With his final pick, Best Ball Guy chose Mason Taylor and told the chat that an 18th-round rookie tight end offers "guaranteed points upside" at virtually no cost. He prefers adding Taylor over yet another depth running back because tight end production is notoriously scarce; any rookie who cracks a rotation can post the occasional usable week. At the tail end of drafts, that contingency value outweighs the wafer-thin alternatives elsewhere on the board.

Best Ball Guy argued that Justin Fields will be "the best advance-rate pick on the board." He noted Fields was on pace for 1,000 rushing yards last season, projects for about 1,100 yards and as many as 15 rushing TDs, and therefore supplies week-breaking upside independent of his passing totals. The rushing floor makes Fields quarterback-proof; Best Ball Guy is happily stacking cheap Jets pass catchers with him but stressed that the mobility alone justifies drafting Fields aggressively at his current price.

Best Ball Guy said Josh Reynolds is locked in as the New York Jets’ No. 2 wide receiver and therefore a no-brainer 18th-round best-ball selection. Reynolds followed several ex-Lions coaches to New York, already has their trust, and is "clearly going to be out there for two-wide sets." With Alan Lazard sliding down the depth chart and the other receivers "not doing anything," Reynolds projects to run roughly 90 % of routes. Even though the Jets will be a slow-paced, defense-first team, Best Ball Guy values the guaranteed snaps and cheap weekly volume Reynolds provides at his current ADP.

Answering a chat question about Jermaine Burton versus Andrei Iosivas, Best Ball Guy said he pivoted to Josh Reynolds because Reynolds is "the clear cut wide receiver two right now for the Jets." The Burton-Iosivas battle is still ambiguous, so Guy prefers banking weekly points from a role he considers locked in. That clarity, combined with Reynolds’ near-free best-ball price tag, makes him an easy end-of-draft click for drafters who need guaranteed routes attached to Justin Fields in New York.

Ben Gretch plans to avoid the entire Jets backfield at current ADPs. With Justin Fields now quarterbacking New York, Gretch expects a large number of snaps to end in scrambles or sacks rather than hand-offs or check-downs, sharply cutting into running-back volume. The Jets also project for a low win total under a defensive-minded coaching staff that wants to shorten games and lean on the run, further depressing overall play count. On top of that, Hall must share early-down and short-yardage work with 240-pound rookie Braylon Allen and pass-game snaps with Isaiah Davis, making it at least a three-way committee. Gretch believes those factors cap Hall’s ceiling and make him overpriced in both best ball and DFS formats.

Jon Warner made the case for stashing Braelon Allen late in drafts as one of the cheapest ‘true handcuff’ bets on the board. Warner trusts his “lying eyes,” pointing to Allen’s rare combination of 235-pound frame, reported 4.4 speed, and the swagger of wearing jersey No. 0. With the Jets’ depth chart thin behind bell-cow Breece Hall, Allen’s size and straight-line burst position him as the obvious next-man-up should Hall miss time. Warner dismissed Allen’s 2023 efficiency dip at Wisconsin, noting nothing was efficient in that Jets-level offense, and argued the rookie’s physical profile is exactly what the Jets would want to lean on in cold-weather, late-season games. Because other contingency backs such as Isaiah Davis carry similar “needs an injury” paths yet go a full round earlier, Warner is clicking Allen whenever he’s still on the board in the 18th round.

Sean Koerner doubled down on fading Justin Fields inside the positional top-10, arguing the market is treating him like last year’s Anthony Richardson. Koerner said Fields’ job security is fine—Tyrod Taylor only plays if an injury forces the issue—but that very rushing volume making him attractive also raises the injury risk. Outside of Garrett Wilson the Jets have "nobody else," so defenses can crowd the box and force Fields to throw into tight windows. Paying a top-10 price in what Koerner calls the single-QB dead zone means passing on scarce RB/WR/TE starters when similar dual-threat upside (Bo Nix, Caleb Williams) is available rounds later. He is content to rank Fields QB12 and let someone else absorb the downside tied to limited weapons, a fragile play style, and the perennial sadness of New York football.

