He pointed out that Jacobs "saw a ton of work from the second half of the season on last year, basically cashing almost every week for fantasy." Coventry expects Green Bay to operate a run-centric offense, giving Jacobs ample carries, frequent goal-line chances, and a healthy dose of receptions. Those three usage buckets combine for a steady weekly floor and multi-TD upside, making Jacobs an ideal anchor RB2 in 12-team Season-Long builds.

Hayden Winks said Jordan Love is a smash upside pick in best-ball and a viable late QB1 in redraft. Winks ranked him 12th today but predicted that "if we redo this next summer he will be comfortably top-10, maybe top-5." Love finished QB3 in pressure-to-sack rate last season thanks to slippery pocket movement and side-arm creativity, yet he was only QB18 in success rate because the decision-making is still volatile. With another year in the same scheme, a fully healthy lower body and the league’s youngest receiving room gaining reps, Winks projected a 4,300-yard, 30-TD passing line plus 300 rushing yards. He urged drafters to grab Love at his current QB14 ADP and sprinkle his +3000 MVP odds before summer buzz shortens the number.

Coventry advised grabbing Josh Jacobs at the 2-3 turn because the veteran offers an "insanely good floor." After joining Green Bay he averaged 19.3 rushing attempts during the second half of 2024 and frequently topped 20 PPR points. Coventry believes the Packers will continue leaning on Jacobs as their clear workhorse, making him a safer bet than the other backs available in that tier such as Breece Hall, Chase Brown or Kyren Williams.

Hayden Winks highlighted Tucker Kraft as another tight end who checks Ryan Heath’s league-winner boxes—no entrenched pass catchers ahead of him and an offense pegged to be "awesome" again. Only two Packers receivers are being drafted near the top-60 and one of them rarely plays in three-wide sets, leaving Kraft a path to top-two target status. Winks pointed out that Kraft logged heavy playoff snaps last year, proving the coaching staff trusts him in high-leverage situations. At a double-digit-round ADP, Kraft lets drafters fade the overpriced early-round tight ends while still capturing touchdown upside tied to Jordan Love’s ascending offense.

Jacobs is Whalen’s second back in Tier 3. He wonders if Green Bay will dial back the extreme workloads Jacobs saw late last season, but points out the Packers lack an established red-zone alternative. Jacobs scored 15 rushing TDs in 2024 and still offers more receiving juice than he showed in Vegas; Whalen thinks a return to 50-plus catches is within reach, keeping Jacobs’ floor high.

Andy Lang initially thought oddsmakers nailed the Packers at 9.5 wins, but after reviewing the schedule and revisiting Jordan Love’s under-reported 2024 injury, he moved to the over. Lang emphasized that Love played through a severely swollen leg last season—explaining the dip in rushing and overall efficiency—yet Green Bay still managed 11 wins. He walked through the slate, highlighting a favorable mid-season run (Bengals, Cardinals, Steelers, Panthers) that could offset a rough early stretch and an annoyingly early Week-5 bye. Lang now believes 10 wins is the more accurate baseline and is comfortable backing the over, though not quite as aggressively as Alexander.

Dan Alexander said the Packers are a full game mis-priced at 9.5 wins and called the current number a "strong over bet." He pointed out that Green Bay still posted an 11-6 record last season even though Jordan Love played hurt after the early-season Brazil game, which limited both his mobility and the offense’s ceiling. Alexander argued that a healthy Love plus an "embarrassment of riches" at wide receiver—thanks to a 2025 draft that finally prioritized pass-catchers—gives Matt LaFleur all the weapons he needs in a spread-the-ball attack that doesn’t rely on a single alpha like Davante Adams. He also cited four scheduled prime-time games as evidence the league expects this roster to compete. In a division he considers the toughest outside the AFC West, Alexander labeled Detroit an over-valued favorite and prefers Green Bay to win the NFC North at +260 to +290, with legitimate Super Bowl upside if everything breaks right.

Peter Overzet called Tucker Kraft the clear tier-break tight end behind George Kittle, saying, “I like Kraft—I think he’s the tear break unless you want to get crazy.” In Pete’s view, Kraft offers the exact isolated spike-week potential you want from a TE3 without the ownership drag Isaiah Likely is picking up (he joked Likely could reach 80 % in this contest). That combination makes Kraft the sharper way to round out a three-tight-end build, especially if you already paid up for Kittle and want your final roster spot to chase ceiling rather than duplicate chalk. If Kraft is gone, Pete prefers diving even deeper instead of eating likely’s ownership.

