Matt Gannon liked Daniel Berger at $7,400, calling him a perfect buy-low for DFS line-ups. Berger is ‘striping the ball’—gaining strokes both off-the-tee and on approach over his last four worldwide starts—yet remains virtually unowned because he ranks 118th in strokes-gained putting this season. Gannon trusts Berger’s proven pedigree on links layouts, noting he routinely elevates in windy, firm conditions and that a change to fescue greens could spark enough putting regression to unlock a top-10 ceiling. With ownership expected to lag far behind other mid-7K names, Gannon saw Berger as an ideal tournament pivot who offers cut-making safety and win equity if the putter even breaks even.

Schwarb’s long-shot ticket is Daniel Berger at +9000. Berger ranks 18th on Tour in strokes-gained off the tee and 23rd in approach this season, yet remains winless. Schwarb believes those elite tee-to-green numbers translate well to Renaissance and the 90-1 price makes the risk palatable.

Jim Sannes also endorsed Daniel Berger at +360 for a top-10, arguing that recent missed cuts are noise tied almost entirely to a cold putter. Berger’s flatstick finally perked up at Pinehurst while the predictive ball-striking stats were already green: he gained off the tee and on approach at the U.S. Open. Sannes noted Berger ranks 14th in his ceiling model and called the wedges the only short-term concern—something he expects to rebound on a layout loaded with 125-to-175-yard shots. With two previous top-5s at TPC River Highlands and elite driving accuracy, Sannes believes the 3.6-to-1 price is a strong risk-reward play for bettors and a viable high-exposure DFS piece.

Brandon Gdula said he is betting Daniel Berger for a top-10 at +360 and called it his favorite non-outright in the “3-to-1” neighborhood. Gdula highlighted Berger’s return to elite iron play at the U.S. Open, where he gained with both the approach and the driver despite finishing T46. His model has Berger 14th in ceiling rating and 9th in season-long tee-to-green ceiling, signaling upside that the implied 21% top-10 probability does not fully capture. Berger also owns back-to-back top-5s at TPC River Highlands (2016-17) and profiles as a fairway-finder on the Tour’s shortest par-70. With four guaranteed rounds in a no-cut field, Gdula believes the +360 ticket offers an ideal blend of floor and ceiling for betting cards and DFS exposure.

Renoylds took Daniel Berger at 50-1 despite a five-year Travelers absence. Berger was runner-up here in 2017, fifth in 2016, and finished 3rd on another Pete Dye track (Harbour Town) earlier this season. His shot-shaping off the tee and elite mid-iron control fit River Highlands’ club-down template, and Renoylds highlighted Berger’s top-5 Pete Dye strokes-gained profile over the last 36 rounds. The books have not adjusted for that specialist angle, making 50-1 a buy signal.

Sobel suggested an aggressive outright swing on Daniel Berger at +5000 despite consecutive missed cuts. He reminded readers that Berger finished inside the top-five in each of his first two Travelers starts and routinely spends summers sharpening his game in New England, giving him more local reps than most of the field. The analyst framed the recent slump as noise within a broader comeback season and argued bettors should give the former world top-20 one more week on a track that suits his controlled, left-to-right ball flight.

Daniel Berger, priced at $7,500, drew Hunter’s interest after two top-5s in four career Travelers starts and 10 top-30s in 16 appearances this season. He has four top-15s in five signature events, highlighted by a T3 at the Dye-designed RBC Heritage. Berger ranks 15th in overall par-4 performance, valuable on a par-70 with 12 fours. With four of the last five champions ranking top-5 in par-4 efficiency, Hunter believes Berger is mis-priced for cash builds.

McDonald pegged Daniel Berger as his 55-1 sleeper play. Berger hasn’t teed it up in Cromwell since 2019, but McDonald stressed the course still suits his "fairways-and-greens" DNA. The analyst noted that Berger appeared to "find something" in his putting stroke last week, an important development because the rest of the bag—especially controlled tee shots and crisp irons—has remained reliable. If the newfound confidence on the greens carries over, McDonald believes Berger can shock the field and lift the trophy, making him a worthwhile long-shot outright and each-way wager.

