Sam Monson warned that Antonio Gibson could be the odd man out in Foxborough after the Patriots signed UDFA back Lan Larison. Gibson’s hybrid RB/WR profile has always been more theoretical than practical, and Monson noted that the staff feels he is "not really great at either role." Larison, meanwhile, brings elite natural receiving skills and cleaner hands, giving him a direct pathway to the pass-catching snaps Gibson was expected to hold. If Larison shows competent blitz pickup in camp, Monson expects New England to save $2.4 million by cutting or trading Gibson before Week 1. Fantasy managers hanging on to Gibson in redraft or dynasty should be looking to flip him now, while bettors considering his season-long props should proceed with caution.

Steve Palazzolo projected TreVeyon Henderson to handle a full three-down role for the Patriots right away. Citing personnel chief Elliot Wolf’s comment that Henderson will be a "three-down player," Palazzolo highlighted Henderson’s versatility: proven success in both power and zone schemes, the ability to split wide and create mismatches as a receiver, and elite pass-pro technique that should keep him on the field for passing downs. Palazzolo emphasized Henderson’s big-play speed, superior ball security compared with Rhamondre Stevenson, and immediate upgrade in blitz pickup for rookie quarterback Drake May. With New England investing heavily in offensive line help (Will Campbell at LT, Jared Wilson at C), Palazzolo expects a clear runway to 18-20 touches per game, making Henderson a high-end rookie pick in season-long drafts and an early Best Ball target.

Liam Murphy argued that TreVeyon Henderson’s early-Round-5 ADP (low-50s overall) is overpriced given the Patriots’ likely struggles. Henderson would need Detroit-style Gibb/Montgomery efficiency to pay off, yet New England ranked bottom-five in both red-zone trips and explosive-play rate last season. Murphy conceded Henderson’s talent but noted he still shares early-down and goal-line work with Rhamondre Stevenson, capping weekly upside on a team projected for just six wins by Vegas. Unless the offensive line and rookie quarterback tandem make a massive, unlikely leap, Henderson profiles as a game-script-sensitive back whose ceiling is tied to touchdown variance. Murphy is sliding him down his ranks behind similarly priced receivers and prefers taking Quenchon Judkins two rounds later.

Danny Kelly endorsed TreVeyon Henderson as a plug-and-play lightning bolt in Alex Van Pelt’s remade Patriots offense. Kelly noted New England’s first two selections—left-tackle hopeful Will Campbell and Henderson—signal a clear plan to protect rookie quarterback Drake Maye while adding explosiveness that ranked dead last in 2024. Henderson’s 4.32 speed, 39-inch vert and 10-foot-8 broad jump all landed above the 90th percentile among backs; he also averaged 3.65 yards after contact per carry at Ohio State, a metric Kelly highlighted as a perfect complement to bruiser Rhamondre Stevenson’s north-south style. With Bill O’Brien gone, Van Pelt historically rotates two backs on early downs and targets runners on 21 percent of third-down drop-backs—usage that could hand Henderson 10–12 touches right away and spike-week upside in best-ball formats. Kelly advised taking the rookie in the late single-digit rounds of redraft and targeting him aggressively in the early second of dynasty rookie drafts before preseason buzz sets in.

Trevor Sikkema highlighted TreVeyon Henderson as one of the Patriots’ splashiest offensive additions, noting that pairing the Ohio State burner with rookie linemen Will Campbell and Jared Wilson injects much-needed juice into an attack that ranked dead-last in explosive plays. With Mike Vrabel likely to lean on the ground game and rookie QB Drake Maye under center, Sikkema expects Henderson to carve out 10–12 touches per week right away as a change-of-pace back behind Rhamondre Stevenson. He called Henderson a draft-and-stash in redraft and a priority second-round dynasty rookie pick given his home-run speed and the Patriots’ newfound commitment to offensive speed.

Rich Rebar called second-round pick Kyle Williams the perfect mid-second dynasty dart because the Patriots’ depth chart is "extremely nebulous." With Stefon Diggs turning 31 and coming off a major injury, Williams enters 2025 with a realistic shot at 90-plus targets from Drake May, a quarterback Rebar is already "May-pilled" on. He trusts Josh McDaniels’ track record of coaxing production out of his passing games—even when his overall teams disappoint—and likes that Williams can win inside, outside, at the line, and downfield. Given the draft capital and pathway to volume, Rebar views Williams as a high-floor asset who could moonshot in value if Diggs declines or misses time.

Rich Rebar stuck with TreVeyon Henderson at 1.06 even after a less-than-ideal landing spot. Rebar argued Henderson does not need 250-plus carries to smash because he brings true home-run ability and proven receiving chops that "change the fabric of a passing game." He contrasted Henderson’s profile with Quinshon Judkins, who he believes must pile up raw volume to matter. Citing Antonio Gibson’s per-touch success and subsequent coaching misuse, Rebar expects the new staff to feature Henderson immediately and leave Gibson as depth. First-round draft capital plus a three-down skill set gives Henderson legendary ceiling in dynasty formats despite a likely sub-workhorse carry count.

