Hayden Winks explained that Miami’s depleted secondary will create weekly shootouts, giving Jaylen Waddle a constant upside path. With Storm Duck penciled in as CB1 and virtually no depth behind him, Winks anticipates busted coverages that lead to long scores and rapid possessions. The South Florida heat plus Miami’s offensive speed amplifies YAC chances, so Waddle becomes a player Winks will "rank extremely aggressively" whenever the Dolphins are healthy, viewing him as a premium ceiling play for best-ball tournaments and weekly season-long line-ups.

Hayden Winks said the Dolphins’ cornerback room is "so disastrously terrible" that it becomes a fantasy cheat code. With Storm Duck and Jack Jones forced into major snaps and no healthy veterans left to sign, Miami profiles as an extreme pass-funnel: strong run front, awful coverage unit. Winks expects opponents to score on quick explosives, returning the ball to Tua in 95-degree South Florida and keeping the pace sky-high. In that environment Hill’s world-class speed should translate into frequent long touchdowns and double-digit target totals, so Winks will rank him "extremely aggressively" every week in season-long and best-ball formats.

Steve Palazzolo said Tyreek Hill is poised for a massive rebound in 2025 fantasy formats. Palazzolo pointed out that Hill is reportedly clocking 10.1-second 100-meter times this summer, evidence that he has not lost any of the world-class speed that makes Miami’s offense explosive. Hill played through multiple lower-body injuries last year and still limped off once a game, yet routinely returned two snaps later. With a clean bill of health and the Dolphins’ track-meet scheme built around him, Palazzolo expects Hill to return to the "totally uncoverable" form he flashed during Miami’s historically efficient first-half run in 2023. That combination of regained health, verified track speed, and a high-volume passing attack makes Hill an elite ceiling play in Season-Long, Best Ball, and DFS contests this year.

Sam Monson warned that Miami’s aerial numbers could be far more volatile in 2025 because defenses are beginning to identify the "pressure points" in Mike McDaniel’s scheme. He noted the offensive line "may be as bad as any in the NFL," and that Tua Tagovailoa’s league-leading snap-to-throw time— a full tenth of a second faster than anyone else— has papered over those issues. If opponents make Tagovailoa hold the ball even a beat longer, Monson expects drive-killing sacks and fewer explosives. Fantasy managers and DFS players should temper expectations for expensive Dolphins stacks when they face top pass-rush units.

Steve Palazzolo predicted that until Miami adds veteran help such as Rasul Douglas or Stephon Gilmore, the Dolphins' cornerback room— which he called "the worst in the NFL by far" after trading Jalen Ramsey— will be a weekly target for opposing passing attacks. With only Jack Jones viewed as a competent starter, he expects opponents to rack up volume and efficiency through the air, creating smash DFS spots for wide receivers and clear angles to bet over props on rival quarterback yardage totals. Palazzolo added that Miami’s offense still pushes the pace, so shootouts are likely until the secondary is patched.

Chris Raybon took Quinn Ewers at QB47 despite admitting the price requires multiple starts to pay off. His bet is that Miami’s depth chart is uniquely fragile: Tua Tagovailoa carries a "big concussion risk," and Zach Wilson has already proven to be an unreliable NFL option. If Tagovailoa misses time or Wilson face-plants, Ewers would step into Mike McDaniel’s explosive offense and could immediately produce fantasy-viable numbers. Raybon chose Ewers over Will Howard or Kyle Rourke because those passers have tougher paths to playing time and less attractive supporting casts.

Best Ball Guy predicted Jaylen Waddle could smash his current ADP and deliver a true league-winning ceiling. He outlined a scenario where Tyreek Hill 'fell off a cliff' and Tua Tagovailoa stayed healthy for all 17 games, allowing Waddle to 'go for 1,500 yards this season' by recapturing and improving on the production he flashed in his sophomore campaign. Because that level of output would vault Waddle into the overall WR1 conversation during Underdog’s playoff weeks, Best Ball Guy urged drafters to prioritize him over similarly priced wideouts in this tier.