Sean Koerner cautioned drafters against paying the rising price tag for Justin Fields, who is now sneaking inside the positional top-10 in some drafts. Koerner projects Fields’ job security as solid – Tyrod Taylor looms but offers no reason for the Jets to switch unless Fields is hurt – yet sees multiple red flags at current cost. Fields’ career averages sit at just 175 passing yards and 55 rushing yards per start, a profile that demands heavy rushing to stay fantasy-viable and therefore increases injury risk. New York’s pass-catching cupboard is bare beyond Garrett Wilson, further limiting ceiling. Koerner still ranks Fields QB12 assuming a full season, but with a run-first play style, limited weapons and elevated ADP he’d rather wait and grab a cheaper upside option later in the draft mix.

Best Ball Guy insisted that naked Justin Fields is the single best advance-rate bet in any Underdog room right now. His case revolves around Fields’ rushing floor—no stacking required to unlock 25-point weeks—and a depressed ADP that often lets drafters scoop him after all of the elite pass catchers are gone. Taking Fields as a standalone quarterback frees you from forcing Bears or Jets skill players (depending on where he ultimately plays), preserving structural flexibility while still capturing dual-threat ceiling. In BBG’s words, “naked Fields is going to win,” making him a priority click whenever scrambling for upside in the middle rounds of Sprint or Chow Chow drafts.

Best Ball Guy floated the idea that Breece Hall could be the rare young work-horse who actually gets dealt before his second contract because, in Hall’s own words, he "was not drafted by this management and does not expect an extension." BBG listed the Texans, Cowboys, and Browns as the three most logical landing spots given their ambiguous depth charts and win-now aspirations. He noted that Hall is already a smash pick on the Jets thanks to his 5.8 career YPC and elite receiving chops, but a trade to a back-needy contender would goose his touch ceiling into the Christian McCaffrey/Bijan Robinson tier—"he instantly becomes the 1.05," BBG said. The takeaway: keep jamming Hall in best-ball drafts because you’re free-rolling a blockbuster value spike on top of an already solid projection.

Best Ball Guy tagged Mason Taylor as a deep-bench target for three-tight-end builds. He likes how Taylor naturally correlates as a Week-17 bring-back against New England stacks and added that beat writers have repeatedly praised the rookie for flashing after-the-catch ability at Jets camp. Coaches reportedly "love him" and have been scheming two-tight-end looks that would push him onto the field in high-leverage red-zone snaps. In rooms where Tyler Conklin and Jeremy Ruckert go earlier, Taylor offers a free roll ceiling in the final round while still giving exposure to the same Jets passing environment.

Pat Kerrane said camp reports confirm Braelon Allen has locked down the Jets’ power-back job, prompting a four-spot rise in his rankings. Coaches are ‘excited about him as their big back,’ suggesting Allen will handle short-yardage and clock-killing work behind Breece Hall. Kerrane emphasized that Allen’s 240-pound frame and 4.4 speed give him immediate touchdown equity in a Nathaniel Hackett offense that ranked top-10 in red-zone rush rate last season. He now views Allen as a priority late-round spike-week pick in Best Ball.

Tyler Sullivan projected second-round tight end Mason Taylor to become Justin Fields’ No. 2 pass-catching option right out of the gate. With Tyler Conklin (average 82 targets the past three years) and WR Davante Adams both gone, the Jets’ depth chart behind Garrett Wilson is Alan Lazard and ‘a lot of guys you haven’t heard of.’ Sullivan reminded listeners that Fields peppered Pat Freiermuth in Pittsburgh and Cole Kmet in Chicago, so the quarterback’s history aligns with the 6’5” Taylor’s skill set. Given virtually no target competition at TE and a thin WR corps, Sullivan believes Taylor could challenge for 80-plus looks and immediate TE2 value in redraft formats.

Coventry likes Garrett Wilson as WR1 in Round 3, projecting 147–168 targets for the third straight year. He told listeners not to fear Justin Fields, noting DJ Moore produced 1,360 yards and eight TDs with Fields in 2023. A similar stat line for Wilson is firmly in play, giving him mid-WR1 upside.

Coventry called Breece Hall a “screaming value” if he slips to the late second or early third. Hall revealed he played through an MCL sprain all season, explaining the drop-off from his explosive rookie form. Coventry dismissed the Jets’ ‘timeshare talk,’ insisting a healthy Hall will reclaim a workhorse role and can finish among the NFL’s top backs.