Ian Hartitz labeled rookie Matthew Golden a sharp stash as the Packers’ WR4/5 in drafts. Golden carries first-round draft capital and steps into an offense Hartitz already trusts because Jordan Love and Matt LaFleur have demonstrated they can support multiple fantasy-viable pass catchers. With the OTAs hinting at an open competition behind Christian Watson and Jayden Reed, Hartitz believes Golden could carve out a meaningful role by mid-season. Even if he starts slow, the combination of elite college production, Day-1 investment, and a favorable quarterback situation makes Golden’s current WR55-ish price tag feel like buying a call option on a future weekly starter. Hartitz is comfortable making him his fifth or sixth receiver, then stopping at the position to hammer running-back upside plays.

Ian Hartitz advised scooping up Jayden Reed as a late WR4 because the market is pricing him closer to his floor than ceiling. Hartitz likes that Reed is tethered to a Jordan Love–Matt LaFleur attack that flashed top-10 upside down the stretch and faces little week-to-week weather risk in the NFC North’s domes. Reed led all wide receivers in rushing yards last year (10–15 designed carries) and became the first non-Samuel wideout to pace the position in rushing since 2018, giving him bonus fantasy points other slot guys don’t supply. Hartitz views Reed as a young, ascending playmaker who was a sell-high midway through 2024 yet still finished strong; with Christian Watson’s health perpetually in question and Romeo Doubs profile as a possession option, Reed could feasibly push for a 22-25% target share. At a WR50-ish ADP, Hartitz sees low risk and a realistic path to consistent WR2 production.

PropStarz advised taking Green Bay under 9.5 wins at plus money. He argued 2023 was a perfect-health season the Packers are unlikely to repeat. The front office failed to land impact free agents, and he disliked the draft, calling 1st-rounder Matthew Golden “terrible versus man coverage,” a trait that rarely translates quickly to the NFL. With Christian Watson already expected to miss up to half the season, Jordan Love still lacks a true WR1. Meanwhile the NFC North has improved across the board—Chicago upgraded its roster and coaching staff, Detroit remains strong, and Minnesota is no pushover—leaving a tougher schedule and little margin for error.

Steve Palazzolo argued bettors should lean under on the Packers’ 2024 win total because the front office failed to patch holes at premium positions. He pointed out that Green Bay still lacks a true WR1, an impact edge rusher opposite Rashan Gary, and now has a glaring cornerback void after trading away Jair Alexander. The only splash additions were veteran left guard Aaron Banks—widely viewed as an overpay—and first-round receiver Matthew Golden, a prospect with a boom-bust profile. Palazzolo noted the Packers were 0-4 against playoff teams last year and questioned how an offseason graded C- to B by consensus analysts closes the gap on the Eagles, Lions and Vikings. Without major upgrades, he believes Jordan Love would have to play at an MVP level just to match last season’s record, making Green Bay a fade in divisional futures and a candidate for under 8.5 wins.

Geoff Ulrich encouraged dynasty managers to bargain-hunt Packers. After virtually every skill player but Josh Jacobs disappointed in 2024—Jordan Love slipped from QB5 to QB17 and Jayden Reed regressed—the market is cold. Yet TE Tucker Kraft quietly finished TE7 and led the position in YAC per catch (9.1). First-round WR Matthew Golden adds vertical juice that could reignite Love’s ceiling. Ulrich views Love as a perfect QB2 trade target at current valuation and believes multiple GB receivers could pop if pass rate or efficiency ticks up.

Hribar compared Tucker Kraft’s underlying metrics to Sam LaPorta’s and argued Kraft is an arbitrage play at a fraction of the cost (TE11 vs LaPorta’s TE4 ADP). Kraft ran routes on 83.5% of Packers dropbacks (LaPorta 80.8%), saw a 16.1% target-per-route rate (LaPorta 18.4%) and lined up inline 66.7% of the time, mirroring LaPorta’s 63.2%. Given near-identical usage but a much cheaper draft slot, Hribar labeled Kraft one of the best value picks in the middle TE tier.