Sean Koerner said scrambling quarterbacks like Tyler Huntley are even more valuable in August than in the regular season. With backup offensive lines and replacement-level receivers, pocket passers stall while mobile QBs can manufacture offense—the scramble is already the highest-EPA play and it is even deadlier against third-string defenders. Koerner bumps Ravens power ratings whenever Huntley is expected to log extended snaps and looks to bet overs or second-half sides on teams that roster similar backups (he name-checked Dorian Thompson-Robinson) because those players can erase deficits and cash overs almost single-handedly.

Sean Koerner lumped Zach Wilson into the same profitable preseason bucket as Mac Jones. While Wilson is often mocked for his regular-season tape, Koerner pointed out that he suddenly looks competent when the opposition is made up of future practice-squad cornerbacks and vanilla pass-rush packages. Because the market still prices Wilson like the flawed starter we saw on Sundays, Koerner sees value in betting overs on Wilson’s passing props and backing his team in quarters where he is scheduled to play. The key, he said, is matching the quarterback’s snap window to the caliber of defenders on the other side—an exercise that makes Wilson’s athleticism and NFL arm a meaningful edge once August rolls around.

Ben Gretch labeled Tyreek Hill the rare wide receiver in the late-second/early-third round who still owns true league-winning upside. Hill’s ADP slid after he battled injuries last season, but Gretch thinks the dip is unwarranted if the ankle issue is fully behind him. Because so many other WRs in that range carry shaky profiles, Gretch is happy to grab Hill whenever he falls, betting on a healthy 28-plus percent target share and week-breaking speed that few receivers possess.

Ryan Wilson warned bettors that Miami’s pass defense could unravel after losing cornerback Kadir Kohu and Artie Burns to season-ending knee injuries. The Dolphins are now auditioning "guys off the street" and must lean on first-round pick Kenneth Grant, a dominant training-camp performer, plus a healthy Jalen Phillips and Jordan Brooks to generate pressure. Wilson likened the necessary approach to the 2024 Rams, whose front seven masked secondary holes, but cautioned that strategy is risky in an AFC East featuring Josh Allen and an upgraded Jets offense. Until Miami signs proven help, Wilson recommended targeting overs on opposing passing yards and fading the Dolphins defense in betting markets.

Jon Warner proclaimed he is "Jamo for life" now that Jaylen Waddle routinely falls into the late-4th/early-5th rounds. Warner thinks the market is over-penalizing Miami pieces for Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion history, noting the quarterback has actually played as many games over the past three seasons as several other starters. Warner expects Mike McDaniel to again funnel targets almost exclusively to Tyreek Hill and Waddle, producing the hyper-concentrated offense that made both players league winners in 2022. With most drafters paying full freight for Hill and De’Von Achane, Warner believes Waddle is "the discount ticket" to Dolphins ceiling outcomes and is comfortable drafting him standalone or as part of a full Dolphins stack.

Nick Holz warned managers to steer clear of Tyreek Hill at his current top-15 ADP for 2025 drafts. Holz cited a perfect storm of age (Hill turns 31 during the season), mounting durability worries and a sharp drop-off in efficiency once defenses adjusted last year. From Weeks 8-16 with Tua Tagovailoa, Hill ranked just 24th in fantasy points per game, 39th in yards per route run and 34th in target share, while his 56.4 receiving yards per game were his lowest since his rookie year. Holz believes those splits point to a longer-term decline rather than a blip and notes DraftKings has already hung a modest 975.5-yard receiving prop, reinforcing the under. With similar names in the same range offering fewer red flags, Holz is fading Hill in all season-long formats and would lean under on that yardage line.

