Stuckey leaned over 4.5 wins on New Orleans, noting the total bakes in every worst-case scenario. He projects them for 5.0 victories even after accounting for uncertainty at quarterback (Tyler Shough vs. Spencer Rattler) and an aging defense transitioning to Brandon Staley’s scheme. New play-caller Kellen Moore inherits a healthy Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, and Juwan Johnson, while a re-shuffled line featuring Banks at LT, Trevor Penning inside, and rookie Taliese Fuaga at RT could be a net upgrade. With offensive variance skewed toward improvement and no clear power in the division, Stuckey sees limited downside and plenty of upside at 4.5.