Best Ball Guy urged drafters not to forget about Christian Watson. He noted that the wideout is already “running routes” and appears “ahead of schedule,” contradicting early reports that he could miss the entire year. BBG believes there is a real chance Watson returns by Week 10, which would immediately complicate the Packers’ target tree and give Jordan Love a late-season deep threat. Because most rooms still treat Watson as un-draftable, BBG likes scooping him in the final rounds as a low-cost addition to Love stacks, betting that even limited snaps in Weeks 14-17 could yield the kind of long-TD spike week that sends best-ball teams through the playoff gauntlet.

Jim Coventry advised scooping Josh Jacobs at picks 23/26 because the veteran “pretty much falls” to that slot in most drafts. Coventry labeled Jacobs “super safe” thanks to his locked-in volume, citing a high floor with a “reasonable ceiling” that stabilizes rosters built around Bijan Robinson.

Sean Koerner advised fading MarShawn Lloyd as a Josh Jacobs contingency pick because Green Bay lacks a clear No. 2 back. If Jacobs goes down, Koerner expects a three-headed committee: Lloyd would be schemed for explosive touches, Emmanuel Wilson would handle traditional early-down carries, and Chris Brooks would draw third-down and pass-pro snaps, with rookie WR Tyrone Williams occasionally lining up in the backfield. That workload soup caps every backup’s ceiling at fringe RB3 numbers even in a best-case scenario. Koerner added that the Packers would likely lean more on an upgraded passing attack rather than force-feed any replacement runner. Given Jacobs’ age-27 mileage and 300-touch seasons, Koerner prefers to chase clearer handcuffs such as Tyler Allgeier or Chase Brown instead of burning a late pick on Lloyd in drafts.

Chris Raybon is loading up on Jordan Love at his outside-the-top-20 quarterback price. Love quietly ranked top-five in yards per attempt (8.0), top-five in QBR, and took sacks at one of the league’s lowest rates while playing hurt for half the season. Raybon noted interceptions are a highly volatile stat—last year’s 12-pick stretch does not scare him—and emphasized that Green Bay’s pass volume is almost guaranteed to rise after finishing bottom-six in neutral passing rate. The front office telegraphed that shift by drafting gadget RB Tyrone Williams and first-round WR Matthew Golden, giving play-designer Matt LaFleur more ways to create easy completions. With every primary pass catcher going outside the top-40 at their position and Love himself available in the double-digit rounds, Raybon thinks drafters can build cheap multi-player stacks that still carry top-10 weekly upside. He compared the profile to last summer’s optimism around C.J. Stroud, arguing Love “may not be done breaking out.”

Sean Koerner said Matthew Golden is one of his favorite mid-round swings because the Packers simply cannot be any more run-heavy than they were in 2023. Green Bay ran at the league’s fourth-highest rate after Jordan Love sprained his knee in Week 1, but Koerner expects natural regression toward a league-average pass rate now that Love is healthy. Golden steps into a receiver room where nobody has separated: Romeo Doubs has never cleared 100 yards in a game, Jayden Reed is still capped in two-WR sets, and Malik Heath/Don’tayvion Wicks were dog-housed for blocking miscues. Koerner initially worried about target competition, then realized the crowd exists precisely because the Packers lack a true alpha. He now projects Golden to lead the team in targets as soon as October. Love finished top-five in both yards per attempt (8.0) and QBR despite the injury, so even a modest bump from last year’s 27.5 attempts per game would give Golden 6-plus looks weekly. At a WR40 ADP Koerner is hammering him in both best-ball and season-long drafts, calling him a Sam LaPorta-style rookie value who could be this year’s breakout everyone missed.

Johnny Venezia called Jordan Love a prime 2025 bounce-back target at his 117 ADP. Love battled injuries and still threw for 3,389 yards, 25 TDs, and 11 INTs last season, finishing with seven straight interception-free games. Green Bay added rookie pass-catchers Matthew Golden and Savion Williams plus RB Marshawn Lloyd to an existing core of Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Jaden Reed, and new workhorse Josh Jacobs. Venezia believes the deeper weapon pool and Love’s strong finish point to a top-10 ceiling, making him worth a 9th- or 10th-round pick in season-long drafts.