Adam Ronis chose Jaylen Waddle over Travis Hunter and Zay Flowers, arguing that 2024 was an outlier created by a stalled Dolphins attack and injuries to Tua Tagovailoa. He pointed out Miami shifted to quick-hit passes that fed Jonnu Smith 20% of the targets, suppressing Waddle’s down-field role. With Smith gone and a healthy Tagovailoa, Ronis expects Waddle to return to the form that produced 70-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in three straight seasons prior to last year.

Jonathan Fuller framed Tyreek Hill as a value because 2024’s dip can be traced to a mid-season wrist injury (screws were removed this spring) and Tua Tagovailoa missing eight games, not irreversible decline at age 31. Hill just clocked a 10.10-second 100-meter dash in the offseason, reinforcing that the trademark speed remains. Fantasy Life’s median projection has him comfortably clearing 1,000 yards with several more touchdowns than last year, and Fuller notes his proven 1,700-yard ceiling if the Dolphins stay healthy. Managers willing to ignore the age narrative can grab a discounted top-five upside wideout.

Ben Gretch said his new Miami projection has De'Von Achane lapping every other running back by 24 targets—an unheard-of gap at the position. He highlighted Achane’s 6.0 receptions per game with Tua versus 1.8 when Tua sat, noting Tua is healthy and Mike McDaniel’s quick-hitting game remains intact. The post-draft trade of Jonnu Smith removes the only non-RB quick-game option Miami leaned on late last season, and Gretch does not expect newcomer Darren Waller to earn those looks because Waller is a down-field, not catch-and-run, tight end. Tyreek could siphon a handful of perimeter screens, but Jaylen Waddle has never been used that way and rookie Malik Washington will be more of a rotational piece. Gretch argued that receiving edge plus Achane’s documented explosive-play rate makes him one of just a handful of backs capable of a 350-point season; he is comfortable taking Achane as early as the 1.02 and called locking him in at the 2.04 “stealing.”

Ben Gretch said De'Von Achane owns the single-highest ceiling in 2024 drafts, even above Christian McCaffrey and Ja'Marr Chase. In his view Achane could realistically pace the league in both receptions and total TDs because Miami funnels passing work to backs and Tua offers almost zero goal-line rushing competition. Gretch called Achane’s 99th-percentile range "pretty nutty," noting the Dolphins’ league-leading red-zone efficiency and track-meet pace give him multi-score weekly upside. That combination makes Achane an ideal 2.04 "anchor RB" in FFPC Best Ball builds despite volume concerns elsewhere.

Jakob Sanderson said Jaylen Waddle is a screaming value at his 53rd-overall Underdog ADP (WR29). Waddle averaged over 2.0 yards per route run and a 25% targets-per-route rate in both 2022 and 2023, numbers usually attached to Round-2 fantasy picks. Sanderson blamed 2024’s face-plant on a non-functional offensive line, in-game injuries to Waddle, Tyreek Hill and Tua Tagovailoa, and Mike McDaniel spamming hand-offs and Jonnu Smith screens just to stay afloat. With Jonnu gone, the underneath tree re-opens for Waddle, and Hill—now 31 with declining usage (21% TPRR, sub-2.0 YPRR)—could finally be slowing down or even traded thanks to his movable contract and lingering off-field questions. Sanderson sees two clean paths to a smash: (1) the Dolphins return to their 2022 pass-rate and Waddle reprises a hyper-efficient No. 2 role, or (2) Hill declines/misses time and Waddle becomes the clear alpha. Either outcome pushes him at least a round and a half above current cost, easily ahead of DeVonta Smith, Zay Flowers and the other “wishy-washy” Round-4 receivers. In Best Ball Mania he wants heavy exposure, predicting Waddle will beat WR29 “with his eyes closed.”

