Despite acknowledging his World No. 1 status and tune-up win at the Procore Championship, Josh Schrock projected Scottie Scheffler for a muted 2-2-1 record and a singles defeat to Jon Rahm. He cited Scheffler’s 9-and-7 foursomes humiliation in Rome as proof the Texan can be had in match play and expects captain Keegan Bradley to ration instead of max out his session count. For bettors in top-U.S.-scorer pools or DFS players weighing a five-figure salary, Schrock recommends a relative fade, especially in Sunday singles matchups against Europe’s alpha.

Schrock forecast Rory McIlroy to play every session and tally 4.5 points on a 4-0-1 record, highlighted by a 6-and-5 demolition with Tommy Fleetwood on Friday morning and a Sunday win over Patrick Cantlay. The writer referenced McIlroy’s public vow on the 2023 Rome dais that Europe would take Bethpage, noting his elite tee-to-green metrics and comfort as the side’s emotional leader. Bettors targeting top overall or top European points-scorer markets, and DFS users in need of a captain slot with ceiling outcomes, are urged to build around McIlroy.

Zigging against consensus, Josh Schrock forecast an 0-4-0 goose egg for Bryson DeChambeau. He envisions DeChambeau and Cameron Young dropping Friday foursomes 1-up to Viktor Hovland and Ludvig Aberg, absorbing two more defeats on Saturday, and then falling 2-and-1 to Tommy Fleetwood in singles. Schrock acknowledged DeChambeau’s top-five world ranking, his LIV-honed team chemistry, and his ability to feed off a partisan crowd, yet still believes Europe’s accuracy-first pairings will exploit the American’s volatility. Fading DeChambeau in head-to-head props, top-scorer bets, or high-priced DFS slots is Schrock’s preferred angle.

Josh Schrock said Justin Thomas will be the heartbeat and top scorer for Team USA, projecting him to appear in four sessions and post a 3-0-1 record that includes a Sunday-singles win over Shane Lowry. Schrock leaned on Thomas’s 7-4-2 career Ryder Cup mark, his spotless singles résumé, and his year-long form surge—sixth on the PGA Tour in Adjusted Total Strokes Gained at +1.55 per round (Data Golf) and an April victory at the RBC Heritage. Schrock argued that Thomas ‘lives for team events,’ and that Bethpage’s rowdy galleries will juice the already fiery competitor, making him a smart bet in top-U.S.-points markets and a priority DFS core play.

Paul Higham grabbed Patrick Cantlay at +1400 for top points scorer, reasoning that Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, Xander Schauffele and Cantlay must shoulder "a lot of heavy lifting" for a U.S. squad with four newcomers. With the roster imbalance, Higham expects Cantlay to play all five sessions. The Californian owns a sparkling 5-2-1 Ryder Cup record and is 2-0 in singles, attributes Higham called priceless in a cauldron like Bethpage.

Barry Plummer flagged Viktor Hovland at +1800 for top overall scorer, noting that Donald trusted him with all five sessions in both 2021 and 2023, where he delivered 3.5 points last time. Hovland’s late-season surge—victory at the Valspar, a solo 3rd at the U.S. Open and three straight top-12 finishes—convinces Plummer the Norwegian’s tee-to-green consistency is peaking. If Hovland is again sent out every session, Plummer believes a 4-point week is firmly in play.

Elliott Heath backed Russell Henley at +1600 to be overall top points scorer. Heath reminded readers that Henley has 14 years of professional experience and five PGA Tour wins even though this is his first Ryder Cup appearance. Henley impressed in last year’s Presidents Cup beside Scottie Scheffler and, with his steady tee-to-green game, is expected to appear in both foursomes and four-balls, giving him a path to four or even five sessions. Heath projected 3.5-4 points if Henley continues his fairway-finding ways and takes advantage of Bethpage’s birdie holes, making the +1600 number a strong value.

