Evan Abrams said he bypassed the stale +230 “Top-10” price on Tetairoa McMillan and instead grabbed two exact-team tickets: New Orleans to take McMillan at No. 9 at 18-to-1 and whichever club ultimately controls pick No. 10 at 25-to-1. Abrams noted that mocks are split—some analysts push the Arizona wideout outside Round 1 while others label him the draft’s best size-speed athlete—creating a volatile market the Saints could exploit if the skill-position run starts early. New Orleans still lacks a true X receiver and has shown interest in vertical threats during the pre-draft process. Abrams believes McMillan’s 6-4 frame and 4.45 forty fit Derek Carr’s down-field tendencies, and the 18-to-1 / 25-to-1 numbers understate what he pegs as roughly a 7-8 % probability the Saints (or the team at 10 after a potential trade) pulls the trigger.

Chris Raybon followed his Giants-Sanders call by taking the Saints ‘To Draft Jaxson Dart’ at +250. League chatter has New Orleans brass “in love” with the Ole Miss quarterback’s aggressive intermediate accuracy, a trait Pete Carmichael’s play-action heavy system demands. With Derek Carr’s contract becoming escapable after 2025, the Saints can afford to red-shirt Dart for a year while leveraging his cost-controlled window later. Raybon believes the Saints view him as a better schematic fit than Sanders, explaining why they have not been linked to Colorado’s passer despite thorough quarterback homework. He sets the probability north of 35%, making +250 attractive.

Connor Allen recommended grabbing Tyler Warren at +800 to be the exact No. 9 pick. Allen believes the market is pricing the slot incorrectly because bookmakers have made Shedeur Sanders the favorite for New Orleans, yet every report he has seen says the Saints front office is not enamored with Sanders. If they pass on a quarterback, Warren—who Allen views as a near‑lock to go somewhere in the top‑10 thanks to his elite size/speed profile and unique "Kittle‑meets‑Taysom Hill" versatility—immediately becomes the cleanest fit on the board. Allen added that defensive line is the only other realistic alternative, so the number of viable outcomes is small, making the 8‑1 price a worthwhile long‑shot investment.

Scott Smith said every New Orleans source he trusts has Tyler Warren circled as the Saints’ preferred target at No. 9. Local scouts have given zero first‑round buzz to Shedeur Sanders, and the front office is comfortable waiting on a Day‑2 quarterback (Jackson Dart) or even signing Carson Wentz as insurance. New OC Kellen Moore wants a big, reliable receiving threat; Warren averaged 2.38 yards per route and caught 10‑of‑11 contested targets at Penn State while still grading as the Big Ten’s No. 2 run‑blocking TE. Smith believes the Saints have lacked that size/scheme versatility since Jimmy Graham left, making Warren the cleanest offensive fit on the board. Draft bettors can fire on Warren under 11.5 and exact‑team markets, while best‑ball drafters should treat him as a potential Year‑1 volume play.

Jones mocked Kelvin Banks Jr. to New Orleans at No. 9 and argued the organization will pass on Shedeur Sanders because the offensive line is in crisis mode. Trevor Penning has struggled, Ryan Ramczyk just retired, and Derek Carr absorbed 55 sacks last season. Banks graded as the cleanest pass‑pro tackle on several NFC scouting boards and is viewed as a plug‑and‑play left tackle with 36‑inch reach and SEC tape versus first‑round edges. Ryan Wilson echoed the sentiment, saying the Saints can circle back for a quarterback on Day 2 or via a late Round‑1 trade‑up. Jones advised bettors to smash the +125 price on "Saints first drafted position: Offensive Line" before that market moves.

Thor Nystrom projected Shedeur Sanders to the Saints at pick No.9, calling him both the top quarterback and the best overall prospect still on the board. Nystrom dismissed the narrative that New Orleans is out on Sanders simply because the club skipped his pro day, noting teams often disguise true targets to avoid tipping their hand. He cited multiple league sources who insist Dennis Allen loves Sanders’ timing‑route accuracy and quick processing for his West Coast scheme. Draft books currently list Sanders’ position line at 8.5 with the over juiced to –330; Thor considers that price still playable given the limited QB demand in the top eight and New Orleans’ “desperate” long‑term need. He encouraged bettors to pair the Over 8.5 with team‑to‑draft props on the Saints while odds remain in double digits.