Tua Tagovailoa said the only way he will consider 2025 a successful season is if the Dolphins win the Super Bowl. He based that confidence on what he called the best overall vibe he has felt in his six years with the club. Tua pointed to a noticeably higher standard from the coaching staff, stronger top-down leadership, and a cohesive locker-room culture that emerged during OTAs and has carried into training camp. He believes those internal improvements will finally translate into consistent play on the field, allowing Miami to end its long playoff-win drought and make a legitimate championship push. Bettors looking at Dolphins future markets can interpret Tua’s remarks as an endorsement that the organization thinks it has closed the gap on the AFC’s elite.

Shawn Siegele said Tyreek Hill is an automatic click when he drifts to the late-second because the Dolphins star still possesses top-five overall upside. Hill finished like an early-first-rounder in both 2022 and 2023 and, per Siegele’s research, is more involved near the goal line than most realize, giving him bonus short-TD equity to pair with his trademark long scores. With Jonnu Smith no longer siphoning red-zone looks and Mike McDaniel’s scheme continuing to manufacture deep shots, Siegele expects Hill to rack up both long and short touchdowns. Any time Hill lasts past pick 20 he is a value in FFPC best-ball rooms.

Donnie Rightside said Miami is a clear under play on their posted 8.5-win total (alt line 6.5 also heavily juiced). His pessimism stems from Tua Tagovailoa’s multi-year concussion and hip history, the fact the Dolphins went just 6-4 in the ten games Tua both started and finished last season, and Mike McDaniel’s 5-18 straight-up record as an underdog. Donnie highlighted a treacherous opening stretch—at Colts, vs Patriots, at Bills, vs Jets, vs Panthers, then at Browns—that could easily leave them 1-4 or worse, putting McDaniel on the fast-track to be the first coach fired and re-igniting Tyreek Hill’s trade demands. Rightside concluded that with so many red flags Miami is “not going to be a playoff team” and betting their season-win under is the best way to capitalize on the uncertainty around Tua’s health and the coaching hot-seat.

Polzin suggested taking the UNDER on Tua Tagovailoa’s passing-yard prop, noting that durability, not talent, drives the call. He reminded listeners that Tagovailoa has exited four games in the past two seasons with head or rib injuries and is, in his words, "one hit away from us seeing Zach Wilson." Because most books have already baked Tua’s per-game efficiency into a full 17-game projection, bettors gain significant edge if the quarterback misses even a single start. Polzin did not quote an exact yardage line but emphasized the market variation is wide enough that disciplined bettors should shop for the highest number before pounding the under.

Whalen placed Tyreek Hill at the bottom of Tier 3, labeling him the hardest player to value. While Hill owns obvious top-five upside—no one else in the tier can match it—Whalen flagged several red lights: age-related decline, nagging injuries last season, and the fact that Tua Tagovailoa is "maybe the most injury-prone quarterback in the NFL." Those factors have Whalen mostly fading Hill despite acknowledging the ceiling.

Hayden Winks urged fantasy managers to tread lightly with Tua Tagovailoa, slotting him 25th among starters despite gaudy surface numbers. Winks noted Tagovailoa’s TD-to-INT ratio nosedives from 3.1 in September–November to 4-TDs-to-3-INTs once the calendar flips to December, blaming his unwillingness to extend plays and a total lack of rushing production. Tagovailoa gets rid of the ball underneath almost immediately, and Winks said he "doesn’t trust Tua on anything after three-and-a-half seconds in the pocket." Durability is another red flag—multiple head injuries continue to hover—and Winks added that Miami’s offensive line must improve from "awful to merely average" for the scheme to function. Until that happens, he recommends treating Tagovailoa as a matchup-based QB2, passing on him at current ADP, and betting the under on any passing-TD prop north of 28.5.

Hayden Winks placed De'Von Achane inside his top-10 overall rankings and called him the perfect second-round pick after grabbing an elite Round-1 wide receiver. Winks noted Miami will break in three new offensive-line starters, giving Achane a realistic chance to pair last year’s screen-game volume with a rejuvenated between-the-tackles attack. If that happens, drafters get the "best of both worlds": explosive chunk runs against light boxes plus high-percentage catches that punish two-high looks. Winks believes that combo could produce weekly 30-point spikes, making an Achane + alpha-WR opening the most powerful 1-2 punch available in half-PPR Best Ball formats.