Davis Mattek argued that Aaron Rodgers is the superior unstacked quarterback dart compared with Tua Tagovailoa. Without Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, or De’Von Achane on your roster, an unstacked Tua ceiling is "deader than dead" because every big Dolphins score you miss simultaneously buries your lineup. Rodgers, meanwhile, can land in the Week-17 optimal with a handful of efficient touchdowns distributed to secondary Jets options like Allen Lazard or even a random tight-end score, meaning you capture most of the fantasy output without needing a pricey stack. Mattek concluded that Rodgers offers a realistic 20-point path while avoiding the negative-correlation land mines inherent in an unstacked Dolphins build, making him the smarter late-round click when you whiff on your primary stacks.

PPRTyler said Justin Fields is "literally fine," stressing that drafters "don’t have to worry" about the injury that briefly pushed his ADP down the previous day. Tyler framed the news as confirmation that the quarterback avoided any setback, suggesting managers treat yesterday’s dip as a fleeting buying window rather than a reason to fade Fields in ongoing best-ball lobbies.

Donnie Rightside urged bettors to pounce on any “fewest wins in the NFL” market involving the Jets if Tyrod Taylor ends up starting in place of the newly-acquired but now-injured Justin Fields. Rightside noted New York’s posted win total sits at just 5.5 and argued the front office is far more interested in laying a foundation than chasing six meaningless victories. In his view, the franchise is better off bottoming out—think three wins—then resetting around a blue-chip quarterback in next April’s draft. He added that Taylor, at this stage of his career, offers minimal upside and virtually guarantees a conservative offense that caps both scoring and win probability. If the Jets resist trading for an expensive veteran and ride with Taylor, Rightside believes their downside is enormous and that betting them for the league’s worst record is “the clearest edge on the board.”

Rich Cooling said Tyrod Taylor is the exact type of quarterback he wants clogging the very last spot on a dynasty bench. Taylor is one injury away from inheriting every drop-back and short-yardage scramble in a Nathaniel Hackett offense that already propped up league-average QB2 numbers for Zach Wilson last year. Quarterback is a pure volume position—whoever starts will post fantasy points—so Cooling prefers rostering Taylor over a low-ceiling WR6. If Justin Fields were to miss time, Taylor would walk into 30+ attempts and 4–5 designed runs per game, immediately becoming a startable bye-week option or a flip candidate for a 2026 third-round rookie pick. Cooling’s larger point is that backup QBs with a clear path to starts are the most efficient use of churn spots because they either help you survive a multi-week injury or buy another future dart throw once they spike in value.

Whalen called Garrett Wilson the "only option" in a Jets receiving corps he ranks among the league’s weakest. He noted Justin Fields has supported a single elite receiver before, and the Jets’ heavy draft and contract investment guarantees Wilson a massive target share. With Davante Adams now elsewhere, Wilson reclaims undisputed WR1 status in New York.

Jim Coventry said drafters should pivot to Breece Hall if Jacobs is gone because Hall’s 2023 let-down is easily explained: he revealed he played through an MCL injury all year. Coventry reminded listeners that Hall’s rookie-year efficiency before the ACL tear was elite and that he looked explosive again in 2024 before the undisclosed knee issue cropped up. With the injury now behind him and no major backfield competition in New York, Coventry views Hall as a buy-back RB possessing league-winning upside at a depressed ADP.

Jim Coventry said Garrett Wilson is a slam-dunk pick at the 2/3 turn because he is "a lock for heavy, heavy target volume" in New York. Coventry expects Wilson to dominate looks regardless of who is under center and believes grabbing an unquestioned target hog this early lets drafters worry less about wide-receiver depth later. The takeaway: Wilson’s projected share keeps his weekly floor high while still giving room for ceiling games, making him a cornerstone in Season-Long formats.

Despite passing woes, McFarland likes Justin Fields as a Round-10 dice roll (ADP 116) who delivers immediate rushing-based QB1 weeks. Fields signed for two years, $40 M with $30 M guaranteed and has averaged 9.1 carries, 55 rushing yards and 0.45 rush TDs per game the last three seasons, generating 8.2 fantasy points on the ground alone. Fantasy points per drop-back (0.70, 0.52, 0.62) put him near Lamar’s non-spike years. Model: 15.6 floor, 19.0 median, 23.7 ceiling. Passing remains a concern (< 180 YPG career), but if the leg injury he suffered July 24 proves minor, Fields offers cheap mid-QB1 upside as your QB2 or late starter.

