Pat Mayo revealed he already punched a 66-1 outright with a top-5 each-way on Alex Noren. Mayo liked what he saw at Quail Hollow – crisp long-iron play, elite scrambling, and a putter capable of catching fire – and thinks that exact skill set thrives when the Memorial plays tough. If Jack’s place turns firm and scoring tilts to par-savers, Mayo believes Noren’s all-around grindy profile can threaten the trophy or at minimum cash the each-way portion.

Pat Mayo said Alex Noren is a sneaky buy for Memorial outrights and plus-money placement bets. Mayo pointed to Noren’s flawless bent-grass profile—he has gained strokes putting in all four previous trips to Muirfield Village—and noted that the Swede has gained on approach and around the green in five of his last six starts. Since returning from the glute tear, Noren’s driving accuracy is back to its pre-injury norm, which Mayo believes neutralizes his distance deficit on a layout that "de-emphasizes length and punishes misses." Noren’s Saturday back-nine at Valhalla, where he holed multiple chips and gained nearly three strokes with the flat stick, proved the short-game pop is still there. With the field cut to 72 and distance muted, Mayo expects Noren to flirt with another top-15 and called him a perfect mid-range DFS core play and 66-1 outright sprinkle.

Eric Polzin said Alex Noren’s made-cut prop is the single best bet on the board. After stripping the vig, his 9-to-5 model calculates a true 54 % chance of Noren reaching the weekend, which still beats the 50 % implied probability of the standard pick-em payout on PrizePicks. Polzin added that Noren has made five straight cuts, owns a previous 24th-place finish at this championship venue, and grades inside the top-50 overall in the 9-to-5 stat model. Those course-history and recent-form boxes, combined with the favourable priced line, make the OVER on 36.5 holes played (or ‘make cut’ on Underdog) his preferred wager.

Iain MacMillan grabbed Alex Noren Top-20 at +300 in his first PGA Tour start since last October. MacMillan reminded bettors that Noren finished 12th on Tour in total strokes-gained last season and wants to see if he flashes 2024 form now that he’s healthy after a leg injury.

Iain MacMillan suggested a Top-20 bet on Alex Noren at +330 despite the Swede’s first start since an October hamstring/glute tear. MacMillan noted Noren’s strong 2024 campaign—12th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained—and believes that baseline skill set gives him realistic top-20 upside even if there’s some rust. While acknowledging injury risk, MacMillan feels the market has over-discounted Noren and views +330 as fair compensation for bettors seeking mid-range exposure in Philadelphia.