Adam Levitan urged bettors to attack the Patriots’ 2025 win-total over, calling New England his favorite leap-team on the board. He cited a string of roster upgrades: left-tackle Will Campbell and center Jared Wilson fortify a line that was dead-last in pass-block win rate, while Garrett Bradbury adds veteran stability. Mike Vrabel’s arrival brings a track record of squeezing extra wins out of middling rosters, and the defense already profiles as top-10 after adding Morgan Moses and keeping its young secondary intact. Offensively, Levitan expects second-year QB Drake Maye to improve on his 16.8 fantasy-points per game rookie average thanks to splash-play weapons Trayvion Henderson and Kyle Williams plus a revived Antonio Gibson/Rhamondre Stevenson backfield. With both trenches dramatically better and a coaching upgrade, Levitan believes oddsmakers will underestimate how quickly this team can jump from doormat to Wild-Card contender.

Evan Silva labeled Drake Maye a premier late-round quarterback target after New England’s A-graded draft fortified every weak spot around him. Despite operating behind PFF’s 31st-ranked pass-blocking line and throwing to practice-squad receivers, Maye averaged 16.8 fantasy points in 11 rookie starts. The Patriots spent the No. 4 pick on left-tackle Will Campbell—widely viewed as the best lineman in college football—then added Georgia center Jared Wilson and veteran Garrett Bradbury to solidify the interior. They injected play-speed with RB Travion Henderson (4.38 forty) and WR Kyle Williams, a separation specialist Harmon charted with an 82% success rate on slants. Silva expects a cleaner pocket and more explosive YAC opportunities, projecting Maye for a 3–4% bump in completion rate and a leap from 32nd to league-average in explosive-pass percentage. He urged drafters to pair Maye with one of his affordable pass catchers in the final rounds, calling the Patriots pass game “the cheapest stacking cheat code on the board.”

Sean Koerner flagged third-round pick Kyle Williams as a deep sleeper after landing in New England. Stefon Diggs is questionable for Week 1 and the rest of the Patriots receiving depth chart "is a mess," leaving 130-plus targets unclaimed. Koerner praised Williams’ route nuance and hands, stating he could become Drake Maye’s security blanket and even the de-facto WR1 if Diggs’ recovery stalls. Given the Patriots’ league-high 63 percent shotgun rate under new OC Nick Caley, Koerner expects Maye to pepper short-to-intermediate options, projecting Williams for 85-95 targets and advising best-ball drafters to grab him in the final rounds before camp buzz hits.

Chris Raybon said TreVeyon Henderson could become the Patriots’ offensive focal point as soon as Week 1. Raybon pointed out that 30-something Stefon Diggs is coming off a serious injury and has averaged only 10–11 yards per catch the past two seasons, while the rest of New England’s receiving corps (Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, assorted 1-for-1 personnel) offers little explosive playmaking. That lack of perimeter juice, combined with a Mike Vrabel staff that just spent early-second-round capital on Henderson, sets the stage for a game plan built around the rookie. Although Henderson may open in a committee, Raybon compared his skill set to Aaron Jones—burst plus three-down versatility—and noted that Rhamondre Stevenson was benched multiple times last year for Antonio Gibson. Raybon is comfortable treating Henderson as a low-end RB2 today, with league-winning upside if he asserts himself over the first month.

Sean Koerner said TreVeyon Henderson landing with New England early in Round 2 is "a huge blow to Rhamondre Stevenson" and signals that Mike Vrabel’s new staff views Henderson as their future feature back. Stevenson just lost snaps to Antonio Gibson last season and now faces a far more explosive runner who clocked 4.37 speed at 216 pounds and averaged 6.2 yards per carry at Ohio State. Koerner expects Henderson to carve out meaningful touches immediately—potentially 12-15 opportunities per game from Week 1—and sees a realistic path to a full three-down role by mid-season. He advised drafters to bump Henderson up from his current RB17 best-ball price while downgrading Stevenson two tiers given the likelihood of a committee skewing toward the rookie as the year progresses.

Mike Wright—who has championed Trayvion Henderson all offseason—said the Patriots are an underrated landing spot even though Rhamondre Stevenson just signed a four-year extension. New HC Mike Vrabel values two-back rotations and will love Henderson’s elite pass-pro grades and zero career fumbles. Wright believes Henderson can seize the Antonio Gibson-style receiving role right away, projecting 45–50 targets as a rookie while Stevenson handles early downs. The Patriots invested heavily in offensive line help (first-round LT Will Campbell) and could surprise in the win column; Wright pegged their true talent level around eight victories, not the basement team many expect. If Stevenson puts the ball on the turf—something he has done five times the last two years—Vrabel could flip the depth chart quickly. Wright advised dynasty managers to view Henderson as a mid-first-round rookie pick and redraft players to stash him as a PPR flex with explosive upside later in the season.