Best Ball Guy said he would take Jordan Love over Trevor Lawrence as the second quarterback on a Lamar Jackson roster. Love supplies a different bye week than the other late options he was eyeing (Geno Smith and Bryce Young both sit in Week 8), so the pick avoids a potential Superflex zero. He also called Love the perfect "bring-back" for Jackson’s late-season matchup, allowing the lineup to grab natural playoff correlation without having to force a full Packers stack. BBG admitted the decision was tight but concluded the bye-week diversification plus game-stack upside made Love the sharper choice.

Davis Mattek prefers drafting Romeo Doubs over Wandale Robinson in the same ADP pocket because Doubs still flashes genuine spike-week upside. Mattek reminded listeners that Doubs posted a 4-for-80-and-2 line last season and scored twice in a playoff game two years ago, evidence he owns a multi-touchdown ceiling Kevin O’Connell would actually scheme for. By contrast, Mattek joked that a Wandale ceiling game is "11 catches, 44 yards, zero touchdowns," a profile that rarely cracks DraftKings best-ball lineups despite full-PPR scoring. With Jordan Love’s deep ball improving and Green Bay expected to throw more in 2024, Mattek wants the wideout whose high-variance routes can generate 25-point weeks, not the floor-only slot option.

JJ Zachariason pointed out that Jordan Love keeps falling a full round past ADP in many DraftKings rooms, something he called "bizarre" given how painless the Packers stack is. Love’s primary pass-catchers—Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, Tucker Kraft—are all available after the 12th round, and Doubs quietly commanded a 21% target share per game last season. With Christian Watson not expected back until at least November, Doubs and Wicks should open the year in two-wide sets, giving Love a stable floor of volume while retaining spike-week upside from the deep ball. Zachariason is loading up on Love at the tail end of QB2 territory, arguing that the exposure offers natural leverage against drafters who pay up for pricier stacks that require an early-round receiver.

Davis Mattek reminded listeners that Dontayvion Wicks never opened 2023 as a starter and even shared Family-Night routes with seventh-round rookie Grant DuBose, evidence the coaching staff viewed him as a rotational option rather than a locked-in piece. Mattek also noted Wicks’ ball-tracking issues—“he can’t catch a ball” was the tongue-in-cheek critique circulating in Packers circles last summer—plus the reality that Wicks’ two-TD eruption came in a fill-in role. Those red flags keep Mattek from chasing Wicks aggressively this year, but he still likes sprinkling the second-year wideout in the 19th–20th rounds of DraftKings Best Ball drafts. At that price, drafters get an athletic perimeter receiver tied to Jordan Love without sacrificing meaningful opportunity cost, and any step forward in snap share could turn Wicks into a spike-week WR5 who correlates cleanly with late-round Packers stacks.

Davis Mattek pushed back on the fantasy community’s collective “slappy fatigue” and labeled Dontayvion Wicks one of the best ADP discounts on DraftKings. Mattek noted that Wicks quietly led Green Bay in targets last season despite not opening the year as a starter, posted strong separation metrics, and even popped for a two-touchdown game. He believes drafters are overreacting to the Packers’ selection of rookie Savion Williams and to last year’s social-media hype cycle, letting Wicks slide 30–40 spots later than similar profile receivers. Mattek argued Wicks still has multiple outs: he can win the perimeter Z role outright, earn flexible slot snaps in multi-WR sets, or simply benefit if Christian Watson’s recurring hamstring issues resurface. Given Jordan Love’s willingness to push volume to whoever is open, Mattek views Wicks as a high-leverage final-round pick who could deliver spike weeks and stack correlation without costing meaningful draft capital.

Jeff Erickson highlighted Jordan Love as the prototypical "last year’s bum" the market always forgets. Love’s 2024 production was capped by an elbow issue that forced him out of Week 18, a groin injury suffered on the slick Brazil surface in Week 1, and sub-par wide receiver play that never recovered. Green Bay corrected that by drafting Matthew Golden in Round 1 and Sabian Williams in Round 3. Love is the QB19 in NFFC ADP—far cheaper than his 2023 closing price—and Erickson loves scooping him as the second quarterback in builds that punt the position until the double-digit rounds.