Hunter views Daniel Berger ($7,500) as under-the-radar safety with upside. Berger owns two top-5s in four course appearances, has 10 top-30s in 16 events this year, and has excelled at signature events with four top-15s in five tries, including a T3 at the RBC Heritage on another Pete Dye layout. He ranks 15th in overall par-4 performance in 2025; River Highlands is a par-70 with 12 par fours, and four of the last five champs finished top-5 in par-4 efficiency.

Reynolds took Daniel Berger at 50/1 on FanDuel, leaning on his stellar history at River Highlands and overall Pete Dye form. Berger lost a playoff here to peak Jordan Spieth in 2017 and finished fifth the year prior. Although he has not teed it up at the Travelers since 2019, he reminded bettors of his Dye pedigree with a solo third at Harbour Town’s RBC Heritage in April. Berger ranks eighth in Strokes Gained Total on Pete Dye courses over the last 36 rounds and sits top-15 in Off-the-Tee this season, giving him an ideal profile for a course that rewards positional driving and wedge proximity.

At 50/1 on FanDuel, Daniel Berger made Reynolds’ card thanks to historical and course-type fits. Though absent from the Travelers since 2019, Berger owns a playoff loss to Jordan Spieth here in 2017 and a 5th-place finish in 2016. He recently finished 3rd at Harbour Town—another Pete Dye track—showing his game still meshes with Dye’s sightlines. Berger ranks 8th in SG: Off-the-Tee this season and 5th in total strokes gained on Dye layouts over the last 36 rounds, giving Reynolds confidence the Florida State product can contend immediately.

Matt Gannon wants Daniel Berger on his outright card at 50-1. Since returning from injury Berger has gained strokes with his irons in every start, and Gannon emphasized that River Highlands amplifies wedge play while muting big-stick advantages—an ideal recipe for Berger’s fairway-first, dial-a-number approach game. Even in missed-cut weeks the Florida native continues to gain with approach, so Gannon sees a high floor plus legit win equity in this no-cut signature setup. With books hanging a number normally reserved for deeper fields, Gannon recommends Berger in outrights and top-20 markets before the public catches on.

Gannon loves Daniel Berger at $7,500. Berger gained three-plus strokes putting at Pinehurst, hit the ball well, and now returns to a venue where he owns a runner-up and T-5. Gannon recalled the near-miss versus Jordan Spieth out of the bunker and believes the comfort level plus recent signs with the flat stick make Berger a smash GPP play.

Andy Lack flagged Daniel Berger as the best mid-tier outright on the board. Berger’s controllable cut driver and surgically precise wedges have historically crushed Pete Dye ‘short-course specials’—he owns three career top-10s on tracks under 7,100 yards and sits inside the top-25 in fairways gained since returning from injury. TPC River Highlands forces lay-ups on roughly 60 percent of holes, neutralising Berger’s lack of raw length and letting him lean into his tour-average +0.65 strokes-gained approach from 75-150 yards. With sportsbooks still hanging 60-to-1 after a quiet U.S. Open, Lack believes the number implies only a 1.6 percent win probability—far too low given the fit and Berger’s proven closing chops (four PGA Tour wins, each on sub-7,200-yard layouts). He plans to pair Berger outrights with Scheffler top-of-board exposure and will lock the Floridian into cash DFS builds at any sub-$8K salary.

Farnsworth targeted Daniel Berger as a contrarian DFS dart. Berger has missed his last two cuts, which Farnsworth expects will keep roster rates microscopic, but the analyst reminded listeners that Berger is still one of the Tour’s most accurate drivers when healthy and finished T-7 at the 2024 PLAYERS. Oakmont punishes misses so severely that pure fairway finders can rebound quickly, and Berger’s historically reliable mid-irons fit that profile. If the putter heats even slightly, Farnsworth sees a top-25 ceiling at less than 3% ownership—ideal for large-field tournaments that need leverage more than floor.

