Tom Jacobs advised betting Chris Kirk at 33/1 each-way (BetMGM, 6 places at 1/5 odds), arguing that everything lines up for a big week. Kirk closed his 2025 PGA Tour season on a heater—12th at the U.S. Open, runner-up at the Rocket Mortgage, then three straight top-14 finishes—before taking a purposeful break once his 2026 status was secured. Jacobs views the decision to return solely for Sea Island as a confidence signal because Kirk lived on the island for years and lifted this trophy in 2013. Course history is boom-or-bust (win, two 4ths, two 18ths, but four missed cuts in the last six starts), yet Jacobs noted the upside is undeniable on a layout that rewards Kirk’s precision iron play. Data Golf now slots him inside the world top-50 and just one spot outside the OWGR top-60, reinforcing the idea that his underlying form is elite. With hometown familiarity, elite recent ball-striking, and proven winning equity, Jacobs labeled Kirk the safest bet on the board.

Jason Sobel labeled Chris Kirk a textbook conservative top-twenty wager at +160. The 2013 Sea Island champion closed the regular season with five top-15 finishes in seven starts and has recorded six career top-twenties at this event. Though Kirk has not played since August, Sobel argued short-priced, low-volatility positions like this are essential to a steady golf betting ROI, even if they lack the Sunday sweat of longshots.

Tom Jacobs advised grabbing the each-way 70/1 on Chris Kirk with bet365’s 8-place market, stressing that Kirk’s recent ball-striking uptick and course comfort make him a realistic contender in a 70-man playoff field. Jacobs reminded readers that the 6-time PGA Tour winner owns playoff pedigree (2014 Deutsche Bank), has collected two victories across 2023-24, and arrives off a string of steadily improving finishes: 18th RBC Heritage, T12 U.S. Open, playoff loss Rocket Classic, 14th 3M Open (5th at halfway) and 5th last week at Wyndham to clinch his playoff berth. TPC Southwind’s sub-7,300-yard layout neutralizes Kirk’s lack of distance; he led here after an opening 64 last year, posted 16th in 2023 with closing 67-67-66, and owns a prior 6th when the event was a regular-season stop. With elite recent iron numbers and tee-to-green gains, Jacobs believes Kirk is “fairly priced” and worth the eight-place insurance.

Brian Kirschner is running it back with Chris Kirk at +10000. Kirk gained more than four strokes combined on approach and around the green en route to a T5 last week and profiles perfectly for Southwind: accurate off the tee, elite with the irons, and historically successful on Bermuda greens. Previous finishes of T6 (2016) and T16 (2023) add confidence.

Kirschner returned to Kirk at 100-1 after the veteran gained over four strokes combined on approach and around the greens en route to a T5 last week. Kirk’s accuracy off the tee, elite irons on Bermuda, and prior Southwind finishes (T6 in 2016, T16 in 2023) lead Kirschner to believe the odds are mis-priced given the course fit.

Bo McBrayer called Chris Kirk a “stat darling” at 100-to-1. Kirk ranks second in this field in Opportunities Gained and in the key sub-150-yard approach bucket, and he sits no worse than 15th in any approach range this season. Bo admits the flat stick has been ugly, but notes Southwind’s smaller greens shorten most birdie looks, lessening the damage. Recent form backs it up: 14th at the 3M Open, 5th at Wyndham, plus two top-20s in his last four visits to Southwind. McBrayer argues those iron numbers plus course comfort give Kirk genuine upside at triple-digit odds.

Sia Nejad said Chris Kirk is the one long-shot he would actually fire an each-way ticket on this week. With only 69 players in the field, Nejad wants exposure to a deep number that can still crack the top-5 and feels Kirk checks every box: steady recent ball-striking, proven comfort at TPC Southwind (opened 62 here last year and ultimately finished inside the top-10), and odds long enough to generate a meaningful payout. Nejad noted that other names in the same range, such as Lucas Glover or Wyndham Clark, either carry less value or more volatility, so Kirk is his preferred “big bomb” for outright and each-way markets.