Iain MacMillan highlighted Ben Griffin at +380 to finish as Top Overall Rookie. Over the past six months Griffin ranks third among Americans in true total strokes gained, trailing only Scottie Scheffler and Bryson DeChambeau. MacMillan called him "the most underrated golfer on the planet" and stressed that his above-average length off the tee should play perfectly at a stretched-out Bethpage Black. With fellow rookies Russell Henley, Cameron Young, J.J. Spaun, and Rasmus Hojgaard vying for the same market, MacMillan believes Griffin offers the ideal blend of expected playing time across multiple sessions and the scoring ceiling needed to convert those starts into Ryder Cup points.

Robby Kalland noted that oddsmakers have installed the Americans as 20/29 favorites (50/73 to lift the Cup) largely because Bethpage Black gives them a true home-course edge. He reminded readers that Europe has not won a Ryder Cup on U.S. soil since its 2012 upset at Medinah, underscoring how difficult a road victory is in this event. Kalland added that captain Keegan Bradley has freshened the roster with four newcomers—J.J. Spaun, Russell Henley, Cameron Young and Ben Griffin—while bringing back Harris English from the 2021 Whistling Straits win, moves he believes will boost locker-room chemistry. Coupled with a raucous New York crowd and the motivation to avenge the 2023 loss in Rome, Kalland framed the Americans as the logical side for bettors even at short odds.

Iain MacMillan recommended betting Ben Griffin at +380 to finish as Top Overall Rookie. He called Griffin "the most underrated golfer on the planet," pointing to third-best true total strokes gained among Americans over the past six months—trailing only Scottie Scheffler and Bryson DeChambeau. MacMillan highlighted Griffin’s length off the tee as a perfect fit for Bethpage Black and prefers him over fellow rookies Russell Henley, Cameron Young, J.J. Spaun and Rasmus Hojgaard because Griffin projects to play enough sessions while converting those appearances into points.

For bettors who prefer the wildcard subset, Sobel also endorsed Hovland at +375 to be Europe’s highest-scoring captain’s pick. He views the shorter number as acceptable given the Norwegian’s all-session usage in 2021 and 2023 and his likely pairing continuity with Aberg. The recommendation is effectively a lighter alternative to his +900 overall-points position.

At +500 to be top U.S. wildcard, Sobel singled out Cameron Young. The Wake Forest alum has five straight finishes of 11th or better, grabbed his first PGA win at Wyndham, and owns extensive reps on Bethpage Black. Sobel expects Bradley to pair the bomber with Bryson DeChambeau in four-balls, forecasting a birdie barrage that could earn Young extra starts. Early success, a home-state crowd and red-hot form give him the clearest path to the most matches among the six picks.

Sobel likes Viktor Hovland at +900 to top Europe in points. Every Euro points champion over the last four cups played all five matches, and Hovland hasn’t missed a session in two appearances. With stats-driven assistant Edoardo Molinari helping Luke Donald and Bethpage rewarding elite long-iron play, Sobel expects Hovland to reprise his 2023 chemistry with Ludvig Aberg and eclipse shorter-priced Rory (+350) and Rahm (+500).

Sobel advised betting Scottie Scheffler at +300 to be top U.S. point scorer and +550 to top the entire event, sprinkling +1600 on a perfect 5–0–0 week. He argues the world No. 1 is the only American all but locked to play five sessions, so bettors get volume plus peak form. He notes Dustin Johnson went 5-0 in 2021 and believes Scheffler, fresh off winning the Procore Championship at +225 against 143 players, is better positioned to replicate that feat. If Scheffler bags five points, the remaining team would need just 9.5 of 23 to hit the 14.5-point cup-winning threshold—a path Sobel says is entirely realistic.

Colt Knost said Russell Henley is his outright pick at +1600 to win the 2025 Procore Championship. Knost argued that Henley has been "as hot as anybody on Tour all season" and that the Procore layout—"not the longest, pretty narrow fairways, can get really firm"—demands elite ball-striking and a steady putter. With Henley excelling in both categories right now, Knost believes the betting number undervalues his win equity.