Guy Boston Sports likes buying the dip on Daniel Berger at even money for a top-40 or +135 for a top-30. Despite two straight missed cuts, Berger’s last 16-round sample shows the exact ingredients for Oakmont: accurate off the tee, top-30 scrambling, and strong approach play, particularly from rye bluegrass rough. His most recent U.S. Open start resulted in T21, evidence he handles major setups. The tout admitted the recent results are ugly but trusts the underlying numbers and sees Berger as a sneaky head-to-head weapon in addition to the placement bet.

Calling Daniel Berger an ideal one-day specialist, Burke recommended a sprinkle on Berger to be first-round leader at +7500. Berger is 12th in Strokes Gained: Total, 17th Off-the-Tee, 23rd Approach, and 12th in driving accuracy—all signals he can keep the ball in Oakmont’s fairways and hit greens early in the week. He’s also top-25 in approaches over 200 yards and 30th in fairway proximity. While his balky putter has suppressed full-tournament upside, Berger’s 35th GIR%, 26th scrambling, and 10th scrambling from the rough indicate he can post one low number if a few putts drop, making him a classic high-ceiling FRL play.

Geoff Fienberg called Daniel Berger his favorite long-shot outright after sifting through the 100-to-150 range. Berger checks every U.S. Open box Fienberg cares about: he sits 12th in driving accuracy since returning from injury, is gaining nearly a stroke per round on approach over his last five starts, and historically ranks top-20 on Tour from 50-75 yards—the punch-out distance players will face when Oakmont’s rough forces lay-ups. Fienberg believes Berger’s controlled cut driver and elite wedge game give him a more realistic path to winning than bigger names like Wyndham Clark or Cam Young, who simply replicate Bryson’s skill set at a lower level. With sportsbooks hanging prices three times longer than the tier above him, Fienberg prefers to fire each-way top-8s and a small outright on Berger rather than chase shaky form from pricier options.

Pat Mayo labeled Daniel Berger a sneaky DFS and placement-prop target after his updated model showed Berger seventh in strokes-gained approach and 30th in fairways hit across his last three U.S. Opens. Mayo acknowledged the optics are ugly—Berger has missed his last two PGA Tour cuts and lost 3.1 strokes putting at Memorial—yet insisted Oakmont’s fairway-first, long-iron test dovetails with Berger’s core strengths. The putter has historically been neutral to plus for Berger, so Mayo is betting on mean reversion and a T16-ish finish that smashes his mid-6K DraftKings salary and +180 top-40 odds. He cautioned listeners to skip the outright tickets—“the ceiling likely stops at back-door top-10”—but sees Berger as an ideal cash-game anchor and a head-to-head play versus volatile bombers like Min Woo Lee.

Jim Sannes is pairing Scottie Scheffler with Daniel Berger at 40-1 in his outright card. Although Berger has lost strokes putting in four consecutive events, Sannes pointed out that the Floridian is third in the field in driving accuracy and sits second only to Scheffler in DataGolf’s strokes-gained stabilization metric, which weights larger-sample ball-striking more heavily than volatile short game. Berger is gaining off the tee and on approach, carries above-average distance for an accuracy specialist, and owns a proven short-game around the green—skills Sannes deems critical at Muirfield’s narrow corridors and shaved run-offs. With ball-striking trending and the putter due for mean regression, Sannes thinks Berger is mispriced as a true win candidate in a 72-man field.

Berger missed the cut in his last start, but Polzin chalked it up to a putting anomaly—multiple lip-outs and edge burns captured on broadcast. Prior to that he had strung together four top-25 finishes and was gaining over 1.2 strokes per round tee-to-green. His price has slid into the low-$7Ks, presenting what Polzin called a classic buy-low spot. He expects ownership to be suppressed after last week’s miscue, making Berger a strong GPP pivot with top-15 equity if the putter merely cooperates.

Pat Mayo argued that Daniel Berger is an under-the-radar buy at Muirfield Village despite last week’s missed cut. Mayo noted Berger finally looks "very close" to his pre-surgery form three years removed from back issues, citing steady ball-striking numbers in the early summer swing and a profile tailor-made for Jack’s place—fairway finding, mid-iron precision and an above-average Bentgrass putter. Mayo reminded listeners that Berger owns multiple top-10s on long, second-shot layouts (TPC Southwind, Pebble Beach, Colonial) and called his current mid-range outright price a discount relative to comparable plotters such as Corey Conners and Tommy Fleetwood. He recommended sprinkling Berger in outright markets, top-20 bets and One-and-Done contests this week.

