Tom Jacobs threw a dart at Camilo Villegas at 350/1 each-way (BetMGM, 6 places) after the Colombian’s top-10 in Bermuda snapped a brutal run. Villegas tied Alex Smalley for most birdies last week (22), led the field in Par-5 scoring at –10 (three shots clear), and hit 72% of greens on Sunday, third-best in the field. Jacobs sees those metrics translating to Sea Island’s straightforward test, where length is muted and wedge-putter combos decide scoring. Villegas nearly won here in 2016, losing a playoff to Hughes, and added a solo 6th in a later visit, proving the course fit. Jacobs recalled that two years ago Villegas parlayed a runner-up in Mexico into a Bermuda victory, illustrating his ability to ride momentum. If the putter stays hot and mistakes drop, Jacobs believes the veteran can crash the leaderboard at massive odds.

Bolton sprinkled on Villegas at +15000, citing the Colombian’s T9 in Bermuda and a history of catching fire late in the calendar. He recalled Villegas’ 2023 stretch where a T2 was followed by a win the very next week, arguing similar momentum could cash another massive ticket in a wide-open field.

Geoff Ulrich advised steering clear of Camilo Villegas even at the rock-bottom $6K salary. While Villegas could scrape through the cut, Ulrich argued his realistic ceiling tops out around T40–T30, far short of the top-15 finish you need from a punt to win a large-field GPP. Ulrich would rather pay a few hundred more for Andrew Putnam or Carson Young—players he believes carry legitimate top-20 equity—than burn a roster spot on Villegas and hope for an unlikely spike week. In Ulrich’s view, Villegas is the definition of a floor-less play who drags down Scheffler-anchored builds instead of differentiating them in a meaningful way.