Mayo matched Nejad with a Chris Kirk first-round leader ticket at 60-1, hoping Kirk’s recent form rewards early on Thursday in the 69-player setup.

Sia Nejad suggested a smaller stake on Chris Kirk at 60-1 for first-round leader. He called it a ‘moderate long-shot’ worth a sprinkle in the short field after Kirk rewarded each-way backers a week ago.

Shane Bacon slotted Chris Kirk into his can-win trio, urging listeners to "keep the momentum going" after Kirk played his way into the top-70 last week. Bacon believes that confidence boost, plus Kirk’s steady tee-to-green profile, gives him a real chance to contend at water-laden TPC Southwind and maybe even jump into late Ryder Cup consideration—making him a live outright ticket for bettors.

Barnett said Chris Kirk "gets me the most at 100-to-1," separating him from the other long shots. The host sees Kirk’s all-around game as suited to Southwind and trusts him to "close the door" if he gets in contention, making the triple-digit number too tempting to pass up.

David Barnett grabbed Chris Kirk at triple-digit odds, citing a perfect confluence of recent form and course fit. Barnett noted Kirk has gained strokes tee-to-green in six straight starts, is coming off back-to-back top-25 finishes, and historically gains over half a stroke per round on Bermuda greens. Southwind rewards players who keep it in the short grass, and Barnett pointed out Kirk ranks inside the field’s top 10 in fairways hit over the last 24 rounds. With outright prices as short as 60-1 appearing at other shops, Barnett argued the 100-1 available early in the week is simply mis-priced.

Baz Plummer played Chris Kirk at +500 for a top-10, risking two units. Kirk, a six-time PGA Tour winner, has strung together elite finishes: 5th at last week’s Wyndham, T14 at the 3M Open, a playoff loss at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and T12 at June’s U.S. Open. With the playoff event featuring a reduced field, Baz believes Kirk’s current form makes him undervalued to snag another leaderboard finish.

For an aggressive top-10 play at +500, Sobel chose Chris Kirk. Kirk vaulted from 73rd to 61st in FedEx Cup points with a T-5 last week, proving the six-time winner still heats up quickly. Though he finished 16th and 50th here the last two years, he owns four rounds of 67 or better across those eight loops, evidence he can fire low numbers at Southwind when the putter cooperates.

For longer odds, Glasscott likes Chris Kirk at +550 for a Top-10. Kirk warmed up with T12 at Oakmont, a co-runner-up at the Rocket Classic two weeks later, then T14 at the 3M and T5 at Wyndham. That closing 65 at Wyndham vaulted him from 73rd to 61st in FedExCup points, keeping his season alive. He also opened this event with a 64 in 2024, proof he can go low at TPC Southwind.

Kim named Chris Kirk ($7,200) his fourth cash-game cornerstone. Kirk has gained strokes on approach in nine of his last ten events and ranks top-10 in this field in iron play over the last 24 rounds. He is well above average from 150-200 yards, solid around the greens, and owns strong course form: 2nd and 5th in two of his past five starts plus a T16 at Southwind two years ago. Kim views the all-around profile as perfect for cash safety with realistic upside.

Pat Perry locked Chris Kirk onto his outright card at 100-1, arguing the number ignores both form and fit. Kirk is a multi-time PGA Tour winner who just finished runner-up at the Rocket Mortgage a few weeks ago, proving spike-week upside remains. Perry emphasized that Sedgefield rewards draw-biased, fairway-finding tee shots and reliable wedges—Kirk’s exact profile—while the slick Bermuda greens align with his preferred surface. Sitting 73rd in the FedEx standings, Kirk needs a strong showing to reach East Lake, giving him additional motivation. Perry admitted Kirk’s course record is oddly pedestrian (best of T-11 since 2016) but chalked that up to variance, saying the veteran’s current iron play and comfort on Bermuda make him an auto-bet at triple-digit odds and a rock-solid DFS pivot off the chalkier mid-range names.

