Barnett floated Dean Burmester as a sneaky 140-1 outright after reviewing his LIV form and distance profile. Burmester has posted a runner-up and a T-4 on LIV this season while averaging 190 mph ball speed—elite carry that neutralizes Quail’s wet fairways. He won last year’s LIV Miami at Doral, another long, water-laced bomber track, and finished T-12 at the 2024 PGA and T-19 at the Open, proving he can hang in majors. Barnett likes that Burmester’s driving dominance pairs with an underrated short game (top-30 in scrambling on LIV) and believes the South African’s volatility is exactly what you want in a triple-digit ticket.

For his Bronze pick, Cam Stewart pounced on Dean Burmester at +225 to be Low South African. Burmester averages 322 yards of carry and has gained strokes off-the-tee in eight straight LIV starts, a profile Stewart believes will thrive on a wet Valhalla that rewards fearless drivers. The South African finished T12 in last year’s PGA and owns multiple LIV podiums, giving him proven ceiling at major-caliber venues. While Matt Vincenzi worries about Burmester’s cold putter, Stewart countered that soft greens should lessen the flat-stick liability and that merely topping countrymen Erik van Rooyen and Christiaan Bezuidenhout should be enough. He dubbed the +225 “Burmista Mista” ticket a must-bet in his minerals card.

Matt Vincenzi pushed back on the earlier Burmester love, advising listeners to pump the brakes on outright and FRL tickets. Vincenzi acknowledged that Valhalla’s rain-softened, bomber-friendly setup is tailor-made for Burmester’s 322-yard carry numbers, but noted two red flags that make him a fade at the current 25-1 Low LIV and 90-1 outright prices. First, the South African’s putter has completely abandoned him—he has lost strokes on the greens in three straight LIV starts and ranks outside the top 40 in SG: Putting this season. Second, the form graph is pointing down: after three early-season podiums he has finished T28, T31 and T34 in his last three, hemorrhaging nearly a stroke per round with the irons. Vincenzi said those trends outweigh the course fit and called Burmester “Mean Dean with the flat stick,” warning bettors that elite ball-striking alone rarely wins a major when the putter is ice cold.

Pat Mayo called Dean Burmester the best value in the Low LIV market at 25-1. Burmester averages 322 yards off the tee, owns a pair of LIV podiums over the past 12 months, and ranks top-15 in Birdies Gained on the circuit. Mayo likes that a rain-softened Valhalla neutralizes Burmester’s occasional wild miss while accentuating his driver-wedge strength on the reachable par-5s. With books hyper-focused on Bryson, Rahm and Niemann, Mayo thinks the South African is being mis-tagged alongside longshots who lack similar firepower. He is sprinkling the 25-1 ticket and plans to hedge through live betting if Burmester is on the early leaderboard.

Geoff Fienberg said he refuses to leave Dean Burmester off his outright card at the eye-popping 200-1 number available. Fienberg noted that Burmester averages well over 320 yards off the tee on LIV, ranking among the circuit’s top five in both driving distance and strokes-gained off-the-tee. That raw power should translate at a rain-softened Quail Hollow, where bombers traditionally take discrete lines over hazards. Although Burmester lacks PGA Championship reps, he owns multiple worldwide victories in windy, long venues such as Leopard Creek and has posted four top-10 finishes in his last six LIV starts, gaining over two strokes per round tee-to-green. Fienberg sees that recent form combined with his power profile as the exact recipe for a shock leaderboard cameo and thinks the odds should be closer to 125-1. He is comfortable sprinkling each-way and top-20 props alongside the outright ticket.

Burmester cracked Haslbauer’s Tier-5 pool as the type of ceiling play that wins GPPs. He sits inside the field’s top-15 in Driving Distance (313-yard average) and top-10 in weighted proximity from 175-plus yards—two of the most predictive stats at Quail Hollow where 56 % of approaches come from that range. The South African also ranks top-10 in the tout’s comp-course history index that blends results at Torrey, Bethpage and Valhalla—tracks where raw power is rewarded. Expected soft fairways should enhance his carry advantage, and at triple-digit outright odds with minimal ownership in DFS, Haslbauer recommends using Burmester in “bombers-only” roster constructions or as a sprinkle for top-20/top-40 markets.

Matt Gannon locked in Dean Burmester at +330 for a Top-20 finish, arguing books have not adjusted to the South African’s LIV form. Burmester is, in Matt’s words, a “top-10 driver on the planet” and just won at the long, wind-exposed Trump Doral layout—a course comp he considers relevant given Quail’s length and Bermuda greens. The PGA’s rough fairness mitigates Burmester’s occasionally shaky wedges, letting his distance advantage shine. With Quail projected to reward total driving and a single-digit winning score, Matt thinks a simple fairway-plus-bomb formula gets Burmester on the first two pages of the leaderboard often enough to cash the ticket.

Rich Gehman endorsed Dean Burmester as the standout sub-$7K flier. Live strokes-gained data shows Burmester has gained off the tee in virtually every 2025 start and is now positive on approach in six of his last eight. The South African already has multiple top-5s and a slew of top-15 finishes this season, demonstrating both floor and ceiling. Gehman reminded listeners Burmester finished T19 at last year’s Open and T12 at Valhalla, showing he can handle major setups. With Quail’s 7,600-yard, likely-wet layout rewarding his 320-yard carry, Gehman wants heavy GPP exposure and a sprinkle on a top-20 ticket around +400.

Pat Mayo recommended Dean Burmester at 150-1 with eight each-way places as his preferred sleeper. Burmester projects top-20 in this field for driving distance—an essential ingredient at Quail Hollow—and continues to string together strong ball-striking results on the LIV circuit. Mayo acknowledged Burmester’s putting remains a weakness, making him more volatile, but emphasized the course’s length and relative scoring difficulty mitigate the flatstick deficiency. Because Burmester excels on easier setups, Mayo expects he can post a low round or two and backdoor a top-8. At 150-1 a win ticket plus 1/5 odds for an each-way place create significant upside for small stakes.

Pat Mayo already grabbed Dean Burmester at 150-to-1 with eight each-way places and made him the final add to his outright card. Mayo noted he bets Burmester on LIV every week because the South African keeps flirting with trophies—four straight top-10s this season, including a runner-up in Hong Kong. The driver remains nuclear, ranking top-3 in ball speed on LIV and easily carrying the fairway bunkers and water hazards that protect Quail Hollow’s doglegs. Mayo drew a direct line to last year’s PGA at Valhalla, where Burmester was a trendy sleeper and responded with a T-12 despite a cold putter. He believes Quail plays similarly: a 7,600-yard brute that rewards anyone who can launch it 320 in the air and keep it semi-straight. With Burmester gaining distance yet still sitting 35th in fairways hit on LIV, Mayo sees genuine top-20 safety plus win equity that dwarfs the triple-digit price. He’ll have Burmester sprinkled in DFS cores and placement props while hoping the flat stick cooperates for four rounds.