Pat Perry grabbed David Lipsky at 171-1, noting the veteran is “kind of hot right now” after posting back-to-back third-place finishes at the John Deere and 3M. Perry argued that Sedgefield minimizes driving distance and rewards players arriving with confidence in their irons and putter. Although Lipsky has yet to claim a PGA Tour victory, Perry sees the recent podiums as proof of ceiling and thinks the triple-digit number is worth a sprinkle in outrights and a contrarian DFS slot.

Larry sprinkled on David Lipsky at 170-1 after noticing the putter finally cooperate over the past two weeks. Lipsky’s baseline accuracy and tidy wedge game already suit Sedgefield; when the flat stick cooperates he turns into a top-15 birdie maker on bermuda greens. Larry admits Lipsky’s PGA Tour record is spotty but points to his multiple wins at Korn Ferry and European Challenge Tour stops on similar par-70 tracks as proof he can seal the deal. Given the recent spike putting and a number hanging north of 150-1, Larry thinks Lipsky is the right kind of volatile dart for deep outright and T10 markets.

Polzin made David Lipsky a low-salary core play strictly on momentum. Lipsky has rattled off four consecutive made cuts, finishing 3rd at both the 3M Open and John Deere Classic. Over that stretch he sits 11th in the field for SG: Approach and 33rd Tee-to-Green, vaulting him into the top-10 in SG: Total on Polzin’s rolling five-event sample. Season-long metrics are still poor—explaining the rock-bottom price and only a 50% modelled cut probability—but Polzin is willing to chase the form in large-field GPPs and even tossed a sprinkle on the outrageous 250-to-1 outright at PointsBet (200-to-1 on FanDuel). The play opens cap room for premium chalk while preserving realistic top-five equity if the heater continues.

Rick Gehman flagged David Lipsky at $6,800 as one of his favorite "diamonds in the rough". Since snapping a five-event missed-cut streak at Rocket Mortgage, something clearly clicked: Lipsky has finished T3-T28-T32-T3 across John Deere, ISCO, Barracuda and 3M. In the 12 ShotLink-measured rounds during that stretch he has gained a massive 15 strokes tee-to-green, including complete gains (positive in every category) in both of last week’s T3 efforts. Gehman compared the profile to Kurt Kitayama’s pre-win metrics and said players often draw inspiration from a friend’s breakthrough—Kitayama won the 3M, then Lipsky immediately posted his own T3. With Sedgefield penalizing inaccuracy off the tee, Lipsky’s newfound precision and confidence make him one of the best point-per-dollar values on DraftKings.

Bamford grabbed David Lipsky at 150/1 for 1 point each-way, arguing the veteran’s current run (3rd John Deere, 28th ISCO, 32nd Barracuda, 3rd 3M) lines up perfectly with Sedgefield’s demands. Over the past four weeks Lipsky rates top-30 SG Off-the-Tee, top-20 Approach, top-20 Putting and top-12 Tee-to-Green, while ranking top-10 in current form. His accuracy-first profile (short but straight, excellent wedges) matches the Ross layout where he was 27th on debut in 2022. Weekend 64-64 (-14) at TPC Twin Cities underscored streaky scoring potential. Sitting 88th in the FedEx standings, he needs a big week; Bamford believes the combination of recent tee-to-green precision and a warm Bermudagrass putter makes the triple-digit price standout.

Jason Rouslin labeled David Lipsky a pure odds play in the Lipsky/Hoey/Ryder first-round 3-ball, acknowledging the pick carries only 1-of-9 confidence and would likely be omitted from tighter betting cards. Still, Rouslin noted Lipsky’s "superb" course history and believes the market is giving generous plus odds on a player who has repeatedly excelled at this venue. He views that course comfort as enough to justify a small flier despite the long-shot status.

Geoff Ulrich labeled David Lipsky the prototypical large-field tournament dart at $6,100. Lipsky has finished T14, T22 and T9 in his last three trips to Colonial, proving he can hang on tight par-70 tracks when the wedges behave. The flip side: he also owns a sky-high missed-cut rate, so Ulrich only uses him in boom-or-bust builds that already lean contrarian. If Lipsky does make the weekend, history says he climbs the board in bunches, giving Scheffler-Berger lineups the cheap, sub-5-percent-owned shot of adrenaline they need to differentiate. Ulrich summed it up: “He either nukes you Thursday or is live for another top-10—exactly the volatility we want at six-one.”

Byron Lindeque identified David Lipsky as a compelling bottom-of-the-odds-board (250-to-1) option for first-round leader bets at THE PLAYERS Championship. Byron highlighted Lipsky’s recent elite iron play, which has seen outstanding strokes-gained approach numbers the past several events. Specifically mentioning Lipsky’s tremendous approach performance through the first three rounds of the recent Mexico Open, Byron acknowledged a poor final round but emphasized overall strong recent iron performance. He believes Lipsky’s prowess on shorter courses combined with his current form presents exceptional value for the first-round-leader market bets this week.