Gehman admitted Daniel Berger’s wand has been ‘ugly’—he lost 4+ strokes putting in each of his last two starts—but thinks the upside outweighs the risk in a signature-event format where more golfers play the weekend. Berger sits 7th in strokes gained tee-to-green over the last 36 rounds (1.2 per round), better than Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa and Si Woo Kim. His lone appearance on Muirfield’s new greens produced +6.5 strokes putting and a T5 finish (2021), giving Gehman hope that a spike week is possible. Because Berger’s blow-up rounds usually come early on the greens, Gehman likes that the Memorial’s top-50 cut offers two extra chances for regression. He plans to be overweight in DFS GPPs and sprinkle top-20 tickets, calling Berger the prototypical high-variance play that can win someone a tournament if the putter cooperates even slightly.

Stewart highlighted Daniel Berger at +1,800 in the "without Scottie" outright pool. Berger won Colonial in 2020 when the field was major-caliber immediately after the COVID shutdown, proving he is comfortable on the property. Stewart noted the renovated bent-grass greens should help Berger’s streaky putter—his lone weakness of late—while his approach play has been steady since February. With nearly half of Colonial’s approach shots coming from 125-175 yards, the exact band where Berger ranks top-15 on Tour this season, Stewart thinks the Floridian profiles as the most likely candidate to finish second behind Scheffler or steal the trophy if the favorite stumbles.

Carver endorsed Daniel Berger for a Top-10 at +240. Berger owns a win and three additional top-20s at Colonial, thrives on shorter positional layouts, and looked fully healthy with a T-13 at Valhalla where he gained 6.1 strokes on approach. That iron form coupled with elite history makes the plus-money tag attractive in placement markets that exclude Scheffler’s outright dominance.

Farnsworth said Daniel Berger is trending toward another Colonial run. Despite a T-33 last week, Berger was elite tee-to-green and merely held back by a cold putter. As a past Charles Schwab champion who regularly gains on approach and around the green, Berger profiles perfectly for a layout where small, firm greens demand scrambling skills. Farnsworth expects Berger to contend if the flat stick rebounds, making him an attractive DFS tournament play.

John Schwarb went back to Daniel Berger at +2200 after using him as a PGA Championship long-shot. Berger closed the PGA with a Sunday 68 (T33) and now returns to the site of his 2020 victory. Schwarb noted that Berger is still chasing his first win since a lengthy injury layoff but faces a weaker field this week while sitting tied as second choice behind Scheffler. The combination of trending form and proven course history makes Berger his top outright.

McDonald listed Daniel Berger as a live outright at 25-1, labeling him a clear 'Contender.' Berger won this event in 2020 and returns with elite recent ball-striking metrics—he has been, in McDonald’s words, 'striking the cover off the golf ball for months.' The only blemish has been inconsistent putting, but Colonial’s relatively tame greens give him a realistic path to spike with the flat stick. The analyst noted that multiple predictive data points (strokes-gained approach trend, top-20 rate) signal an impending victory and believes a comfort level on the layout where he already owns a trophy could be the tipping point.

Alex Hunter said Daniel Berger is the clear One-and-Done play at Colonial. Berger is finally healthy after back issues and has cashed 11 of 13 cuts this season with nine top-25 finishes, including runner-up at the WM Phoenix Open and a T-3 at the RBC Heritage. He ranks 8th in total strokes gained, 4th in par-4 scoring and 15th in strokes-gained approach, mirroring a trend in which four of the past five Charles Schwab Challenge winners finished top-8 in both categories. Berger already owns the 2020 trophy at Colonial and has three top-25s in six career starts there. Across all Texas venues he sits 9th in strokes gained per round, and over his last 50 rounds on par-70 layouts he is 8th in the field. He has gained on approach in six straight events and closed the PGA Championship with a 3-under 68, signaling form is intact. DraftKings Sportsbook lists him at +2200 to win, second shortest behind Scottie Scheffler, underscoring Hunter’s expectation that Berger contends and is an ideal season-long bullet to fire this week.