Hayden Winks dropped Justin Fields all the way to QB29, calling him a high-risk stash rather than a starting fantasy option. Winks believes Fields consciously dialed back scrambling last season—Mina Kimes reported the quarterback himself requested fewer designed runs—which stripped away his only superpower. The result, per Winks: another year of scattershot pocket play, hesitation, and forced hero-ball throws that have plagued him since Ohio State. Even in Pittsburgh’s friendlier offense, Fields tried to be a timing passer and the downfield playmaking disappeared. Winks said five seasons of inconsistent tape is "probably too many" to keep chasing upside and recommended letting someone else gamble on the name value. His advice: only draft Fields as a late third QB in best-ball, fade him entirely in managed leagues, and smash the under on any rushing-yard props above 450 yards until he proves the legs are back in play.

If Mayfield is gone, Coventry likes Justin Fields for his difference-making legs. Fields logged 1,143 rushing yards in 2022 and was on an 800-yard pace before injuries in 2023. With the Jets’ upgraded line and weapons, Coventry expects a high rushing floor plus passing growth, giving Fields top-five fantasy quarterback ceiling in the middle rounds.

Coventry views Garrett Wilson as a smash pick in late Round 2/early Round 3, noting he has commanded 147–168 targets in each of his first three seasons despite shaky quarterback play. With Justin Fields now under center, Coventry isn’t worried; he reminded listeners that Fields supported D.J. Moore to a 1,360-yard, eight-TD campaign in 2024. Expect Wilson’s elite volume and open-field ability to translate into another WR1 season.

Coventry encouraged managers to "buy back" on Breece Hall if Jacobs is gone. Hall revealed he played through a sprained MCL last season, explaining the dip from his rookie-year explosiveness. Because Hall was going as the RB1-2 in 2024 drafts before that injury, Coventry thinks a fully healthy version offers league-winning upside and should be taken ahead of backs like Chase Brown or Kyren Williams at the 2-3 turn.

Ryan Heath pushed Brees Hall into must-target territory at his late-third/early-fourth ADP. Hall has averaged 4.8 targets per game for his career; only Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Austin Ekeler have matched that passing-game volume, and Hall’s 1.79 yards per route run ranks second among all backs over that span. Heath believes preseason coach-speak about a three-man committee is noise, noting that a healthy Hall could easily reclaim a bell-cow role in an offense bolstered by first-round tackles Amarius Mims and Olu Fashanu plus a fully healthy interior line. Justin Fields’ mandate to avoid turnovers should funnel check-downs Hall’s way, and a thin receiver room further boosts his receiving ceiling. If Hall regains the burst film graders said he lost while playing hurt in 2024, Heath sees league-winning upside available a full round after the elite backs go off the board.

Nick Whalen said Breece Hall is still an RB1 even after last year’s ugly rushing tape. Hall posted one of the league’s worst success rates and failed to reach 1,000 yards on the ground, yet only Alvin Kamara and Devon Achane drew more running-back targets. Whalen expects an even heavier receiving load because new quarterback Justin Fields is “a check-down monster” who will force linebackers to spy him and leave Hall free underneath. With the Jets’ skill talent concentrated around Hall and Garrett Wilson, Whalen projects another top-3 target share at the position and sees a path to 80+ catches in full-PPR formats.

Peter Overzet explained that Justin Fields is an ideal third-round quarterback in the Badge Bros Brawl because his rushing production (career 53 rush yards per start) supplies a built-in floor during the 1-of-5 advancement rounds in Weeks 15-16. Unlike pocket passers who demand double stacks to hit ceilings, Fields can be drafted "naked" or with a single skinny stack, letting drafters spend fewer picks on his teammates. That flexibility is valuable in a six-team, 12-round draft where roster spots are scarce. Pete added that Fields has already produced eight top-8 fantasy finishes in 24 career games, so you still capture week-winning upside without sacrificing roster construction.

Matt Harmon said Garrett Wilson was pigeon-holed last year, running a nine, a slant, or a screen on more than half of his charted routes and almost never being asked to work the deep middle. Those boundary-only assignments limited his ceiling and exposed him to Aaron Rodgers’ inaccurate throws in that area. Harmon thinks new offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand will import Detroit’s condensed, motion-heavy, multi-formational concepts, allowing Wilson to move around the formation and attack every sector of the field rather than staying tethered to the line of scrimmage. Harmon expects a higher target ceiling and more efficient production, making Wilson a strong season-long buy at current draft cost.