Mike Renner said New England’s offseason has put rookie quarterback Drake Maye in a far better spot than most first–year passers. Renner highlighted three draft additions that immediately move the needle for fantasy: LT Will Campbell, an anchor who “shears up the left side,” Ohio State RB TreVeyon Henderson—a do-everything back Renner called an A-plus talent—and WR Kyle Williams, whom Renner labeled “the best separator in the entire class” and a third-round steal. He argued Maye lacked anyone who could win quickly last year, so Williams’ ability to uncover fast will shorten the learning curve while Campbell gives Maye blind-side security. Renner believes Mike Vrabel will lean on a run-play-action foundation that pairs Henderson’s burst with Maye’s down-field accuracy. The overall package—premium protection, a true man-beater wideout, and a workhorse back—pushes Maye into immediate QB2 territory in superflex and makes him a late-round upside swing in best-ball and redraft formats.

Ryan Wilson called Will Campbell the most pro-ready tackle in the class and projected him to be the first offensive lineman drafted at No. 4 overall by the Patriots. Campbell has three years of SEC starting experience, dominated top edge talent, and immediately shores up protection for Drake Maye. While his arm length measured shorter than the NFL prototype at the combine, Wilson emphasized that no one complained when Campbell stonewalled pass rushers on Saturdays. Wilson views Kelvin Banks Jr. as longer and Arvonne Membou as the better long-term athlete, but insists Campbell’s technique, anchor, and day-one readiness give him the edge for teams needing instant help. Bettors eyeing “first OT selected” or exact-team markets should price Campbell as the favorite to New England.

Dave Richard said Tetairoa McMillan could command 120‑plus targets and finish as a top‑30 fantasy receiver as a rookie if New England selects him, noting the Patriots’ barren depth chart behind the injured Stefon Diggs and journeyman Mack Hollins. McMillan’s 6'5" frame, silky AJ‑Green‑like route movements, and T. Higgins‑level catch radius would make him an immediate chain‑mover for whoever plays quarterback in Foxborough. Richard cautioned that McMillan lacks the 4.3‑speed that let Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas thrive independent of landing spot, so volume will be critical. In Jacksonville he’d likely be the 1B behind Thomas, but in New England he would be the unquestioned No. 1 and a weekly fantasy starter. Bryant McFadden agreed, adding that McMillan’s smoothness should translate quickly if he joins a team willing to pepper him with looks.

Jonathan Jones predicted LSU left tackle Will Campbell will be the first offensive lineman taken, slotted to the Patriots at pick 4. He highlighted New England’s desperate need to protect a new quarterback and noted that several league evaluators have Campbell graded a full tier above other tackles. Bettors eyeing first‑OL markets or exact‑match props can ride Jones’s intel that the Pats lock Campbell in early.

Scott Smith projected New England to take LSU tackle Will Campbell at No. 4. Smith dismissed critiques about Campbell’s arm length, stressing that the junior hasn’t allowed a sack in two seasons and only gave up two as a freshman versus Will Anderson and Jared Verse. Campbell posted a 9.8 Relative Athletic Score at tackle and an elite 9.99 at guard, giving him a 10‑year floor even if he slides inside. Smith said the pick brings leadership and immediate protection for Drake Maye—crucial for the Patriots’ offensive rebuild. Bettors can attack Campbell’s odds to be first OL drafted, and dynasty managers should upgrade New England skill players with improved line play.

Jones predicted New England will take LSU left tackle Will Campbell at No. 4 regardless of whether Abdul Carter somehow slips. He called last year’s Pats roster “one of the worst in football,” with left tackle their biggest void. Inside the building, Campbell grades higher than Mimbu and the club is unconcerned about his 33‑inch (give or take) arms after watching him dominate SEC edge rushers. Jones added that Bill Belichick’s free‑agency binge shows a win‑now mindset, and plugging Campbell in as a day‑one starter fits that plan.

Thor Nystrom expects New England to select Will Campbell at No. 4 despite his own personal reservations about Campbell’s long‑term position. Nystrom said every front‑office source he’s spoken with comes away "fawning" over Campbell after interviews, and the Patriots have prioritized intangibles during their post‑Belichick reset. Campbell is currently –180 to be the pick, and Thor believes that price will only shorten once insiders start leaking finalized team boards next week. Bettors holding "first offensive lineman drafted" tickets on Kelvin Banks should hedge, as Nystrom is now 70‑30 confident Campbell is the guy in Foxborough.

Andy Holloway cautioned drafters against chasing Rhamondre Stevenson as anything more than a late RB2. Fantasy research showed that over the last four seasons, 92 % of top‑15 backs came from teams with at least seven wins; only 8 % hit that mark on sub‑seven‑win clubs. Holloway expects New England to stay in the bottom tier of projected win totals, meaning Stevenson would have to buck historical trends to finish as a fantasy RB1. Even if Stevenson is the more talented runner compared with similarly priced options like Brian Robinson Jr., Holloway’s tiebreaker is always overall team strength. With the Patriots likely to trail often and field a rookie quarterback, Holloway recommends passing on Stevenson for backs attached to offenses expected to win more games.