Neil Parker recommended betting Daniel Berger outright at +2500 on DraftKings. Parker noted Berger already lifted the trophy here in 2020, has made 10 straight cuts, and ranks second in this week’s field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and third on approach over that stretch. The heater includes two Top-5s and six additional Top-25s, all in tougher, top-heavy fields than the one assembled at Colonial. With the event lacking most of the TOUR’s elite names, Parker believes Berger’s elite ball-striking and past comfort on the layout make him undervalued to win.

Brady Kannon said Daniel Berger is a must-play at 23-1 for both an outright win and a top-20. Kannon’s custom model — built on SG: Approach, Greens in Regulation, Good Drives Gained, Driving Accuracy, Par-4 scoring from 350-450 yards, proximity 125-175 yards and SG: Putting on Bentgrass — ranks Berger second in the entire field behind only Scottie Scheffler. Course history checks every box: a victory at Colonial in 2020 plus two additional top-25 finishes. Berger’s form on correlated tight-fairway tracks is equally strong with a runner-up at last autumn’s RSM Classic and two third-place finishes at Harbour Town, the latest just last month. He also owns two top-15s and a top-10 at Waialae’s Sony Open. Kannon believes Berger’s precision ball-striking and elite short-iron numbers make him the most logical challenger to Scheffler on a revamped Colonial layout that again rewards accuracy.

Pat Mayo warned that Daniel Berger is shaping up as the default "second man in" on DraftKings builds, creating a potential ownership trap. Fantasy National’s early favorite-percentage data shows the field gravitating to Scheffler-Berger stacks and even Scheffler-Berger-Aaron Rai starts, which forces drafters into shaky $6K punts like Bud Cauley or Ryan Gerard. Mayo prefers fading Berger entirely and pivoting to less popular options such as Brian Harman, Maverick McNealy, or a three-deep 9K core of Si Woo Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, and Harris English. He argued that Berger’s form is still speculative after the long injury layoff and that a likely 20-plus percent roster rate does not justify the risk when the weekend wind could level the leaderboard. By skipping Berger, players can stay in the low-7K range—where names like Nicolas Echavarria and Henrik Norlander carry real top-20 equity—while gaining massive leverage on chalk constructions built around the former Ryder Cupper.

Matt Brown said Daniel Berger shot up to second in his mixed-condition model— the only player even remotely in Scottie Scheffler’s zip code this week— and there is another "huge drop-off" from Berger down to Aaron Rai. Because of that gap, Brown is splitting his normal outright unit, taking Berger at 22-1 in the standard market but putting the bulk of his exposure in the ‘winner without Scheffler’ pool at 18–19-1. Brown repeated his reasoning from earlier in the show that Scheffler’s Sunday ceiling makes outright markets volatile, whereas the derivative protects bankroll while still paying a premium if Berger finishes first among mortals.

Nick Borrman tabbed Daniel Berger as the most logical challenger to Scottie Scheffler and a must-bet in multiple markets. Borrman highlighted that Berger already owns a victory at Colonial (2020) and has added two additional top-25 finishes in three subsequent appearances, proving the course fit. Statistically, Berger has been more accurate than the field off the tee in every 2025 start and ranks top-10 in iron play on tour this season. After missing two of his first three cuts while shaking off rust, he has now made ten straight weekends with eight top-25 results. Borrman blamed a "small blip" in recent putting for last week’s T33 but expects comfort on greens he knows well. He advised grabbing 25-1 outright, 20-1 in without-Scheffler markets, and sprinkling on +260 top-10 and +120 top-20 tickets, noting the hedge opportunity if you still want to lay chalk on Scheffler.

Andy Lang said Daniel Berger is "going to win one of these" sooner rather than later and urged bettors to pounce before the market fully adjusts. Lang pointed to Berger’s elite ball-striking numbers – a +1.38 strokes-gained approach average over the last 30 days that trails only Scottie Scheffler – and noted that the former Colonial champion is second in the field in total strokes gained over the last three months. Tee-to-green play remains "fantastic," with off-the-tee gains every week since March, and Berger has turned that into eight top-25 finishes in his last 10 starts (worst finish T33 at the PGA). The lone blemish is the putter, but Lang reminded listeners that hot putting streaks come in waves and expects positive regression on familiar, slower Colonial greens. Given the consistency and proven course history, Lang recommended outright tickets as well as top-10/20 props before the number shortens further.