Ryan Heath said De'Von Achane is once again the easiest player for him to hammer in drafts because every plausible 2025 game script points to a top-five finish. In the nine 2024 games he played with Tua Tagovailoa, Achane averaged 22.6 PPR points and more than 20 expected points per game—both would have led all running backs. He also set the all-time rookie record for yards per carry while spearheading what was, by Fantasy Points Data, the league’s most valuable backfield. Heath argued that if defenses keep living in two-high shells, Mike McDaniel will feed Achane endless screens; if the re-tooled offensive line finally unlocks the inside run, his breakaway speed will blow games open. Either way you get a high-end RB1 being drafted a full round after players with similar ceilings. Heath is making Achane a core pick for both Season-Long leagues and Best Ball tournaments.

PropStarz said he will be fading the Miami Dolphins in futures and early-season spreads, projecting only six or seven wins. His case: the roster is dangerously top-heavy and produced just one Pro Bowler last year, tight end Jonnu Smith, who was shipped to Pittsburgh in the off-season along with Jalen Ramsey for Minkah Fitzpatrick. Miami had few draft picks and, in PropStarz’s view, botched the ones they did have, producing one of the league’s worst off-seasons. He worries the club may even move Tyreek Hill if things start poorly and reminded listeners that quarterback Tua Tagovailoa remains one concussion away from a season- or career-ending absence. Because public perception is still anchored to the 14-win campaign two years ago, he believes the market is overrating Miami and sees clear value betting their season-win total under and shorting them week-to-week out of the gate.

Ollie Gordon (Round 6, pick 179, Super Model 65, ADP 215.6) once looked like a goal-line candidate behind De’Von Achane and Jaylen Wright, but the Alexander Mattison addition relegates him to probable RB4 status. With no notable coachspeak to suggest otherwise, Overzet views Gordon as a blind leap of faith in a productive system—acceptable for rare sprinkles, yet far from a priority. He owns just 1.2 % exposure and is largely passing unless August usage shifts.

Best Ball Guy said De'Von Achane should go "religiously" at picks 12-13 in Best Ball Mania drafts. His reasoning is portfolio-based: the wide-receiver cluster that usually fills the second round—Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr., Ladd McConkey, AJ Brown, and others—are all in the same projection tier, so drafters can still grab one of them at the 2/3 turn. Taking Achane first gives back-end drafters a unique roster build the Jefferson and Chase managers cannot replicate while still securing comparable WR talent a few spots later. In his view Achane’s early-second price tag creates both structural leverage and ceiling diversity, making him the preferred pick at 1.12 or 2.01 whenever he slips past 11 overall.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound celebrated nabbing Jonnu Smith at pick 170, calling it the perfect way to patch a thin tight-end room while adding correlation juice. Smith slipped nearly a full round past ADP in this lobby, and Pat admitted he carried only 1.3% exposure beforehand, so the value was double—closing-line equity plus portfolio diversification. He also loved that Smith gives him a Week-16 bring-back against Detroit for his Amon-Ra St. Brown/Jared Goff stack, turning a normally bland TE selection into a mini-game stack that could matter in Underdog’s money weeks. Pat sees very little risk at the price: if Smith’s usage in Mike McDaniel’s two-tight-end looks holds, the veteran can pop for a 15-point spike, and if not, the late pick barely dents roster construction.