Barnett circled Greyson Sigg at +600 for a top-20. Sigg posted a T4 here last year and owns multiple top-30s on the layout. Sitting outside the FedEx Fall top-100 cutoff, he needs a big week to keep full status, giving Barnett confidence the Georgia product will summon his best on a track he clearly enjoys.

If you are hunting for extreme leverage, Gehman pointed to Ben Kohles’ outrageous iron numbers—+4 to +7 strokes on approach in six consecutive measured events. The catch: he has bled nine strokes with the putter over his last two starts and historically loses six-plus in Napa. Priced near the min, Kohles is unplayable in cash but a perfect "team-no-putt" GPP bullet, as any neutral week on the greens could jump him into the top 15.

Eric Polzin flagged Thomas Rosenmuller as a 250-to-1 outright flyer and an appealing 6-to-1 top-20 bet. Rosenmuller has made four straight cuts and ranks 2nd in ball-striking, top-10 in SG off the tee and top-30 in approach in the 9-to-5 metrics. Polzin recommends sprinkling him in large-field DFS tournaments and considering a top-20 wager to capitalize on the elite tee-to-green numbers.

Eric Polzin highlighted David Skinns as another viable sub-$7k punt. Skins has four consecutive made cuts and two top-10 finishes during that span. Polzin noted that at this salary all he needs is a made cut; Skinns’ past success at this event plus recent form give him a reasonable path, making him a solid value piece for stars-and-scrubs roster builds.

Eric Polzin called Beau Hossler an "interesting click" for large-field tournaments. Hossler’s course history includes finishes of 25th, 16th and 23rd plus a 73rd last year, and he has three top-15 results in his last four starts. Polzin cautioned that Hossler’s lone recent missed cut was ugly, underscoring the volatility, but sees enough upside to fire him up in GPPs.

Eric Polzin labeled Michael Thorbjornsen a high-ceiling GPP target. The youngster is an elite stat fit—near the top of the field in ball-striking categories—and already owns a T-5 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. At roughly 75-to-1 outright and a mid-7k salary, Thorbjornsen's upside outweighs his missed-cut risk for tournaments and betting cards alike.

Eric Polzin said Patrick Fishburn "stands out the most" among the mid-tier. Fishburn logged recent top-10s at the Wyndham and Isco Championships and finished 3rd at this course last year, helping him rank 14th overall in the 9-to-5 model. While his specialist metric is just 41st because of poor California results, Polzin believes the ceiling justifies rostering Fishburn in DFS and sprinkling top-20 exposure.

Derek Farnsworth advised fading Collin Morikawa this week. While Morikawa can flash low rounds, Farnsworth noted he rarely strings four solid rounds together and has not stacked top-10 finishes lately. Until Morikawa shows sustained form, Farnsworth plans to avoid him in DFS builds.

Derek Farnsworth labeled Emiliano Grillo a favorite play at $7,500 and even placed a small outright at 100-to-1. Grillo captured this event in his first appearance and maintains a strong track record at Silverado. Recent driving, iron play, and putting numbers are all trending upward, giving him both cut-making safety and genuine win equity. Farnsworth views Grillo as a smash value for DFS lineups and betting cards alike.

Derek Farnsworth pegged Patrick Cantlay as a priority spend-up. Cantlay traditionally peaks during the late-season swing and is fresh off a runner-up at the Tour Championship. He rarely plays fall events but is using Silverado as a Ryder Cup tune-up. The California native’s history on West Coast poa greens and his elite tee-to-green profile make Farnsworth believe the short, accuracy-oriented track fits him perfectly.

Derek Farnsworth recommended beginning DFS builds with Russell Henley at $10,000. Henley projects only about twelve percentage points worse than Scheffler but costs $4K less, enabling sturdier lineups. He has been a "top-five machine" all season and profiles perfectly for Silverado with strong total driving, precise irons, and a reliable putter. Farnsworth likes Henley in both cash and tournament formats as his primary anchor.