Kenny Kim punched an 80-to-1 outright with eight places on Chris Kirk, pointing to a sneaky form spike. Kirk’s three best strokes-gained tee-to-green performances of 2025 have come in his last five starts, and he has gained with his irons in 12 of the past 14 tournaments. Sedgefield safety-nets him as well—four made cuts in five tries with an 11th-place ceiling. Kim argued that combination of trending ball-striking plus reliable Wyndham reps makes Kirk under-priced compared to players in the 50-to-60 range who lack both fixtures.

Bydlon fired on Chris Kirk at 110-1, noting the veteran has gained strokes with the putter in five straight tournaments—an asset he thinks will decide another 20-under shoot-out at Sedgefield. While Kirk’s recent finishes are volatile (T14 last week, MC at John Deere, T65, then T2 Rocket Mortgage and T12 U.S. Open), Bydlon reminded listeners that Kirk is historically a plus-iron player. If the rest of the bag syncs up with the red-hot flat stick, Kirk owns genuine win equity at a three-figure price. Bydlon will pair the outright with top-10 and top-20 placements, hoping the putter remains dialed.

Kirschner called Chris Kirk a ‘perfect Sedgefield fit’ and grabbed him at +10000. Kirk’s game—accuracy off the tee, precise irons and comfort on Bermuda greens—matches the course demands, and he has six career PGA wins showing he can close. Recent form backs the flyer: a playoff loss at the Rocket Mortgage and a solid T14 last week. Kirschner noted Kirk plays this event annually because he knows it sets up ideally for him.

Gannon circled Chris Kirk at 100-1 as the long-shot he trusts most. The veteran grew up and still practices on Bermuda, and his putting splits jump nearly half a stroke per round on that surface. He gained over six strokes ball-striking at the Rocket Mortgage (another Donald Ross track) and historically spikes on Ross designs that emphasize accuracy over power. Kirk ranks top-30 in fairways gained and wedges inside 150 yards, perfect for Sedgefield’s 7,100-yard setup. Currently outside the playoff bubble, he has every incentive to chase pins, and with four career wins Gannon believes he can actually close if in contention.

Pat Mayo revealed he added Chris Kirk deep down the outright board and will look for top-20/30 props as well. Mayo connected Royal Troon’s profile to Florida venues like PGA National and TPC Sawgrass — spots where Kirk thrives by keeping the ball in play and leaning on a streaky putter. He emphasized that Open winners skew older than winners of the other majors, making the 39-year-old’s veteran savvy an under-appreciated asset. With Troon’s tiny, elevated greens rewarding precise second shots and short-game touch, Mayo believes Kirk’s ability to flight wedges plus scramble efficiently positions him to cash long-number tickets.

Matt Gannon recommended Chris Kirk at +400 for a Top-20, pointing to the veteran’s elite driving accuracy and rock-solid iron play that nearly netted him a win in Detroit. Kirk ranks top-10 on TOUR in fairways hit and has gained strokes on approach in five of his last six starts, traits tailor-made for Portrush’s penal rough and tiny landing zones. Gannon views Kirk as a safe cut-maker with realistic back-door top-10 potential if the putter cooperates.

Pat Mayo doubled-down on Chris Kirk as a triple-digit outright he trusts more than the boom-bust youngsters in the same range. Mayo argued that recent Champion-Golfer history overwhelmingly skews toward seasoned players – citing Darren Clarke (age 42), Henrik Stenson (40), Zach Johnson (39) and last year’s winner Brian Harman (36) – while true prodigy breakthroughs such as Collin Morikawa remain the exception. Kirk’s age-38 résumé fits that pattern and, in Mayo’s view, pairs perfectly with his earlier case for Kirk’s PGA National comp wins and top-10 fairway-gained/around-the-green numbers. With Royal Portrush punishing wild tee shots and requiring veteran guile in the wind, Mayo prefers Kirk’s "seen it all" toolbox to the raw ceilings of Davis Thompson or Daniel Berger at similar odds. He reiterated that Kirk at 100-to-1 outright plus 8-to-1 Top-10 bets offers a sturdier path to profit than chasing unproven kids simply hoping for a spike week.