Jagger May said De'Von Achane offers Christian McCaffrey-level production at a sizable discount. He reminded listeners that McCaffrey’s lingering Achilles tendinitis stems from age and extreme usage, while Achane is still on his rookie deal and has logged far fewer touches. Achane commanded “almost 15 percent” of Miami’s targets as a rookie and posted RB1 fantasy numbers on hyper-efficient per-touch production. With Jonnu Smith gone, May expects more underneath volume for both Jaylen Waddle and Achane. He dismissed concern over rookies Jaylen Wright and Audric Estime, calling one a mere change-of-pace option and the other a backup. As long as Achane stays healthy, Mike McDaniel will design touches for him, giving managers a cheaper path to the same reception-heavy profile that makes McCaffrey so valuable.

Michael Leone said De'Von Achane is his favorite ADP-crusher. Leone reminded listeners that Achane averaged nearly six yards per carry as a rookie, proving he is one of the league’s few true home-run hitters. In 2023 the offensive line and quarterback injuries tanked Miami’s efficiency, yet Achane still logged "full work-horse" usage, posting a spike in targets that Ben Gretsch has documented whenever Tua Tagovailoa is under center. Leone noted the 2024 draft board is so deep that Achane’s price has slipped into the late first/early-second round despite that ideal usage and almost no backfield competition. If you simply marry last season’s volume with even 80-90 % of his rookie-year explosiveness, Leone believes Achane is "easily a top-five pick next year," making him a must-draft at current ADP in best-ball and season-long formats.

Ryan Heath said De'Von Achane is "the best value through the entire first few rounds" of Best Ball Mania drafts and should be auto-clicked whenever he reaches the early-second. Heath argued the sophomore back is virtually game-script proof. With "Janu" gone, Miami’s fast-paced attack will pepper Achane with even more short-area targets, something he already "gobbled up" last year. At the same time, Mike McDaniel used a second-round pick on an interior lineman and added multiple free-agent guards, signaling a return to the efficient 2023 ground game that produced the league’s most valuable backfield. Achane is "by far their best runner" and "maybe the most dangerous weapon on that team," so Heath believes he hits whether the offense stays pass-heavy underneath or successfully pivots back to a run-centric approach.

Rich Cooling cautioned that contending rosters should trim volatility by moving high-ceiling but riskier assets like Jalen Waddle. Waddle’s value still bakes in his rookie-year top-10 finish, yet his week-to-week target share fluctuated dramatically in 2023 and the Dolphins remain one of the league’s most concentrated offenses around Tyreek Hill. Cooling prefers pivoting to steadier wideouts such as DeVonta Smith or Terry McLaurin—players with similar seasonal projections but narrower range-of-outcomes—while picking up an extra piece (second-rounder or usable depth) in the trade. The goal is to lock in reliable production during the playoff push rather than riding the roller-coaster of boom-bust profiles.

Josh Norris argued that De'Von Achane can finish as fantasy’s RB1 if the Dolphins’ revamped guard play turns last year’s stagnant run game back into the 2023 juggernaut that produced two top-4 backs. Norris pointed out Achane lined up in the slot or out wide for 34 receptions—15 more than Alvin Kamara—and called him the closest thing we have to a running-back/receiver hybrid. Pairing that usage floor with the rookie season’s 7.8 yards per carry and league-leading explosive-run rate gives Achane a path to both chunk plays and steady targets. Norris added that Raheem Mostert’s red-zone dominance two seasons ago shows the system can sustain elite touchdown production if the interior line gels. Thread the needle between 2023’s efficiency and 2024’s receiving spike, Norris said, and Achane’s weekly combination of long runs plus 5-7 catches makes a 20-plus PPG season squarely in play even without 100-catch gimmick volume.