Jake Ciely explained why he still cannot rank Garrett Wilson inside his top 15 wide receivers despite projecting the Jets star for more than 130 targets. Ciely’s main concern is new quarterback Justin Fields. He doubts Fields can deliver the red-zone accuracy and overall completion percentage (especially on deeper throws) needed for Wilson to rack up both receptions and touchdowns. To crack the elite tier, Ciely believes Wilson would need 160-plus targets and at least 10–12 scores—numbers he sees as unlikely unless Fields makes a dramatic leap as a passer. He also questioned whether Ben Johnson disciple Tanner Engstrand will automatically replicate Detroit’s offensive success in New York, noting that Wilson has produced only WR3 finishes to this point. Until Fields proves he can sustain a high-volume, high-efficiency passing attack, Ciely is comfortable fading Wilson at his current ADP.

Bob Harris said Justin Fields is the only quarterback changing teams that genuinely excites him for 2025 fantasy drafts. The selling point is pure rushing equity—Harris noted drafters are scooping Fields "at the tail end of the QB-1 range" even though his legs give him week-winning ceilings. He reminded listeners that Fields kept DJ Moore afloat as the WR6 last season and already has on-field history with new teammate Garrett Wilson, which should fast-track chemistry in New York. With former Lions passing-game coordinator Tanner Engstrand calling plays, Harris is not banking on huge passing volume, but he thinks the ground production easily masks that. His preferred approach is to wait until the post-elite tier ends, grab Fields, then backstop the volatility with a cheap QB2 in superflex or late redraft builds.

Ben Gretch doubled-down on his concerns about Breece Hall in full-PPR formats, saying the receptions simply are not there under Justin Fields. Hall caught 76 passes two seasons ago and 57 last year, but Gretch projects only "about 40" catches in 2024 and warns that a 20-reception floor is firmly in play because Fields turns roughly 20 % of dropbacks into sacks or scrambles and rarely hits the check-down on time. The Jets are openly hyping rookies Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis, further threatening Hall’s passing-down work, and the coaching staff keeps comparing Hall to a “Jahmyr Gibbs” type back even though Detroit’s runners see little passing volume. Gretch said Hall’s explosive rushing talent makes him more defensible in half- or non-PPR leagues where receptions matter less, but in PPR he still profiles as an early-second fade given the realistic downside scenarios.

Ben Gretch said Breece Hall’s early-second-round price tag is almost three rounds too rich once you account for the Jets’ environment. Justin Fields turns roughly one out of every five dropbacks into sacks or scrambles, Robert Saleh openly wants 17-13 "rock fights," and New York keeps hyping Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis as legitimate rotation backs. Gretch projects a capped workload and sees Hall finishing well below the 350-touch threshold needed to pay off his cost. Although Hall’s breakaway ability resembles Saquon Barkley’s, Gretch argued that spike-week talent cannot consistently overcome a muted play volume and committee risk, making Hall a fade at current ADP in both redraft and best-ball formats.

Ben Gretch argued drafters should avoid Garrett Wilson in the third round because the Jets’ offense projects to sit near the bottom of the league in pass attempts under Justin Fields and Robert Saleh. New York has only three plus pass-blocking linemen, all five grade better in run blocking, and their defensive head coach wants 17-13 rock fights. Fields further shrinks the passing pie by turning roughly 20 % of called passes into sacks or scrambles, a rate that remains among the worst in the NFL even after modest improvement last year with Pittsburgh. Gretch still allocates Wilson a 30 % target share and a spike in per-target efficiency—similar to DJ Moore’s 2023 leap to WR6 overall—but notes Moore managed only WR9 in points per game and was a fourth-round pick. At Wilson’s early-third price you need first- or second-round production next year, and Gretch does not see a plausible path given the volume constraints. The upside simply is not big enough to compensate for the downside scenarios where the Jets finish 32nd in pass attempts.

Tom Strachan advised taking the OVER on Breece Hall’s 5.5 rushing-TD prop. Hall has never topped five rushing scores, but Strachan pinned the blame squarely on Aaron Rodgers: the veteran QB ranked 7th in red-zone pass attempts last year while Hall ranked just 35th in red-zone carries and 34th in inside-the-five attempts (only eight all season). With Justin Fields projected to start — a quarterback Strachan calls more team-oriented than Rodgers — New York should lean on Hall near the goal line. The Jets have publicly reaffirmed Hall as their lead back and invested in an upgraded offensive line that grades at least "above average" in Strachan’s eyes. Those factors make six rushing TDs a very attainable baseline, so Strachan is confidently betting the over.

