Jason Rouslin labeled David Lipsky a pure odds play in the Lipsky/Hoey/Ryder first-round 3-ball, acknowledging the pick carries only 1-of-9 confidence and would likely be omitted from tighter betting cards. Still, Rouslin noted Lipsky’s "superb" course history and believes the market is giving generous plus odds on a player who has repeatedly excelled at this venue. He views that course comfort as enough to justify a small flier despite the long-shot status.

Geoff Ulrich labeled David Lipsky the prototypical large-field tournament dart at $6,100. Lipsky has finished T14, T22 and T9 in his last three trips to Colonial, proving he can hang on tight par-70 tracks when the wedges behave. The flip side: he also owns a sky-high missed-cut rate, so Ulrich only uses him in boom-or-bust builds that already lean contrarian. If Lipsky does make the weekend, history says he climbs the board in bunches, giving Scheffler-Berger lineups the cheap, sub-5-percent-owned shot of adrenaline they need to differentiate. Ulrich summed it up: “He either nukes you Thursday or is live for another top-10—exactly the volatility we want at six-one.”

Byron Lindeque identified David Lipsky as a compelling bottom-of-the-odds-board (250-to-1) option for first-round leader bets at THE PLAYERS Championship. Byron highlighted Lipsky’s recent elite iron play, which has seen outstanding strokes-gained approach numbers the past several events. Specifically mentioning Lipsky’s tremendous approach performance through the first three rounds of the recent Mexico Open, Byron acknowledged a poor final round but emphasized overall strong recent iron performance. He believes Lipsky’s prowess on shorter courses combined with his current form presents exceptional value for the first-round-leader market bets this week.