Ron Stewart said De'Von Achane is the purest upside swing on the board because everything in his profile screams league-winner yet he is still available in the early second round of home-league drafts. In 11 games with Tua Tagovailoa last season Achane averaged 22.5 PPR points, out-scoring Saquon Barkley on a per-game basis while pacing for more than 100 receptions. Stewart highlighted Achane’s 12.6% explosive-run rate—better than 2023 leader Jahmyr Gibbs—and his record 7.8 yards per carry as proof the rookie-year efficiency can return if the Dolphins’ rebuilt interior line holds up. Even if the receiving volume regresses, Stewart projects 70-plus catches thanks to Mike McDaniel’s heavy pony looks and Achane’s wide-receiver-like usage. Stewart is not fading the back because of Tua’s concussion history, noting the quarterback has missed the same number of games over the last three years as Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence and that risk is already baked into Achane’s ADP. If the blocking improves and Miami’s offense rebounds, Stewart believes Achane owns true RB1-overall upside at a non-first-round cost.

Calling TE7 ADP "oh ye of little faith," Harris is all-in on Jonnu Smith at Pick 98. Smith erupted for 88 receptions, 884 yards, and 8 TDs in his first year with Mike McDaniel, ranking fourth among TEs in targets (111) and trailing only Bowers and McBride in fantasy scoring from Week 5 forward. Carter’s film study shows Jonnu crushed zone looks and commanded 96 of those 111 targets in the final 13 games. Even if Tyreek Hill bounces back, Harris views a second-year leap in McDaniel’s system and a bargain price as a recipe for top-5 upside.

JSU said he is flat-out avoiding Darren Waller in DraftKings Best Ball drafts, noting he “wouldn’t be shocked” if the veteran quits football four games into the season. Waller has already flirted with retirement, battled recurring hamstring and back problems, and is learning yet another playbook after his latest team switch. JSU argued those red flags wipe out any ceiling while creating a catastrophic floor, especially when cheaper options like Tucker Kraft or Noah Gray offer full-season availability at lower cost. Between age, injury history, and uncertain motivation, JSU considers Waller a land-mine pick he is crossing off every roster.

Rich Rebar said De'Von Achane should be drafted in the first round of Best Ball contests because the sophomore back owns legitimate overall RB1 upside. Rebar pointed out that Achane doubled his explosive-run rate when right tackle Austin Jackson was on the field last season and expects that efficiency to hold with Jackson healthy and upgraded guard play in 2024. Miami’s acquisition of Jonnu Smith and the likelihood that Darren Waller runs deeper routes opens up short-area targets that Achane can vacuum up if Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy. Raymond Summerland added that pairing last year's workload with anything close to Achane’s rookie efficiency would put him squarely in the conversation for the top fantasy scorer at the position. Combining a potential top-five target share among running backs with breakaway-run ability in an offense that finished top-five in yards per play gives Achane a ceiling high enough for Rebar to click him as early as the 1.09-1.12 range, even for drafters who normally start WR-heavy.

Greg Brainos said De'Von Achane “looks even better” after the recent Jonnu-Smith trade, arguing the move further condenses Miami’s offense around Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Achane. Brainos noted that Smith had been used on many of the same manufactured touches the Dolphins now figure to funnel to Achane. With Terron Armstead’s departure leaving the offensive line shaky, Brainos expects Mike McDaniel to lean on quick-hitting plays and short passing—areas where Achane’s 4.32 speed and pass-game chops shine. A narrow target/touch distribution plus a scheme designed to get the ball out fast sets Achane up for weekly spike weeks in Best Ball formats.

Jeff Erickson is still betting Miami under 7.5 wins—even at minus money—citing what he calls "real collapse risk." He pointed out that Tyreek Hill ranked just 39th in yards after catch last year (crediting colleague Jim Coventry) and questioned whether the 30-year-old speedster can still carry the offense. The Dolphins shipped out Jalen Ramsey and Jonnu Smith, lost LT Terron Armstead to retirement, and now own “maybe one of the worst secondaries in football.” Erickson doubts the pass-rush trio of Bradley Chubb, Jalen Phillips and rookie Chop Robinson can mask holes at corner, and he’s skeptical that De’Von Achane can handle a full workload. With depth issues everywhere and Mike McDaniel potentially landing on the hot seat, he believes a 5- or 6-win floor is very real and prefers betting the under to chasing any upside.