Pat Mayo spotlighted Chris Kirk at 100-to-1, tying Kirk’s value to his proven success on close comp tracks—wins at PGA National and Kapalua, both venues featuring slow, grainy greens and penal misses off the tee. Mayo noted Kirk’s form is sneaky good: solo 2nd in a Rocket Mortgage playoff, T12 at the U.S. Open, and a handful of top-30s where a single cold round masked otherwise elite tee-to-green numbers. Kirk ranks 9th in driving accuracy over his past 24 rounds and sits 14th in strokes-gained around the green, skills Mayo believes are paramount at Portrush once the wind kicks up. With books offering 8-to-1 for a Top-10 and triple-digit outright tickets, Mayo is betting Kirk outright and top-eight each-way, trusting the 39-year-old’s veteran guile and buttery-smooth swing to lurk all weekend.

John Schwarb likes Chris Kirk at +3500 to close the deal one week after losing a three-man playoff in Detroit. Schwarb pointed to Kirk’s current form and his comfort at TPC Deere Run—four finishes of T23 or better in seven appearances, including T21 last year. Schwarb expects last week’s narrow miss to sharpen Kirk’s focus as he hunts his seventh PGA Tour victory in a field missing most elite names.

Brady Kannon said Chris Kirk is worth another wager at 38-1 even after last week’s playoff heartbreak in Detroit. Kannon leaned on Kirk’s elite wedge game (among the best in the field from 75-150 yards), a driving profile that is both long and accurate, and proven course history. Kirk owns five top-30 finishes in seven Deere starts and just added a runner-up at Detroit to three prior top-20s there, confirming the crossover form Kannon seeks. The tout also cited Kirk’s past victory at Colonial, another correlated layout, as evidence that his skill set matches TPC Deere Run’s efficiency-over-power demands.

Rick Gehman remains tentatively bullish on Chris Kirk, noting back-to-back events with +9 strokes tee-to-green and positive putting. Although an exhausting playoff loss could sap some energy, Gehman argued that one made putt last week would have priced Kirk near $10.2K; instead gamers get an $8K-range discount. Solid course history (multiple top-25s) and a fairway-first profile make him a balanced lineup anchor if ownership stays below 15%.

Kenny Kim is back on Chris Kirk at $8,900 after the veteran’s runner-up at the Rocket Mortgage and 12th at Oakmont. Kim’s model shows Kirk top-10 overall, 5th tee-to-green, 6th in iron play, 9th in greens-in-regulation gained and 13th in bogey avoidance over the last 24 rounds. Kirk skipped the Travelers to focus on the Midwest swing and appears re-energized after considering time off earlier this summer. Kim downplayed any mental hangover from the missed four-footer that cost Kirk a playoff, noting the six-time winner has ‘handled worse things’ during his recovery from alcoholism. With a balanced profile tailor-made for wedge-heavy shootouts, Kim thinks the $8K price tag underrates Kirk’s win equity.

Bamford is sticking with Chris Kirk at 28/1 despite last week’s playoff loss in Detroit. Kirk gained over 3.5 strokes with the putter while ranking top-10 in SG Approach, Around-the-Green and Tee-to-Green—an all-around recipe that travels to Deere Run, a venue where hot wedges and a sub-1.7 putts-per-GIR mark are essential. FedEx Cup urgency also matters: now 67th, Kirk sees this weak-field 500-pointer as his best chance to lock up a Playoff berth before August. Course history is quietly solid—five top-30s in seven visits, including sitting 6th through 54 holes in both 2013 and 2023 on these pure Bentgrass greens. Bamford expects Kirk’s elite iron play and renewed putting confidence to translate into a victory chase.