Chris Raybon urged best ball drafters to stash Mason Taylor, arguing that the LSU product’s 129 career receptions and strong receiving profile give him a realistic chance to become a top-two target in New York. The Jets’ TE depth chart is paper-thin (Jeremy Ruckert, Stone Smartt, Zach Kuntz, Neal Johnson), and the team bypassed TE at No. 7 overall to take OT Armand Membou, a decision Raybon says will reduce Taylor’s pass-pro snaps and increase his route rate. With starting WR spots currently occupied by Josh Reynolds and Allen Lazard opposite Garrett Wilson and with Breece Hall potentially headed elsewhere, Taylor could quickly emerge as a security blanket regardless of the shakiness at quarterback. The combination of minimal draft cost, an open runway to starting snaps, and a dearth of proven pass game options puts Taylor squarely on Raybon’s late-round best ball radar.

Valenzuela pushed back on the idea that Garrett Wilson’s new four-year, $130 million extension automatically signals a breakout. Fantasy Life’s 2025 projection (128.5 targets, 78.5-921.5-5.1) aligns with Wilson’s WR20 finish last year and is well below his current WR16 ADP. With Justin Fields—who has never cleared 2,600 passing yards in a season—now under center, Valenzuela compared the situation to DJ Moore’s 2023 WR9 ceiling as the absolute best-case outcome. She concluded Wilson’s price bakes in too much optimism for what could remain one of the league’s least-productive aerial attacks.

Matthew Freedman placed Breece Hall on his do-not-draft list even though the Jets back is going RB12. He warned Hall could surrender early-down snaps to rookie power back Braelon Allen and, more importantly, lose reception volume because new quarterback Justin Fields historically tucks and runs instead of checking the ball down. Freedman’s projection assigns Hall just 203.4 PPR points, a full round behind cheaper backs such as Alvin Kamara, making Hall a Round 3 land mine in his eyes.

Best Ball Guy explained why he clicked Garrett Wilson over Davante Adams when deciding on a Week-17 bring-back. Even if Aaron Rodgers throws only 21 passes per game—a pace BBG admitted is possible in Nathaniel Hackett’s ball-control offense—he expects Wilson to vacuum up roughly 12 of those looks, a ridiculous 57 % target share. He sketched out the rest of the distribution as Breece Hall getting five targets, rookie tight end Mason Taylor grabbing four, and Josh Reynolds seeing just two. That kind of target monopoly gives Wilson both a weekly floor and a tournament-winning ceiling, making him an easy smash wherever he slips into the late second or early third round of Best Ball Mania drafts.

Leone cautioned that Garrett Wilson may only deliver a “small hit” at his second-round price tag. With the Jets expected to call a run-heavy game plan around Aaron Rodgers and convert many designed passes into sacks or scrambles, Leone doubts Wilson can reach the 150-plus targets needed for an elite fantasy payoff. Even if efficiency improves, the combination of pace, offensive line questions, and Rodgers’ tendency to hold the ball suppress Wilson’s ceiling relative to market expectations. Leone still likes the player but believes drafters are paying for something close to the best-case outcome.

Greg Brainos advised buying the dip on Breece Hall, stressing that coach-speak about a three-man committee with Braylon Allen and Isaiah Davis is overblown. Brainos reminded listeners Hall played through a mysterious camp injury and a mid-season knee issue on last year’s "terribly run offense," depressing his 2024 production and souring drafters. In 2025 the context is markedly better: the Jets invested in the offensive line with seventh-overall pick Armand Membou, the staff has repeatedly said they want to run the ball, and the addition of Justin Fields should widen running lanes. Brainos believes Hall’s talent is "full bodies" above the other backs and that the staff will inevitably ride the hot hand, giving Hall the bulk of touches—even if Allen vultures an occasional goal-line snap. At a fourth-round ADP he called Hall an easy bet to rebound for both volume and efficiency.

Coventry’s favorite receiver at picks 23/26 is Garrett Wilson, calling him the "highest floor" option over Davante Adams or Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He expects Wilson’s target volume to be bankable even if Rodgers falters, giving managers a reliable WR1 to pair with early running backs.