John Hasslebauer backed Daniel Berger at 25-1 standard (20-1 in the without-Scheffler market), calling Colonial "the perfect course" for Berger’s resurgent, well-rounded game. Berger already owns a win at Hogan Alley and currently ranks top-10 on Tour in fairways gained, proximity from 100-150 yards, and bogey avoidance over his last 24 rounds—exactly what thrives on the post-restoration layout. Hasslebauer added that Berger’s short-game touch has quietly returned—he has gained strokes putting in six of his last seven starts—and he believes a victory is imminent given three straight top-20s against stronger fields. Expected dry, windy weather should keep the greens firm, enhancing the edge Berger’s controlled ball flight and past-champion comfort provide.

Andy Lack said Daniel Berger checks every box for Colonial and should be one of the first names clicked in outright cards and DFS cores. Berger owns a victory here and sits among the field’s top wedge players, having gained over 0.50 strokes per round on approaches inside 200 yards this season. Colonial’s less-than-driver design magnifies that strength and suppresses his biggest weakness—elite length. Lack added that last week’s middling finish at Quail Hollow is a throw-away data point because Quail demands long-iron volume and raw power, whereas Colonial rewards Berger’s short-iron distance control and fairway-finding. With the course playing firm again and winning score likely single-digits under par, Lack expects Berger’s precise flighted wedges and proven Texas comfort to make him a legitimate win threat and a chalky yet worthwhile click at anything 18-1 or longer.

Michael Breed tabbed Daniel Berger as his favorite true long-shot because Berger’s "complete game" thrives when par is a great score. Breed highlighted that Quail Hollow will likely start soft, then bake out, turning the week into a survival test. Berger’s above-average driving accuracy, solid iron play, and tidy short game give him the tools to ride out those conditions and stay on the right side of par. With sportsbooks hanging triple-digit outright numbers, Breed is adding Berger to his betting card, sprinkling top-20 props, and mixing him into DFS builds as a low-roster leverage play.

Sannes admitted he sprinkled Daniel Berger outright at 100-to-1 purely as a price enforcement play. Although he doubts Berger’s limited length produces a true ceiling week, Sannes argued the market should have him shorter than triple digits given his ranking of 17th in DataGolf’s pro ranks, across-the-board strokes-gained profile, and solid Quail Hollow history. He views it as a small-stake, high-payout add to an outright card otherwise focused on Xander Schauffele and bigger hitters, reasoning that Berger’s baseline form makes 100-1 mispriced relative to the rest of the mid-tier.

Jim Sannes echoed the Berger love, calling the +260 top-20 ‘the second-best non-outright on the board.’ Berger is gaining in all four strokes-gained categories despite average length, even picking up off-the-tee thanks to accuracy—important on Quail Hollow’s 28-yard fairways. He has gained at least one stroke on approach in three straight events, one of which was the Masters, and has turned those gains into three consecutive top-25 finishes. Because superior carry distance remains questionable, Sannes sees the top-20 as the sweet spot, giving bettors exposure to a player whose floor is higher than the market implies.

Brandon Gdula targeted Daniel Berger for a top-20 at +260, arguing the number underrates his all-around form. Berger sits 17th in DataGolf’s pro rankings and 12th in total strokes gained over the last 50 rounds despite playing only two majors since 2022 due to injury—T21 at both the 2025 Masters and 2024 U.S. Open. He owns four made cuts in five Quail Hollow starts with consistently positive iron splits. While Gdula admitted Berger’s lack of elite distance caps a true win bid, his top-25 irons and wedges over the past 50 rounds plus solid scrambling make a top-20 the optimal market exposure in a soggy, ball-striking-heavy setup.

