Skylar Hoke said he is adding Dustin Johnson to his betting card and building DFS cores around him because the numbers finally confirm the eye test. With LIV strokes-gained data now available, Hoke noted that DJ’s irons have been “unbelievable,” producing finishes of 7th, 13th and 10th in his last four starts on top of an early-season LIV win. Johnson already owns five Open top-10s and was in the mix through 36 holes last year despite an otherwise down season. Hoke believes the market is over-reacting to three straight missed cuts in majors, ignoring the fact that Johnson still carries one of the highest ball-flight apexes in the field—an edge if Portrush plays soft—and historically locks in once he smells contention. At 30-1 odds and sub-10% DraftKings ownership, Hoke called DJ “the most mis-priced ceiling in the elite tier.”

Derek Farnsworth advised crossing Dustin Johnson off U.S. Open line-ups. Although DJ posted a T-10 on LIV last week, the tout called that finish misleading given the 54-man field and noted Johnson has not cracked a PGA-caliber top-20 in months. Oakmont’s five-inch rough demands precision off the tee, an area where Johnson ranks outside the top 100 in fairways gained this season. Combined with flat iron play and a cold putter, Farnsworth sees far more downside than upside and will allocate salary to steadier ball-strikers in the same range.

Doug Ferguson noted Dustin Johnson heads back to the site of his 2016 triumph, yet his 125-1 price reflects a steep decline: zero wins in 16 months and five missed cuts in his last seven majors. Although Johnson insists his game is close, recent results say otherwise. Ferguson suggested that sentiment alone is not enough to justify a flyer even at triple-digit odds, advising bettors to look elsewhere for long-shot value.

Nick Piastowski acknowledged Dustin Johnson’s recent dip but still likes a tiny wager at +12,000 because DJ owns the ultimate course history: he lifted the trophy the last time a U.S. Open visited Oakmont in 2016. Piastowski argued that proven success on one of golf’s toughest tracks outweighs current form for a modest stake at triple-digit odds.

For first-round-leader bets, Vincenzi’s favorite is Dustin Johnson at 75-to-1 (with 80s available). He borrowed the Toby Keith line—DJ may not be as good as he once was over four rounds, but he can still be that good for one. Johnson flashed spike weeks on LIV and gained strokes tee-to-green at Augusta, showing the firepower remains. A soft Thursday should reward his high launch with short irons, and the 7 am/pm draw historically suits his routine, so Vincenzi wants exposure before stamina questions surface on the weekend.

At high-value odds (+360), Matt Perrault endorses Dustin Johnson as an ideal bet to finish in the top 20 at The Masters, emphasizing he still holds the record for the lowest four-round score at Augusta (-20 in 2020). Perrault argues that sportsbooks underestimated the LIV Tour golfers' odds due to lack of visibility. Despite recent struggles, Johnson's historic success and experience at Augusta National create significant betting value. Perrault strongly advises bettors to ensure they wager without dead heat rules and views Johnson as a viable longshot contender to win outright at around 100 to 1.

Matt Vincenzi recommended betting Dustin Johnson (+10000) at Augusta, noting Johnson is on a hot streak after early-season struggles. A final-round 64 in Hong Kong, followed by strong play in Miami and Singapore, underscores Johnson's recent return to form. The former Masters champion expressed confident comparison to his victorious 2020 performance. Given his top-10 strokes-gained performance over the field at Augusta historically, Vincenzi advises considering Johnson as a compelling and undervalued Masters threat.

David Barnett sees Dustin Johnson as an intriguing DFS leverage play at Augusta. Though DJ disappointed many with a missed cut last year, recent form suggests he might be peaking again—starting slow on LIV Golf but improving with top finishes in recent events (T5 at Sentosa, currently T6 at Doral). Barnett also highlighted DJ's own declaration of feeling good and confident in his game heading into Augusta. With his price at only $7,500, DJ could provide valuable leverage if ownership remains low, although Barnett advises restraint due to the painful missed cut last year.

Pat Perry warned against rostering well-known veteran past Masters champions who carry inflated salaries based on legacy rather than recent form. Using Dustin Johnson’s 2024 Masters performance as a cautionary example, Perry highlighted Johnson scoring just 7.5 DraftKings points over two days despite being priced at $8,800. This significantly damaged roster builds given his high salary allocation. Perry stressed analyzing recent form, health, motivation, and competitive status closely rather than blindly rostering former Green Jacket winners based solely on reputation.

Pat Mayo expressed hesitancy about backing Dustin Johnson at Augusta despite DJ’s recent form improving on LIV Golf tour stops. Mayo highlighted Dustin Johnson’s repeated historical struggles specifically when attempting to close out victories at Augusta during April tournaments, although acknowledging DJ’s success at the November Masters. Mayo reflected on past betting losses involving Johnson at the Masters and implied it’s difficult to fully trust him, concluding DJ’s overall inconsistency and history of disappointing finishes at April Masters tournaments make him an unappealing betting target despite occasional strong recent outings.