If Josh Jacobs is gone, Jim Coventry wants drafters to pivot to Breece Hall at the 2/3 turn. Hall told reporters he gutted through 2024 with a sprained MCL, which Coventry says explains the dip from his rookie-year explosiveness. With the injury behind him, Coventry expects Hall to look like the “superstar” we saw before and right after the ACL tear, making him an ideal fallback RB2.

Josh Norris pushed back on the unbridled Hall enthusiasm, pointing to rookie Braylon Allen’s short-yardage dominance as a real threat to Hall’s high-value touches. In Allen’s tiny 2023 college sample the 240-pound back converted 78 % of carries needing three yards or fewer into first downs or touchdowns, compared to Hall’s 46 % success rate in the same down-and-distance last season. Norris noted OC Tanner Engstrand comes from the Lions tree that initially funneled goal-line work to David Montgomery over Jameer Gibbs, suggesting the Jets could follow a similar early-season script. If Allen inherits even half of the inside-the-five work, Hall’s path to 10-plus TDs—crucial for an RB1 outcome—gets murkier. Norris still likes Hall’s talent but warned that drafters paying a late-third-round price are assuming the touchdown equity stays intact; any meaningful Allen role could lock Hall into a lower-end RB1 or high-RB2 ceiling rather than the top-six finish Stewart projected.

Ron Stewart said Breece Hall is mis-priced at RB12 because every off-season variable that tanked his 2023 efficiency has flipped in his favor. Stewart expects Hall to function as the Jets’ No. 2 pass-catcher behind Garrett Wilson thanks to Justin Fields’ league-leading check-down rate, projecting a reception floor that offsets any workload cap in a two-back room. He raved about a rebuilt offensive line—rookie bookend Olu Fashanu, 6-6 RG Membu, second-year center Joe Tippmann, former first-rounder Alijah Vera-Tucker and FA guard John Simpson—that landed inside PFF’s pre-season top ten. Add a run-leaning identity Tim Boyle hinted at and Stewart sees Hall reclaiming the explosive form he flashed as a rookie while benefiting from the space Fields’ option looks create (citing Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley’s efficiency bump alongside dual-threat QBs). He forecast a ‘fringe top-six’ points-per-game finish—roughly 18-20 PPR per week—arguing that moving from RB12 to RB6 is a league-winning swing in both best-ball tournaments and home-league playoffs.

Best Ball Guy erupted when Breece Hall fell to him in an Underdog Eliminator draft, calling it "the easiest pick" and "crazy value." He pointed out that Eliminator rooms get running-back starved early, so locking in a proven workhorse after opening with three wide receivers gives the roster a massive structural edge. Because Hall can soak up touches and spike weeks without the opportunity cost of an earlier selection, BBG urged drafters to hit the button whenever the room lets the Jets back tumble past ADP.

Nick Whalen argued that the fantasy community is sleeping on Justin Fields. Despite starting only six games for Pittsburgh last season, Fields still ranked as the QB6 over that span thanks to elite rushing production. He now owns undisputed job security with the Jets and just saw his alpha receiver Garrett Wilson rewarded with a new contract, ensuring continuity. Whalen believes that if Fields merely keeps the job he has an excellent chance to finish inside the top 10 QBs, yet drafters are selecting him well outside that range. He recommended targeting Fields wherever drafters are stock-piling value quarterbacks in the double-digit rounds.

JSU argued Josh Reynolds is being ignored in the final rounds despite a realistic chance to start opposite Garrett Wilson for the Jets. He pointed out that Robert Saleh covets blocking at wide receiver—Reynolds and Allen Lazard both grade out as plus run-blockers—which keeps them on the field even in two-wide sets built around Breece Hall and Raylen Allen. Because of that, JSU expects Reynolds to log meaningful snap shares, draw the occasional deep shot from Justin Fields, and deliver usable spike weeks at a near-free ADP. He advised stacking Reynolds with Fields or Hall as a cheap way to capture Jets touchdowns that funnel away from Wilson.

Siegele warned that Breece Hall carries more red flags than the market admits. Hall relies on Barkley-style splash runs rather than consistent tackle-breaking at the line, which means efficiency craters if the highlight plays dry up. The arrival of Justin Fields could slash target volume—without receptions Hall’s profile "becomes a very difficult pick." Rookie bruiser Braelon Allen and tackle-breaker Isaiah Davis lurk as early-down threats, creating new competition for carries inside the five. At his current early-third-round cost, drafters are paying for a reception-driven ceiling that may not exist in 2024.