Tony Sartori urged bettors to sprinkle Daniel Berger at +10000 to win the PGA Championship, pointing to a nine-event tear in which Berger has not only made every cut but gained total strokes each week. During that stretch he has finished T30 or better every time, flashed upside with a runner-up at the WM Phoenix Open and a T3 at the Signature-level RBC Heritage, and gained strokes putting, around the green, on approach, and off the tee in at least seven of those nine starts. Sartori emphasized Berger’s elite driving accuracy—vital at Quail Hollow’s hallway-narrow fairways and gnarly rough—and argued that the well-rounded form proves he can hang with the sport’s elite in a major. All of that makes Berger a viable longshot worth backing at triple-digit odds.

Brandon Gdula called Daniel Berger one of his favorite value plays at an $8,900 salary. Since returning from injury Berger has posted nine consecutive top-30 finishes—including three podiums—while gaining 1.87 true strokes per round. Gdula highlighted Berger’s steady Quail Hollow résumé (five career starts, four made cuts, two top-25s) and his eight top-25s in 27 majors as proof he handles big-event pressure. The combination of elite recent form, reliable iron play, and a historically strong short game lets DFS players afford a Rory/Bryson core without sacrificing cut-making equity. Gdula is also eyeing Berger for top-20 bets around +240, noting that his balanced skill-set plays up at a 7,600-yard par-71 where missing greens is inevitable.

In Tier 3, Polzin is "probably just going Daniel Berger." Berger ranks top-10 in both key-stat fit and recent-form metrics on the 9-to-5 cheat-sheet. Since returning from injury he has rattled off T15 at API, T20 at THE PLAYERS, T30 at Valero, T21 at Augusta, solo 3rd at RBC Heritage and 11th last week. Although he lacks recent Quail Hollow reps, Polzin trusts the current trajectory and sees a realistic path to a top-10, making Berger the preferred blend of ceiling and stability over riskier options like Patrick Reed or Sungjae Im.

Polzin urged listeners to grab Daniel Berger at 110-1 on FanDuel before the number corrects, calling it a mis-tag more appropriate for a journeyman than a former top-20 player flashing peak form. Since returning from injury, Berger owns a 3rd at RBC Heritage and an 11th last week, ranking 8th in both recent-form and overall stat fit in Polzin’s 9to5 model. He sits top-10 in strokes-gained approach and total driving over the past 12 rounds, metrics that historically separate contenders at a lengthened Quail Hollow. The only blemish is zero course reps in the last four years, but Polzin is willing to overlook that given Berger’s current ball-striking heater. He recommends adding Berger as a last man in for large-field DFS tournaments and tacking him onto outright cards that fade the super-short favorites.

Jeff Erickson tabbed Daniel Berger as his favorite sub-$8K sleeper, citing a third-place finish at the RBC Heritage since returning from injury and steady ball-striking metrics reminiscent of his pre-injury peak. At $7,900, Berger offers top-10 ceiling without forcing managers into the $6K scrub range, making him a strong one-and-done or DFS pivot away from more popular names in the same salary band.

Matt Gannon said Daniel Berger is the lone player he trusts at the top of the $7K range, asserting that Berger’s current ball-striking metrics "are not that far off" Justin Thomas’s despite a $1,400 salary gap. Gannon observed that Berger has been "absolutely striping the ball" lately and is inching back toward the Ryder-Cup-level form he showed before injuries. Because the field will gravitate to chalky names in the 8K tier, Gannon plans to "put a lot of eggs" in Berger’s basket as a mid-salary anchor with genuine top-10 equity if the putter shows up.

Rich Gehman spotlighted Daniel Berger as the best value in the $7,000 DraftKings tier. Berger shook off a disastrous opening-round putter (-3.5 SG Putting on Thursday) to finish T11 at Philadelphia Cricket Club, gaining a stroke or more on approach in all four rounds and keeping every tee shot in play. Since January 1st, 2025 he is +1.3 total strokes per round—better than Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry and Patrick Cantlay over the same span—yet remains priced nearly $2K cheaper. Gehman called Quail Hollow a 'big-ballpark where fairway finders thrive' and likes Berger’s steady ball flight over bomb-and-gouge types in bad weather. He recommends overweight DFS exposure and top-20 placement bets.