Steve Bamford pegged Chris Kirk at 70/1 as the archetypal course horse. Kirk has finished 21st-12th-17th-14th-44th in five straight Detroit starts, ranking 9th in this field for total strokes gained at the Rocket and 9th Tee-to-Green. He has been inside the top 11 entering Sunday four different years, showing real win equity on the layout. Fresh off a confidence-boosting 12th at Oakmont’s U.S. Open—where he ranked top-25 SG Tee-to-Green—Kirk skipped last week’s Travelers (poor historical fit) to target a two-event run of Detroit and Deere for playoff points (currently 101st in FedEx standings). Bamford cited top-10 SG Approach numbers over the last eight weeks and familiarity with these poa-bent greens; if the putter perks up, his steady all-around profile could finally convert long-standing course comfort into a trophy.

Pat Perry highlighted the strategic value in rostering affordable, lower-owned golfers like Chris Kirk in Millie Maker DFS contests. Referencing the successful $100 Millie Maker lineup that featured Chris Kirk at just 6.63% ownership, Perry emphasized the need to mix high-owned picks with carefully selected inexpensive, lower-owned options to achieve differentiation that can separate lineups in large-field GPPs. He advocated for blending popular value golfers with low-owned plays to strike the optimal balance required to win these tournaments.

Jamie Worsley selected Chris Kirk for his strong Texas Open track record and recent improvements in his putting performance. Although Kirk has endured a lackluster season so far with only one top-25 finish, he recently reversed his struggles on the greens with a solid putting performance (ranked 15th) at TPC Sawgrass. Kirk also consistently excels at TPC San Antonio, boasting four top-10 finishes in nine appearances, with the best being 6th in 2021. His past success at strongly correlated tournaments like the Sony Open (twice a runner-up) and a victory at the Cognizant Classic further support Kirk's potential for strong performance this weekend.

Ben Coley recommends Chris Kirk at generous 80/1 odds due to Kirk’s stellar record at the Valero Texas Open—five top-15 finishes in nine appearances. Kirk showed signs of putting improvements at TPC Sawgrass, his main area of recent weakness, underpinning potential gains. Furthermore, Kirk excels historically off-the-tee and with reliable irons at San Antonio. Coley sees Kirk’s veteran status, proficiency on similar courses, and recent glimpses of better putting as key indicators he's ready to deliver another strong showing prior to his Masters participation.

Matt Every voiced support for Chris Kirk's chances at the Valero Texas Open, primarily because Kirk's game historically aligns well with TPC San Antonio. Every elaborated that even during his own personal struggles as a pro golfer, he had success at Valero. Drawing from his experience, Every confidently stated some golfers just inherently perform well at this venue, indicating Kirk has a similar connection and comfort with TPC San Antonio that should help him overcome current form issues.

Pat Perry recommended considering Chris Kirk as a DFS pivot selection at $7400 on DraftKings, given his notable course history highlighted by a 6th and a 10th-place finish at Valero Texas Open. Perry mentioned Kirk has rebounded from a rough early season start, finding improved form lately and showcasing potential DFS upside as an under-the-radar value this week.

Kenny Kim highlighted Chris Kirk as a favorable DFS pivot off higher-owned players like Charley Hoffman due to similarly solid course history at Valero Texas Open. Kirk possesses an appealing track record here combined with proven win equity, making him an intriguing option at lower ownership levels. Kim explicitly stated Kirk could provide similar upside to golfers like Hoffman but at potentially lower DFS exposure, adding valuable tournament leverage opportunities.

Mike Petta identified Chris Kirk as an appealing DFS pivot off chalkier Doug Ghim due to their identical price but likely divergent ownership levels. Petta noted Ghim as somebody expected to attract significant ownership, recommending Kirk as the contrarian alternative for large-field tournaments. He emphasized this decision as primarily ownership-driven rather than heavily statistics-based, making Kirk an attractive ownership-based pivot to differentiate tournament lineups.