Derek Farnsworth said fading Scottie Scheffler in DFS this week despite his status as the field’s best player. Scheffler is $14.4K on DraftKings and $15K on FanDuel, leaving only about $7,100 per golfer for the remaining five roster slots. Farnsworth dislikes most of the 6K range and thinks lineups that jam Scheffler will struggle to get a 6-of-6 through the cut. Even with sportsbooks listing him at +225 to win, the salary-cap opportunity cost is too steep, so he prefers a balanced roster construction without Scheffler.

Perry swapped off Bhatia and settled on Harris English at even money for a top-20. English brings back-to-back top-15 finishes from stronger fields into a significantly weaker Napa lineup. Perry added that fellow Sea Island pro Patton Kizzire’s Poa victory here last year proved Bermuda specialists can thrive at Silverado, bolstering his confidence in English’s short-game-driven profile.

Barnett called Akshay Bhatia his "basic" lock top-20 at +130 simply because sportsbooks are still giving plus money on a player he trusts. While he didn’t dive into stats, Barnett’s tone suggested confidence in Bhatia’s all-around form after a breakthrough summer that included a win and multiple high finishes on coastal tracks similar to Silverado.

Despite admitting personal bias against him, Perry punched a rage-click on Zac Blair +550 for a top-20. Blair has finished T4, T12 and T13 in three of his past five Silverado starts, evidence the short, tree-lined track suits his accurate, wedge-heavy game. Perry thinks those results justify the plus money in an otherwise volatile market.

Barnett called David Lipsky a live longshot at 200-1. Lipsky closed the summer hot with T-3 finishes at both the John Deere Classic and 3M Open, then backed that up with a runner-up at Silverado last season. Barnett thinks that combination of recent form and proven Napa success gives Lipsky legitimate win equity far beyond the triple-digit price.

David Barnett labeled Emiliano Grillo the best bet among the mid-tier options and is taking him outright at 90-1. Barnett reminded listeners that Grillo’s first Tour win came on this very track when the event was the Frys.com Open, giving him real closing equity at Silverado. With Ryder Cup stars soaking up the shortest odds, Barnett prefers backing a proven course winner who won’t be intimidated if he finds himself in Sunday’s final groups.

Pat Perry said Mark Hubbard is worth an outright flutter at 75-1 for the Procore Championship. Hubbard ranks 17th in Perry’s modeling, is coming off a T-3 last week, and owns three top-25 finishes in five career trips to Silverado despite two missed cuts. Perry argued the combination of recent ball-striking form and proven course comfort makes Napa the perfect spot for the veteran to grab his first PGA Tour victory at a juicy number.

Barnett called the 16-1 number on Justin Thomas "insane" and refuses to back it. He believes JT’s recent ball-striking and confidence lag badly behind Russell Henley, who shares the same price yet grades out far better in his model. In Barnett’s view, bettors paying 16-1 for Thomas are buying name value rather than win equity.

Perry sees value in Davis Thompson at 45-1. Thompson finished top-10 here in 2022 and top-30 in 2023 and is fresh off an 11th at the Wyndham. Perry likes the fit: Thompson can lean on length off the tee, owns a spike-putting profile, and has already shown he can contend on this track against weaker fields.

Barnett has "true conviction" in Akshay Bhatia at 35-1 thanks to his comfort on West-coast poa, strong around-the-green play, and sharp irons. The layout’s generous fairways offset Bhatia’s occasionally loose driving, and he already owns one strong finish here amidst two missed cuts, underscoring both volatility and upside. Barnett slots him behind only Scheffler and Henley on his outright card.

Perry called Cam Young "poised to win" at 22-1, citing a torrid run of 1st, 5th, 11th and 4th in his last four starts. With few top-tier names historically teeing it up at the ProCore, Perry thinks Young’s driving distance and long-iron prowess give him a ceiling edge over the mid-tier pack and put him in the same win tier as Cantlay.