Michael Leone said Tyreek Hill is actually a low-risk selection relative to his late-first ADP. Leone pointed to Hill’s league-leading target share and the Mike McDaniel–Tua Tagovailoa combo that has produced top-three offensive efficiency whenever Tua is healthy. Even if Hill loses a step or Miami regresses, the volume concentration makes it “almost impossible” for him to pay off worse than fifth-round value. Leone thinks drafters are overweighting the two injury-shortened seasons and the generic age-29 cliff narrative, leading to unnecessary fade-risk in best-ball and season-long contests.

Hayden Winks said Miami’s current projection of 21.5 points per game looks like an over-correction from last year’s late-season slump. He thinks the Dolphins finish above that mark if Tua Tagovailoa simply stays healthier, Tyreek Hill rebounds, and Mike McDaniel dials up another early-season schematic cheat code. Winks is targeting Dolphins stacks in best-ball contests and believes the offense is more likely to smash than disappoint relative to Vegas expectations.

Bill Barnwell advised passing on Darren Waller even at his rock-bottom ADP, calling the veteran “extremely unlikely to be a thing.” Barnwell reminded listeners Waller hasn’t topped 55 catches since 2020, struggled with chronic hamstring issues, and literally retired a month ago before floating a comeback. Even if he lands with Miami, Barnwell noted he would sit behind Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane in the target pecking order, making him at best the fourth option in a hyper-concentrated offense. In Barnwell’s words, drafting a mid-30s tight end who hasn’t produced in two seasons and will need red-zone luck to matter is “lighting an 18th-round pick on fire.”

Pete Overzet said he refuses to draft Darren Waller on non-Dolphin builds but is happy to grab him as a TE3 when stacked with Tua Tagovailoa. In Pete’s view, Waller is a pure binary bet: either he’s completely dust and scores you nothing, or he bags six touchdowns as a big-bodied seam target in an offense that is ‘humming.’ Because every Best Ball team can survive a late-round zero but few can replicate correlated spike weeks, Overzet is willing to eat the floor for the chance that the Tua-Waller combo adds unique ceiling to dolphin stacks.

Pete Overzet endorsed pairing De'Von Achane with Tua Tagovailoa, arguing the correlation is super-charged for Best Ball Mania. If Achane’s trademark efficiency returns—think 60-yard screen passes—the same game environment almost certainly means Tua and the entire Dolphins offense are bouncing back to their 2023 heights. That ‘double whammy’ raises the lineup’s combinatorial ceiling, similar to a Justin Fields–Garrett Wilson bet. Overzet likes the stack because it captures both player-level upside and team-level positive regression in a single click.

Tyler Knaeble said he “doesn’t love clicking” Darren Waller in most rooms, but the tight end becomes a smash in Round 17 of the Puppy. At that cost Knaeble sees virtually no opportunity cost—Waller can be your TE3 while you chase ceiling at other positions. Even if the veteran’s health remains shaky, the late-round tag makes any downside completely palatable while preserving Waller’s top-12 tight-end upside if he finally stays on the field.

Davis Mattek said Darren Waller is one of his favorite final-round stabs on DraftKings because Miami clearly signed him to catch passes, not block. Mattek pointed out that Waller literally walked away from football to avoid run-blocking, yet the Dolphins—who already own one of the league’s worst offensive lines—still recruited him. That signals a dedicated receiving role in Mike McDaniel’s scheme that loves working the middle of the field. Even during last year’s “washed” Giants season Waller ranked 11th among tight ends in yards per route run, so the underlying ability is intact. Mattek expects Waller to out-target Durham Smythe by a mile and provide cheap exposure to a top-five offense on a full-PPR site where tight-end receptions are gold. He called the veteran an ideal TE3 who can spike 6–7 catches whenever defenses sell out to stop Hill and Waddle.