Jason La Confora urged listeners to ignore the recent drift to +110 and still back quarterback as the Saints’ first‑drafted position, because he is convinced New Orleans will take Shedeur Sanders ninth overall. La Confora argued Mickey Loomis cannot run a "faceless, boring" operation much longer— the franchise needs a marketable signal‑caller with Derek Carr both injured and expensive. He pointed to Denver’s success handing Sean Payton a maligned college QB (Bo Nix) as proof front offices will ignore Twitter scouting reports. La Confora played the prop at +1100 in March and still believes Sanders is the clear QB2 in this class, easily beating out Spencer Rattler. Even if Sanders red‑shirts behind Carr, the pick sells hope and resets the cap, making quarterback the highest‑EV wager on the Saints’ menu.

Emery Hunt said bettors should grab the +175 to +200 range on an offensive lineman being the Saints’ first‑round selection. Hunt noted that Trevor Penning has been a bust at left tackle and All‑Pro right tackle Ryan Ramczyk just retired, leaving two gaping holes up front. He added that new OC Kellen Moore comes from Philly and Dallas— two systems that invest heavily in protection— and Mickey Loomis has taken a trenches player in five of the past six first rounds. Because Spencer Rattler has earned credible NFL backup buzz, Hunt does not expect New Orleans to force a quarterback. In his view, Calvin Banks or Donovan Jackson fits perfectly at pick 9, making OL the value side of this position prop.

Anthony Amico called the Saints’ –155 odds to take a quarterback at pick 9 “way overconfident.” He noted New Orleans ignored the position in top‑30 visits two months ago and historically prioritizes trench play under Mickey Loomis. With Derek Carr’s injury viewed as a short‑term issue, Amico likes Defensive Line/Edge at +600 to +700 as the best bet. He highlighted Abdul Carter, Mikel Williams, and Shamar Stewart as prospects who fit Dennis Allen’s scheme and will likely be available. Amico sees the Saints’ true QB probability closer to 35%, making the DL/Edge price a glaring mis‑price.

Scott Smith told listeners that Penn State tight end Tyler Warren is “very much liked” inside the Saints building and would be his current betting favorite if New Orleans stays at pick 9 and passes on quarterback. Smith’s contacts say Warren checks the versatility box Pete Carmichael wants in a move‑tight end and would give Derek Carr an immediate red‑zone target. With Carolina at 8 widely mocked for edge Jalen Walker and open to trading down, Smith thinks a Bears one‑spot jump for RB Ashton Gentie could leave Warren sitting there for New Orleans. He called the 12‑to‑1 price on Warren in FanDuel’s ‘First Tight End Drafted’ or exact‑team market “too long given the inside buzz.”

Ryan Noonan urged listeners to fade the –130 price on the Saints drafting a quarterback at pick 9 and instead ‘spray the board’ on alternative position props. He rattled off DraftKings and FanDuel numbers—edge +750, corner 9‑to‑1, offensive line +950, wide receiver 12‑to‑1, running back 12‑to‑1, and tight end Tyler Warren 12‑to‑1—arguing that local intel says New Orleans is far less quarterback‑hungry than the market believes. With five positions carrying plus‑money payouts, Noonan said bettors can build a near‑risk‑free portfolio by allocating stake proportionally across two or three of them, effectively arbitraging the inflated QB vig and locking in profit if the Saints go in any other direction.

Scott Smith reported that his New Orleans sources say the Saints are “not really interested” in Shedeur Sanders at No. 9 overall. Instead, the team is much more likely to trade back into the late first round and target Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart if they want a signal‑caller. Smith added that front‑office decision‑makers are eyeing edge rusher, offensive line, cornerback, or even running back (Ashton Jeanty) depending on how the board falls. He highlighted current betting lines that make the Saints –130 to select a quarterback, calling those odds mis‑priced given what he is hearing inside the building.

Wilson pushes Kyle McCord into the late third round for New Orleans, arguing his quick anticipation and record‑setting ACC production at Syracuse marry perfectly with Kellen Moore’s pass‑heavy offense and the controlled climate of the Superdome. Wilson notes league contacts project McCord early Day‑3, but he thinks the Saints can justify a slight reach given Derek Carr’s middling ceiling and Spencer Rattler’s volatility. McCord’s pro‑day showed a better‑than‑advertised arm and toughness that Wilson believes will appeal to the staff.

Mike Wright explained that news of Derek Carr’s lingering throwing‑shoulder injury actually boosts Alvin Kamara’s outlook. Carr already leaned on Kamara for quick throws, logging the league’s sixth‑highest check‑down rate last season. With a compromised shoulder, Carr is even more likely to avoid deep shots and pepper Kamara on swing passes and option routes, propping up the back’s reception volume and PPR floor. Wright acknowledged the risk that Carr’s shoulder could sideline him entirely—if a rookie replaces him, volume becomes less certain—but for now the injury tilts the offensive design toward short, easy completions that Kamara converts into chunk yards. He moves up Wright’s season‑long ranks as a high‑end RB2 with RB1 upside in full‑PPR formats.