Gannon prefers Davis over the chalky Rio Hisatune at the very bottom of 7K. Davis, a past TOUR winner, ‘popped last week’ and historically strings good results once his ball-striking heats up. His length and high carry apex help mitigate Colonial’s doglegs, giving him eagle chances where others are laying back.

Matt Gannon is grabbing Cameron Davis at 80–90-1 in the ‘without Scheffler’ market. Davis showed signs of life last week and historically strings together hot stretches once the irons heat up. Gannon noted Davis’s best results come on sub-7,200-yard, positional tracks—he practices at Sahalee, one of the tightest courses in the Pacific Northwest—so he knows how to shape tee shots into fairways. Colonial’s minimal water mitigates Davis’s occasional penalty-stroke miss, and prior wins/top-5s at short venues like Rocket Mortgage, Sony and RBC Heritage prove upside. Gannon thinks the Aussie’s ceiling parallels players in the 30s, making the number an auto-bet.

For first-round markets, Parker targeted Cameron Davis as Top Australasian at +240 (bet365). Only four other Australasians are in the field and Davis outranks them all in both DataGolf and FedEx Cup standings. He is 3rd on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage, a key stat on the low-scoring Craig Ranch layout. Recent form includes a T13 at the RBC Heritage where he ranked 8th in true strokes gained around the green and putting. Parker believes those short-game gains, plus the course’s birdie-friendly setup, point to Davis going low on Thursday and cashing the prop.

Gannon admitted Cam Davis is in "really poor ball-striking form" but still endorsed him at $7,100 because he has never missed a cut at TPC Craig Ranch and historically rolls the rock well on these greens. The Aussie’s combination of length and spike-week putting creates tournament-winning upside in birdie races, and Gannon thinks past success at the venue can spark a bounce-back. At near-minimum ownership, Davis is a classic high-volatility GPP dart.

Pat Mayo said Cam Davis is an autoplay at the current 80-to-1 outright number because TPC Craig Ranch sets up almost exactly like the tracks where the lanky Aussie flashes his ceiling. Mayo listed Rocket Mortgage, the Houston Open, Torrey Pines and the Mexico Open as statistical comps – all places where Davis has already grabbed a trophy or a podium by leaning on elite driving (308-yard average) and high-launch long-iron play. Craig Ranch ranks top-5 on Tour in birdie rate and demands 20-under or lower, a scoring environment Davis thrives in when the putter is even neutral. Mayo’s actionable angle: bet the outright and sprinkle placement props before the market corrects, accepting the volatility risk he "shoots 20-over" because the course fit upside is worth it at triple-digit implied odds.

At 90/1, Bamford sees value in Cam Davis after the Australian snapped five missed cuts with 13th at the RBC Heritage (8th SG Putting) and made 2 eagles plus 8 birdies during best-ball rounds at last week’s Zurich Classic. Davis is 4th on Tour in Birdie Average and 12th in Eagles per Hole this season, has twice shot −22 or lower at Kapalua, and owns two Bentgrass-green victories in Detroit. He ranks T-11 in the model’s five-year wind-performance metric and should love Craig Ranch’s wide fairways that reward aggressive drivers. Bamford believes those ingredients make Davis a live longshot debutant.

Byron Lindeque highlighted Cameron Davis as an intriguing value bet at long odds around 8-1 in the top Australian market at Augusta. Lindeque acknowledged Davis' recent poor form (multiple missed cuts), but emphasized Augusta's suitability for Davis' strengths, evidenced by his impressive T12 finish last year. Lindeque pointed out Davis tends to follow prolonged stretches of poor play with sudden strong performances, signalling Augusta as a possible bounce-back venue.

Ben Coley advises betting on Cameron Davis as a first-round leader at THE PLAYERS Championship due to his power, streakiness, and prior success on similar classical and Pete Dye-designed courses. Davis recently opened with strong rounds at Bay Hill and Pebble Beach in similarly elite fields. Coley highlights Davis' past record at Sawgrass, where he contended in 2023, and his favorable results at Donald Ross designs and River Highlands. Despite his inconsistency, evidenced by a second-round 80 leading to a missed cut last week, Davis presents compelling upside to go very low on day one at odds of around 125/1.